The Top 10 Head Scratchers of the 2009 NBA Offseason Posted by John Paulsen (07/16/2009 @ 2:30 pm) The NBA offseason is by no means over, but the lion’s share is behind us, so it’s a good time to take a look back at a few of the…um…let’s say “questionable” decisions of the summer. Here are my Top 10, in no particular order. Feel free to add to the list if I missed something. 1. Trevor Ariza plays spiteful hardball…and loses. Let’s get this straight — the Lakers offered Ariza the same deal he was getting on the open market, and he refused since the Lakers could have offered more, but didn’t? Um, okay. David Lee (the agent, not the Knicks forward) says that Ariza wanted to go somewhere where he’d be “appreciated.” Lee overestimated the market for his client, and the Lakers quickly moved on to acquire Ron Artest. Now instead of playing for the world champs, Ariza is stuck in Houston on a team that faces a very uncertain future. Lee now says that Ariza turned down a deal worth $9 million more, but still picked Houston. It sounds to me like he’s just trying to save face. 2. Grizzlies acquire Zach Randolph. Once the Clippers traded for Randolph (and his toxic contract) last season, I thought the bar for NBA general managers had hit a new low thanks to Mike Dunleavy and his wily ways. But Dunleavy proved that he wasn’t the dumbest GM in the league when he convinced the Memphis Grizzlies to take on the final two years Randolph’s contract at the tune of $33.3 million. Remember that $25 million or so of cap space that the Grizzlies were going to have next summer? Yeah, that’s down to about $8 million with this brilliant move. Just when it looked like Chris Wallace was going to rehab his image after the Pau Gasol trade — Marc Gasol panning out, trading for O.J. Mayo — he goes and does this. Sigh. Read the rest of this entry » Posted in: NBA, NBA Draft, News, Rumors & Gossip Tags: 2009 NBA Draft, 2009 NBA free agency, 2009 NBA free agents, Ben Gordon, Ben Gordon contract, Charlie Villanueva, Charlie Villanueva contract, Chicago Bulls, Chris Wallace, David Kahn, DeJuan Blair draft, Detroit Pistons, Hedo Turkoglu, Hedo Turkoglu contract, Houston Rockets, John Paulsen, Jonny Flynn, Jonny Flynn draft, Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Lakers, Memphis Grizzlies, Mike Dunleavy, Milwaukee Bucks, Minnesota Timberwolves, NBA Draft, NBA free agents, New Jersey Nets, Orlando Magic, Ramon Sessions, Richard Jefferson, Ricky Rubio, Ricky Rubio draft, Ron Artest, San Antonio Spurs, Shaq to Cleveland, Trevor Ariza, Trevor Ariza contract, Vince Carter, Zach Randolph
Trying to make sense of the Timberwolves’ first two picks Posted by John Paulsen (06/26/2009 @ 12:42 pm)
Probably the most perplexing sequence of events occurred early last night when the Minnesota Timberwolves picked Ricky Rubio and Jonny Flynn — two pure point guards — with back-to-back picks. My first instinct was that GM David Kahn (Kaaaaaaaaaahn!) was working out a trade for one of the guards, possibly moving Rubio to the Warriors or Knicks or some other team for a pick and/or veteran help. But then Ric Bucher popped his head in to inform us that Kahn said that he plans to play Rubio and Flynn together. Later on, Kahn mentioned a few examples of point guard duos that have played well in the past, citing Isiah Thomas and Joe Dumars, Dennis Johnson and Danny Ainge, and…gulp…Michael Jordan and John Paxson. Setting aside the Jordan/Paxson comparison for a moment, let’s look at the other two examples. DJ and Ainge were both 6’4″ combo guards and neither guy had to have the ball in his hands to be effective. I don’t think the same will be said about Rubio or Flynn (certainly not Rubio). Dumars was 6’3″ defensive stopper and deadeye shooter, while Zeke was a ball-dominant playmaker. In short, Thomas was a pure point guard, while Dumars, Ainge and DJ were combo guards. Those backcourts worked because the two players complemented each other. But back to Jordan/Paxson — if I’m a Timberwolves fan and I hear that my general manager is referring to Michael Jordan as a point guard, I’m getting out on the ledge. MJ was a 6’6″ wing, who could do everything — handle, shoot, post up and play defense. He was more of a 2/3 who could run the point if necessary. If Kahn really thinks that he was a point guard, then that shows an alarming lack of basic knowledge about the game. But that’s not the only reason the comparison is invalid. A general manager should not be invoking Jordan’s name when discussing his first few picks in the draft. He is arguably the greatest player ever to play the game, so it’s not fair to expect your rookies to do the same things he did. Any backcourt that featured Jordan would have worked. He was that good. Once Hasheem Thabeet, James Harden and Tyreke Evans were off the board, I thought for sure the T-Wolves would take a point guard (Rubio or Flynn) and Stephen Curry, who is a smallish combo guard that can shoot the lights out. If you want to run him at off guard, you need to pair him with a pure point guard to set him up. A Flynn/Curry or Rubio/Curry backcourt would have had a real chance at working. Rubio/Flynn would serve as the playmaker, while Curry’s shooting would create space for Al Jefferson and Kevin Love to work in the post. Defensively, a backcourt like that would have its share of problems, but at least it would make sense on the other end of the court. I just don’t think a Rubio/Flynn backcourt will work. Both players are ball-dominant and neither guy shoots the ball very well. Rubio isn’t strong enough to cover most opposing shooting guards and Flynn isn’t tall enough to cover big guards on the block. Throw in the fact that Rubio doesn’t sound too thrilled about the prospect of playing in Minnesota, and Kahn might have one big mess on his hands. Here is some more commentary about Minnesota’s first two picks… Read the rest of this entry » Posted in: NBA, NBA Draft, News, Rumors & Gossip Tags: 2009 NBA Draft, David Kahn, Jonny Flynn draft, Jonny Flynn rumors, NBA Draft rumors, Ricky Rubio, Ricky Rubio draft, Ricky Rubio rumors, what are the T-Wolves thinking?, what are the Wolves thinking?, what was David Kahn thinking?
2009 NBA Mock Draft Version 3.0 + Updated Consensus Posted by John Paulsen (06/22/2009 @ 2:30 pm)
The draft is just a few days away, so it’s a good time to take one final stab at mocking the first round of this draft. I’ll continue to update the consensus draft this week, but this will be my last attempt at predicting what will happen this Thursday. First, let’s take a look at the most recent consensus. Chad Ford released the most recent version of his mock draft today, NBADraft.net also updated today, while DraftExpress updated their mock yesterday. Now I’ll go, pick by pick, through the first round, taking the consensus into account while also throwing in my $0.02 here and there. #1 CLIPPERS The Clips have shown no signs of trading away their opportunity to draft Blake Griffin. There is much fluidity with the next few picks, but the Oklahoma product is pretty much guaranteed to be the first pick. The Clippers will then (reportedly) try to move Zach Randolph or Chris Kaman, though it might be wise to move forward with Kaman and Griffin in the front court, Baron Davis at the point, and Eric Gordon and Al Thornton on the wing. Randolph is going to be tough to move. (I still can’t believe that Mike Dunleavy traded for him last season.) Pick: Blake Griffin, PF, Oklahoma #2 GRIZZLIES The consensus says that Hasheem Thabeet will be the pick and I don’t disagree, even though he just pulled out of a workout with Memphis due to a shoulder injury. DraftExpress thinks that Memphis will go with James Harden and move O.J. Mayo to the point, which they say is his natural position. I don’t know that they’ve given up on Mike Conley yet, so I think they will go big with this pick. Their biggest need is at power forward, so trading down and drafting Jordan Hill is a possibility. But if they stand pat, Thabeet could very well be the pick, even though he doesn’t seem to want to play in Memphis. Pick: Hasheem Thabeet, C, UConn Read the rest of this entry » Posted in: NBA, NBA Draft, News, Rumors & Gossip Tags: 2009 Mock Drafts, 2009 NBA Draft, 2009 NBA mock draft, Austin Daye, Austin Daye draft, B.J. Mullins, B.J. Mullins draft, Blake Griffin, Blake Griffin draft, Brandon Jennings, Brandon Jennings draft, Chase Budinger, Chase Budinger draft, consensus mock draft, DaJuan Summers, DaJuan Summers draft, Darren Collison, Darren Collison draft, DeJuan Blair, DeJuan Blair draft, DeMar DeRozan, DeMar DeRozan draft, Earl Clark, Earl Clark draft, Eric Maynor, Eric Maynor draft, Gani Lawal, Gani Lawal draft, Gerald Henderson, Gerald Henderson draft, Hasheem Thabeet, Hasheem Thabeet draft, James Harden, James Harden draft, James Johnson, James Johnson draft, Jeff Teague, Jeff Teague draft, John Paulsen, Jonny Flynn, Jonny Flynn draft, Jordan Hill, Jordan Hill draft, Jrue Holliday, Jrue Holliday draft, Marcus Thornton, Marcus Thornton draft, NBA Draft, NBA mock draft, Nick Calathes, Nick Calathes draft, Patrick Mills, Patrick Mills draft, Ricky Rubio, Ricky Rubio draft, Sam Young, Sam Young draft, Terrence Williams, Terrence Williams draft, Ty Lawson, Ty Lawson draft, Tyler Hansbrough, Tyler Hansbrough draft, Tyreke Evans, Tyreke Evans draft, Wayne Ellington, Wayne Ellington draft
2009 NBA Mock Draft Version 2.0 Posted by John Paulsen (06/04/2009 @ 4:30 pm)
It has been about two weeks since I published my first mock draft, so it’s a good time to check back in with all the news and rumors and take another stab. Like I said in the intro of my first mock, it’s tough for me to make predictions about what teams will do because I’m constantly thinking about what they should do. These are obviously two very different things. For this go-around, I’m going to try something a little different. I’ve compiled the picks for four mock drafts from sites that I respect — ESPN (Chad Ford), Dime Magazine, DraftExpress and NBADraft.net — and then I’ll provide my own picks taking their picks into account, to form some sort of consensus. Let’s get on with it… Read the rest of this entry » Posted in: NBA, NBA Draft, Rumors & Gossip Tags: 2009 Mock Drafts, 2009 NBA Draft, 2009 NBA mock draft, Austin Daye, Austin Daye draft, B.J. Mullins, B.J. Mullins draft, Blake Griffin, Blake Griffin draft, Brandon Jennings, Brandon Jennings draft, Chase Budinger, Chase Budinger draft, consensus mock draft, DaJuan Summers, DaJuan Summers draft, Darren Collison, Darren Collison draft, DeJuan Blair, DeJuan Blair draft, DeMar DeRozan, DeMar DeRozan draft, Earl Clark, Earl Clark draft, Eric Maynor, Eric Maynor draft, Gani Lawal, Gani Lawal draft, Gerald Henderson, Gerald Henderson draft, Hasheem Thabeet, Hasheem Thabeet draft, James Harden, James Harden draft, James Johnson, James Johnson draft, Jeff Teague, Jeff Teague draft, John Paulsen, Jonny Flynn, Jonny Flynn draft, Jordan Hill, Jordan Hill draft, Jrue Holliday, Jrue Holliday draft, Marcus Thornton, Marcus Thornton draft, NBA Draft, NBA mock draft, Nick Calathes, Nick Calathes draft, Patrick Mills, Patrick Mills draft, Ricky Rubio, Ricky Rubio draft, Sam Young, Sam Young draft, Terrence Williams, Terrence Williams draft, Ty Lawson, Ty Lawson draft, Tyler Hansbrough, Tyler Hansbrough draft, Tyreke Evans, Tyreke Evans draft, Wayne Ellington, Wayne Ellington draft
NBA free agency and draft rumors Posted by John Paulsen (06/04/2009 @ 2:04 pm)
– Charlie Villanueva is open to joining the Cavs, and given the current state of the economy, it’s not out of the realm of possibility that the best he’ll be able to do is a deal at the mid-level (~$5.8 million). The Bucks first have to decide whether or not to make the qualifying offer (~$4.6 million) and they may elect not to in order to avoid going over the luxury tax threshold (~$71 million, and could drop). Without Villanueva (and Ramon Sessions, who is also slated to become a restricted free agent), the Bucks’ payroll is at about $61 million with only eight players under contract. Villanueva would give the Cavs a good matchup for Rashard Lewis. Both players are slender power forwards who can shoot the ball, though Charlie V isn’t known for his defense. – UFA Andre Miller doesn’t have a problem with the Sixers’ hire of head coach Eddie Jordan. The Sixers are over the cap but well under the luxury tax, so I’d expect them to sign the 33 year-old to a one- or two-year deal in the $6-7 million range. He is unlikely to get that on the open market, but Portland is a team with cap space that could use his leadership. – Toronto GM Bryan Colangelo plans to keep Chris Bosh and try to surround him with better players, unless the talented power forward expresses serious doubts about re-signing. By sending Jermaine O’Neal to the Heat for Shawn Marion (and his expiring contract), the Raptors have about $10 million in cap space heading into the summer. While that may not be enough to land someone like Carlos Boozer, it is enough, coupled with the team’s mid-level exception, to add two or three pretty good players to the roster. How about Ben Gordon and Charlie Villanueva/Chris Andersen? I’d expect the Bosh rumors to heat up next season if Toronto struggles again early on. – Hoopsworld says that there’s a rumor making the rounds that the Thunder might take DeMar DeRozan #3. This sounds a little fishy to me because everything I’m seeing shows DeRozan slipping a little after poor agility and sprint tests at the combine. James Harden has the better standing vertical and is just 1.5″ off of DeRozan’s max vertical. Harden also beat DeRozan soundly in the agility and sprint tests and is the much more polished offensive player at this point. DeRozan is 1.5″ taller, but Harden has a higher reach because he has a longer wingspan. – With Jonny Flynn and Jrue Holiday climbing the draft charts, Ricky Rubio is suddenly open to interviews and workouts with teams picking #2 to #4, which includes Memphis, Oklahoma City and Sacramento. Rubio apparently didn’t play very well in his season finale, and his camp may be worried about him slipping out of the top four if those teams in question find a guy they like better. Posted in: NBA, NBA Draft, Rumors & Gossip Tags: 2009 NBA free agency, 2009 NBA free agents, Cleveland Cavaliers, DeMar DeRozan, DeMar DeRozan draft, free agency rumors, James Harden, James Harden draft, Jonny Flynn draft, Jrue Holiday, Jrue Holiday draft, Milwaukee Bucks, NBA Draft rumors, NBA free agency, NBA free agency rumors, Ricky Rubio draft, Toronto Raptors
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