Discussing some smaller NBA moves, Part 1 Posted by John Paulsen (07/14/2010 @ 11:30 am) There has been so much focus on the big names in free agency that sometimes the complementary players are overlooked. Here’s a rundown of some of the mid-level names that have changed teams this summer: Raymond Felton signs with the Knicks. (2/$15 M) When life gives you lemons… Donnie Walsh managed to sign Amare Stoudemire, but struck out on LeBron, Wade and Bosh. So instead of overpaying for another big-name free agent, or even re-signing David Lee, Walsh signed a capable point guard in Felton to run Mike D’Antoni’s up-tempo system. Most importantly, he negotiated a short, two-year contract (with a possible third season as a team option) to allow the pursuit of Chris Paul if/when he becomes a free agent in two years. Felton averaged 12-4-6 and shot 46% from the field for the Bobcats last season. His numbers are sure to rise in New York assuming he gets the same run (33 mpg). Jermaine O’Neal signs with the Celtics. (2/$12 M) Rasheed Wallace is retiring, so the C’s needed to shore up its front line in order to contend with Dwight Howard, Carlos Boozer and Chris Bosh in the playoffs. O’Neal isn’t the player he used to be, but he averaged 14-7 and shot a career high (53%) for the Heat last season. He’s a big body and decent defender and he’s capable of hitting a face up jumper when given the opportunity. As long as he holds up, this is a nice signing by Boston. Kyle Korver signs with the Bulls. (3/$15 M) Chicago lacked three-point shooting last season and Korver fills that need. He hit almost 54% from deep last season and is a career 41% shooter. He should be a nice fit as a spot up shooter with Derrick Rose and Carlos Boozer, but needs to shoot 40%+ from 3PT to justify a starting spot. He’s better defensively as a small forward than as a shooting guard, so it’s not clear how he and Luol Deng will play together. I expected Korver to get a full mid-level deal in this market so the Bulls got him for a relatively good price. Tiago Splitter signs with the Spurs. (3/$11 M) This deal happened rather quietly, but San Antonio finally has its 2007 first round draft pick under contract… at a bargain. Splitter is a 25-year-old, 6-11 center who was named the MVP of the Spanish League last season. He averaged 16-7 and shot 58% from the field in 28 minutes a game. While he’s not a great rebounder, he’s good defensively and can take some of the scoring load off of Tim Duncan. At under $4 million a season, he’s a steal. Al Harrington signs with the Nuggets. (5/$34 M) Harrington’s 18-6 line from last season needs to be taken with a grain of salt since he was playing for a pretty bad Knicks team that played at a very high pace. The Nuggets outbid the Mavs for Harrington’s services and Denver had to overpay to lock him up. The Nuggets will be without Kenyon Martin and Chris Andersen to start the season and Nene is always a threat to miss time with injury, so Harrington gives the team a big body who can score when called upon. He’s 30, so this contract is not going to look very good in 2-3 years, but such is the market for big men. Part 2: Tyson Chandler, Brendan Haywood, Tony Allen, Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Kyle Lowry, Steve Blake Posted in: Fantasy Basketball, NBA, News Tags: 2010 NBA free agency, 2010 NBA free agents, Al Harrington, Boston Celtics, Chicago Bulls, Denver Nuggets, Jermaine O'Neal, Kyle Korver, New York Knicks, Raymond Felton, San Antonio Spurs, Summer of 2010, Tiago Splitter
Take my overpaid star…please! Posted by John Paulsen (06/25/2009 @ 11:35 am)
Memphis GM Gerald Wallace took a lot of heat for trading Pau Gasol to the Lakers. But if we’ve learned anything in the past few days, it’s that Wallace was simply a man ahead of his time. On Tuesday, we learned that the Bucks agreed to trade Richard Jefferson to the Spurs for Bruce Bowen, Kurt Thomas and Amir Johnson. (Fabricio Oberto was part of the original deal, but San Antonio sent him to Detroit for Johnson, who was then sent to Milwaukee.) Regular readers know I’m a Bucks fan, and I spent the last couple of days grumbling on the Sports Bubbler message boards about how we didn’t get anything in return for Jefferson, who is still a pretty good player. When Wallace traded away Gasol, at least he got Javaris Crittenton (who was considered a prospect with upside at the time) and Pau’s brother, Marc, who turned out to be a productive center for the Grizzlies. Then I wake up today to see that the Cavs and Suns have agreed to go through with that long-rumored trade that will send Shaq to Cleveland for salary cap relief. Who do the Suns get in return? A retiree (Ben Wallace), a bench player with a partially guaranteed contract (Sasha Pavlovic), some cash and a second round pick. This is the going rate for a Third Team All-NBA center these days. We knew that this summer had the potential to be a rough one for free agents, but it’s a little surprising to see that good players like O’Neal and Jefferson could be had for virtually nothing. Bucks owner Herb Kohl and Suns owner Robert Sarver realize that their clubs aren’t legitimate contenders, so they don’t see the point in paying the luxury tax just for the privilege of being knocked out in the first round of the playoffs. What kind of an effect these moves have on season ticket purchases remains to be seen. The bottom line is that if a team is willing to spend, there has never been a better time to acquire talent. You’re not going to get someone like Caron Butler, who plays for a (pretend) contender and has a reasonable contract, but you can get Jefferson, who is overpaid and is on a mediocre team that is up against the luxury tax. And the older the player, the more likely he’s available. Teams aren’t going to give up good players that are in their early- or mid-twenties because the plan is to rebuild before they’re over the hill. So who might be on the move for a bag of peanuts and some salary cap flexibility? How about Tracy McGrady, Baron Davis, Chris Kaman, Marcus Camby, Vince Carter, Tyson Chandler, Amare Stoudemire, Jermaine O’Neal, Michael Redd, Ray Allen or Rip Hamilton? Truth be told, a team like the Suns isn’t going to give the youngish Stoudemire away for cap flexibility alone. But as the price of a star goes down, the price of superstar goes down as well. It promises to be an interesting summer. Posted in: NBA, NBA Draft, Rumors & Gossip Tags: 2009 NBA Draft, 2009 NBA free agency, 2009 NBA free agency rumors, Amare Stoudemire, Baron Davis, Chris Kaman, Herb Kohl, Jermaine O'Neal, Marcus Camby, Michael Redd, NBA free agency, Ray Allen, Richard Jefferson, Rip Hamilton, Robert Sarver, Shaq to Cleveland, Shaquille O'Neal, Steve Kerr, Tracy McGrady, Tyson Chandler, Vince Carter
NBA Free Agency Rumors: Wade, ‘Sheed, Boozer and more Posted by John Paulsen (05/05/2009 @ 2:09 pm) – SLAM says that Rasheed Wallace will retire if he doesn’t get at least $8 million to play next season. By my count, there are seven teams — Memphis, Atlanta, Oklahoma City, Sacramento, Toronto, Portland and Minnesota — other than the Pistons that could give him that kind of money. Who would be interested in ‘Sheed? I’m guessing only teams that are on the verge of competing for a title and have a need for a big man with championship experience. The only “contenders” on that list are Atlanta and Portland, and neither seems to be a good fit. Portland already has a slender sharp-shooting big man in LaMarcus Aldridge, and the Hawks will likely spend their cap space on re-signing Mike Bibby (though that isn’t necessarily the right thing to do). So if Portland and Atlanta pass on Wallace, someone will offer him a mid-level deal (~$5.8 M) and he’ll have to decide if it’s worth it. Any team in the league can sign him for that, so if he lowers his price, demand will rise. – Dwyane Wade reiterated that he will consider signing an extension once he’s eligible to on July 1st, but that he hasn’t given the idea much thought. The Heat would have a ton of cap space this summer had they held onto Shawn Marion and his expiring contract, but they instead traded for Jermaine O’Neal whom they thought would help their chances in the playoffs over the next two seasons. In the end, I doubt D-Wade will leave Miami. He’s a star there, the weather is great, and with Michael Beasley and a yet to be named big man (Chris Bosh, Amare Stoudemire) to be signed in the summer of 2010, the Heat have a good foundation for success. To me, the big question is whether or not Beasley can play small forward. If so, then the team should try to put together a starting lineup of Mario Chalmers, Wade, Beasley, Udonis Haslem and either Bosh or Amare. Read the rest of this entry » Posted in: NBA, News, Rumors & Gossip Tags: 2009 NBA free agency, 2010 NBA free agency, Atlanta Hawks, Carlos Boozer, Detroit Pistons, Dwyane Wade, Jermaine O'Neal, Memphis Grizzlies, Miami Heat, Minnesota Timberwolves, NBA free agency, Oklahoma City Thunder, Paul Millsap, Portland Trail Blazers, Rasheed Wallace, Sacramento Kings, Toronto Raptors, Utah Jazz
A look ahead at the free agent class of 2009 Posted by John Paulsen (02/26/2009 @ 4:39 pm)
With the trade deadline in the rear view mirror and players tied to their current teams at least until the summer, it’s a good time to take a look ahead at the free agent class of 2009. Given the state of the economy and how so many teams are saving up for the class of 2010, some are suggesting that this summer’s free agency could be a “nuclear winter” of sorts, no pun intended. The salary cap and luxury tax thresholds are likely to decline for the first time in years and that has GMs and owners around the league scrambling to cut salary where they can. There are three types of free agents: players with early termination options (ETO) or player options (PO), restricted free agents and unrestricted free agents. Players with ETOs or POs This group includes Kobe Bryant, Jermaine O’Neal, Al Harrington, Jamal Crawford and Mehmet Okur, but it’s highly unlikely that any of these guys will hit the open market given the kind of money they’ll be making by extending their respective contracts. Of this group, Hedo Turkoglu, Anderson Varejao and maybe Carlos Boozer are the only big names that are likely to hit free agency. Boozer has already stated that he’s going to opt out, but he may decide against it if he doesn’t come back strong from his injuries. Turkoglu — the reigning Most Improved Player — is having another nice season, but he’s not playing quite as well as last year. Still, he can command more than the $7.3 million he’s due to make next season. Varejao could stay with the Cavs and make $6.2 million next season, but he and his agent (Dan Fegan) have been looking for more. Varejao wants a long term deal but it seems he and the Cavs disagree on how much he’s actually worth. For the most part, guys in this group are going to be conservative and play out their contracts. Read the rest after the jump...Posted in: Fantasy Basketball, NBA, Rumors & Gossip Tags: Al Harrington, Allen Iverson, Anderson Varejao, Andre Miller, Ben Gordon, Brandon Bass, Carlos Boozer, Charlie Villanueva, David Lee, Hedo Turkoglu, Jamal Crawford, Jason Kidd, Jermaine O'Neal, John Paulsen, Josh Childress, Kobe Bryant, Lamar Odom, Leon Powe, Linas Kleiza, Marvin Williams, Mehmet Okur, Mike Bibby, Nate Robinson, NBA free agency, Paul Millsap, Ramon Sessions, Rasheed Wallace, Raymond Felton, Ron Artest, Shawn Marion, summer of 2009, Summer of 2010, Trevor Ariza
Much Ado About Nothing: The 5 Biggest Trade Deadline Teases Posted by John Paulsen (02/19/2009 @ 5:15 pm)
You can blame it on the Grizzlies. Ever since they traded Pau Gasol to the Lakers for a bag of peanuts and some slightly used underwear, NBA teams have become more and more fickle about pulling the proverbial trigger. With the state of the economy, and some owners desperately trying to cut payroll before the cap and luxury tax thresholds decline, it’s a buyer’s market out there. And those buyers are looking for Gasol-type deals. On the flip side, Chris Wallace took all kinds of grief over that trade and general managers around the league don’t want to follow in his footsteps. After two or three weeks of covering all of this trade chatter, the biggest deal to speak of is the Shawn Marion/Jermaine O’Neal swap and that happened almost a week ago. Sure, guys like Brad Miller, Andres Nocioni, John Salmons, Rafer Alston, Larry Hughes, Tim Thomas, Chris Wilcox and Drew Gooden changed zip codes, but I doubt any fans out there are sporting wood at the idea that one or more of these players is joining their team. This year’s trade deadline was mostly about teams setting themselves up financially for the next two summers of free agency. Even though there were a number of big names bandied about, the Marion/O’Neal deal is the only semi-blockbuster trade of the season. And, barring some last-minute, late-breaking deal, we have these five teams to blame… 5. San Antonio Spurs The Spurs were in talks with the Nets about acquiring Vince Carter and also spoke with the Bucks about Richard Jefferson. Either of those players would have been a nice addition, but the Spurs just don’t have the pieces (or the balls) to pull off a trade like that. They were willing to trade for Carter, but they didn’t want to give up Roger Mason or George Hill. So they offer the Nets Bruce Bowen and Fabricio Oberto. Great, the numbers don’t even add up. Don’t get me wrong – I don’t really think that the Spurs should have given up Mason and/or Hill to acquire Carter. They’re arguably the second-best team in the West and their current lineup, if healthy, is likely to give the Lakers fits if the two teams meet in the playoffs with a less-than-100% Andrew Bynum. Plus the Spurs are notoriously conservative when it comes to messing with their chemistry. Jefferson wouldn’t have been a problem in that area but Carter might have been. So the Spurs stand pat. Shocker. Read the rest after the jump...Posted in: Fantasy Basketball, NBA, News, Rumors & Gossip Tags: Alvin Gentry, Amare Stoudemire, Andres Nocioni, Andrew Bynum, Antawn Jamison, Brad Miller, Bruce Bowen, Chris Wilcox, Cleveland Cavaliers, Drew Gooden, Fabricio Oberto, George Hill, Jermaine O'Neal, John Paulsen, John Salmons, Kobe Bryant, Larry Hughes, LeBron James, Los Angeles Lakers, Milwaukee Bucks, New Jersey Nets, Phoenix Suns, Portland Trail Blazers, Raef LaFrentz, Rafer Alston, Ramon Sessions, Richard Jefferson, Roger Mason, Shaquille O'Neal, Shawn Marion, Steve Kerr, Summer of 2010, Theo Ratliff, Tim Thomas, Vince Carter, Wally Szczerbiak
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