Projected carries in KC, Houston, Indy, Buffalo and Oakland

DENVER - JANUARY 03: Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs rushes against the Denver Broncos at Invesco Field at Mile High on January 3, 2010 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)

Chris Wesseling of Rotoworld has released updated carry projections for the entire AFC, but let’s focus on five teams: the Chiefs, Texans, Colts, Bills and Raiders.

We’ll go one by one:

Jamaal Charles: 220
Thomas Jones: 140
Kestahn Moore: 30

Charles emerged as the Chiefs’ MVP last year, averaging 20 carries and 121 rushing yards once hit he the starting lineup at mid-season. The projection above accounts for Jones in slightly more than a Willis McGahee-type short-yardage/inside role, giving Charles just under 14 carries per contest. Throw in three receptions per week and it’s enough to leave Charles as a borderline RB1.

Obviously, these numbers disregard the fact that TJ is still atop the depth chart and the head coach is telling the press that Charles’s role is ‘undefined.’ While it would seem incomprehensible to fantasy owners that Haley would limit Charles’s touches given how well he played last season, the news out of KC should not be ignored. TJ has been overlooked everywhere he’s went and while I’m hoping for a 60/40 split like we see here, I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s more 50/50.

Arian Foster: 215
Steve Slaton: 125
Jeremiah Johnson: 20
Chris Henry: 10

The line for now trendy Foster love starts behind Rotoworld. We were hyping the former Tennessee star as a Dynasty deep sleeper once the Texans snatched him up after last year’s draft while promoting him as the potential answer in Houston by mid-November. Although Ben Tate’s season-ending broken fibula has killed Foster’s sleeper potential for this year, it certainly offers more clarity in this backfield: Foster is Batman; Slaton is Robin. Draft accordingly.

I didn’t jump on the Foster bandwagon until earlier this summer, but with Tate’s injury, he looks like he should vastly outplay his current draft position (9.02 over the last week). Look for his ADP to continue to rise. I’d start thinking about picking him in the 7th or the 8th. He played very well at the end of last season, has drawn rave reviews from the coaching staff this summer, and it’s clear that the team doesn’t view Slaton as a feature back any longer.

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Marshawn Lynch is killing his trade value

According to the NFL Network’s Jason La Canfora, the Seahawks are “quite interested” in Bills’ running back Marshawn Lynch, but unless he starts using his head he may never get out of Buffalo.

Thanks for Fred Jackson and first round pick C.J. Spiller, the Bills don’t need Lynch, who continues to be a pain in the team’s ass. He refuses to practice during team-organized activities, presumably because he’s upset with Buffalo’s decision to draft Spiller, and he likely wants to be traded. (I use the words “presumably” and “likely” because nobody actually knows what Lynch wants.)

But even for teams like the Seahawks who might be interested in him, what team would pull the trigger on a trade knowing that he refuses to workout for the Bills? He has been a malcontent since Buffalo drafted him and he’s destroying his trade value by refusing to practice. He could do himself a favor by working out, playing the role of good solider and staying out of trouble. But as of now, he thinks he’s smarter than everyone by refusing to participate until he gets what he wants (whatever that is).

The Bills aren’t going to get great compensation for Lynch, even if they do wind up finding a trade partner. The time to trade him was during the draft, but they missed their chance and now they’ll be lucky to get a mid-round draft pick in return for his services.

But at this point, if a team like the Seahawks are interested, then the Bills might as well take whatever they can get for him. He’s obviously not intelligent enough to realize that he’s only hurting himself, so if Seattle offers a fifth rounder, Buffalo might as well jump on it.


Photo from fOTOGLIF

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