How to draft a fantasy football team

Green Bay Packers Greg Jennings (85) celebrates after catching a pass against the Pittsburgh Steelers in the fourth quarter during the NFL’s Super Bowl XLV football game in Arlington, Texas, February 6, 2011. REUTERS/Mike Stone (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL)

Are we going to have an NFL season? Things are looking up, so hopefully we’ll be able to gear up and get ready for some football.

As part of Bullz-Eye.com’s Get real Guide, TSR’s John Paulsen has a help guide to how to draft a fantasy football team. Check it out and start get a head start!

Follow the Scores Report editors on Twitter @clevelandteams and @bullzeyedotcom.

Why Quarterback By Committee (QBBC) works

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Josh Freeman (5) changes a play at the line during first half action at the Louisiana Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana, January 2, 2011. UPI/A.J. Sisco

In the world of fantasy football, we’re neck deep in no man’s land. The playoffs are over, the draft is still something fuzzy off in the distance, and there’s a rain cloud over our heads in the form of the ongoing NFL labor negotiations. But this is a great time to examine some of the traditional and non-traditional fantasy football strategies and tweak them for use in the future.

One such strategy is Quarterback By Committee (QBBC). For the neophyte, this strategy encourages the fantasy owner to wait to draft a QB on draft day until such time that he can grab two or three solid players in the mid to late rounds. In standard 12-team leagues, this usually means somewhere in the 8th to 14th rounds. If you can find two or three players whose schedules compliment each other, you can sometimes get QB5-type production at a deep discount.

Every preseason, I write a QBBC article that recommends a few combinations to fantasy owners. For the 2010 season, my top recommendation was Eli Manning and Ben Roethlisberger. Eli finished #7 in total fantasy points, while Roethlisberger finished #7 in average fantasy points even though he was suspended for the first four games. During the preseason, Eli was going in the 8th round, while Big Ben was going in the 11th, so owners who went with this duo got great production at QB on the cheap. This approach allows for owners to load up on talent at RB, WR and even TE knowing that they’ll be at least “okay” at QB.

I thought it would be interesting to take a look at the historical fantasy data for the QB position for the last 10 years and see if we can learn anything from it. Below you’ll find a graph that shows the total fantasy points by the Top 32 QBs as well as data for the Top 10 fantasy QBs and Next 10 (QBs #11-#20).

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Carroll: Justin Forsett will start

Sep 2, 2010; Oakland, CA, USA; Seattle Seahawks running back Justin Forsett (20) tries to elude Oakland Raiders linebacker Ricky Brown (57) during the preseason game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum. The Raiders defeated the Seahawks 27-24. Photo by Image of Sport Photo via Newscom

Per Danny O’Neil of the Seattle Times:

Justin Forsett will start at running back for the Seahawks.

Forsett was quite productive last season in limited duty. He got 10+ touches in eight games and here’s how he fared:

W2, @SF: 11 touches, 92 yards
W10, @ARI: 22 touches, 149 yards, TD
W11, @MIN: 16 touches, 89 yards, TD
W12, @STL: 22 carries, 130 yards, 2 TD
W14, @HOU: 13 touches, 73 yards
W15, TB: 11 touches, 69 yards
W16, @GB: 15 touches, 74 yards
W17, TEN: 12 touches, 88 yards

That’s 764 yards on 122 touches or 6.3 yards per touch. Forsett isn’t a traditional every-down back, but working in tandem with Leon Washington, he should be able to handle 230-240 touches, which at his 2009 rate would equate to 1,400+ yards. If he gets that kind of workload, he’ll be a solid RB2 in PPR leagues.

The real question is — are the Seahawks committed to getting him 14+ touches a game?

If they’re not, they should be.

Ravens sign T.J. Houshmandzadeh

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver T.J. Houshmandzadeh (L) runs past Tennessee Titans defenders Michael Griffin R)and Collin Alfred in the 2nd quarter at Qwest Field in Seattle on January 3, 2010. The Titans beat the Seahawks 17-13. UPI /Jim Bryant Photo via Newscom

Adam Schefter tweeted the details:

Ravens reached agreement with former Seahawks wide receiver TJ Houshmandzadeh on a one-year, $855,000 deal. More at espn.com.

Personnel-wise, this is a strange fit, seeing as the Ravens already have a couple of talented possession-type receivers in Anquan Boldin and Derrick Mason. But Housh is a cheap upgrade at WR2/WR3 and he gives Joe Flacco another sure-handed route-runner.

From a fantasy standpoint, this probably hurts Derrick Mason more than Boldin, who will get his looks as the Ravens’ WR1. It gives Flacco a little boost because his receiver corps has more depth and could weather an injury to one of the aforementioned WRs.

As for Housh, he’s probably only worth a late round flyer at this point because he’s joining a new team and his role is unclear. It’s going to take him some time to get settled.

Montario Hardesty out for the season with a torn ACL

BEREA, OH - MAY 01: Montario Hardesty #31 of the Cleveland Browns takes a hand off from Colt McCoy #12 during rookie mini camp at the Cleveland Browns Training and Administrative Complex on May 1, 2010 in Berea, Ohio. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

Adam Schefter is reporting that Hardesty is done for the season:

Further tests revealed what initial tests showed: Browns rookie RB Montario Hardesty has a torn ACL. Out for year.

Bad news for Hardesty is great news for Jerome Harrison owners, who will likely have a solid RB2 for the price of a 7th-9th round pick. Peyton Hillis has played well and was productive in Denver, so he will probably get some touches to keep Harrison fresh. He could also vulture some goal line work.

Still, Harrison is looking like a great value in the middle rounds and is another reason why it’s a solid strategy to grab a couple of premier WRs in the first three rounds and worry about shoring up the RB position later.

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