Category: NBA Draft (Page 5 of 55)

2010 NBA Consensus Mock Draft (6/23)

The mock drafts are coming fast and furious now, so I thought I’d update our consensus mock draft to reflect the latest and greatest predictions from pundits around the web.

As always, click on the table for a larger version.


A few random thoughts:

– There seems to be more stability now at #2, as the leaked image from the Sixers’ website would seem to indicate that Evan Turner is on his way to Philadelphia. There has been some movement at #3-#4, however, as it appears that Derrick Favors isn’t a shoe-in to go #3 to the Nets. Apparently, New Jersey is thinking that they can get a very good power forward in free agency (Bosh, Stoudemire, Boozer, Lee?) and Wes Johnson can help them immediately at small forward.

– Given his production and size, I’d be surprised if DeMarcus Cousins slips past the Kings at #5. If he can get his head on straight, he and Tyreke Evans would be a formidable inside/outside punch.

– Gordon Hayward is supposedly moving up draft boards, but he only appears in the first 14 picks in four of the six mock drafts that I selected. He could go as early as #8 to the Clippers, who need a small forward, and is also a threat to go #9 to the Jazz, #10 to the Pacers and #11 to the Hornets. Really, depending on Rudy Gay and Hedo Turkoglu, Hayward could go anywhere from #8 to #13.

– The Hornets pick #11 and could use a wing who can shoot. It appears that they might be choosing amongst Babbitt, Hayward, Henry and George. George can shoot it and scouts think he has the most upside of this group.

What about Patrick Patterson?

John Hollinger revisited his Draft Rater, and put together his personal, “totally subjective” draft board for Thursday’s draft.

There are several big names missing — Ed Davis, Ekpe Udoh — but the one I’m interested in is Patrick Patterson.

Reader “jfountain1523” said the following about Patterson’s absence from Hollinger’s list: “I assume its the poor rebounding and being a bit short for his position that ruled him out in Hollinger’s rater.”

Let’s take the last part first. Is he “a bit short for his position”? He’s 6-9.25 in shoes and has a 7-1.25 wingspan. Looking at last year’s measurements, he’s three-quarters of an inch shorter than Blake Griffin, but his wingspan and standing reach are two inches wider/higher. Was anyone worried about Griffin’s size this time last year?

Now, regarding the rebounding. This is a funny criticism to make and it’s based on his rpg this season (7.4). Yeah, that’s not great for a power forward in college, but digging a little deeper and things don’t look so bad. In his sophomore year, he averaged 9.3 rebounds per game, which is just 0.5 rebounds less than rebound monster DeMarcus Cousins averaged this season. And speaking of Cousins, wouldn’t playing alongside a great rebounder like that only serve to reduce the number of boards available for Patterson? Of course his rebounding numbers were going to dip this season.

In the end, I think Patterson will make some late lottery team in need of a power forward very happy. I don’t think he’ll be a star, but he could certainly average 15-8 in a starter’s role.

2010 NBA Consensus Mock Draft (6/21)

With the draft just a few days away, it’s a good time to zip through another consensus mock draft. I’ve pulled in the first 14 picks from ESPN, DraftExpres, NBADraft.net, SI, Yahoo and FanHouse to see if we could come to some sort of consensus as to how the first half of the draft might go. If a player was taken by a certain team in three-plus mock drafts, he is listed in bold with the number of drafts in parenthesis. If there was no consensus, or if he was drafted by a team in two mocks, then he is listed in italics.

(I know the font is a little small, but you can click on the table for a larger version.)

A few random thoughts:

– The top four appear to be set, with Wall, Turner, Favors and Wesley Johnson going to the Wizards, Sixers, Nets and T-Wolves, respectively. These picks intuitively make a lot of sense, which probably means they won’t go this way on Thursday night.

– I listed Cousins at #6 because I don’t think there’s any chance that he falls further than that. But with his “character issues,” who knows. He had a great workout in Sacramento, so I’d bet that he goes #5 at the latest. Besides, Monroe seems like a great fit in Golden State with his basketball IQ and willingness to pass the ball.

– After the #6 pick, this draft seems like a free for all. There are a number of forwards — Aminu, Hayward, Babbitt, Davis and Patterson — all jockeying for position.

– Even though he wasn’t the consensus — there was no conensus — Babbitt seems destined to land in Utah. Aldrich is a possibility there as well.


Photo from fOTOGLIF

I’m confused.

Yesterday, I wondered why Fran Fraschilla is convinced that Xavier Henry lacks lateral quickness, and today, as I was reading ESPN’s mock draft, I saw this exchange:

15. Milwaukee Bucks (Russillo): Xavier Henry, SF/SG, Kansas
The Explanation: I was afraid he would go to Memphis at No. 12. He could be the answer to Michael Redd if he isn’t healthy and the Bucks lose John Salmons.
The Peanut Gallery: Ford comes at him ruthlessly, saying, “Didn’t Cole Aldrich post better lane agility numbers in Chicago?” Fraschilla hits the slow note as well, while Hume knocks Russillo for even thinking Redd might be healthy. Backed into a corner, Russillo can merely muster, “But they need a wing scorer!”

Again, according to ESPN’s own numbers, Henry scored an 11.1 on the lane agility drill, which was the 8th fastest time of the 45 players who participated.

Why is Ford saying that he’s slow?

By the way, Aldrich finished in 11.48 seconds.

Xavier Henry: The NBA combine vs. the eye test

I was reading through Fran Fraschilla’s list of the top five prospects by position and was particularly interested in his take on Xavier Henry, the shooting guard from Kansas. Here’s what he wrote about Henry:

3. Xavier Henry, Kansas
To his credit, Henry had the kind of freshman season at Kansas that most expected of him. His shooting ability was utilized well by coach Bill Self, as Henry fit into a talented team led by two All-Americans. At 6-6, Henry has prototype NBA shooting guard size and range. A lack of lateral quickness, however, could rear its ugly head on the defensive end of the floor.

Notice that Fraschilla ranked Henry third, behind James Anderson. The only criticism that Fraschilla levies is a lack of lateral quickness.

That struck me as odd, since Henry performed very well at the combine, finishing first in overall athleticism amongst the 18 wings who participated in the lane agility drill, the 3/4 court sprint and the vertical leap.

But Fraschilla is speaking only of lateral quickness, so I looked up Henry’s numbers in the agility drill. He finished it in 11.1 seconds, which was the 7th fastest amongst the group of wings. Moreover, there was only one point guard (John Wall) who finished with a faster time.

So of the 26 point guards and wings that completed the lane agility drill, Henry finished 8th.

Well, maybe this year’s group of wings is just slow. When looking at the class of 2009, Henry tied or beat James Harden, Gerald Henderson, Terrence Williams and Tyreke Evans. When compared to the class of 2008, he would have beat Jerryd Bayless and George Hill, and finished just .06 seconds behind O.J. Mayo.

Clearly, Henry has the athleticism to slide his feet, so why does Fraschilla think he lacks lateral quickness?

I can only speculate, but based on my experience playing college basketball, it may have more to do with positioning and anticipation than actual quickness. As a 6-8 small forward, I had to cover a lot of 6-3 or 6-4 guards at the D3 level. My coach, Bo Ryan, used to preach ball pressure, so I was always up on my guy trying to pressure the ball. This made me an easy target for a dribble-drive and I would often get beat to the hole.

After some time, I figured out that I didn’t have to be so far up on the ball (Coach Ryan didn’t say anything to me when I backed off a little bit), so I would give a cushion to a smaller player so that I could still contest a shot with my length without giving up the drive all the time.

What’s the point? Well, Henry is just a freshman which means he doesn’t have basketball figured out. Maybe Fraschilla has seen him get beat on the dribble a few times and assumes that he can’t move his feet. But based on his combine results, his lateral quickness is above average to good, so once he figures out how to cover opposing wings, he should be fine.


Photo from fOTOGLIF

« Older posts Newer posts »