Author: Anthony Stalter (Page 3 of 1503)

      College Football Week 10, NFL Week 9 Free Picks

      November 1, 2013 /

      Miami vs. Florida State, 8:00PM ET
      These are two very different 7-0 teams. On one side you have the Hurricanes, who trailed in the fourth quarter in each of their last two games. On the other you had Seminoles, who have scored 40 or more points in seven consecutive games and the closet thing they came to losing was beating Boston College by double-digit points. Miami’s offense has been inconsistent of late and while its defense has held strong since the start of the season, no opponent has been a hurdle for Heisman candidate Jameis Winston. The Seminoles are 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games and 4-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record. Lay the points.
      FREE PICK: FLORIDA STATE -21

      Iowa State vs. Kansas State, 3:30PM ET
      Outside of the Miami-FSU tilt on Saturday night, there aren’t many sexy matchups on the Week 10 schedule. But that doesn’t mean there isn’t value to be had. Kansas State is 0-4 against the spread in its last four games following a straight up win while Iowa State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The road team is also 3-1-1 against the spread in the last five meetings between these two teams while the underdog is 4-1-1 against the number in the last six meetings. The Cyclones are 1-6 on the year but take a closer look at their losses prior to their beat down at Baylor and last week versus Oklahoma State. They covered rather easily against Texas Tech and should have beaten Texas if it weren’t for a last-second collapse. The Wildcats, meanwhile, couldn’t be further from the team that opened the 2012 season winning its first 10 games. Take the points on this inflated spread.
      FREE PICK: IOWA STATE +17

      Saints vs. Jets, 1:00PM ET
      One would think that with this being the “Ryan Bowl” that we’ll see plenty of defense. But who knows the tendencies of the Ryan-led defenses better than the offenses for the Saints and Jets? Despite Jimmy Graham playing on an injured foot, Drew Brees threw for five touchdowns last week in a win over Buffalo, including two TD passes to his banged up tight end. Meanwhile, the over is 5-1 in the Jets’ last six games overall, 4-1 in their last five games versus a team with a winning record and 13-5-2 in their last 20 games in November. With New York’s front seven taking away the Saints’ running game, look for Brees to pick on the Jets’ secondary. This game won’t lack for big plays.
      FREE PICK: OVER 45.5

      Chargers vs. Redskins, 1:00PM ET
      Washington’s defense has been putrid this season while allowing 32.7 points per game (31st in the NFL). In fact, the over is 7-2-1 in Washington’s last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in its previous game (its allowed over 80 points the past two weeks ago), and 7-3 in its last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in its previous game. On the other side, the over is 7-1 in the Chargers’ last eight games in Week 9 and 39-18-4 in their lat 61 road games. Points shouldn’t be a problem on Sunday in Washington.
      FREE PICK: OVER 51

      College Football, NFL

      NFL Week 8 Free Picks

      October 27, 2013 /

      Bills vs. Saints, 1:00PM ET
      Even with Jimmy Graham likely to miss the game with a foot injury, the Saints offense should score plenty against a Buffalo defense that allows 25.4 points per game. Conversely, the Bills haven’t had issues reaching pay dirt themselves, as they’re the only team in the NFL that has scored at least 20 points per contest. The over is 5-1 in Buffalo’s last six games overall and 6-0 in New Orleans’ last six games following a bye week.
      FREE PICK: Over 48

      49ers vs. Jaguars, 1:00PM ET
      The Jaguars have been a disaster this season and the Niners are rounding into the same form that made them NFC title champs a season ago. That said, San Francisco hasn’t been home in two weeks after its players traveled to Tennessee last Sunday and then hopped a flight directly after that to head to London for today’s game. With all of that traveling, plus an inflated spread due to Jacksonville’s overall ineffectiveness, the Jags should cover today over seas. The Niners are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games versus a team with a losing record and are due to have a letdown.
      FREE PICK: Jaguars +17

      Redskins vs. Broncos, 4:25PM ET
      The over has cashed every week in Denver games and there’s no reason to believe the combined score won’t sail over again with Washington in town today. Over the past three weeks RGIII has looked more like the dynamic player he was a year ago as he’s beginning to have more success as a runner. He’s still highly inaccurate but the Redskins racked up 45 points last Sunday on the Bears and should have success today versus a Broncos defense that has struggled. The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams and while the total is set high for this contest, both teams should reach the 30s.
      FREE PICK: Over 57.5

      Falcons vs. Cardinals, 4:25PM ET
      Atlanta is highly banged up but will get running back Steven Jackson back this week after he missed over a month with a hamstring injury. The Falcons proved a week ago versus Tampa Bay that they can still move the ball effectively thanks to Matt Ryan’s ability to find weaknesses in the defense and get the ball out of his hand quickly. On the flip side, Bruce Arians is having a difficult time with his offense. The line has had massive issues protecting quarterback Carson Palmer, who is turning the ball over on a game-by-game basis. Atlanta’s pass rush has been non-exsistent this year but it should drum up enough pressure to keep Arizona’s offense at bay for another week. The Cardinals are just 2-10-1 against the spread in their last 13 games in October while the Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Week 8.
      FREE PICK: Falcons +1

      College Football Week 8, NFL Week 7 Free Picks

      October 17, 2013 /

      USC vs. Notre Dame, 7:30PM ET
      Last year this was the marquee matchup back in November as Notre Dame was on a mission to play for a national title. This year, it’s merely a game on the Week 8 schedule as both teams are 4-2 and fighting for bowl contention. The Trojans finally showed some life under interim coach Ed Orgeron in a 38-31 win over Arizona that wasn’t as close as the final score would indicate. Nelson Agholor caught seven passes for 161 yards while Javorius Allen rushed for two touchdowns in the victory. Meanwhile, the Fighting Irish have been out-gained in each of their previous three games and has been inconsistent offensively this year with Tommy Rees under center. Notre Dame is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 games following an ATS win and 1-5-1 against the number in its last seven games overall. Look for the Trojans to win outright.
      FREE PICK: USC +3

      Minnesota vs. Northwestern, 12:00PM ET
      The Wildcats have been leaking oil for two weeks now. They fought like hell in a 40-30 loss to Ohio State before being blown out by Wisconsin in a brutal 35-6 showing in Madison last Saturday. On the other side, the Golden Gophers have scored just 20 points in their last two games combined, losing to both Iowa and Michigan before taking a much-needed bye last week. This isn’t a sexy matchup but there’s value to be gained in the underdog Minnesota, which has high hopes to reach a bowl game this season. Northwestern is 0-4 against the spread in its last four games overall and 1-5 ATS in its last six games following an ATS loss.
      FREE PICK: MINNESOTA +12

      Bengals vs. Lions, 1:00PM ET
      The Lions have won two of their last three games but they’ve also been out-gained in their last three contests, including in last Sunday’s 31-17 win over the Browns. Matthew Stafford hasn’t thrown for more than 262 yards in each of his last three games and he could have a tough time moving the ball efficiently against an underrated Cincinnati defense. Meanwhile, the Bengals suffered a scare last weekend in Buffalo but they should be more prepared for this Sunday’s road test. The Bengals are 10-4-1 against the spread in their last 15 games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
      FREE PICK: CINCINNATI BENGALS +1

      49ers vs. Titans, 4:05PM ET
      The 49ers will travel to Tennessee on Sunday before heading overseas to face the Jaguars in London next weekend. That makes this game a prime letdown spot for San Francisco, which hasn’t been nearly as dominant on defense without star pass-rusher Aldon Smith. The Titans have been hampered offensively by quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, but their defense has been outstanding when it comes to generating pressure and takeaways. Tennessee is 5-1-1 against the spread in its last seven games overall and 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games following a straight up loss. Look for the Titans to keep things close, just as they did last Sunday in Seattle.
      FREE PICK: TENNESSEE TITANS +4

      College Football Week 7, NFL Week 6 Free Picks

      October 12, 2013 /

      No. 25 Missouri vs. No. 7 Georgia, 12:00PM ET
      The Tigers are back in the AP top 25 for the first time in two years and are coming off a 51-28 drubbing of Vanderbilt on the road last Saturday. Quarterback James Franklin has looked sharp in the early going and has weapons at his disposal in Henry Josey and dynamic playmaker Dorial Green-Beckham. On the other side, No. 7 Georgia barely escaped Knoxville with a victory last weekend and is severely banged up offensively. The Bulldogs will be without running backs Keith Marshall and Todd Gurely, as well as recievers Michael Bennett and Justin Scott-Wesley. And while quarterback Aaron Murray has put on a show in back-to-back weeks, the defense still has plenty of holes after losing a handful of starters to the NFL draft back in April. Georgia is tough to beat in between the hedges, but look for Mizzou to keep things tight.
      FREE PICK: MISSOURI +7.5

      No. 9 Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss, 8:30PM ET
      Two weeks ago there was plenty of chatter surrounding the 3-0 Rebels as they headed into Tuscaloosa. But following a 25-0 blanking at the hands of Alabama and a 30-22 upset last week versus Auburn, Ole Miss has once again fallen off the map. On the other side, A&M has completely regrouped following its loss to Alabama. The Aggies thumped a hapless SMU squad 42-13 before out-pacing Arkansas 45-33 two weeks ago in Fayetteville. Kevin Sumlin’s team is well rested coming off the bye and more importantly his defense has started to show signs of life. The spread is too low for this game, as “Johnny Football” and Co. should roll.
      FREE PICK: TEXAS A&M -6

      Steelers at Jets, 1:00PM ET
      It was impressive to watch Geno Smith lead the Jets to a huge road victory over the Falcons on Monday Night Football, but suddenly the national media has made him into Randall Cunningham. Thanks to a rash of injuries the Falcons were without their starting running back, left tackle, middle linebacker, one of their outside linebackers, one of their starting defensive ends and were forced to play a hobbled Roddy White and Julio Jones because their reciveving corps is so thin. In other words, what the Jets did was impressive but they didn’t exactly beat the same Atlanta team that came within 10 yards of going to the Super Bowl last year. The Steelers are coming off their bye and thus, should have had plenty of time to regroup and iron out their issues on both sides of the ball. While it’s shocking to see the Giants at 0-6 on the year, it would be even more surprising to watch the Steelers fall to 0-5.
      FREE PICK: STEELERS +1

      Rams at Texans, 1:00PM ET
      The Texans are in the middle of a freefall because quarterback Matt Schaub can’t protect the football. He’s had an interception returned for a touchdown in four straight games and has seemingly lost his confidence. That said, Houston’s running game has remained effective and its defense still boasts the likes of Brian Cushing and J.J. Watt, who is the best interior defensive lineman in the league. The Rams are coming off a win over the winless Jaguars but they still struggle with penalties, third down conversions on both sides of the ball, and run defense. Sam Bradford has also reverted back into a check-down machine and should be under constant duress in Houston. Look for the Texans to get back on track on Sunday.
      FREE PICK: TEXANS -7.5

      College Football, NFL

      College Football Week 6, NFL Week 5 Free Picks

      October 5, 2013 /

      LSU vs. Mississippi State, 7:00PM ET
      Zach Mettenberger joined the Heisman race with his stellar performance last Saturday versus Georgia. Unfortunately for him and the rest of the Tigers, the defense was downright brutal trying to defend Aaron Murray and the UGA offense. LSU has issues in its defensive backfield and it uncharacteristically didn’t generate any pressure with its front four last weekend. The Tigers are 0-3-1 against the spread in their last four conference games, while the Bulldogs are 5-1 against the number in their last six home games and 5-1 ATS in their last six home games versus a team with a winning road record. Take the value with the home dog.
      FREE PICK: MISSISSIPPI STATE +7

      Arizona State vs. Notre Dame, 7:30PM ET
      While Stephon Tuitt and Louis Nix remain some of the best defenders in the country, Notre Dame’s defense hasn’t been nearly as impressive this season as it was a season ago. Meanwhile, junior quarterback Taylor Kelly has thrown for more than 300 yards in each of Arizona State’s first four games and junior transfer Jaelen Strong has racked up 433 receiving yards and two touchdowns. The Fighting Irish could have a difficult time keeping up on the fast track of Cowboys Stadium and their offense isn’t nearly consistent enough to keep pace. Brian Kelly’s squad is 0-5-1 against the spread in its last six games overall and 0-3-1 ATS in its last four games versus a team with a winning record. Lay the points with ASU.
      FREE PICK: ARIZONA STATE -6

      Lions vs. Packers, 1:00PM ET
      The Lions are coming off a statement game against the Bears but they’ve always struggled in Green Bay. They’re 0-4 against the spread in their last four games versus the Packers and 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 trips to Lambeau Field. Detroit has also had trouble over the years away from Ford Field, and is 1-4 against the number in its lat five road games. Green Bay should be well rested coming off the bye and is well aware that it can’t fall further behind in the NFC North. Expect Aaron Rodgers’ best effort and for the Pack to win in a rout.
      FREE PICK: PACKERS -7

      Saints vs. Bears, 1:00PM ET
      The Saints are firing on all cylinders offensively, while Rob Ryan has made an immediate impact for their defense. Despite injuries, Ryan is getting the most out of his players and is generate consistent pressure on a weekly basis. That said, the Saints are coming off a short week of practice and had to leave a day early for Chicago because of inclement weather. Not only has their routine been affected, but they’re also taking on a Bears team that will be plenty pissed off after their ugly performance a week ago in Detroit. The Bears are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game, while the home team is 4-0-2 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams.
      FREE PICK: BEARS PICK’EM

      Keep tabs on the latest football lines at www.canadiansportsbooks.ca.

      College Football, NFL

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