All right, you got me: My Kentucky Derby predictions were bad. Atrocious actually. True story: One of the horses I picked (ArchArchArch) almost bucked his jockey right off out of the gates and had to retire following the race. The last time anyone saw him he was being loaded into something called a “horse ambulance.” Yikes.

I’ll try to do better in the Preakness tonight, although fading me has never been a better idea.

WIN: Animal Kingdom (2/1)
Yeah, I like the winner – go to hell. Wait, I’m sorry. That wasn’t nice…Last week I wrote about Animal Kingdom’s odds to win the first Triple Crown since Affirmed accomplished the feat in 1978. I think if Animal Kingdom gets by a weak field today, he’ll cruise at the Belmont and accomplish a rare feat in the sports world by capturing horse racing’s Triple Crown. Even though he slipped in practice today, I like the 3-year-old colt to win back-to-back outings after winning the Kentucky Derby earlier this month. In five career races, he’s never finished worse than second. I think he’s that good (even though I clearly missed him while handicapping the Kentucky Derby…dumbass).

PLACE: Mucho Macho Man (6/1)
I was tempted to renew my faith in Dialed In but I just couldn’t pull the trigger after he finished 8th in the Kentucky Derby. Besides, Mucho Macho Man has a steady, impressive resume and has yet to finish lower than fourth in his nine career outings. He took third at the Kentucky Derby earlier this month and third at the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby in March. This is an impressive-looking horse that always seems to be near the front. I don’t see him overtaking Animal Kingdom, but I do like him to finish somewhere in the money.

SHOW: Astrology (15/1)
Call this my First Dude of the 2011 Preakess. Last year I predicted First Dude (who was 20/1 coming into the race) to finish third and he actually came in second. This year I like another seemingly unknown in Astrology, who has never finished out of the money in seven career outings. He has three-straight second-place showings coming into the Preakness, which includes runner-up finishes at the Kentucky Jockey Club, the Sunland Derby and the Jerome Hcp. I don’t think he has the strength to go wire-to-wire or edge out the favorites down the stretch, but I really like this dark horse (ha! Get it? Yeah, you get it.) to finish in the top 3.

Animal Kingdom will attempt to win the second leg of horse racing’s Triple Crown this evening at Pimlico Race Course when he runs in the 2011 Preakness Stakes. The 3-year-old colt won the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs earlier this month.

Oddsmakers currently list Animal Kingdom as a 2/1 favorite to win the Preakness. Dialed In, who was favored to win the Kentucky Derby, is 5/1 to win and Mucho Macho Man, who finished third at Churchill Downs, is currently 6/1 to win the Preakness.

As I wrote last week, I believe there’s a good chance that we could witness horse racing’s first Triple Crown winner since Affirmed accomplished the feat in 1978. Every year it seems like we’re getting closer and closer to having another contender sweep the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont, and Animal Kingdom certainly has the talent.

The concerns about Animal Kingdom coming into the Kentucky Derby were that a) he only had four races under his belt and b) that he could run on dirt. Well, he’s now raced five times in his career with three wins and two second-place finishes. And he apparently runs on dirt just fine, as his win at the Kentucky Derby proved.

Dialed In, Mucho Macho Man and even a mid-range contender like Shackleford could upset Animal Kingdom tonight. The toughest part is out of the way for Animal Kingdom, as he’s already won the Kentucky Derby. But the Preakness can be a difficult task as well, but if he wins tonight then he may cruise at the Belmont next month.

It’s funny how much things can change in a matter of days. Animal Kingdom wasn’t even on most bettors’ radar last week heading into the Kentucky Derby and now observers are wondering if he can become the first Triple Crown winner since Affirmed accomplished the feat in 1978.

At the start of the week, Animal Kingdom was a 30/1 long shot to win Saturday’s Kentucky Derby. He took a backseat to more intriguing contenders like Dialed In, Mucho Macho Man and Twice The Appeal (ridden by popular jockey Calvin Borel). In fact, Animal Kingdom even switched jockeys the day before the race when John R. Velazquez lost his mount with Uncle Mo, who was scratched due to a gastrointestinal issue.

But Velazquez rode Animal Kingdom to his first career win at the Kentucky Derby and now the pair is the talk of the horseracing world. In fact, along with Dialed In, Animal Kingdom is a 4/1 favorite to win the Preakness on May 21.

Of course, most horses that win the Kentucky Derby are considered the favorite to win the Preakness. Oddsmakers base their lines on how they think the public will wager and causal bettors are instantly drawn to the Kentucky Derby winner when it comes to betting the Preakness. Just because a horse wins at Churchill Downs doesn’t mean he has what it takes to win at Pimlico and Belmont Park. In 2009, Borel rode Mine That Bird to victory in the Kentucky Derby but finished second in the Preakness and third in the Belmont. In 2008, many felt that Big Brown had the best chance of winning the Triple Crown in the last decade and after winning the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness, he flopped in the Belmont and finished ninth.

But here’s the thing: I think Animal Kingdom does have what it takes. In fact, I think if he can win in two weeks at Pimlico, he’ll cruise at the Belmont (barring injury, of course). The concerns about him coming into the Kentucky Derby were that a) he only had four races under his belt and b) that he could run on dirt. Well, he’s now raced five times in his career with three wins and two second-place finishes. And he apparently runs on dirt just fine, as his win at the Kentucky Derby proved.

My bigger concern for Animal Kingdom heading into the Preakness is Dialed In. I don’t think we saw his best effort at Churchill Downs last week, as he hung in the back of the pack too long before finally making his move down the stretch. He finished a disappointing 8th but again, I don’t think we saw his best effort. (It would also be interesting to see if Uncle Mo could make a recovery and run in the Preakness, although I think those odds are between “slim” and “no way in hell.”)

But if Animal Kingdom can eke out a win in two weeks, I like his chances of capturing the Belmont and giving horseracing fans their first Triple Crown winner in nearly 34 years. As the overused, clichéd sports take goes: He certainly has all the tools.

Listen, I don’t mean to brag but I’m going to anyway.

I was good last year predicting the Triple Crown – I mean, real good.

I had Paddy O’prado to place in the Kentucky Derby (he finished third) and Super Saver (the winner) listed as one of the horses to “keep your eye on.” In the Preakness, I hit Lookin’ At Lucky for the win and nailed First Dude to finish in the money, which is noteworthy since he was a 20/1 long shot to open. Finally, in the Belmont, I predicted the top three (Drosselmeyer, Fly Down, First Dude) to finish in the money, although not in the correct order.

So basically what I’m saying is that if you don’t take my picks today and wager the deed to your house, your wife and/or your dog, that’s just dumb. LET IT RIDE!!!

I’m kidding – I’m not that arrogant, although I did mange to find some luck last year in my predictions so we’ll see how I fare this year. On second thought, you may want to avoid these three…

Win: Twice The Appeal (+1000)
Like I’m going to pass on taking Calvin Borel at Churchill Downs…when he’ll be coming out of the No. 3 post position. Ha! No way. Twice The Appeal has won three of his last four races, with his latest victory coming at the Sunland Derby on March 27. He does seem a little too good to be true, but I have faith in more Borel magic happening today.

Place: Archacharch (+1200)
Why isn’t this horse receiving more love? He drew the rail on Wednesday and his odds went from +900 to +1200. Granted, the rail hasn’t produced a winner since 1988 (Winning Colors) but it still has the most victories (12) in Kentucky Derby history. It’s a prime spot and for a horse that is coming off a victory at the Arkansas Derby to be listed at +1200, this feels like a nice value. If it weren’t for Calvin Borel’s magic at Churchill Downs, I would probably peg Archarcharch to win.

Show: Dialed In (+500)
Dialed In has been the favorite all week, even though his odds continue to drop. He was listed at +350 on Monday, +300 on Tuesday, and +250 on Wednesday when the post positions were drawn. Now he’s +500, which seems like a great value to me. He won the Florida Derby in his last outing on April 3 and also took first in the Holly Bull earlier this year. The only problem is that he doesn’t have much career experience, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he won the roses on Saturday. He’s a nice-looking horse.

For weeks, the notion surrounding the Kentucky Derby is that there is no clear-cut favorite this year. But given the latest news on contender Uncle Mo, one may have just emerged.

During a press conference on Friday morning, trainer Todd Pletcher and owner Mike Repole announced that Uncle Mo had been diagnosed with a gastrointestinal infection after fishing a disappointing third in the Wood Memorial on April 9. He was then treated with antibiotics and had appeared to be improving, but after consulting with a trio of veterinarians Pletcher and Repole came to the conclusion that their colt wouldn’t be ready in time for Saturday’s race.

So Uncle Mo has been scratched.

The main beneficiary of Uncle Mo’s misfortune is Dialed In, who has been considered the favorite for weeks. But his odds were listed at +350 on Monday, while Uncle Mo was +400 – thus the reason that observers didn’t feel as though there was a clear-cut favorite this weekend.

But now Dialed In is listed at +250, while the thoroughbred with the next best odds is Nehro at +700. Oddly enough, Nehro was going off at +600 on Monday, +400 on Wednesday and is now +700, so his odds have actually gotten worse despite the news that Uncle Mo has been scratched.

Either way, Dialed In would appear to be the clear-cut favorite to win this Saturday. And if recent history is any indication, that may not be a good thing. Big Brown was the last favorite to win the Kentucky Derby back in 2008. Since then, two long shots in Mine That Bird and Super Saver have won. But maybe this is the year that the favorite gets back into the winner’s circle at Churchill Downs.