Tag: 2010 NBA Draft (Page 3 of 7)

What about Patrick Patterson?

John Hollinger revisited his Draft Rater, and put together his personal, “totally subjective” draft board for Thursday’s draft.

There are several big names missing — Ed Davis, Ekpe Udoh — but the one I’m interested in is Patrick Patterson.

Reader “jfountain1523” said the following about Patterson’s absence from Hollinger’s list: “I assume its the poor rebounding and being a bit short for his position that ruled him out in Hollinger’s rater.”

Let’s take the last part first. Is he “a bit short for his position”? He’s 6-9.25 in shoes and has a 7-1.25 wingspan. Looking at last year’s measurements, he’s three-quarters of an inch shorter than Blake Griffin, but his wingspan and standing reach are two inches wider/higher. Was anyone worried about Griffin’s size this time last year?

Now, regarding the rebounding. This is a funny criticism to make and it’s based on his rpg this season (7.4). Yeah, that’s not great for a power forward in college, but digging a little deeper and things don’t look so bad. In his sophomore year, he averaged 9.3 rebounds per game, which is just 0.5 rebounds less than rebound monster DeMarcus Cousins averaged this season. And speaking of Cousins, wouldn’t playing alongside a great rebounder like that only serve to reduce the number of boards available for Patterson? Of course his rebounding numbers were going to dip this season.

In the end, I think Patterson will make some late lottery team in need of a power forward very happy. I don’t think he’ll be a star, but he could certainly average 15-8 in a starter’s role.

I’m confused.

Yesterday, I wondered why Fran Fraschilla is convinced that Xavier Henry lacks lateral quickness, and today, as I was reading ESPN’s mock draft, I saw this exchange:

15. Milwaukee Bucks (Russillo): Xavier Henry, SF/SG, Kansas
The Explanation: I was afraid he would go to Memphis at No. 12. He could be the answer to Michael Redd if he isn’t healthy and the Bucks lose John Salmons.
The Peanut Gallery: Ford comes at him ruthlessly, saying, “Didn’t Cole Aldrich post better lane agility numbers in Chicago?” Fraschilla hits the slow note as well, while Hume knocks Russillo for even thinking Redd might be healthy. Backed into a corner, Russillo can merely muster, “But they need a wing scorer!”

Again, according to ESPN’s own numbers, Henry scored an 11.1 on the lane agility drill, which was the 8th fastest time of the 45 players who participated.

Why is Ford saying that he’s slow?

By the way, Aldrich finished in 11.48 seconds.

Xavier Henry: The NBA combine vs. the eye test

I was reading through Fran Fraschilla’s list of the top five prospects by position and was particularly interested in his take on Xavier Henry, the shooting guard from Kansas. Here’s what he wrote about Henry:

3. Xavier Henry, Kansas
To his credit, Henry had the kind of freshman season at Kansas that most expected of him. His shooting ability was utilized well by coach Bill Self, as Henry fit into a talented team led by two All-Americans. At 6-6, Henry has prototype NBA shooting guard size and range. A lack of lateral quickness, however, could rear its ugly head on the defensive end of the floor.

Notice that Fraschilla ranked Henry third, behind James Anderson. The only criticism that Fraschilla levies is a lack of lateral quickness.

That struck me as odd, since Henry performed very well at the combine, finishing first in overall athleticism amongst the 18 wings who participated in the lane agility drill, the 3/4 court sprint and the vertical leap.

But Fraschilla is speaking only of lateral quickness, so I looked up Henry’s numbers in the agility drill. He finished it in 11.1 seconds, which was the 7th fastest amongst the group of wings. Moreover, there was only one point guard (John Wall) who finished with a faster time.

So of the 26 point guards and wings that completed the lane agility drill, Henry finished 8th.

Well, maybe this year’s group of wings is just slow. When looking at the class of 2009, Henry tied or beat James Harden, Gerald Henderson, Terrence Williams and Tyreke Evans. When compared to the class of 2008, he would have beat Jerryd Bayless and George Hill, and finished just .06 seconds behind O.J. Mayo.

Clearly, Henry has the athleticism to slide his feet, so why does Fraschilla think he lacks lateral quickness?

I can only speculate, but based on my experience playing college basketball, it may have more to do with positioning and anticipation than actual quickness. As a 6-8 small forward, I had to cover a lot of 6-3 or 6-4 guards at the D3 level. My coach, Bo Ryan, used to preach ball pressure, so I was always up on my guy trying to pressure the ball. This made me an easy target for a dribble-drive and I would often get beat to the hole.

After some time, I figured out that I didn’t have to be so far up on the ball (Coach Ryan didn’t say anything to me when I backed off a little bit), so I would give a cushion to a smaller player so that I could still contest a shot with my length without giving up the drive all the time.

What’s the point? Well, Henry is just a freshman which means he doesn’t have basketball figured out. Maybe Fraschilla has seen him get beat on the dribble a few times and assumes that he can’t move his feet. But based on his combine results, his lateral quickness is above average to good, so once he figures out how to cover opposing wings, he should be fine.


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Nuggets looking for a Top 10 pick…

…and they’re willing to part with Ty Lawson to get it, per Chad Ford.

Nuggets GM Mark Warkentein has been calling around trying to gauge interest in teams selling the pick. According to sources Warkentein is offering Ty Lawson for the pick. A Nuggets source said the Nuggets are looking for big man to fill up their front line. Several bigs including Cole Aldrich, Ed Davis, Ekpe Udoh, Patrick Patterson, Daniel Orton and Hassan Whiteside could be there at 10.

If true, this seems like an especially dumb thing to do. In Lawson, the Nuggets have perhaps the fourth or fifth best player from last year’s draft, yet they’re shopping him for a Top 10 pick in a draft that doesn’t appear to be as deep. A top pick is nice, but many players taken in the first 10 picks turn out to be busts. So until they prove themselves in the NBA, a draft pick is an unknown quantity. The Nuggets are try to trade a known quantity (Lawson) for an unknown quantity. Dumb.

Moreover, Chauncey Billups isn’t getting any younger. He’ll be 34 when the season starts, and with the importance of point guard play in the NBA, the Nuggets appear to be willing to trade away their floor leader of the future for a pick.

It would make a lot more sense for a team like the Hornets, who have Chris Paul and Darren Collison, to try to move Collison for some immediate (veteran) help, because Paul is still young and is the franchise cornerstone. Still, I don’t think you move Collison for a Top 10 pick, unless you just fall in love with a guy and think he’ll fill a pressing need (that will help keep Paul in town when his contract expires).

The Pacers are interested in both players, per the Indianapolis Star.

The Pacers are interested in Lawson, according to a source.

The Pacers are willing to give up their pick – No. 10 – in next week’s draft to get player that will help them immediately.

The Pacers wouldn’t be searching for a point guard if they had taken Lawson instead of Tyler Hansbrough last year.

If the Pacers can turn the #10 pick into Lawson or Collison, it would be a coup for the organization.


Photo from fOTOGLIF

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