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Enjoy it this year NFL fans, because there may not be a draft in 2012

For the past two days, columnist Michael Silver has taken to the pages of Yahoo! Sports and Twitter to rant about the NFL draft.

No, not because he thinks it’s wrong for the NFLPA to instruct top prospects not to attend Radio City Music Hall next month and no, not to lash out about the fact that players and owners are ruining the Holy Grail of the NFL offseason.

He’s ranting that the NFL draft should become yet another victim of the current labor dispute.

Silver offers a cold dose of reality when it comes to the draft: that it’s not as important as 1,7000 players fighting for their financial livelihoods. And as much as I’d like to punch him in the ear and tell him to get on board with the rest of us draftnits, he’s right.

He’s also right about something that will really make devote draft followers sick to their stomachs: The fact that there may not be a draft in 2012 if the owners and players can’t agree to a new CBA.

In the absence of a collective bargaining agreement, the draft is kind of … how shall I say this gently? … illegal. The notion that a person trying to ply his trade can be denied the opportunity to negotiate his/her services on the open market – in this case, that he is prohibited from signing with 31 of the NFL’s 32 franchises – isn’t simply un-American; it’s also a violation of federal law.

In fact, the controversy over the upcoming draft would likely be moot if not for a stipulation in the recently expired CBA that this year’s draft would proceed as scheduled. Otherwise, the players would have had an excellent chance of convincing a judge to disallow it. And if there’s still no CBA a year from April, even if the players are successful in blocking the lockout and the owners merely impose rules while the two sides wage their fight over the antitrust lawsuit, you can forget about a draft happening in 2012.

Even though the situation looks bleak, I’m willing to bet that most fans believe everything will eventually work out. That there will be a football season next year and the events of these past months will fade away once that ball is placed on the tee in Week 1. But Silver makes a great observation here. If the courts rule against the owners’ lockout, that doesn’t mean that a new CBA will be put in place. The players and owners still have to agree to a new deal and thus, we could be back to square one after next season even though the lockout has ended. How nauseating does that sound?

In the meantime, we can still enjoy the draft but read Silver’s column in full and then tell me you’re still excited for the end of April to come. Personally, I think Silver’s anti-draft rants can be toned down a notch. He seems to be revealing in the fact that he has solid points and those points suck the life right out of whatever excitement fans still have left about this offseason. As a NFL fan and a diehard draft follower myself I want to say to him, “Are you enjoying all of this, Eyebrows? Are you enjoying the fact that we don’t have free agency and trade rumors to chew on for the next couple of months and now the powers at be are also trying to ruin the draft, too? Because it sure seems like it.”

But as a realist, I say: “Damn it Silver, right on.”

Does Clemson’s impressive win change anything?

Clemson Tigers guard Zavier Anderson (3) shakes hands with his teammates after their first round NCAA tournament basketball game against University of Alabama-Birmingham Blazers in Dayton, Ohio March 15, 2011. REUTERS/Matt Sullivan (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL)

The Clemson Tigers were impressive last night in their 70-52 rout of UAB. In Monday’s bracket column, I picked Clemson to beat UAB, but to lose in the first round against West Virginia. Since they won so impressively, I decided to take another look at the updated Sagarin and Pomeroy numbers to see if they changed my opinion of the game.

Below is a table with the updated numbers, including updated spreads from World Sports Exchange.

#Team ATeam BSag AdvPom %Spread
3UT-San AntonioAlabama State6.973.1%-3
4USCVCU5.471.5%-4
5Ohio StateUT-San Antonio27.099.0%
6George MasonVillanova-2.149.7%-1
7West VirginiaClemson1.448.9%
8KentuckyPrinceton13.990.3%-13
9XavierMarquette-2.147.3%-2.5
10SyracuseIndiana State13.490.2%-12
11WashingtonGeorgia8.173.1%-5.5
12North CarolinaLIU13.591.1%-17.5
13DukeHampton25.298.6%-23
14MichiganTennessee1.156.9%+2
15ArizonaMemphis8.878.8%-5.5
16TexasOakland10.587.9%-9.5
17CincinnatiMissouri0.956.5%PICK
18ConnecticutBucknell10.684.5%-10
19TemplePenn State1.250.7%-2.5
20San Diego StateNorthern Colorado14.593.4%-15.5
21KansasBoston University23.297.5%-22.5
22UNLVIllinois-0.747.5%-2
23VanderbiltRichmond2.856.8%-2.5
24LouisvilleMorehead State12.588.1%-9.5
25aGeorgetownUSC3.156.0% 
25bGeorgetownVCU8.676.2% 
26PurdueSt. Peter’s17.693.0%-14
27Texas A&MFlorida State-0.148.8%-1
28Notre DameAkron14.592.0%-14
29PittsburghNC-Asheville18.195.1%
30ButlerOld Dominion1.550.2%+2
31Kansas StateUtah State-0.740.4%-2.5
32WisconsinBelmont3.760.8%-5
33St. John’sGonzaga-0.247.7%-1.5
34BYUWofford12.485.9%-8.5
35UCLAMichigan State-1.744.4%+1.5
36FloridaUC-Santa Barbara11.689.3%-12.5

Looking at yesterday’s numbers, West Virginia’s Sagarin advantage dropped from 2.4 to 1.4, while the Pomeroy % dropped from 52.7% to 48.9%, so clearly the Tigers’ win last night had an effect.

This game is now officially a toss-up, but I’m still going to go with West Virginia. Clemson is 0-4 this season against Top 25 Sagarin teams and WVU is #19. Plus, Clemson has to fly to Florida and turn around and play on Thursday at 12:15 PM ET, which is the first game of the day.

However, those of you in pools that reward upsets may want to give Clemson a hard look. Before trouncing UAB last night, the Tigers were poised to pull the upset against North Carolina in the tournament before falling in overtime. I’m worried about the quick turnaround to an early game, but they’re playing good basketball right now and this is a very tight game. Given the seed disparity (5/12), it is probably worth rolling the dice on Clemson in a pool that rewards upsets.

Panthers leaning towards Cam Newton?

Auburn University Quarterback Cam Newton speaks to the media after winning the 2010 Heisman Trophy Award at the Marriott Marquis in New York City on December 11, 2010. UPI/John Angelillo

Unless it’s a ruse created to lure teams into trading up, all signs point to the Panthers selecting Auburn quarterback Cam Newton with the No. 1 overall pick according to the Charlotte Observer.

Carolina sent six representatives to Auburn’s Pro Day and will attend a private workout by Newton in Alabama on Wednesday. With Blaine Gabbert’s Pro Day coming up on Thursday, the Panthers should have a good idea as to whom they will be selecting with the top pick next month. There have been reports that the injury concerns surrounding the top defensive linemen in this year’s draft have scared the Panthers off, so maybe they’ve narrowed their wish list down to Newton or Gabbert.

Of course, there are rumblings that the Vikings and Bills are interested in Newton as well, so maybe a trade is in order. The Panthers don’t have a second round pick this year, so they may want to trade down in order to regain that selection. If they do trade down, Gabbert, LSU cornerback Patrick Peterson or even Georgia receiver A.J. Green become possibilities for the Panthers depending on how far they fall.

As of right now, this is still a cat and mouse game. The Panthers want to do their due diligence when it comes to scouting prospects, but they also don’t want to make their intentions obvious. If they have a couple of prospects rated close to each other, maybe they wouldn’t mind trading down, acquiring more picks and still landing a player at the top of their board.

Miller only worried about beating Shalorus at UFC 128

HeavyMMA.com writes that Jim Miller isn’t worried about title shots. His only concern is beating the dangerous Kamal Shalorus at UFC 128.

Mixed martial arts is a sport prone to speculation. We wonder who would win imagined match-ups across weight classes, how good an emerging young talent will be in two or three years, and where a win will put a certain fighter in the divisional pecking order.

Heading into UFC 128 this weekend, lightweight Jim Miller is the focus of some of that speculation, as he puts his six-fight winning streak and top 5 standing in the division on the line against WEC convert Kamal Shalorus. Many wonder whether a win, coupled with Dennis Siver’s upset win over George Sotiropoulos last month in Australia, would vault the Whippany, New Jersey native to the top of the list of contenders in the 155-pound division.

Miller is not one for wondering what it all would mean. He has one focus heading into his second UFC fight in his home state: earn a victory over Shalorus. The rest, he believes, will sort itself out.

Read the full article.

Were the owners more flexible in negotiations than players?

NFL Executive Vice-President and General Counsel Jeff Pash (C) talks to reporters about negotiations with players association representatives as they seek an agreement as a deadline looms for a player lockout, in Washington, March 4, 2011. The NFL and the players’ union agreed to extend talks on a new collective agreement for another week, the League-owned NFL Network reported Friday. The chief sticking point in the talks is how to distribute the league’s $9 billion in annual revenues. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL BUSINESS)

Jim Trotter of SI.com wrote a great piece about the breakdown of the NFL labor talks and in the article, he writes that the owners felt they were more flexible in the negotiations than the players were.

Owners also argue they were more flexible in the negotiations than the players. On Friday the two sides were $640 million apart on the 2011 salary cap number; the NFL offered to split the difference. The union, however, would not move from its best offer of an additional $137.5 million a year for four years without a detailed accounting of each team’s books, a demand it had requested as early as May 2009. Says Pash, “In November ’09 we asked for an 18 percent rollback, and we didn’t get that either. Demands that you make before your first-ever face-to-face bargaining session might not be where you end up two years later.”

Ultimately, players contend that the owners initiated the standoff, so the burden of proof rests with them. “Not once have the players asked for more money during this negotiation,” Brees said on Friday. “Past players sacrificed a great deal to give us what we have now, and we will not lay down for a second to give that up.”

It may come down to a court to decide if they have to.

Because of the media blackout, there’s not a whole lot of information available on this labor dispute. Of course the owners are going to feel like they were more flexible, as I’m sure the players felt like they were more than fair with their demands. We the fans and media can only go off of what certain people tell us because we weren’t in the meeting rooms.

That said, there’s a real possibility that the union overplayed its hand here. They knew they had an advantage in talks once Judge David Doty ruled that the owners couldn’t use the $4 billion from renegotiated TV contracts to fund their lockout. The players then figured that if they decertified and their case went in front of a judge, they always had Doty (who has ruled often ruled in the players’ favor when it comes to previous NFL cases) in their back pocket.

Thus, when the owners came to the table with a last-second proposal on Friday before the lockout, the players wouldn’t budge on their offer. But they may have screwed themselves because Judge Susan Nelson will oversee their case, not Doty. So while they still could wind up winning big, they may have bypassed a decent offer and a way to end this charade before the CBA expired last week. Instead, they decided to go to court and now here we are.

When the dust finally settles on this issue, I wonder which side will have more regret: the owners for not opening their books (even though they did agree to show the players five years worth of aggregated league wide profitability information), or the players for not taking that last-second proposal last Friday.

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