Sweet 16 schedule for all time zones

It can be a pain to figure out what time a certain game is on, especially if you don’t live in the Eastern Time Zone, which obviously believes it’s the center of the universe. Damn ET.

THURSDAY

ETCTMTPTMATCHUPTV
7:156:155:154:15(3) UConn vs. (2) SDSUCBS
7:276:275:274:27(3) BYU vs. (2) FloridaTBS
9:458:457:456:45(5) Arizona vs. (1) DukeCBS
9:578:577:576:57(8) Butler vs. (4) WisconsinTBS

FRIDAY

ETCTMTPTMATCHUPTV
7:156:155:154:15(11) Marquette vs. (2) North CarolinaCBS
7:276:275:274:27(12) Richmond vs. (1) KansasTBS
9:458:457:456:45(4) Kentucky vs. (1) Ohio StateCBS
9:578:577:576:57(11) VCU vs. (10) Florida StateTBS

Follow the Scores Report editors on Twitter @clevelandteams and @bullzeyedotcom.

Sweet 16 Sagarin & Pomeroy data

If you’ve read my annual March Madness bracket column or if you are a stathead in general, you’ll know what the title of this post means. If you don’t, check out my column and come back.

Here are the next eight matchups representing Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. The Sagarin advantage represents the spread in Jeff Sagarin’s predictor ratings. If the number is positive, it means that Team A is the Sagarin favorite. If the number is negative, then it means Team B (and the lower seed) is actually the favorite.

The Pomeroy % represents the chances that Team A will win the game according to Ken Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation.

Over the last four years, teams with a 2+ point advantage in Sagarin’s “predictor” rating have won 156 of 198 games (78.7%). Over the last two years, if a team had at least a 65% expected win rate according to Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation, they won 61 of 76 games (80.2%).

I’ve also included the spread for each game at the World Sports Exchange. Oftentimes the spread is very close to the Sagarin spread.

Team ATeam BSag AdvPom %Spread
San Diego StateConnecticut1.459.4%+1
FloridaBYU-2.543.7%-2.5
DukeArizona8.983.8%-9
WisconsinButler7.480.0%-4
North CarolinaMarquette3.063.6%-5
KansasRichmond9.782.0%-10.5
Ohio StateKentucky6.276.0%-5
Florida StateVCU3.964.7%-4

It’s interesting that Florida is a 2.5-point favorite according to the sportsbook even though they are a 2.5-point underdog according to Sagarin. That probably has to do with the sportsbook trying to take into account the loss of Brandon Davies, but his absence sure didn’t hurt BYU against Gonzaga.

Conversely, SDSU is a 1.0-point underdog despite being a Sagarin favorite.

Sunday’s March Madness schedule for all time zones

If you’re looking for Saturday’s schedule, click here.

ETCTMTPTMATCHUPCHANNEL
12:1511:1510:159:15(7) Washington vs. (2) UNCCBS
2:451:4512:4511:45(8) Michigan vs. (1) DukeCBS
5:154:153:152:15(8) George Mason vs. (1) Ohio StateCBS
6:105:104:103:10(5) Arizona vs. (4) TexasTNT
7:106:105:104:10(11) VCU vs. (3) PurdueTBS
7:456:455:454:45(11) Marquette vs. (3) SyracusetruTV
8:407:406:405:40(9) Illinois vs. (1) KansasTNT
9:408:407:406:40(10) Florida State vs. (2) Notre DameTBS

Sagarin & Pomeroy data for the second round

If you’ve read my annual March Madness bracket column or if you are a stathead in general, you’ll know what the title of this post means. If you don’t, check out my column and come back.

Here are the next 16 matchups representing the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Sagarin advantage represents the spread in Jeff Sagarin’s predictor ratings. If the number is positive, it means that Team A is the Sagarin favorite. If the number is negative, then it means Team B (and the lower seed) is actually the favorite.

The Pomeroy % represents the chances that Team A will win the game according to Ken Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation.

Over the last four years, teams with a 2+ point advantage in Sagarin’s “predictor” rating have won 156 of 198 games (78.7%). Over the last two years, if a team had at least a 65% expected win rate according to Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation, they won 61 of 76 games (80.2%).

I’ve also included the spread for the game at the World Sports Exchange. Oftentimes the spread is very close to the Sagarin spread.

Team ATeam BSag AdvPom %Spread
KentuckyWest Virginia2.663.0%-3.5
FloridaUCLA5.371.9%-6
RichmondMorehead State6.272.0%-4.5
San Diego StateTemple5.775.0%-5.5
PittsburghButler8.882.4%-7.5
BYUGonzaga3.560.6%+1.5
WisconsinKansas State5.573.7%-3.5
ConnecticutCincinnati1.156.6%-4
North CarolinaWashington0.256.3%-4
DukeMichigan9.883.5%-11.5
Ohio StateGeorge Mason10.786.1%-11
TexasArizona5.475.9%-5.5
PurdueVCU11.387.7%-9
SyracuseMarquette3.667.7%-4.5
KansasIllinois5.469.9%-8.5
Notre DameFlorida State4.471.5%-5

Saturday’s March Madness TV schedule for all time zones

If you’re like me and don’t like having to do math to figure out when a particular game is on in your time zone, you’re going to like the schedule below.

ETCTMTPTMATCHUPCHANNEL
12:1511:1510:159:15(5) West Virginia vs. (4) KentuckyCBS
2:451:4512:4511:45(7) UCLA vs. (2) FloridaCBS
5:154:153:152:15(13) Morehead St. vs. (12) RichmondCBS
6:105:104:103:10(7) Temple vs. (2) San Diego StateTNT
7:106:105:104:10(8) Butler vs. (1) PittsburghTBS
7:456:455:454:45(11) Gonzaga vs. (3) Brigham YoungCBS
8:407:406:405:40(5) Kansas State vs. (4) WisconsinTNT
9:408:407:406:40(6) Cincinnati vs. (3) ConnecticutTBS

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