Sweet 16 schedule for all time zones
Posted by John Paulsen (03/24/2011 @ 11:30 am)
It can be a pain to figure out what time a certain game is on, especially if you don’t live in the Eastern Time Zone, which obviously believes it’s the center of the universe. Damn ET.
THURSDAY
ET |
CT |
MT |
PT |
MATCHUP |
TV |
7:15 |
6:15 |
5:15 |
4:15 |
(3) UConn vs. (2) SDSU |
CBS |
7:27 |
6:27 |
5:27 |
4:27 |
(3) BYU vs. (2) Florida |
TBS |
9:45 |
8:45 |
7:45 |
6:45 |
(5) Arizona vs. (1) Duke |
CBS |
9:57 |
8:57 |
7:57 |
6:57 |
(8) Butler vs. (4) Wisconsin |
TBS |
FRIDAY
ET |
CT |
MT |
PT |
MATCHUP |
TV |
7:15 |
6:15 |
5:15 |
4:15 |
(11) Marquette vs. (2) North Carolina |
CBS |
7:27 |
6:27 |
5:27 |
4:27 |
(12) Richmond vs. (1) Kansas |
TBS |
9:45 |
8:45 |
7:45 |
6:45 |
(4) Kentucky vs. (1) Ohio State |
CBS |
9:57 |
8:57 |
7:57 |
6:57 |
(11) VCU vs. (10) Florida State |
TBS |
Posted in: College Basketball, March Madness
Tags: 2010-11 college basketball, 2011 NCAA Tournament, March Madness, March Madness bracket, March Madness picks, March Madness schedule central time, March Madness schedule mountain time, March Madness schedule pacific time, NCAA tournament schedule central time, NCAA tournament schedule mountain time, NCAA tournament schedule pacific time
Sweet 16 Sagarin & Pomeroy data
Posted by John Paulsen (03/21/2011 @ 1:30 pm)
If you’ve read my annual March Madness bracket column or if you are a stathead in general, you’ll know what the title of this post means. If you don’t, check out my column and come back.
Here are the next eight matchups representing Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. The Sagarin advantage represents the spread in Jeff Sagarin’s predictor ratings. If the number is positive, it means that Team A is the Sagarin favorite. If the number is negative, then it means Team B (and the lower seed) is actually the favorite.
The Pomeroy % represents the chances that Team A will win the game according to Ken Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation.
Over the last four years, teams with a 2+ point advantage in Sagarin’s “predictor” rating have won 156 of 198 games (78.7%). Over the last two years, if a team had at least a 65% expected win rate according to Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation, they won 61 of 76 games (80.2%).
I’ve also included the spread for each game at the World Sports Exchange. Oftentimes the spread is very close to the Sagarin spread.
Team A |
Team B |
Sag Adv |
Pom % |
Spread |
San Diego State |
Connecticut |
1.4 |
59.4% |
+1 |
Florida |
BYU |
-2.5 |
43.7% |
-2.5 |
Duke |
Arizona |
8.9 |
83.8% |
-9 |
Wisconsin |
Butler |
7.4 |
80.0% |
-4 |
North Carolina |
Marquette |
3.0 |
63.6% |
-5 |
Kansas |
Richmond |
9.7 |
82.0% |
-10.5 |
Ohio State |
Kentucky |
6.2 |
76.0% |
-5 |
Florida State |
VCU |
3.9 |
64.7% |
-4 |
It’s interesting that Florida is a 2.5-point favorite according to the sportsbook even though they are a 2.5-point underdog according to Sagarin. That probably has to do with the sportsbook trying to take into account the loss of Brandon Davies, but his absence sure didn’t hurt BYU against Gonzaga.
Conversely, SDSU is a 1.0-point underdog despite being a Sagarin favorite.
Sunday’s March Madness schedule for all time zones
Posted by John Paulsen (03/19/2011 @ 11:00 pm)
If you’re looking for Saturday’s schedule, click here.
ET |
CT |
MT |
PT |
MATCHUP |
CHANNEL |
12:15 |
11:15 |
10:15 |
9:15 |
(7) Washington vs. (2) UNC |
CBS |
2:45 |
1:45 |
12:45 |
11:45 |
(8) Michigan vs. (1) Duke |
CBS |
5:15 |
4:15 |
3:15 |
2:15 |
(8) George Mason vs. (1) Ohio State |
CBS |
6:10 |
5:10 |
4:10 |
3:10 |
(5) Arizona vs. (4) Texas |
TNT |
7:10 |
6:10 |
5:10 |
4:10 |
(11) VCU vs. (3) Purdue |
TBS |
7:45 |
6:45 |
5:45 |
4:45 |
(11) Marquette vs. (3) Syracuse |
truTV |
8:40 |
7:40 |
6:40 |
5:40 |
(9) Illinois vs. (1) Kansas |
TNT |
9:40 |
8:40 |
7:40 |
6:40 |
(10) Florida State vs. (2) Notre Dame |
TBS |
Posted in: College Basketball, March Madness
Tags: 2010-11 college basketball, 2011 NCAA Tournament, March Madness, March Madness bracket, March Madness picks, March Madness schedule central time, March Madness schedule mountain time, March Madness schedule pacific time, NCAA tournament schedule central time, NCAA tournament schedule mountain time, NCAA tournament schedule pacific time
Sagarin & Pomeroy data for the second round
Posted by John Paulsen (03/19/2011 @ 11:06 am)
If you’ve read my annual March Madness bracket column or if you are a stathead in general, you’ll know what the title of this post means. If you don’t, check out my column and come back.
Here are the next 16 matchups representing the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Sagarin advantage represents the spread in Jeff Sagarin’s predictor ratings. If the number is positive, it means that Team A is the Sagarin favorite. If the number is negative, then it means Team B (and the lower seed) is actually the favorite.
The Pomeroy % represents the chances that Team A will win the game according to Ken Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation.
Over the last four years, teams with a 2+ point advantage in Sagarin’s “predictor” rating have won 156 of 198 games (78.7%). Over the last two years, if a team had at least a 65% expected win rate according to Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation, they won 61 of 76 games (80.2%).
I’ve also included the spread for the game at the World Sports Exchange. Oftentimes the spread is very close to the Sagarin spread.
Team A |
Team B |
Sag Adv |
Pom % |
Spread |
Kentucky |
West Virginia |
2.6 |
63.0% |
-3.5 |
Florida |
UCLA |
5.3 |
71.9% |
-6 |
Richmond |
Morehead State |
6.2 |
72.0% |
-4.5 |
San Diego State |
Temple |
5.7 |
75.0% |
-5.5 |
Pittsburgh |
Butler |
8.8 |
82.4% |
-7.5 |
BYU |
Gonzaga |
3.5 |
60.6% |
+1.5 |
Wisconsin |
Kansas State |
5.5 |
73.7% |
-3.5 |
Connecticut |
Cincinnati |
1.1 |
56.6% |
-4 |
North Carolina |
Washington |
0.2 |
56.3% |
-4 |
Duke |
Michigan |
9.8 |
83.5% |
-11.5 |
Ohio State |
George Mason |
10.7 |
86.1% |
-11 |
Texas |
Arizona |
5.4 |
75.9% |
-5.5 |
Purdue |
VCU |
11.3 |
87.7% |
-9 |
Syracuse |
Marquette |
3.6 |
67.7% |
-4.5 |
Kansas |
Illinois |
5.4 |
69.9% |
-8.5 |
Notre Dame |
Florida State |
4.4 |
71.5% |
-5 |
Saturday’s March Madness TV schedule for all time zones
Posted by John Paulsen (03/18/2011 @ 6:00 pm)
If you’re like me and don’t like having to do math to figure out when a particular game is on in your time zone, you’re going to like the schedule below.
ET |
CT |
MT |
PT |
MATCHUP |
CHANNEL |
12:15 |
11:15 |
10:15 |
9:15 |
(5) West Virginia vs. (4) Kentucky |
CBS |
2:45 |
1:45 |
12:45 |
11:45 |
(7) UCLA vs. (2) Florida |
CBS |
5:15 |
4:15 |
3:15 |
2:15 |
(13) Morehead St. vs. (12) Richmond |
CBS |
6:10 |
5:10 |
4:10 |
3:10 |
(7) Temple vs. (2) San Diego State |
TNT |
7:10 |
6:10 |
5:10 |
4:10 |
(8) Butler vs. (1) Pittsburgh |
TBS |
7:45 |
6:45 |
5:45 |
4:45 |
(11) Gonzaga vs. (3) Brigham Young |
CBS |
8:40 |
7:40 |
6:40 |
5:40 |
(5) Kansas State vs. (4) Wisconsin |
TNT |
9:40 |
8:40 |
7:40 |
6:40 |
(6) Cincinnati vs. (3) Connecticut |
TBS |
Posted in: College Basketball, March Madness
Tags: 2010-11 college basketball, 2011 NCAA Tournament, March Madness, March Madness bracket, March Madness picks, March Madness schedule central time, March Madness schedule mountain time, March Madness schedule pacific time, NCAA tournament schedule central time, NCAA tournament schedule mountain time, NCAA tournament schedule pacific time