Tag: Matt Hasselbeck (Page 7 of 7)

Is it time for these 0-2 teams to hit the panic button?

Brad ChildressThe Seahawks were supposed to be the favorites to win the NFC West again this year. The Browns were supposed to contend for a playoff berth in the AFC. Brad Childress’ (right) Vikings were the chic-pick in the NFC. The Jaguars and Chargers were supposed to be Super Bowl contenders.

But all five of these teams have started the 2008 season 0-2. And all five teams have major issues.

So is it time for these teams to the hit the panic button? Let’s take a closer look.

Cleveland Browns

What’s gone right: Not much. The only real bright spot offensively has been TE Kellen Winslow Jr., who has 12 receptions for 102 yards and a touchdown. And DT Shaun Rogers, the team’s top offseason acquisition, has made an immediate impact with 10 tackles, one sack and two tackles for loss.

What’s gone wrong: Everything. The defense was brutal in Week 1 against Dallas, but bounced back in Week 2 against Pittsburgh (thanks in large part to bad weather conditions and Ben Roethlisberger’s bum shoulder). The offense that averaged over 25 points a game last year has managed just 16 points total in two games this year. Turnovers, penalties, poor quarterback play (Derek Anderson currently has a QB rating of 57.1), and bad coaching have buried this team so far.

Time to hit the panic button? Yes. The Browns’ poor preseason play has carried over into the regular season and the schedule doesn’t get any easier with the Ravens, Giants, Jaguars, Broncos and Bills coming up over the next eight weeks. Outside of Rogers, the offseason acquisitions Cleveland made on defense have not paid off and the offense has been non-existent. Worse yet, the Browns aren’t sneaking up on anyone this year and Romeo Crennel is starting to look overmatched once again.

Jacksonville Jaguars

David GarrardWhat’s gone right: Even though they did play the Titans (and their below average passing attack) in Week 1, the Jaguars defense has held opponents to less than 200 yards through the air in their first two games. The run defense hasn’t been that bad either, even though they’ve allowed an average of 106 yards per game.

What’s gone wrong: The two things that made the Jags successful last year, the running game and David Garrard’s (above) mistake-free play, have both gone against the team this year. Shockingly, Jacksonville has averaged just 65.5 yards on the ground in two games and Garrard has already thrown three interceptions, which matches is entire total from last season. The defense has also been bad in the clutch, giving up go-ahead touchdowns in the fourth quarter in each of the Jags’ two losses.

Time to hit the panic button? No. Jacksonville is still a playoff contender, but they need to start executing. It doesn’t help that the offensive line is banged up, but Garrard must stop turning the ball over and the running game has to get out of its rut. The defense, which has been left on the field entirely too long, should be fine once the offense starts to pick up. But things don’t get any easier with the Colts and Steelers coming up in the next three weeks.

Minnesota Vikings

What’s gone right: Forget about RB Adrian Peterson having a sophomore slump; the second year back has already rushed for 263 yards and a 5.5 YPC average. What’s more impressive is that he’s been effective despite not having LT Bryant McKinnie (suspension) opening holes for him on the offensive line.

What’s gone wrong: A couple things. One, Tarvaris Jackson hasn’t done enough in the passing game. He hasn’t been bad by any means, but he needs to make more big plays, especially with defenses loading up to stop Peterson and the running game. Secondly, the team gave up a first round pick to acquire DE Jared Allen in the offseason and even though he registered his first sack of the season last week, his presence hasn’t helped the secondary like the Vikes thought it would. Minnesota’s defensive backfield, which ranked dead last in the league in 2007, continues to give up big plays.

Time to hit the panic button? No. The Vikings’ offensive line will get a boost when McKinnie returns in a couple of weeks and with Peterson running like a man possessed, Jackson simply needs to make more plays in the passing game for the offense to start clicking. One would think that Allen would eventually get going, which should only help the secondary. But these things need to start happening now because the schedule doesn’t get any lighter over the next three weeks with the Panthers, Titans and Saints coming up.

San Diego Chargers

LaDainian TomlinsonWhat’s gone right: Philip Rivers has been absolutely fantastic in the passing game, completing over 60% of his passes for 594 yards, six touchdowns and a QB rating of 122.5. WR Chris Chambers has also resurrected his career in the early going, hauling in five catches for 127 yards and three touchdowns.

What’s gone wrong: LaDainian Tomlinson (right) has been limited due to a foot injury and the loss of LB Shawne Merriman (knee/ out of the season) has really hampered the Chargers’ defensive pass rush. Speaking of the defense, the unit has been shredded for big plays in the second halves of each of San Diego’s two losses. They gave up 31 first half points to the Broncos on Sunday and 486 total yards. The secondary has been absolutely torched and currently ranks dead last against the pass in the AFC.

Time to hit the panic button? No. Had the defense batted a Jake Delhomme touchdown pass down in the end zone in Week 1 and Jay Cutler’s non-fumble call go there way last week, San Diego would be 2-0. It’s only a matter of time before LT is healthy again and with Rivers playing as well as he is, the offense is going to be dangerous all season. Plus, even if Tomlinson misses time, Darren Sproles has proven he can keep the running game afloat with his game-breaking speed. But for the Chargers to turn things around, the defense has to prove it can generate a push rush without Merriman and the secondary has to stop giving up big plays. Brett Favre and the Jets will be a challenge next week but after that, the Chargers face the Raiders and Dolphins, so they could easily be 3-2 when the Patriots come to down on Sunday night in Week 6.

Seattle Seahawks

What’s gone right: Outside of Julius Jones rushing for over 100 yards against the 49ers last Sunday, not much. The run defense actually hasn’t been that bad either, allowing less than 100 yards per game, but teams are still finding ways to put the ball in the end zone while averaging over 30 points a game.

What’s gone wrong: Anything and everything. Aside from having practice squad players line up at receiver because the team has been ransacked by injuries, the Seahawks’ defense and special teams have been brutal, and Matt Hasselbeck (48.6 QB rating) is off to an atrocious start.

Time to hit the panic button? Yes. The passing game should get a boost when Bobby Engram and Deion Branch return in a few weeks, but with how bad the defense is playing the Seahawks could be starring at 1-5 or 0-6 by the time that happens. Had they held on to a two-touchdown lead at home against the 49ers last Sunday, things probably wouldn’t have seemed that bad. But with division rival Arizona off to a hot start, the Hawks’ reign in the NFC West seems to be coming to an end.

For QBs, it’s boom or bust in the middle rounds

Take a look at this list of fantasy QBs, in order of Average Draft Position. The ADP is from Antsports’ 12-team league drafts from 8/1-9/1, and the last number on each line is the player’s average points per game in Antsports’ High Performance scoring system.

QB7 (5.09) Derek Anderson, 9.5
QB8 (5.11) Donovan McNabb, 30.4*
QB9 (7.04) Jay Cutler, 28.5
QB10 (7.05) Matt Hasselbeck, 10.6
QB11 (8.04) Brett Favre, 15.3
QB12 (8.07) Marc Bulger, 10.3
QB13 (8.08) Eli Manning, 20.4
QB14 (8.09) David Garrard, 11.7
QB15 (9.04) Matt Schaub, 18.5*
QB16 (9.07) Phillip Rivers, 26.4
QB17 (9.11) Jake Delhomme, 13.0
QB18 (10.04) Jon Kitna 19.8
QB19 (10.05) Aaron Rodgers, 26.7
QB20 (10.12) Vince Young, 7.9*

* only one game of data is included

Save for Favre, Delhomme and maybe Schaub, each of these quarterbacks is either greatly outperforming or severely underperforming in relation to their preseason expectations. I see two distinct groups: Boom and Bust.

Boom: McNabb, Cutler, E. Manning, Rivers, Kitna and Rodgers

Bust: Anderson, Hasselbeck, Bulger, Garrard and Young

Sure, it’s early, but think about it this way – if you had a QB in the Bust group, is there any possible trade for a player in the Boom group (i.e. Anderson-McNabb, Hasselbeck-Cutler, etc.) where you wouldn’t pull the trigger? I was high on Garrard before the season, but after two weeks of watching the Jaguars disappointing pass offense in action, I’d be more than willing to make a Garrard-for-Kitna swap if the opportunity presented itself (although Kitna is a little dicey because his job isn’t that secure). Likewise, if you have a Boom player, would you trade him for any of the players in the Bust group? I wouldn’t.

Chances are that a few quarterbacks in each group will return to the mean. Some in the Boom group will cool off while some in the Bust group will heat up. But right now, there is a big disparity within this group of quarterbacks.

Seahawks fall to 0-2 after losing to 49ers in OT

San Francisco 49ersJoe Nedney kicked a 40-yard field goal in overtime to lift the San Francisco 49ers to a 33-30 win over the Seattle Seahawks at Qwest Field Sunday.

• This is just the third time in the last five seasons in which the 49ers scored at least 30 points in a road game.
• After losing in his first career NFL start a week ago, J.T. O’Sullivan threw for 321 yards on 20-of-32 passing, including a TD.
• The four-time defending NFC West champion Seahawks (0-2) lost their first two games of the season for the first time since 2002.

The Seahawks built an early 14-0 lead, but couldn’t sustain it after losing two more wide receivers to injuries. The Seattle defense struggled for the second straight week, which is a bit surprising given the overall talent the Seahawks have on that side of the ball. On a positive note, Julius Jones rushed for 127 yards and a touchdown, but unfortunately he couldn’t mask Matt Hasselbeck’s (189, 2 INTs) rough day.

You knew it was only a matter of time before Mike Martz’s offense started to click. J.T. O’Sullivan threw for over 300 yards and a touchdown, while the ageless one Isaac Bruce caught four passes for a whopping 153 yards. I don’t think this game should be a ringing endorsement for the 49ers’ chances this year, but it’s always impressive when a team can beat the Seahawks in Seattle.

Week 1 Fantasy Surprises: Now what?

Whether it’s a few breakout wide receivers, a suddenly mature quarterback or an out-of-nowhere running back, Week 1 of the NFL season always has its share of surprises. Here are a few of the bigger revelations from the first weekend of action along with what they might mean in the larger scheme of things.

Michael Turner ran roughshod over the Lions.
Most people were probably expecting a pretty good game out of Turner against Detroit, but I don’t think too many fantasy owners had “The Burner” racking up 220 yards (10.0 ypc) and two touchdowns in his Atlanta debut. The Falcons’ offensive line opened up monster holes for their RB, and unfortunately it’s not always going to be this easy. Turner will be tested against the Bucs this week before another nice matchup at home against the Chiefs. Going forward, Turner looks like a solid RB2, though he might have the occasional bad game when a team jumps all over the Falcons in the first quarter.

Jay Cutler shredded a good Raider secondary.
I was very high on Cutler heading into the season figuring that a guy who could throw 20 TD while losing 30 pounds (and a lot of strength) due to undiagnosed diabetes would be a good candidate for a breakout season now that his illness is under control. He did play the Raiders in Week 1 (never a good gauge) and shredded what was supposed to be a pretty good secondary for 300 yards and two scores. And that was without his top WR, Brandon Marshall. He looked comfortable and in complete control of the Denver offense, which looks like it could be one of the best in the league. I think Cutler has a great chance to finish in the top 5 this season, which isn’t bad for a guy that was available in the 7th round.

Willie Parker will not go gently into that good night.
Fantasy owners who drafted “Fast” Willie Parker are either extremely savvy or extremely oblivious. Typically, when a team picks a running back in the first round of the NFL Draft, they intend to use him extensively. Ten of the 12 RBs that were drafted in the first round from 2004-2007 saw at least 121 carries in their rookie season, and six saw at least 226 carries, so when the Steelers drafted all-around back Rashard Mendenhall in the first round, the writing seemed to be on the wall. In Week 1, Parker rushed 25 times for 138 yards (for a 5.5 ypc) and three TD, and Mendenhall carried the ball 10 times for just 28 yards (for a 2.8 ypc). This is still “Fast” Willie’s show.

Donte Rosario and Anthony Fasano are the top two fantasy tight ends.
Since he is a Bill Parcells favorite, and he only had to contend with David Martin for playing time, a few owners might have pulled the trigger on Fasano as a backup TE in deeper leagues. But 8-84 and a touchdown? I don’t think anyone was expecting that kind of production in Week 1. Pennington is an accurate thrower but he has a weak arm, so he prefers to dink and dunk with the underneath stuff which is a perfect fit for a sure-handed tight end like Fasano. Throw in the fact that the Dolphins don’t have much else in going in the passing game, and Fasano could potentially put up top 10 TE numbers. And who the heck is Donte Rosario? Well, he’s a second-year tight end who was drafted in the fifth round. When I saw the final play of the game, I thought he was actually a bigger WR, not a TE. Rosario sort of resembles Kellen Winslow in pads. He was only targeted seven times in all of last season, so he has already gone over that mark with eight targets against the Chargers. He posted 7-96-1 with Steve Smith out, so along with Muhsin Muhammad and D.J. Hackett, the Panthers will have a formidable group of receivers once Smith returns from his suspension. And it’s clear that he has the confidence of Jake Delhomme since the QB looked his way on the game-winning pitch and catch.

DeSean Jackson and Eddie Royal look wise beyond their years.
Typically, rookie wideouts don’t do a whole lot, but Jackson and Royal both went over the century mark in their first game in the NFL. The last WR to do that was Anquan Boldin in 2003, who caught 10 passes for 217 yards and two scores against the Lions, and went on to have a 101-catch, 1377-yard, 8-TD season. Needless to say, this bodes well for both rookies. On Sunday, Jackson went for 6-106 against the Rams, and Royal one-upped him, posting 9-146-1 against one of the best secondaries in the league on Monday night. Jackson has looked electrifying in the preseason, and he’s benefiting from the absence of Kevin Curtis (who is out for a while) and Reggie Brown (who should be back soon). Worst-case, Jackson figures to be the Eagles’ WR3 when both Curtis and Brown return, but the best-case scenario has Jackson in a starting role, consistently getting 6-10 targets a game. As for Royal, he’s already the Broncos’ WR2 behind Brandon Marsahall and it’s clear that he and Jay Cutler already have a great rapport, so he seems to be the better bet of the two. But if you can get either Jackson or Royal on your roster, do so.

Matt Hasselbeck is in some serious short-term trouble.
The Seahawks’ receiving corps is in a world of hurt. Deion Branch and Bobby Engram are working their way back from injury, while Nate Burleson and Ben Obomanu are both on IR. That means that Hasselbeck is throwing to the likes of Courtney Taylor, Logan Payne and Samie Parker. Ouch! Luckily for Hass, he has a couple of attractive matchups the next two weeks against the 49ers and the Rams, so he might be able to post decent numbers if he can find a guy or two who can catch the ball. (TE John Carlson?) Still, if Branch and Engram are able to come back in the next month, suddenly Hasselbeck’s prospects don’t look so bad. If he has a bad week against San Francisco, it might not be a bad idea to try to acquire the Seattle QB from a frustrated owner in your league.

The Bungles are back.
Historically speaking, fantasy owners could count on two things from the Bengals: they’d have a good offense and they’d have a bad defense. After a 10-point clunker against the Ravens, where Carson Palmer (94 passing yards, 1 INT), T.J. Houshmandzadeh (3-44) and Chad Ocho Cinco (1-22) all struggled mightily against a defense that was 20th against the pass in 2007, fantasy owners are justifiably concerned. This week, they head home to play the Titans, who shut down a usually efficient Jacksonville offense, and next week they travel to New York to play the G-Men. The Bengals don’t have an attractive matchup until Week 4, when they face the Browns at home.

Brett Favre’s arrival completely changes the Jets.
When Thomas Jones joined the Jets a year ago, fantasy owners expected big things. While he did rush for 1119 yards, he only scored one TD, and Jones’ season was written off as a disappointment. But now, with the arrival of Favre (and Alan Faneca), Jones is finding more room to run. Safeties and linebackers have to respect Favre’s arm, and Faneca stabilizes a young but talented offensive line. Jones rushed 22 times for 101 yards and a TD against Miami. Sure, it was against the Dolphins, so this week’s game against the Patriots will be a nice test to see just how good the Jets’ running attack really is. Favre’s arm also enhances the value of the Jets receivers. Jerricho Cotchery caught three passes for 80 yards, including a 56-yard bomb early in the game. Laveranues Coles only caught one ball for five yards, but he did draw two pass interference penalties, so Favre was looking his way. Coles can really run those short and intermediate outs, which are throws that are definitely in Favre’s wheelhouse.

Fantasy Football Podcast #2: 9/10/08

Listen in as Anthony Stalter and I discuss Week 1 and how it affects fantasy owners going forward. Among the topics we discuss are Tom Brady’s injury, Vince Young’s strange night, Marques Colston’s thumb and Aaron Rodgers’ terrific debut.

(The opening and closing music is Cymande’s “Bra” – my favorite funk song of all time.)

Click to hear the podcast.

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