Tag: John Paulsen (Page 9 of 10)

Should the Spurs trade for Vince Carter?

There has been some talk of late that the Spurs are interested in acquiring Vince Carter.

Duncan says he would love to have Carter as a teammate, and why not? At age 32, Carter remains one of the NBA’s most productive small forwards, averaging 20.8 points, 5.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists.

Duncan hedges when the price for Carter reportedly includes Roger Mason Jr., Bruce Bowen, George Hill and Fabricio Oberto.

“I’d hate to see that many guys go,” Duncan said after an All-Star appearance he enjoyed, largely because of its brevity.

If general manager R.C. Buford can find a way to get Carter from the Nets without including so many rotation players — a Robert Horry sign-and-trade could be part of such a solution — it is easy to imagine Duncan giving such a deal the blessing Popovich likely would seek.

Here’s a look at the proposed trade in the ESPN Trade Machine. Kurt Thomas could also be substituted for Oberto.

Of the four Spurs that would be heading to New Jersey, the team would miss Roger Mason, Jr. the most. He’s playing over thirty minutes a game and has hit several clutch/game-winning threes this season. In fact, he’s shooting almost 45% from long range; he’s exactly the kind of player that the Spurs need to space the court for Duncan, Ginobili and Parker in crunch time. There is no doubt that Vince Carter is a better player, but he’s also a different player, and that’s what should scare Spurs fans about this deal. San Antonio is 26-9 since the beginning of December and they are arguably the second-best team in the West. Their current roster is capable of giving the Lakers fits if the two teams were to meet in the playoffs, so is it worth the risk to add Carter to the mix?

Hill is the piece that San Antonio is most likely to miss in the long term. He has played very well in his rookie season and has finally given the Spurs a proper backup to Parker. He looks like he’ll be a starting-caliber point guard in a year or two, so they’d be giving up on his potential as well. Bowen can still defend in spurts and hit the corner three and Oberto is a big, beefy backup on the front line (though he isn’t playing much this season).

Without those four, the Spurs would have a rotation that would include Duncan, Ginobili, Parker, Carter, Finley, Thomas, Bonner and Udoka. I think Gregg Popovich trusts those eight guys, but what happens if one of them gets injured? Does he have faith in any of the other guys further down the bench?

My guess is that the Nets would do the deal if Mason, Hill and (maybe) a first round pick were included. It would give the team incredible cap flexibility in the summer of 2010. With Devin Harris and Brook Lopez already on board, New Jersey would become an attractive landing spot for one (or two) of the big name free agents that should be available that summer.

Six Pack of Observations: NBA All-Star Saturday

Last night, the NBA held its Shooting Stars (zzzzz), Skills Challenge (zzzz), Three-Point Shootout and Slam Dunk Contest. Here are a six random observations about the night’s events, which include some breaking news for those that missed the event.

1. It would be nice if the contestants in the Skills Challenge would actually try to win.
Devin Harris looked like he was in another gear compared to his competitors, but struggled with the passing and shooting and ultimately finished second to Derrick Rose who was just about perfect in those parts of the course. Mo Williams looked like he didn’t even want to be there and Tony Parker couldn’t make a jumper to save his life. Harris was the only one that was actually putting forth any effort during the dribbling portion. Most of these guys are more interested in looking cool than looking like they want to win, and that’s a shame.

2. Did Kenny Smith take annoying pills just before the Three-Point Shootout?
When he wasn’t declaring that the eventual champion (Daequan Cook) didn’t have a chance to win the contest, he was flip-flopping like crazy during each round. At one point, during the middle rack of balls, he said that Rashard Lewis didn’t have a chance to advance, and then when Lewis his four out of five on the final rack to advance, Smith said, “I told you so.” I was rooting for Cook just to see Smith eat crow, and he never did. On a side note, Reggie Miller and his sister have the most non-broadcast type voices. I like what Reggie has to say, so he gets a pass, but I’m not sure what Cheryl brings to the table. (To be fair, that’s probably true of any sideline reporter not named Erin Andrews.)

3. Do away with the time limit.
The dunk contest has seen a resurgence in its popularity of late, and that’s in no small part to the creativity of Dwight Howard in last year’s event. But the one-minute time limit takes some of the pressure out of the event. It’s anti-climatic to watch Rudy Fernandez miss the same dunk eight times only to make it on his ninth attempt. I’d like to see each guy get three attempts for each dunk and if he can’t complete it, he has to live with his score. That forces players to attempt dunks that they can actually complete. The downside is that guys will be less likely to take chances, which is sort of what has made the contest popular again.

4. Dwight Howard was a victim of his own poor strategy.
Howard should have saved his dunk on the 12′ rim for the final round. After his 50-point first dunk in the first round, he was a shoe-in for the finals, so he essentially wasted the 12′ dunk when it should have been his finale. His free-throw line dunk had been done before, and it didn’t look as impressive with a seven-footer doing it. Had he swapped this dunk with the 12′ dunk, he probably would have defended his title. (And how impressive was his 12′ dunk? He did it with ease. The guy is a freak.)

5. Props to Nate Robinson for one-upping Superman with kryptonite shoes.
For those that missed it, Robinson went to the locker room after the first round and changed into a green New York Knicks uniform complete with neon green kryptonite shoes. It was a great idea that I’m sure won over a few folks at home.

6. LeBron James said that he plans to participate in the 2010 Slam Dunk Contest.
Reggie Miller made a great point about how Michael Jordan entered the dunk contest a few times to prove that he was the best, and that’s the kind of killer instinct that some say LeBron lacks. Kobe Bryant won the 1997 dunk contest, so it’s up to LeBron to prove that he has the chops to beat Dwight Howard and Nate Robinson. LeBron sort of acts like he’s above it, and that’s not good. (Oh, by the way, LeBron claims he can dunk on a 13′ rim. Now that’s something I’d like to see.)

Suns interested in Rudy Gay? Aldridge not a part of Blazers’ offer?

Yahoo! Sports has an update on the Amare Stoudemire trade talks.

The proposed multiplayer trade is fluid, but the framework would include the Suns receiving a package that includes Miami forward Shawn Marion and Grizzlies forward Rudy Gay. Miami would send rookie Michael Beasley to the Grizzlies.

“Miami knows that they can’t get this done directly with Phoenix,” one league executive said. “The big thing is that they know the Suns like Gay.”

Miami apparently has to get the Grizzlies involved because the Suns aren’t all that high on Beasley, but they do like Gay. So Phoenix would get Marion (cap relief) and Gay (young star), while Stoudemire would go to the Heat and Beasley to the Grizzlies.

The Memphis Commercial Appeal reported that the Grizzlies rejected a Suns’ proposal of Gay, forward Hakim Warrick and point guard Mike Conley for Stoudemire.

I would hope so.

Before the 2008 NBA draft, the Grizzlies tried hard to trade up to get Miami’s No. 2 pick to draft Beasley. The teams never came to terms, and Memphis ultimately worked the draft-day O.J. Mayo-Kevin Love trade. Gay hasn’t meshed well with Mayo, who took over as the Grizzlies’ top scorer.

Gay’s production is down from last season (PER: 17.34 to 14.85). I’m not sure that Beasley is going to mesh any better with Mayo. Both players are shoot-first types and there may not be enough basketballs to go around. Gay’s numbers are pretty much the same across the board, but his three-point percentage is down, which is dragging down his overall FG%. He’s still getting the same number of shots, so I’m not really clear on how Mayo is adversely affecting his game.

The Portland Trail Blazers also have discussed a trade for Stoudemire, and sources said they have offered the expiring contract of Raef LaFrentz and rookie point guard Jerryd Bayless. The Chicago Bulls also continue to talk with the Suns about Stoudemire.

The note about the Blazers is interesting, because a previous story had LaMarcus Aldridge involved in the trade. Without Aldridge, that trade isn’t worth it for the Suns. (And if I’m the Blazers, I don’t think I’d be giving up Aldridge to get Stoudemire.)

29 teams, 36 potential trades for Amare Stoudemire

The NBA trade deadline is Feb. 19, and the biggest name on the trading block is Amare Stoudemire. The Suns appear ready and willing to trade their former 1st Team All-NBA player (against my free, unsolicited advice), so I decided to play along and come up with a potential trade scenario (or two) for just about every team in the league. I’ll go through the league franchise-by-franchise and discuss the chances of each team actually making a play for the 26 year-old All-Star. Each blurb will also contain a link or two – if you click it you can see the trade in the ESPN Trade Machine. (I wore that thing out!)

For the record, I don’t really care where he lands — I’m just happy that the Suns didn’t announce a deal as I was writing this opus. Now that would have been a bummer.

Let’s roll…

Atlanta Hawks
The Hawks are pretty much set at every position except point guard. Mike Bibby’s contract is up this year, so that’s the only hole going into next season. That said, they’d be more likely to offer some combination of forwards than they would Joe Johnson. How about Al Horford (young star), Marvin Williams (young star) and Zaza Pachulia (cap relief)? I don’t think the Hawks would be willing to part with Joe Johnson or Josh Smith.

Boston Celtics
There’s no deal that would work unless the Suns truly covet Rajon Rondo. KG and Paul Pierce are untouchable. Rondo and Ray Allen for Amare and Alando Tucker would work, but since the trade offers no salary cap relief for the Suns, I wouldn’t hold my breath. Besides, if they trade away Ray Ray and Rondo, who’s going to play guard for the C’s?

Charlotte Bobcats
I think the Bobcats and Suns have already done all the deals they’re going to do. The only possibility is a trade that would include either Ray Felton or D.J. Augustin and Emeka Okafor. How about Felton, Okafor and Sean May for Amare? However, it’s highly unlikely that Stoudemire would re-sign with the Bobcats, so this trade is just a fantasy.

Chicago Bulls
The Bulls are actually one of the front runners to land Stoudemire and there are a number of different players that could be shipped to Phoenix. I keep reading that Phoenix is most interested in Tyrus Thomas, so let’s assume he’s part of any deal the two teams would make. How about Thomas and Kirk Hinrich for Stoudemire? Or how about Thomas, Ben Gordon and Drew Gooden’s expiring contract? (Note: The Bulls would need to receive consent from Gordon to execute this trade.) What about Thomas, Gooden and Luol Deng for Stoudemire and Robin Lopez?

Cleveland Cavaliers
The Cavs just don’t have the young stars to pull a trade off. The best deal I could come up with is Wally Szczerbiak’s expiring contract, J.J. Hickson, Daniel Gibson and maybe a first round pick or two for Stoudemire. It would give the Suns a ton of cap relief, but Hickson is a bit of an unknown at this point and Gibson has been up and down. I think the Suns can do better.

Dallas Mavericks
To deal with the Mavs, one would think that Josh Howard would have to be involved. How about Howard, Brandon Bass and Jerry Stackhouse for Stoudemire? I doubt the Suns would want to take on Stackhouse’s contract, but I don’t see another package that would work. It’s doubtful that the Mavs would want to bring Stoudemire in as he and Nowitzki play essentially the same position. (Amare can play some center, however.)

Denver Nuggets
The Nuggets lack young, affordable stars and expiring contracts, so the only deal that’s equitable is Carmelo Anthony for Stoudemire, but I don’t really see that happening.

Detroit Pistons
I don’t think the Suns bite on a deal with Detroit unless Rodney Stuckey is involved, and that might be a dealbreaker for the Pistons. Stuckey and Rasheed Wallace works, but would Detroit go for it?

Golden State
The Warriors have apparently been pursuing Stoudemire for the last couple of weeks, but what could they offer? Monta Ellis, Anthony Randolph, Brandan Wright and Kelenna Azubuike would work – would both teams go for it? The Warriors would be left without a point guard, but would get an All-NBA big to replace Randolph and Wright. The Suns would get an All-Star caliber point guard to eventually replace Steve Nash and then get a couple of nice prospects in Randolph and Wright.

If the Warriors don’t want to trade Elllis, they could offer up Corey Maggette, Andris Biendrins and Wright for Stoudemire. This trade wouldn’t give the Suns the cap relief they’re looking for, but they’d be getting three starter quality players. The Warriors could substitute Jamal Crawford for Maggette in that trade as well.

Houston Rockets
The Rockets don’t have the pieces to pull off a deal for Stoudemire. Their only major expiring contract is Ron Artest, so they’d have to ship him, Carl Landry, Luther Head and maybe a first round pick to make things even. Landry is a very productive player, but Artest is a wildcard and the Suns would have to be willing to re-sign him to make it worth their while (and that offsets the value of his expiring deal).

Indiana Pacers
The Pacers are another team that lack the young stars that the Suns would be interested in. They have Danny Granger, but he’s pretty much untouchable at this point. How about T.J. Ford (solid point guard), Brandon Rush (prospect) and Rasho Nesterovic’s expiring contract?

Los Angeles Clippers
The Clippers just don’t have the expiring deals to give the Suns the cap relief they want, so they’d have to give up a couple of big pieces like Baron Davis and Al Thornton to make the trade worthwhile for the Suns. Since Steve Kerr is still in love with Steve Nash, it’s doubtful that he’d want to bring in a point guard like Davis.

Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers aren’t going to make a deal of this magnitude given their current record and Phoenix would probably refuse to trade with a division rival. However, a straight Gasol-for-Stoudemire deal would work, as would a deal that included Lamar Odom, Jordan Farmar and a first round pick.

Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies have a number of young talented pieces that the Suns might be interested in, but they don’t have any expiring contracts to provide Phoenix with salary cap relief. However, the Suns might go for a deal that included O.J. Mayo, Kyle Lowry and Darko Milicic, wouldn’t they? If the Grizzlies didn’t want to give up Mayo, they could offer up Gay instead, though I think that would be a mistake.

Miami Heat
Miami is considered one of the teams with a real shot at landing Stoudemire, but it looks like they’d have to give up Michael Beasley to get him. (And it appears that the Suns aren’t all that high on the rookie.) If the Heat were to offer up Beasley and Shawn Marion’s expiring contract, the Suns would have to throw in a couple of small contracts like Alando Tucker and Goran Dragic along with Amare to make the numbers work. This deal would give the Suns the salary cap relief they’re looking for and a young star to build around. The Heat would be able to pair Stoudemire with Dwyane Wade, giving the team a championship-caliber duo.

One thing working against this trade is that the Heat should be able to sign a big-name free agent (along with Wade) this summer or next if they simply let Marion’s deal expire. That would give them Wade, Beasley and whoever they sign to build around. However, if they were to pass on Stoudemire here, they run the risk of not being able to sign a big to go along with Wade in the summer of 2010. Miami is a pretty attractive place to play, so they do have a good shot at Amare or Chris Bosh in 2010 if they just stand pat.

If Steve Kerr is dead set on moving Amare, this is a pretty sweet deal. Beasley is a budding star.

Milwaukee Bucks
Why am I even bothering? My beloved Bucks don’t have the pieces to pull off a deal. Michael Redd and Richard Jefferson are overpaid, and Milwaukee simply doesn’t have any expiring contracts that would be of value to the Suns. If Phoenix REALLY liked Charlie Villanueva and Luke Ridnour, this deal would work, but I’m not going to hold my breath. If the Suns liked Charlie V AND Andrew Bogut, and didn’t care about the cap ramifications (yeah, right), a deal that included Villanueva, Bogut and Damon Jones would work (for Stoudemire plus Tucker).

Minnesota Timberwolves
I don’t think the T-Wolves would part with Al Jefferson, so any potential deal would probably have to include either Kevin Love or Randy Foye. How about Love, Mike Miller and Jason Collins expiring contract for Amare? That deal would give the Suns a starter-quality player (Miller), a nice young prospect (Love) and salary cap relief (Collins).

New Jersey Nets
Does Steve Kerr still consider the lying-about-his-age Yi Jianlian to be a good prospect? If so, a deal that included Yi along with Brook Lopez and the expiring contracts of Stromile Swift and Jarvis Hayes would provide the Suns with some salary cap relief and a couple of young prospects.

New Orleans Hornets
My guess is that David West is untouchable at this point, so I don’t really see a legitimate trade offer coming from the Hornets. They could offer up Tyson Chandler and Julian Wright, but that wouldn’t give the Suns any cap relief.

New York Knicks
There appears to be some bad blood between Steve Kerr (or Robert Sarver) and the Suns former coach, Mike D’Antoni, so it is unlikely that the Suns will deal with the Knicks. But if New York offered David Lee, Nate Robinson, Wilson Chandler and Malik Rose’s expiring contract, the Suns would have to think about it, right? The downside for Phoenix is that Lee and Robinson will need to sign new contracts soon, so that offsets the salary cap relief they’d get from the deal. For the Knicks, it would be a heck of a lot easier to sign LeBron next summer if Amare is already in New York.

Oklahoma City Thunder
The Thunder would have a tough time re-signing Stoudemire, but they have the expiring contracts and young players to make a deal work. Would the Suns go for an offer of Russell Westbrook, Jeff Green and Chris Wilcox’s expiring contract? I think they might. The deal would give the Thunder a very dangerous duo to build around, assuming they can convince Amare to stay.

Orlando Magic
I don’t see a deal happening here. Orlando’s stars are all locked up to long term deals, so unless the Suns really covet Hedo Turkoglu (and are willing to pay him big bucks next season), it’s just not feasible. An offer of Turkoglu, Jameer Nelson and Redick would work, but the Magic aren’t going to go for that.

Philadelphia 76ers
The Sixers made their big move last offseason when they signed Elton Brand, and that hasn’t turned out very well (yet). Philly might be able to squeeze Amare out of the Suns if they offered up Andre Miller (and his expiring contract) and rising star Thaddeus Young, but eventually Brand and Stoudemire would have to play together and I’m not exactly sure how that would work.

Portland Trailblazers
Reportedly, the Blazers are considering a trade that would send LaMarcus Aldridge, Jerryd Bayless and Raef LaFrentz’s huge expiring contract for Stoudemire and a throw-in. That’s a pretty good deal for the Suns, as it would give them salary cap relief, a young star (Aldridge) and a good prospect (Bayless). I’m not sure that I would do that deal if I’m Portland, but it’s a simple preference between Aldridge and his upside and Stoudemire’s current ability.

Sacramento Kings
Would the Kings be willing to trade away their affordable star, Kevin Martin, for a shot at Stoudemire? How about Martin, Jason Thompson and Bobby Jackson’s expiring contract? That wouldn’t leave the Kings with much, but they didn’t have much to begin with. The real challenge would be to get Amare to re-sign next summer.

San Antonio Spurs
A deal with the Spurs just isn’t going to happen. They would need to be willing to give up either Tony Parker or Manu Ginobili, and they simply aren’t going to take the risk. The Spurs look like the second-best team in the West, so why tinker?

Toronto Raptors
There has been a lot of talk about Chris Bosh wanting out of Toronto, but he denies telling the team that he’s not going to re-sign next summer. A straight Bosh-for-Stoudemire swap would work, but the Raptors probably aren’t going to go for it. Bosh is a better defender and is more likely to re-sign than Amare would be. They might as well hold onto Bosh and hope for the best. The Raptors apparently want to pair Bosh with Stoudemire, but I think it’s going to take an offer of Jose Calderon, Andrea Barngani and Anthony Parker’s expiring deal to get the Suns to bite.

Utah Jazz
Boozer is going to opt out this summer. He may elect to re-sign, but the Jazz run the risk of losing him without compensation. What about a Boozer-for-Stoudemire swap? Boozer is more injury-prone, so the Jazz might have to throw Ronnie Brewer in to make it equitable (and to make the numbers work).

Washington Wizards
I don’t think the Suns would want to take on Gilbert Arenas’ balky knees or Antawn Jamison’s big contract, and the Wizards don’t have any expiring deals to speak of, so they’d have to do it with talent. How about Caron Butler, Nick Young and Javaris Crittenton for Amare? I love Butler’s game, so if I’m the Suns I’d have to think about it. Of course, if I’m running the Wizards, Butler is pretty much untouchable.

So what do you think? Are any of these trades completely unreasonable? If your favorite team were offered a shot at Stoudemire, would you want them to jump on it? And if you’re a Suns fan, which trade seems to be the best?

Which NBA teams project to have the most cap space over the next two years?

In previous columns, I ranked the top 10 free agents of 2010 and identified several players with expiring contracts that might be moved before the Feb. 19 trade deadline. Now it’s time to talk about cap space.

We’ve been hearing a lot lately about how teams are “clearing cap space” so that they can sign a big-name free agent in the summer of 2010 (or in some cases, 2009). But what exactly does this mean?

The NBA has a “soft cap” which is currently set at $58.7 million. Teams that are over the cap can’t sign a free agent from another team for more than the mid-level exception, which usually starts at around $5 million per season. Teams that are under the cap can offer free agents whatever cap space they have up to the level of a max contract, which starts at about $14 million per season under current conditions.

HoopsHype has all the salary data for each team, but I thought it would be useful to compile it all into one table so we can easily see who will have money to spend over the next two summers.

First, my assumptions:

– Given the current state of the economy, the salary cap is likely to stay at about $59 million over the next two seasons, so I used the current cap ($58.7 million) to calculate each team’s cap space.

– Certain players have already indicated that they’re planning to “opt out” of the final year of their contracts so that they can enter free agency. For those that have not announced, I used my best judgment to determine whether or not a player is likely to opt out. For example, LeBron James is very likely to opt out of his contract in the summer of 2010, but Michael Redd, who stands to make more than $18 million that same season, is likely to play out the final year of his deal because he’s not going to get anything close to that kind of money on the open market.

– I’ll also list the major (and some minor) decisions that each franchise will have to make over the next two seasons. These are typically decisions about whether or not to re-sign a player whose contract is up (or is entering restricted free agency). For example, if the Knicks decide to sign David Lee to a long-term deal, it’s going to have an impact on the team’s available cap space.

Without further ado, here’s the table, sorted by total projected cap space in the summer of 2010.

The data is interesting. If teams didn’t spend another dime until the summer of 2010, there would be seven teams capable of signing one player to a max-type contract and 11 teams capable of signing two players to max deals. This isn’t realistic, however, as most teams are going to re-sign their current players when they enter restricted or unrestricted free agency, and that’s going to take a bite out of their cap space. Plus, there are a number of stars – Carlos Boozer, Shawn Marion, Allen Iverson – and several starter-quality players that will sign free agent deals this summer. That’s going to gobble up cap space as well.

Of the four teams that have significant cap flexibility this summer – Detroit, Memphis, Atlanta and Oklahoma City – only two, the Pistons and the Hawks, have major decisions to make this summer. The Hawks have to decide whether or not the 30 year-old Mike Bibby is worth a significant long-term deal. If they do sign him to a contract averaging, let’s say, $10 million per season, it is going to reduce their cap space for the summer of 2010 by that amount. They can always re-sign Joe Johnson (because he is “their” free agent), but they may not have enough space to sign another top tier player. That space would be reduced further if they elect to sign Marvin Williams to a long-term deal.

The Pistons have to make a decision about Allen Iverson and Rasheed Wallace. Both players are getting on in age, so I wouldn’t be surprised if the Pistons allow both contracts to expire and use the new cap space this summer or next, building around Rodney Stuckey and Tayshaun Prince.

The Grizzlies have a ton of projected cap space over the next two years, but their challenge is not the money – it’s attracting a top-tier free agent to a small city and a bad team. No one really thinks that Memphis has a shot at any of the top five free agents of 2010 – LeBron, Dwyane Wade, Amare Stoudemire, Chris Bosh and Joe Johnson – though there’s a slim chance that Amare or Bosh might want to play with O.J. Mayo and Rudy Gay. Small market teams like Memphis that are struggling to win are going to have to overpay for second-tier free agents. The Thunder, Timberwolves, Raptors and Kings are four other teams that will have significant cap space over the next two seasons but are unlikely to attract a top-tier free agent.

These numbers will obviously change over the next two seasons as teams make trades and sign free agents (and draft picks). However, I can’t remember a time when this many teams had this much cap space. Under normal circumstances, it would lead to a frenzy of spending in the short term, but with the current state of the economy, teams may be quite a bit more cautious as they open those checkbooks.

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