Tag: 2011 NCAA Tournament (Page 6 of 11)

These zebras aren’t living the High Life

Texas Longhorn head coach Rick Barnes argues a call with an official during the second half of the Longhorns’ win over the Oklahoma Sooners in the quarterfinals of the NCAA men’s Big 12 basketball championship at the Sprint Center in Kansas City, Missouri, March 10, 2011. REUTERS/Dave Kaup (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL)

This series is sponsored by Miller High Life – The Official Beer Of You. Find out how you can get sponsored by Miller High Life.

There were three big, end-of-game calls on Sunday, and each was suspect in its own way.

The first came at the end of the North Carolina/Washington game. With his team trailing by three, Washington’s Venoy Overton heaved a shot from half court with his off hand because he thought he was going to get fouled by the North Carolina player. The foul never came and his shot fell short, glancing off the hands of UNC’s John Henson before landing out of bounds. The replay clearly showed the ball hit the floor with 1.2 seconds on the clock, but there was a lag between when the official finally blew his whistle and when the clock operator stopped the clock. It was still Washington’s ball, so they got that part right, but instead of having 1.2 seconds to get a shot off, the Huskies only had 0.5 seconds to work with. Washington’s coaching staff asked the officials about the time and were apparently told that it was correct. In other words, the refs didn’t even bother to go to the replay in this crucial situation to ensure that there was enough time on the clock.

With only 0.5 seconds on the clock, Washington chucked up a desperate two-pointer that fell short. Huskies lose, Tar Heels advance.

The second officiating fail came towards the end of the Syracuse/Marquette matchup with the game tied and less than a minute to play. It was Syracuse’s ball at midcourt. As the pass came in to an airborne Scoop Jardine, one of his feet landed on the halfcourt line. The ref saw that and called Syracuse for a backcourt violation.

Sounds fine, right? Wrong. The rule clearly states that an airborne player can land in the backcourt when the ball is being inbounded. It doesn’t matter if he jumped from the frontcourt to the backcourt, because he never established position with the ball in the frontcourt.

The ref gave the ball to Marquette, who took control of the game by promptly hitting a three-pointer on its next possession and went on to win by four points. Orangemen lose, Golden Eagles advance.

The final officiating fail was the worst. Texas led Arizona by two points with under 10 seconds to play, and the Longhorns were inbounding the ball on their own baseline. The ref tossed the ball to Cory Joseph and started his five count. When the official finished his fourth swing of the arm, Joseph turned to the ref and called a timeout. Only instead of granting it, the ref called a five second violation.

On the next play, Arizona’s Derrick Williams took the ball to the rim, scored and was fouled for a potential three-point play. He hit the free throw, giving his team the lead for good. Longhorns lose, Wildcats advance.

It’s never easy to be an official, but Sunday reminded us just how tough it is sometimes for the zebras to live the High Life.

Charles Barkley debates Rick Pitino about the Big East [video]

Rick Pitino joined the March Madness coverage and got into a little debate with Charles Barkely, who obviously isn’t a big fan of the Big East.

I love Pitino’s statement at 0:50 that “Notre Dame will not lose tonight” (to Florida St., whom they did lose to…badly).

The Big East is currently 9-9 in the tourney with two teams still alive (UConn and Marquette). Based purely on seeding, we would expect the conference to be 14-6 with five teams (Pitt, Notre Dame, Louisville, Syracuse and UConn) still alive. Barkley is right that the Big East didn’t have a powerhouse team like the Big Ten (Ohio St.) or the Big 12 (Kansas) does, but it is a good conference top to bottom. Marquette is a good example. They beat a solid Xavier team and then upset Syracuse. Sure, it would be more impressive had they beaten a non-Big East team to make it to the Sweet 16, but it’s still an impressive run for an 11-seed.

If UConn and Marquette go quietly into the dark night against SDSU and North Carolina, respectively, then we can really wonder about the conference’s strength, but if UConn wins and Marquette gives the Tar Heels a good game, isn’t that enough?

It’s interesting — when Barkley made that comment about the Big East having solid but unspectacular players, I looked at a first round mock over at NBADraft.net, and the only Big East player projected to go in the first round is Kemba Walker. (There are six Big East players projected to go in the second round.) DraftExpress also shows one first rounder (Walker) and six second rounders.

Jay Bilas probably summed it up best on Twitter:

Sweet 16 Sagarin & Pomeroy data

If you’ve read my annual March Madness bracket column or if you are a stathead in general, you’ll know what the title of this post means. If you don’t, check out my column and come back.

Here are the next eight matchups representing Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. The Sagarin advantage represents the spread in Jeff Sagarin’s predictor ratings. If the number is positive, it means that Team A is the Sagarin favorite. If the number is negative, then it means Team B (and the lower seed) is actually the favorite.

The Pomeroy % represents the chances that Team A will win the game according to Ken Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation.

Over the last four years, teams with a 2+ point advantage in Sagarin’s “predictor” rating have won 156 of 198 games (78.7%). Over the last two years, if a team had at least a 65% expected win rate according to Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation, they won 61 of 76 games (80.2%).

I’ve also included the spread for each game at the World Sports Exchange. Oftentimes the spread is very close to the Sagarin spread.

Team ATeam BSag AdvPom %Spread
San Diego StateConnecticut1.459.4%+1
FloridaBYU-2.543.7%-2.5
DukeArizona8.983.8%-9
WisconsinButler7.480.0%-4
North CarolinaMarquette3.063.6%-5
KansasRichmond9.782.0%-10.5
Ohio StateKentucky6.276.0%-5
Florida StateVCU3.964.7%-4

It’s interesting that Florida is a 2.5-point favorite according to the sportsbook even though they are a 2.5-point underdog according to Sagarin. That probably has to do with the sportsbook trying to take into account the loss of Brandon Davies, but his absence sure didn’t hurt BYU against Gonzaga.

Conversely, SDSU is a 1.0-point underdog despite being a Sagarin favorite.

Ref blows Syracuse over-and-back call [video]

It’s been a tough day to be a ref, but the officials blew another one, this time in the Syracuse/Marquette game.

The rule (4.3.8) states:

After a jump ball or during a throw-in, the player in his/her front court, who makes the initial touch on the ball while both feet are off the playing court, may be the first to secure control of the ball and land with one or both feet in the back court. It makes no difference if the first foot down was in the front court or back court.

Notice that both feet of Scoop Jardine are off the court, and as he catches the ball his foot lands on the line. This should have been a play on, but the ref called a backcourt violation.

The game was tied at 59-59 with 0:52 to play and Marquette hit a three-pointer on the next possession to take control of the game. Marquette won, 66-62.

« Older posts Newer posts »