Miami Heat’s Chris Bosh (L), LeBron James (C) and Dwyane Wade sit on the bench while their team plays the Toronto Raptors during the first half of their NBA basketball game in Toronto, April 13, 2011. REUTERS/Mark Blinch (CANADA – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL)
Here’s a look at each first round matchup, taking into account Dean Oliver’s Four Factors of winning:
1. offensive and defensive effective FG% (which weight three-point shots with an extra point)
2. turnover rate (percentage of possessions ending in a turnover, both on offense and defense)
3. offensive and defensive rebound rate (percentage of available rebounds on each end of the floor)
4. FTM/FGA (which shows how well a team gets points from the free throw line)
Since we’re using both offensive and defensive numbers, I’ll call them the Eight Factors.
I have also included pace (possessions per game) and offensive and defensive efficiency (points scored per 100 possessions) for reference. Below the two rows for the two teams is a third row that shows the difference in each category. A positive number is good for the first team listed (which will always be the higher seed). A negative number means the higher seed is worse in that category.
I’ll put the season series results in parenthesis next to each matchup.
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