My “Fade Material” in Week 1 actually wasn’t fade material at all, as I went 3-1 with my picks. I hit Boise State, Minnesota and Stanford, while Oregon ruined my shot at a perfect week. It’s a shame too because if you can’t trust a Duck, who can you trust?

TCU @ Air Force, 3:30PM ET
The Horned Frogs are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games against Air Force and 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. The Falcons, meanwhile, are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win and 1-6 ATS in their lat seven conference games. I just don’t see TCU starting the year 0-2 and this is practically a pick’em.
THE PICK: TCU -1

Alabama @ Penn State, 3:30PM ET
The Crimson Tide are 7-0 against the spread in their last seven non-conference games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in September. They’re also 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and 4-1 ATS in their lat five games as a favorite. ‘Bama proved last year that Penn State didn’t belong on the same field as them and while things could be different this time around with the Nittany Lions play at home, I like the Tide defense to dominate in this one.
THE PICK: ALABAMA -10

South Carolina @ Georgia, 4:30PM ET
Nothing says Georgia in this one, as the Gamecocks are 3-0-1 against the spread in their last four games against South Carolina and 4-1 ATS in their last five road games versus UGA. The road team is also 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams and the Bulldogs fail every big test they face nowadays (see the Boise loss last weekend). That said, I think Georgia gets it done between the hedges this afternoon. They’re freaking due.
THE PICK: GEORGIA +3

BYU @ Texas, 7:00PM ET
The Longhorns are 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 non-conference games and 4-12 ATS in their lat 16 games overall. BYU, meanwhile, is 5-1 ATS in their lat six non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. With rumors swirling that the Big 12 Conference is about to fall apart, this may be the first of many meetings between BYU and Texas. I like the Cougars to keep things close today.
THE PICK: BYU +7.5