Fade Material: College Football Week 11 Predictions

Penn State University head coach Joe Paterno looks toward the scoreboard during his team’s game against the University of Illinois in their NCAA football game in Champaign, Illinois October 3, 2009. REUTERS/Jeff Haynes (UNITED STATES SPORT FOOTBALL)

Technically I went 2-2 last Saturday but I did produce this gem, which was worth another win in my eyes:

My 2-2 effort last week puts me at 21-13-2 ATS for the season. Again, chances are two of these four picks will be winners while two will be losers. Soooo, have fun with that.

My two winners? Iowa (+4) and UCLA (+8.5). My two losers? Alabama (-4.5) and Texas A&M (+14).

My latest .500 week puts me at 23-15-2 on the season and once again, if you can figure out which two picks will hit and which two won’t, you’ll have a 4-0 Saturday. It’s like a game. A twisted, nauseating game.

Nebraska @ Penn State, 12:00PM ET
One of two things are going to happen this week at University Park. Either Penn State is going to play the most inspired football of the season or the Jerry Sandusky/Joe Paterno fiasco is going to bury them. I’m banking on the latter, which is why I’m riding the brutal-against-the-spread Huskers this week. Nebraska will be fired up and while Penn State may show plenty of emotion at the start, I think they’ll run out of steam eventually.

Michigan @ Illinois, 3:30PM ET
I’m going right back to the well in picking against Michigan. Outside of trouncing Northwestern, the Wolverines have played poorly in two of their three road games this season. While Illinois is going backwards, this is a good opportunity for the Illini to snap their current three-game losing streak. They also seem to play Michigan tough, which is supported by their 4-1 record against the spread in the last five games these two teams have met.

Louisiana Tech @ Ole Miss, 7:30PM ET
I’m choking on chalk this week but I really love this matchup. Some bettors will look at this game and all they’ll see is the WAC vs. the SEC, and the fact that Ole Miss is getting points at home. But in some respects, this is the Bulldogs’ season. They take down a SEC opponent on the road and regardless of whether or not they catch Nevada, their season will be a success. As for the Rebels, will their hearts even be in this one? They’ve been terrible all year and now they have a non-conference game that means absolutely nothing to them. Even though LA Tech is favored, I like the Dogs in an “upset.”

Hawaii @ Nevada, 10:15PM ET
I’m choking on chalk this week. Hawaii has had issues coming to the mainland, as evidence of its embarrassing 40-20 loss to UNLV in Week 3. UNLV is one of the worst teams in college football this season and it steamrolled a Warrior team that was a 17-point favorite. Nevada is 4-1 against the spread in its last five home games against Hawaii and the home squad is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. I hate that the line is a full point and a half above the key number of 14 but I like the Wolf Pack anyway.

Check out College Football Point Spreads at Bullz-Eye.com.

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Candlelight vigil at Penn State

More than 10,000 Penn State students show their support for the victims of a Penn State child sex abuse scandal at a peaceful gathering in front of Old Main on Penn State’s campus in State College, Pennsylvania on November 11, 2011. A candlelight vigil for the alleged victims of former assistant football coach Jerry Sandusky was held instead of a pep rally for the football game against Nebraska. Long-time head coach Joe Paterno lost his job in the wake of the allegations. UPI/Archie Carpenter

After some Penn State students acted like idiots on Wednesday by staging violent protests after Joe Paterno was fired, many more students did the right thing and tried to show their support for the alleged victims of Jerry Sandusky. An estimated 10,000 students gathered for a candlelight vigil on campus last night.

Penn State plays Nebraska today in a game that has Big Ten implications, but everyone will be focused on the crowd and how everyone reacts. Let’s hope that the class showed last night is repeated again today at the game.

Joe Paterno fired

Penn State University head coach Joe Paterno. REUTERS/Jeff Haynes (UNITED STATES SPORT FOOTBALL)

The Penn State trustees met tonight and fired Joe Paterno. University president Graham Spanier chose to resign today when faced with potential dismissal.

It’s a stunning development given Paterno’s power at Penn State, but it seems like the only possible choice that the trustees could make. The staggering abdication of responsibility at Penn State in light of the allegations against Jerry Sandusky had to be dealt with. It might even be worse, as the bizarre silence by Penn State officials in 2002 and during subsequent years raises all sorts of questions about that motivated these men to avoid bringing in the police.

It’s the right decision. Letting Paterno coach on Saturday with the pageantry of a college football game in light of the pain suffered by children as a result of his silence seemed like a gross injustice.

Penn State: “A Conspiracy of Cowardice”

Penn State head coach Joe Paterno. REUTERS/Scott Audette (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL)

I’m listening to ESPN, and Jay Bilas, probably the best commentator on that network, just used the phrase “conspiracy of cowardice” to describe the stunning chain of events at Penn State. It’s the best description I’ve heard so far on this mess.

We’ll see how the facts play out, as the “conspiracy” might be even worse if we find out that there was a deliberate cover-up.

But the “cowardice” is clear.

More details emerge in Jerry Sandusky scandal

More sordid details are starting to come out regarding the horrible crimes alleged against Jerry Sandusky. The presentment filed by the prosecutors was horrifying and has sparked outrage around the country against those at Penn State who had opportunities to stop this. Now more details are being disclosed.

Two mothers of the victims are speaking out, and their stories are heartbreaking. The courage displayed by their sons who suffered this abuse is truly heroic, especially when compared to the cowardice of Penn State officials. This is a must-read.

Also, the number of victims may now be up to around 20 as more people come forward. If the allegations already filed against Jerry Sandusky are true, then we can expect this number to keep growing.

When you read the account of the two mothers linked above, you see up-close the devastating effects of sweeping these allegations under the rug. When a predator is not stopped, the victims just pile up.

It’s hard to imagine a scenario where Joe Paterno survives this scandal. He wanted to speak yesterday but the university cancelled the news conference. Paterno’s initial statement indicated the we should all let the legal process play out, but the legal process should have begun back in 2002. When one considers Joe Paterno’s obsessive drive to cling to his job and break the all-time win records, he has to answer the most difficult question – Did he stay quiet in 2002 so that he could keep coaching? The current facts suggest that’s exactly what happened.

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