The NBA’s Top 10 Franchise Players Posted by John Paulsen (03/24/2011 @ 1:54 pm) Miami Heat forward LeBron James (R) is defended by Oklahoma City Thunder forward Kevin Durant (L) in the first quarter during their NBA basketball game in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, January 30 2011. REUTERS/Bill Waugh (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL) When I originally debuted this list almost two years ago, I took some (surprisingly angry) flack for not settling on a 10th player and for ranking a few guys too high. The idea for the list sprung from a conversation that I regularly have with a buddy when we are tipping back a few adult beverages: If you could have one current NBA player to build your franchise around, with the goal of winning a NBA title in the next five years – who would it be? Here’s who I had almost two years ago: 10. Dirk Nowitzki, Carmelo Anthony, Carlos Boozer, Chris Bosh, Kevin Garnett, Joe Johnson, Paul Pierce, Tim Duncan and Tony Parker (A reader named “all” was very upset that I couldn’t pick a #10 guy. He’s probably still upset about it.) 9. Derrick Rose 8. Brandon Roy 7. Deron Williams 6. Chris Paul 5. Kevin Durant 4. Dwight Howard 3. Kobe Bryant 2. Dwyane Wade 1. LeBron James I took some heat for including Rose, but obviously he has panned out very well and is likely to win the league MVP this season. Roy’s knees have killed his stock. The other seven picks look pretty solid. So let’s take another stab at this. Remember, we’re trying to win a title in the next five years, so youth and health is paramount. Honorable Mention: Carmelo Anthony (defense), Amare Stoudemire (defense, age, knees), Pau Gasol (age), Tyreke Evans (regressing) Tim Duncan (age), Dirk Nowitzki (age), Paul Pierce (age), Rajon Rondo (moody, in a funk since Kendrick Perkins trade) and Kevin Garnett (age).
NOT QUITE WORTH MAX MONEY…YET 12. John Wall (20 years-old) All right, I’m projecting a little bit here, but it worked with Derrick Rose and I think Wall has a chance to be in the same league. Check out his month-by-month stats over the course of his rookie season: Month | G | Min | FG % | REB | AST | STL | TO | PTS |
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October | 2 | 39.0 | 0.417 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 21.0 | November | 8 | 38.1 | 0.430 | 3.8 | 9.1 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 17.3 | December | 9 | 34.4 | 0.383 | 4.2 | 7.6 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 13.7 | January | 16 | 38.4 | 0.388 | 4.2 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 13.9 | February | 12 | 36.3 | 0.421 | 4.9 | 7.9 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 16.5 | March | 11 | 41.4 | 0.411 | 6.0 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 4.4 | 19.1 |
So he burst into the league with a good October and November, but struggled a bit over the next two months as teams had a chance to game plan for him. Then in February and March, he’s able to counter that and get back to his early-season numbers. Great sign. He’s an outstanding playmaker (9.1+ assists in 2-of-5 months) and is lightning quick. His rookie numbers are very similar to Rose’s, only he’s averaging 2.4 more assists per game. He’d likely be the Rookie of the Year if Blake Griffin hadn’t blown out his knee last season. In three or four years he might be vying for best point guard in the league honors. Read the rest of this entry » Posted in: Fantasy Basketball, NBA Tags: 2010-11 NBA season, Amare Stoudemire, Carmelo Anthony, Chris Paul, Deron Williams, Derrick Rose, Dirk Nowitzki, Dwight Howard, Dwyane Wade, John Paulsen, Kevin Durant, Kevin Garnett, Kobe Bryant, LeBron James, max contracts, Paul Pierce, statistical studies, Tim Duncan
Who is going to win the 2010-11 NBA MVP? Posted by John Paulsen (03/09/2011 @ 1:40 pm) Orlando Magic center Dwight Howard scores during the third quarter against the Chicago Bulls at the United Center in Chicago on December 1, 2010. The Magic won 107-78. UPI/Brian Kersey About this time every year, the MVP discussion really heats up. This season, it seems like it’s a two-man race between LeBron James and Derrick Rose, but I think there are a few other players that deserve consideration. Using the same methodology that I used for my All-Star picks, let’s narrow down the league MVP candidates and see who should be on the short list. I like to use the NBA’s Efficiency statistic, which rolls points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, turnovers, missed shots and missed free throws into one number for comparison purposes. It’s not perfect, but no statistic is. I take a player’s per game efficiency (adjusted for team pace, because a player should not be penalized because his team plays at a slow pace) and multiply by his team’s winning percentage to calculate his Adjusted Efficiency. This is a number that takes both performance and team success into account. Let’s take a look… Read the rest of this entry » Dwight Howard on the Cavs’ decision to acquire Shaq Posted by John Paulsen (08/03/2010 @ 12:15 pm) When asked about the Hawks possibly signing Shaq to match up with the Magic, Dwight Howard had this to say to the Atlanta Journal Constitution… “That’s only four games out of the season. You have to look long term and what’s best for your team. Cleveland got Shaq to match up with the Magic. They also got Antawn Jamison to match up with the Magic. But they didn’t even play the Magic. They played Boston [and lost]. You match up for the league, not just one team.”
The Cavs were eliminated by the Magic in the playoffs the year before, so it’s understandable why they would want to improve their roster with a possible rematch in mind. The Celtics looked like they were getting old very quickly, so they weren’t deemed the threat that the Magic were. That was obviously a big mistake. I’m interested to find out why the Cavs weren’t able to acquire Amare Stoudemire. He was available for almost two years during the span when the Cavs were retooling their roster and would have seemingly been a very nice fit in the pick-and-roll with LeBron. Hopefully someday Danny Ferry will speak out on the subject because his word is about the only one I trust in this whole mess. Posted in: NBA, News, Rumors & Gossip Tags: 2010 NBA free agency, 2010 NBA free agents, Atlanta Hawks, Cleveland Cavaliers, Dwight Howard, LeBron James, Miami Heat, Orlando Magic, Shaquille O'Neal, Summer of 2010, Super Friends
Dwight Howard working with ‘The Dream’ Posted by John Paulsen (07/21/2010 @ 2:45 pm) 
Orlando Pinstriped Post reports that Dwight Howard is working with Hakeem Olajuwon to develop his post game. Nearly two weeks ago, when word surfaced that Orlando Magic center Dwight Howard would spend some of his offseason training with 2008 Hall-of-Fame inductee Hakeem Olajuwon, the whole situation felt surreal. Magic fans had expressed their wish for Howard to learn from Olajuwon, via message boards and blog comments sections, for years. And last night, Howard caused a bit of a stir, which included the usual bevy of negative comments from some of his followers, when he posted a photo of himself with the legendary center.
Howard’s post game has progressed somewhat since he’s entered the league. He still has very little touch, but he looks comfortable when he takes his little jumphook with either hand. The problem is accuracy (and touch) and that comes with repetition. But Howard has always been more of a bodybuilder than a basketball player. He does not have the natural grace of Olajuwon. He’s big, strong and mechanical, not unlike Shaq in his early years. Eventually, Shaq developed a couple of post moves and he became unstoppable. With practice, Howard can do the same thing. A relationship with Olajuwon (which should have started five years ago) is a good first step. But sometimes it takes an event to make a player realize just how far he has to go, and the Magic’s loss to the Celtics in the playoffs — when Howard’s post game was a virtual non-factor — seemingly gave Howard the reality check he needed. He’s never going to turn into Tim Duncan, but if he can become Dwight Howard with a couple of go-to post moves, that will be plenty. Vince Carter expected to be back with the Magic Posted by John Paulsen (06/01/2010 @ 12:15 pm) Over the weekend, I outlined the Magic’s options with regard to Vince Carter, but it looks like GM Otis Smith is intent on keeping him around, assuming he’s being forthcoming (which is not his strong suit). Carter is expected to remain with the Magic through next season, according to Smith. Carter, 33, fell short of being the go-to guy that many expected. “I think that Vince will tell you he’d like to have had a better season, but I’m not putting it on one guy. We failed as a unit,” Smith said. Carter has an expiring contract next season at $17 million — salary-cap friendly for other teams in a trade. But Smith said he “anticipates” Carter staying the entire season. Asked about the prospect of being dealt, Carter told the Sentinel, “I’m not worried about that. I know how the business works. I think I can stand on my body of work.”
When asked how close he thought the Magic were to winning a title, Smith responded: General Manager Otis Smith put his thumb and index finger together and there was very little space left in between. “Getting better for us, you’re talking one-eighth of an inch, not two feet,” Smith said Monday as the Magic met for the last time until training camp in October.
Hmm. I’m not sure how you can see this season as progress when you were nearly swept in the Eastern Conference Finals a year after losing 4-1 in the Finals with two of those losses coming in overtime. Unless, of course, you’re a general manager and want to spin the job you’ve done over the last year. By nearly any measure, the Magic are further away from a title than they were a year ago and that has a lot to do with the addition of Vince Carter. For the sake of Magic fans everywhere, I sure hope that Smith is blowing smoke. Photo from fOTOGLIF
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