Tag: Denver Broncos (Page 8 of 56)

Fade Material: 2011 NFL Week 4 Predictions

Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton passes on the sidelines as the Panthers play the Green Bay Packers in an NFL football game in Charlotte, North Carolina on September 18, 2011. UPI/Nell Redmond .

Two weeks ago I was a flaming pile of horse dung. Last week, I went 3-1 as the Raiders, Seahawks and Bears/Packers under all hit. My lone loss was the Patriots, who choked away a 21-0 lead in Buffalo.

What does all this mean? I’m ready for my first 4-0 Sunday! Or, more than likely, another 0-4 day. Either way it’ll be fun…

Lions @ Cowboys, 1:00PM ET
Something’s fishy about this line. The public is all over the 3-0 Lions, especially with how poorly the Cowboys played on Monday night in a win over the Redskins. Yet Detroit goes from +1 to +2.5 the night before the game? Give me the Cowboys, who are 7-3-1 against the spread in their last 11 games. (The home team is also 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between these two teams.)
THE PICK: COWBOYS –2.5

Panthers @ Bears, 1:00PM ET
Cam Newton has been a big-time surprise so far but I think the Bears’ Tampa 2 will give him problems today in Chicago. That defense is designed to take away the big play, which has been a staple of Newton’s game early on. The Bears have always played better at home and I like the fact that the spread is below the key number of 7. The Bears are 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six games as a favorite, while the Panthers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last four road games.
THE PICK: BEARS –6.5

Giants @ Cardinals, 4:05PM ET
Eli Manning and the Giants looked fantastic against the Eagles last Sunday in Philadelphia, so it’s only natural that he and New York will struggle against a 1-2 Cardinals team today. This is another spread that doesn’t make much sense. The Giants opened as a 3-point favorite and despite a public backing, it’s dropped to New York –1. Kevin Kolb is familiar with the Giants’ defense from his days in Philadelphia and I think that experience will play out today in an outright Arizona victory.
THE PICK: CARDINALS +1

Broncos @ Packers, 4:15PM ET
I don’t like this spread either. The Broncos are vastly inferior to the Packers and yet the line continues to drop. The spread opened at Green Bay –13.5 and is now down to 12. Who on earth is taking Denver in this matchup? Better yet, who is betting against Green Bay? The line movement doesn’t make sense and when that happens, I like going against the grain. A week after winning an emotional back-and-forth battle against the Saints, the Packers found themselves down 10-0 to the Panthers and didn’t cover. Now they’re coming off a physical road win against a divisional opponent (the Bears) and face a non-conference team that’s 1-2. I think this one stays within 10 points.
THE PICK: BRONCOS +12

Last Week: 3-1
Season: 5-7

Check out Bullz-Eye.com for a complete list of NFL Week 4 odds.

Broncos want premium pick for Orton?

Denver Broncos quarterback Kyle Orton (L) scrambles away from New York Jets safety Eric Smith (33) in their NFL football game in Denver October 17, 2010. REUTERS/Rick Wilking (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL)

NFL.com’s Jason La Canfora writes that the Broncos aren’t going to part with quarterback Kyle Orton for a third or fourth round pick like some are suggesting.

There’s no doubt Orton’s internal value is high and his $8.5 million contract is sufficiently low. You can have him at the right price — Denver is obviously rebuilding, needs picks and Orton is in the final year of his extension — but it won’t be cheap.

If the right call comes in and the offer is strong, it will be considered, according to sources. But the idea that a third- or fourth-round pick might get it done is woefully misguided. A high second-round pick that converts to a first-rounder based on production, now that could be a different story.

La Canfora can be shaky at times when it comes to projections for players or teams, but he speaks the truth here.

Let’s not make Orton out to be Peyton Manning. Peyton he is not. But surround him with enough talent in the offense and the guy can win. During his three seasons with the Bears, he was 21-12 as a starter. In 2009, his first year in Denver, he threw for 3,802 yards, completed 62.1% of his passes and finished with an 86.8 QB rating. Last year, he finished with an 87.5 QB rating.

No, Peyton he is not. But the guy is serviceable and he’s a starting quarterback in the league. As La Canfora points out, he has value to the Broncos and they’re not going to trade him away for third or fourth round pick just because Tim Tebow is waiting in the wings. Teams often have success when they can foster competition all over their roster – especially at quarterback.

Granted, if the Broncos can get a second, or a second that converts to a first like La Canfora suggests, then by all means: trade him. But until then there’s no point in giving him away for spare parts.

Cardinals interested in Kyle Orton?

Denver Broncos quarterback Kyle Orton (L) is about to get sacked by Arizona Cardinals Clark Haggans (R) during the first quarter of the Cards Broncos game at the University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ December 12,2010. UPI/Art Foxall

According to Rotoworld (via 3TV News in Phoenix), the Cardinals have had preliminary contact with the Broncos about quarterback Kyle Orton’s availability.

Profootballtalk’s Gregg Rosenthal has it on good authority that teams can discuss trades “generally” even if following through isn’t yet allowed. Neither team is breaking the rules by engaging in hot-stove talk. The Broncos reportedly believe the Cardinals’ interest in Orton is strictly as a “Plan B” in case a deal can’t be worked out for Kevin Kolb. It’s refreshing to hear Arizona’s fallback plan is more than just a wink-and-nod understanding with Marc Bulger.

Orton would certainly be a better option than Bulger, who hasn’t taken a snap since 2009 and hasn’t been effective since 2006. Orton can put up good numbers in any offense and would probably flourish with a couple of key playmakers around him. As Rotoworld points out, he would be a nice fallback option for the Cards if they couldn’t acquire Kevin Kolb from Philly.

Tim Tebow to start next year for the Broncos?

Denver Broncos rookie QB Tim Tebow watches the defense play against the Oakland Raiders at the Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, California on December 19, 2010. Tebow ran for 78 yards and a TD in the Broncos 39-23 loss to the Raiders. UPI/Terry Schmitt

While he did state that the youngster would compete with Kyle Orton this offseason, Broncos VP John Elway reiterated that he wants Tim Tebow to be the team’s starting quarterback in 2011.

“I think where we are as an organization, we are going with Tim,” Elway said, this coming after he described himself as being Tebow’s “biggest fan” before the draft last week.

Tebow appreciated Elway’s comments.

“To have John Elway say positive things about you is just amazing. He’s played the game at the highest level possible, and I’m excited because he’s going to be a great asset for me.”

Elway has told Tebow that in order for the Broncos to become Super Bowl champions, the former Heisman winner will have to perfect his throwing motion, improve his accuracy and prove he can win from the pocket. While Elway does believe that Tebow can accomplish these things, he doesn’t want to set a timetable for when it will happen.

I had my reservations about the Broncos trading back into the first round last year in order to take Tebow. But the kid is a natural winner and a football player through and through. The Broncos don’t ever have to worry about Tebow going the JaMarcus Russell route and not working at his craft. I don’t know Tebow personally but I can envision him on a field somewhere right now throwing to receivers and committing every mistake to memory so that he doesn’t make them again. He’s a tireless worker.

Of course, just because he’s willing to put in the time doesn’t mean he’ll make stides in order to lead the Broncos to the promise land. But at least he knows he has the organization’s support, which is huge for a young quarterback. Now it’s up to Denver’s new coaching staff to do everything in its power to put Tebow in the right position to succeed.

Broncos to take linebacker Von Miller at No. 2?

NFL Network’s Kara Henderson is reporting that Texas A&M linebacker Von Miller may have surpassed Alabama defensive tackle Marcell Dareus as the favorite for the Broncos at No. 2 overall.

From Rotoworld:

“What we’re hearing right now,” said Henderson, “(is) the room may be shifting” toward Miller. According to Henderson, the Broncos believe Miller “can be a four-down player,” contributing on all three defensive downs as well as on special teams. Frankly, we’re not buying it. As good as Miller projects to be, he’s not a particularly good scheme fit for Denver’s new 4-3 defense. They also have much bigger needs inside.

Scouts have pointed out that Miller has trouble stacking up in the run game and lacks power to shed blocks. Thus, Rotoworld would be correct in their assessment that Miller wouldn’t be a fit for Denver in a 4-3 alignment. He would arguably be a better fit as a pass rushing outside linebacker in a 3-4.

I’m going to compile my final mock on Thursday morning (I know most of you can’t stand the anticipation, but try to get some sleep tonight…) but I like Dareus to Denver at No. 2 and Miller to Arizona at No. 5. Miller would seemingly be a great fit in the Cardinals’ 3-4 multiple front and they could certainly use a pass-rusher.

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