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Fantasy Football Auction Strategy

Snake drafts are simple, easy to understand and organized.

Auctions are not.

They are haphazard and chaotic, and that’s part of what makes them so much fun.

Want the consensus top fantasy player in the league? He’s yours…if you’re willing to pay. You’re not beholden to a certain draft slot or to the whim of the guy picking in front of you. It’s your team and the decisions you make will completely shape your roster, for good or for bad.

Auctions come in all shapes and sizes, but for the past couple of seasons I’ve played in one where each team has a $400 salary cap and a roster of 20-22 players. It’s a slow online auction. Every day, each owner is responsible for nominating one player along with an opening bid, which can’t be seen by the other owners in the league. Bidding is open for 24 hours, unless the high bidder changes, in which case the clock is reset. At any particular time there might be 20 or 30 players up for bidding, but the slow format gives owners plenty of time to consider their options.

I generally budget 85-90% of my total cap for my starters. This way, I have already accounted for some extra funds to acquire some cheap backups in the later part of the auction. This might seem like a lot to spend on your starters, but these are the guys that are playing week in and week out, so it’s smart to put the vast majority of your resources to that end.

When approaching an auction there are two prevailing strategies to consider when bidding on players:

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Holliday hoping to stay in St. Louis long-term

Matt Holliday told KSLG 1380 AM in St. Louis that he’s hoping to stay with the Cardinals long-term. Holliday is a free agent after this season.

From MLB Trade Rumors.com:

“That would be really exciting for me to get a chance to be here and play next to Albert [Pujols] along with the rest of these guys and to do some special things over the next however many years,” Holliday said. “Hopefully this will be a long-term relationship.”

He hasn’t begun negotiating an extension with the team, but says there’s a chance he signs one before the season’s over.

“Hopefully there’ll be some progress and hopefully I’ll be able to stick around here for a long time.”
Holliday, who will turn 30 this offseason, makes $13.5MM this year. His improved offensive stats and strong outfield defense will likely make him one of most highly coveted free agents after the season if he doesn’t sign an extension first.

With how well Holliday has played since arriving in St. Louis, it appears that he and the Cards are a match made in baseball heaven. He offers the club protection behind Pujols in the lineup and also gives them a major upgrade defensively over Chris Duncan, who had been the Cards starting left fielder before Holliday was acquired.

Unless another team (the Yankees?) swoop in and blow Holliday away with a contract, it appears that he’ll be a Cardinal long-term.

Judge approves Vick’s bankruptcy plan

After multiple attempts, a judge has finally approved Michael Vick’s plan to get out of $20 million of debt.

From ESPN.com:

U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Frank Santoro said while Vick is “at the pinnacle of his profession,” he has proven unable to manage his finances in the past and ordered him to retain a financial planner as a condition of the plan. The plan was overwhelmingly approved in a ballot of creditors.

Vick, 29, hustled away from the courthouse with his fiancee, Kijafa Frink, to catch a flight back to Philadelphia and make his debut with the Eagles in a preseason game.
“I’m happy it’s over. I can move on with my life,” Vick said.

“I’m excited about the game,” he said. Asked if he was nervous, he said, “Not at all.”

The plan approved by Santoro was supported by all creditors or representatives in court, save for one creditor owed $13,000. It hinges on Vick liquidating an estimated $9 million in assets, including houses, boats and high-end sport utility vehicles. He would not have to pay creditors during the first year with the Eagles.

Vick is “at the pinnacle of his profession?” Uh, okay.

The only reason this deal was approved was because Vick signed a two-year (the second year is a team option) contract with the Eagles. Had he not been signed, I don’t know how Vick would have been approved since he was denied multiple times before today.

From a football standpoint, it’ll be interesting to see how Vick fairs tonight. Even though Andy Reid says that Vick has looked good in practice, he’s been out of the league for two years so it stands to reason that the game will look fast to him tonight. Can he still get out of the pocket? Does he still have the zip on his passes? Can he absorb a hit?

Stay tuned.

Industry Insiders Fantasy League: Round 9

To start with Round 1 (and see the scoring system and roster requirements), click here.

My team so far: 1. Chris Johnson, 2. Steve Smith, 3. Ronnie Brown, 4. Marshawn Lynch, 5. Santana Moss, 6. Tony Romo, 7. Greg Olsen, 8. Jerricho Cotchery

When I took Lynch back in the 4th, I knew I was going to have to back him up with Fred Jackson, probably in the 9th. This is the downside to drafting Lynch this year. Unless you have another RB (or WR, if you’re league utilizes a flex) to start in his place for the first three weeks, you may find yourself in a tough spot. No one wants to start out the season 0-3.

That said, Jackson is one of the league’s better backups and if Lynch were to miss significant time, he could step in and be a quality fantasy starter.

Round 9, Pick 8: Fred Jackson, RB

Here’s how the entire round went: 97) Devin Hester, 98) Laveranues Coles, 99) Ahmad Bradshaw, 100) Dustin Keller, 101) Chester Taylor, 102) Michael Crabtree, 103) Willis McGahee, 104) Fred Jackson, 105) Justin Gage, 106) Ted Ginn, 107) Darren Sproles, 108) Laurence Maroney

I would have liked to nab Ginn here, but I couldn’t risk letting Jackson fall to another owner. Besides, there are still a few up-and-coming WRs that I like in the upcoming rounds.

Click here to see all of my round-by-round picks.

2009 CFB Preview: Penn State Nittany Lions

Check out our other 2009 college football previews.

Preseason Ranking: No. 9 in AP Top 25; No. 8 in USA Today Poll.

Key Returning Players: Evan Royster (RB); Stephon Green (RB); Daryll Clark (QB); Mickey Shuler (TE); Dennis Landolt (OT); Stefen Wisniewski (G); Navorro Bowman (LB); Josh Hull (LB); Jared Odrick (DT); Ollie Ogbu (DT); Drew Astorino (S).

Key Losses: Deon Butler (WR); Aaron Maybin (DE); Jordan Norwood (WR); Derrick Williams (WR); Gerald Cadogan (OT); A.Q. Scirrotto (C); Tony Davis (CB); Lydell Sargeant (CB); Maurice Evans (DE); Josh Gaines (DE); Rich Ohrnberger (G); Mark Rubin (S); Tyrell Sales (LB).

Player to Watch: Navorro Bowman, LB.
Quarterback Daryll Clark and running back Evan Royster are just as deserving to be mentioned here, but Bowman is one of the best linebackers in the nation and arguably the best defender in the Big Ten. He made the most of his playing time opportunities last year after Dan Connor was drafted and Sean Lee was out with an injury. In his first start of the season, Bowman recorded 11 tackles, five tackles-for-loss, three sacks, a forced fumble and an interception in a 45-3 trouncing of Temple in Week 4. That performance lifted him to a fantastic ’08 campaign, one that was capped with him being named a consensus First Team All-Big Ten player. Now a redshirt junior, Bowman is looking to gain superstar status and get nationally recognized as one of the best linebackers in the country.

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