Author: John Paulsen (Page 672 of 937)

Waiver Wire Watch: Preseason

Every week, I highlight a few players that you should target in waivers. I’ll use the ESPN league data when filtering players, so the only players eligible for discussion here are those that are available on the waiver wire of at least 50% of ESPN’s leagues. I’ll list each player’s percentage-owned after their name so you have an idea of how available they are in leagues around the country. I’ll always try to mention a player or two that are available in 90% of leagues for those of you in 12-team leagues or leagues with big rosters.

QUARTERBACKS

Jeff Garcia (28.6) was QB19 last season, which isn’t great, but it’s solid enough to earn a roster spot. Plus, his early schedule is pretty easy and he doesn’t have a tough passing matchup until Week 7, when the Bucs face the Seahawks… Chad Pennington (13.2) leads a pretty bad Miami team that should be trailing most of the time. The Dolphins do have a decent running game and an up-and-coming receiver (Ted Ginn), so Pennington has a few weapons to work with… J.T. O’Sullivan (10.3) is worth a flier (and a roster spot) in bigger leagues just because of the upside of playing in Mike Martz’s offense… Joe Flacco (2.7) was just named the starter in Baltimore, so if you’re desperate at QB, at least he’s a starter.

RUNNING BACKS

Steve Slaton (28.1) is worth a roster spot in most leagues. Ahman Green is semi-healthy, but Slaton figures to see some time even with Green in the starting role. He’s speedy and slight, but if he earns a larger role, he can help fantasy owners… Andre Hall (9.8) should get some goal line carries since Selvin Young isn’t really built for short yardage work. Hall is a good way to make a small gamble on the Denver running game, which is always very productive. If Young falters, Hall is next in line… Antonio Pittman (1.4) is Steven Jackson’s backup, and with Jackson’s holdout, there’s a decent chance that he’ll miss some time with injury this season. Pittman stands to benefit the most if that were to happen.

WIDE RECEIVERS

DeSean Jackson (48.4), Vincent Jackson (47.9) and Ronald Curry (35.9) should all be rostered in most leagues. DeSean Jackson may not start, but Donovan McNabb likes to spread the ball around and Jackson has already earned a prominent role in the slot. It’s going to be interesting to see how the Chargers use V. Jackson. Is Chris Chambers truly WR1 in San Diego or will Jackson make a push this season? Ronald Curry is the best that JaMarcus Russell has to throw to in the Raider passing game… Eddie Royal (13.9) is a rookie, but he’s listed as the starter opposite Brandon Marshall, so he should have a productive season… Chris Henry (12.6) would become a solid WR2 (as solid as Henry can be, anyway) if Chad Johnson’s shoulder becomes a problem… Justin Gage (12.4) is a sleeper in bigger PPR leagues. He can make the tough catch in traffic and the Titans are hurting for playmakers in the passing game… The Eagles plan to start Hank Baskett (2.2) at split end, so he will have the opportunity to make a name for himself.

TIGHT END

L.J. Smith (25.0) isn’t getting much love this preseason, but when he’s healthy, he’s a top-flight backup and a borderline starter… Zach Miller (16.3) is athletic and has great hands. Given Oakland’s dearth of options in the passing game, JaMarcus Russell should look his way early and often… Dustin Keller (13.7) saw his stock rise with the arrival of Brett Favre, who loves to throw to his tight end. Keller isn’t physical, so he’ll probably be used as a receiver, especially around the goal line… Last time I checked, Desmond Clark (4.6) is still the starting tight end in Chicago, and given the Bears’ sketchy receiver corps, Clark may have the best hands of them all.

My first “Insiders League” draft

I was recently invited to join an “Insiders League” that was sponsored by the Fantasy Sports Writers of America. Maybe it was (ahem) my superior fantasy knowledge, maybe it was my award-winning article, or maybe they just needed a warm body to fill out the league. (I’m betting on the latter, though I’ll make the most of any opportunity to mention my award-winning article. By the way, did I mention I won an award?)

Anyway, there were representatives from Fanball, Footballguys, The Roto Expert, the Fantasy Football Times, among others. I debated whether or not to actually write about this draft, as one of the owners was on auto-draft and it kind of messed up the flow of things. But I figured that happens in regular drafts too, so what the heck.

I had the #10 pick and I was none too happy about it. It’s a tough year to have a late first round pick, though it’s generally not a good position in any draft. If you’re sharp, you can put a good team together, but the chips are stacked against you from the start. Whatever owner is lucky enough to draft #1 overall is going to get three of the top 25 picks, and since most of the second round guys are so similar, it’s really his league to lose if he makes good decisions at the 2/3 turn.

But I was determined to make the best of it, and here’s how the draft went.

1.10: Clinton Portis, RB
The way I see the first round, there are eight can’t-miss RBs: LT, Westy, AP, Addai, Jackson, Barber, Portis and Gore. I’m not as high on Gore as the rest of the fantasy community, but I would have been okay with him at #10. Moss and Lynch went ahead of me, so I had to decide between Portis and Brady, and decided to go RB.

2.03: Larry Fitzgerald, WR
I was hoping that Wayne would slip, but he went 2.01. At that point, I was looking at either Fitzy or Reggie Bush. I’m in a number of drafts this year and have gone RB/RB in the first two rounds most of the time, so I thought I’d switch it up and go with a WR in this draft. (By the way, this is a PPR league requiring two starting RBs, three starting WRs, a TE and a flex spot, so WRs are pretty important.)

3.10: Steve Smith, WR
Smith was a late second round guy before the two-game suspension, so with Jamal Lewis and Ryan Grant off the board, I decided to go WR again. I thought about Earnest Graham and Jason Witten, but thought that one or both would be on the board at 4.03.

(The LT owner went with a Maroney/AJ combo at 2.12/3.01, which is strong if the Pats elect to use Maroney at the goal line. I don’t think they will, but you never know.)

4.03: Ben Roethlisberger, QB
Oops, Graham and Witten (along with Jacobs and Burress) went at the turn, so my only attractive option was Big Ben. I think there’s a drop-off after the top six QBs – Brady, Manning, Romo, Brees, Roethlisberger and Palmer – so I think it’s important to get one of those this season. Besides, the RBs that were available – McFadden, TJ, Fast Willie, Ronnie Brown – weren’t that attractive, not when I could get Edge or Selvin Young at 5.10.

5.10: Dwayne Bowe, WR
Oops. (Noticing a trend here?) Selvin went 5.02 and Edge went 5.08, so I took the best player available. Bowe had a tremendous rookie season and I think he’s in for big things in 2008. At this point, I realize that I am really hurting at RB but am stacked at WR. I thought about taking LenDale here, but I was (justifiably, it turns out) worried about Chris Johnson eating into his carries. Besides, White will be there at 6.03, right?

6.03: Jerricho Cotchery, WR
Wrong. White went on the turn, which turned out to be a blessing in disguise. Regular readers know that Cotch is a perennial JP favorite; he is quickly becoming the next Donald Driver – underrated and productive. Now that he has Favre throwing to him, I’m expecting a career (100-catch?) year. I thought about Fred Taylor, but figured he would have a shot at slipping to 7.10.

7.10: Rashard Mendenhall, RB
Of course, Taylor was long gone. Mendenhall was a desperation pick. I needed a RB badly and I thought he was the best on the board. In hindsight, Ricky Williams would have been better, but it’s tough to count on him and his situation wasn’t quite as attractive at the time of the draft.

8.03: Chris Cooley, TE
I love getting Cooley in the 8th. He’s the most dependable tight end after the top four – Witten, Winslow, Gates and Gonzo – and I think he’ll thrive in Jim Zorn’s West Coast Offense. I probably should have gone RB here, but at this point I was thinking that I’d be able to trade one of my WRs to the auto-pick team. (After seven rounds, his team had two QBs and five RBs! Ha!)

I went on to grab Chris Perry in the 9th, Jerious Norwood in the 10th, Jason Campbell in the 11th, Ronald Curry in the 12th, Ladell Betts (to back up Portis) in the 13th, Eddie Royal in the 14th, Green Bay and Buffalo DTs in the 15th and 16th, Derrick Ward in the 17th, DeSean Jackson in the 18th, Jeff Reed in the 19th and Mark Clayton in the 20th.

After the draft, I proposed a Steve Smith-for-Jamal Lewis swap with the auto-pick team, and he quickly accepted. (Whew!) So I ended up with a squad that looks like this:

Starters:

QB: Roethlisberger
RB1: Portis
RB2: J. Lewis
WR1: Fitzgerald
WR2: Bowe
WR3: Cotchery
TE: Cooley
Flex: Perry
K: Reed
DT: Packers

Bench:

QB: Campbell
RB: Mendenhall, Norwood, D. Ward
WR: Curry, De. Jackson, M. Clayton

Overall, given my competition, I am quite happy with my team. I have a top-six QB, two solid RBs (#5 and #7 last year), a great WR corps (#6, #20 and #23 last season, with upside) and a good TE (#5 last year). I would have drafted better in the middle and late rounds had I known that I’d be able to move Smith for Jamal, but those are the breaks. My bench is not what I’d like it to be, but there is some upside there with Perry currently the RB1 in Cincy and Mendenhall, Norwood and Ward the top backups elsewhere. I like the upside of Curry, Royal and DeSean Jackson (though I’m a little apprehensive about having two rookie wideouts on my team).

So what do you think? Did I represent The Scores Report well?

Bengals cut Rudi Johnson

Two years ago, Rudi Johnson rushed for 1308 yards and 12 TD. In the two seasons before that, he rushed for at least 1450 yards and 12 scores. Today, he’s unemployed.

…the Bengals cleared out right tackle Willie Anderson, running back Rudi Johnson, and cornerback Deltha O’Neal on Cutdown Day to get down to the 53-player limit.

They all made Hawaii in 2005 as the Bengals celebrated the AFC North title. Johnson’s 1,458 yards and O’Neal’s 10 interceptions in that season are still in the book as club records.

“Obviously the play fell off in ’07, and we just haven’t seen a lot of change thus far this year,” said head coach Marvin Lewis in a late afternoon news conference. “It’s a hard decision to make.”

Even though he returned to practice last week, the Bengals apparently decided they hadn’t seen enough of the new and improved Johnson this summer and cut the man projected to once be their bell-cow running back in 2008.

It’s amazing how over-the-hill the 28 year-old Johnson seems right now. He had 1039 carries from 2004-2006, and it appears that they really took their toll. If he can get healthy, he can probably help someone, but for now he’ll join former top fiver Shaun Alexander in the ranks of the unemployed.

From a fantasy point of view, this is a big upgrade for Chris Perry (the current “starter”) and Kenny Watson. Perry has had his own injury problems in the past, so if you can grab both players, do so. Watson has always been productive when given the chance.

Ginobili to have surgery on injured heel

Manu Ginobili is planning to have arthroscopic surgery on his left heel.

“They’re going to operate on me,” he told Argentina’s La Nacion newspaper Friday. The 31-year-old doesn’t know when he’ll have the surgery or who will do it.

Ginobili, who helped lead Argentina to a bronze medal in the Beijing Olympics, said an MRI exam of the injury showed no improvement.

“It’s the same as it was two months ago, when they did the first exam,” he said. “Now, the thing is, it’s not better either, and it seems like the only way to repair it completely is arthroscopic surgery.”

I had arthroscopic surgery on both of my knees while in college, and recovery from those procedures took about a month. But this is Ginobili’s heel, so it might be a different story. He has two months until the season starts, so there is time to recover.

Chad Johnson officially changes his last name to “Ocho Cinco”

Chad Johnson… err… Chad Ocho Cinco is one strange cat.

According to Miami radio station 790 The Ticket, which is in Johnson’s hometown, the receiver has legally changed his last name to “Ocho Cinco.”

Johnson forewarned the public that a major surprise was coming during a recent interview with Chris McKendry on ESPN’s SportsCenter.

“A lot of people look at Chad Johnson and say he’s crazy and he does a lot of stuff, but I don’t think people really understand how smart I really am,” Johnson said. “So come Sept. 7, I believe when we play the Baltimore Ravens, I think that’s the game, there’s a surprise for everybody — for everybody. When I say something, it is what it is, just enjoy it. Because it’s going to last 16 weeks, plus some more.”

Could this be it? If the report is correct he should be able to wear his nickname on the back of his jersey without penalty, which he’s wanted to do for quite some time.

Apparently, Chad Bum Shoulder was already taken.

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