Author: John Paulsen (Page 107 of 937)

Hannah Storm and Adam Schefter high five after Mangini is fired [video]

I have two things to say about this video: 1) I have no idea why they are high-fiving each other and yelling to people off camera just because there was some breaking news, and 2) this has to be one of the most awkward transitions ever. They go from a joyful celebration into a somber “the families are affected” mode. Odd.

This isn’t going to make Giants or Bucs fans any happier…

Seattle Seahawks’ head coach Pete Carroll makes a point to his quarterback Charlie Whitehurst in the third quarter of the NFL’s Western Division Championship game on Sunday January 2, 2011 at Qwest Field in Seattle. The Seahawks beat the Rams 16-6. (UPI /Jim Bryant)

Jeff Sagarin publishes computer rankings for many different sports, including the NFL. Here is where he has the 12 playoff teams (plus the Bucs and G-Men) ranked this season.

1. New England (33.34)
2. Green Bay (30.64)
3. Pittsburgh (30.17)
4. Baltimore (26.30)
5. Atlanta (25.80)
6. NY Jets (25.19)

8. Philadelphia (23.91)
9. Chicago (23.79)
10. NY Giants (23.30)
11. Indianapolis (23.01)
12. New Orleans (22.89)

15. Tampa Bay (20.24)

18. Kansas City (19.06)

30. Seattle (11.55)

Next to each team name you’ll find Sagarin’s ‘pure points’ in parenthesis. Typically, oddsmakers will use the difference between each team’s number as a starting point when setting the line for the game.

Sagarin’s model says there are only two teams worse than Seattle this season: Arizona and Carolina.

Strength of Schedule: Playoffs, Week 1

For those of us playing fantasy football (in one form or another) during the NFL playoffs, I thought it would be worthwhile to calculate end-of-year strength of schedule. I won’t be updating the SOS data throughout the playoffs, but I should be able to post a table each week with updated matchups.

What am I looking at?

Below you’ll see a table with a list of team names on the left and a list of positions (including PPR data) along the top. If a square is pink, it means that the matchup is tough. If it’s green, it means it’s a favorable matchup.

It’s important to note that this is NOT straight fantasy points allowed. I removed the bias of schedule by looking at the opponents of each defense and how they fared in their other games. For example, if a particular defense faced a series of great QBs, then that is taken into account in these tables.

For those of us who are going to play fantasy football through the playoffs, I thought it would be worthwhile to calculate strength of schedule for the first week of the playoffs. I’m not going to be updating SOS throughout the playoffs, but I should be able to post an updated table each week with SOS data updated through W17.

How do I use SOS?

Generally speaking, I use strength of schedule as a tiebraker between two similarly ranked players. Let’s say I’m trying to decide between starting BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Cedric Benson. All else being equal, these two players are very close in my mind. But if BGE has a great matchup and Benson has a bad matchup, the choice is clear. In fact, if BGE just has a mediocre matchup while Benson has a bad matchup, I’d probably go with the Law Firm.

Be careful not to read too much into these tables. You aren’t going to bench Chris Johnson in a bad matchup unless you have a bona fide RB1 with a good matchup waiting in the wings.

Obviously, all the Saints are good starts this week, and you’d want to stay away from most of the Eagles given their matchup with a stingy Packer defense.

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