Update 6/30: Be sure to check out our 2009 NBA Free Agency Preview.
Sports2Debate put together an interesting piece outlining where they think players from the free agent class of 2009 will land.
Here are a few of the bigger names:
Jason Kidd – UR
Sacrifices pay to play with Lakers in 2009/2010. Signs a Mid-Level Exception.Ben Gordon – UR
Utah Jazz sign Gordon. Utah is in need of a shooting guard more than any team. He will take pressure off Brewer and allow him to come of the bench.Allen Iverson – UR
Signs with Dallas at the Veteran Minimum. They are the only team willing to take a risk, giving A.I. major playing time. The contract will not last more than 2-3 years.Andre Miller – UR
Signs with the Portland Trailblazers and will make a major impact in the 2010 playoffs.Shawn Marion – UR
Chicago is likely to move some players to open up some cap room for this offseason and Marion would be a great fit.Carlos Boozer – UR (player option)
Does not utilize player option. He will, however, be in the pool heading into the 2010/2011 season.
A few random thoughts about the list:
– I hadn’t thought about a potential Andre Miller-to-Portland signing. The Blazers will have about $9-$10 million in cap space, so it is a possibility, though they may elect to save the dough and gear up for a bigger splash in the summer of 2010. I think Portland is taking a more long-term approach to building a winner.
– Players like Zaza Pachulia or Wally Szczerbiak are unlikely to get the full mid-level exception (starting at ~$5.8 million per season) this offseason. My best guess for Pachulia is a contract that averages somewhere in the $3-$4 million per season range. I’d estimate that Wally would earn less than that.
– As a longtime Bucks fan, I sure hope the team doesn’t make an offer to Raymond Felton. They already have their point guard of the future in Ramon Sessions, and he’ll likely come at a cheaper price than Felton.
– Utah might sign Ben Gordon, but how does Jerry Sloan feel about his shot selection and lack of defense? I think the Jazz will stick with Brewer, who continues to progress.
– I don’t see the Pistons re-signing Rasheed Wallace though I suppose it could happen. They have a ton of cap space, but if they sign him to anything other than a one-year deal, it will jeopardize their flexibility next summer. Remember, Rip Hamilton becomes a free agent in 2010 as well.
– Ron Artest to Toronto? Maybe — the Raptors will have some cap space ($11 million), but is he a good fit? They want to push the ball and he seems to thrive in a half court setting. I think he’ll end up signing with a contender for the mid-level. In fact, he might re-sign with Houston.
– I don’t see the Bulls clearing cap space to sign Shawn Marion when they have a Shawn-Marion-in-the-making in the form of Tyrus Thomas. Why blow up a promising young team to sign the 31-year-old Matrix?