Lookin at Lucky draws the rail at Kentucky Derby

2010 Kentucky Derby favorite Lookin at Lucky has drawn the rail position for Saturday’s race at Churchill Downs. The 3-year-old colt is also a 9/2 favorite to win the 136th running of the Kentucky Derby.

The rail has been awfully kind to horses in the Derby, as the No. 1 post position has won 12 races since 1900. The only other position with a comparable number is the No. 5 post, which has also produced 12 winners since 1900.

The horse with the next best odds for Saturday is Sidney’s Candy, who is 15/2 to win. But he drew an unlucky post at the No. 20 position, which has only produced two winners since 1900. (Of course, Big Brown won from that exact position only two years ago.)

In Lookin at Lucky’s last start, he placed third at the 2010 Santa Anita Derby behind Sidney’s Candy (who won the race), leading some to believe that the Kentucky Derby favorite is a tad overrated. However, Lookin at Lucky did collect wins at the Rebel on March 13 and at the CashCall Futurity on December 19 of last year. Also, Trainer Bob Baffert will know doubt have his horse prepared for Saturday.

Personally, I think Sidney’s Candy is a value at 15/2. He swept three races this sprint, including the Santa Anita Derby in his final prep race before the Kentucky Derby. He has the ability to get out in front early and sustain it, unlike most of the contenders in this year’s race, who push early and fade late.

Photo from fOTOGLIF

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