UFC 111 Predictions

UFC 111: St. Pierre vs. Hardy takes place tonight from the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey and the main card features five fights and two championship bouts. Here is a look at the main card bouts and my picks for the winners.

UFC Welterweight Championship: Champion Georges St. Pierre (19-2) vs. Challenger Dan Hardy (23-6)
In any fight, each man has a puncher’s chance and that is about all Hardy has going for him. He will have to win the fight standing because St. Pierre is far superior in his wrestling and submission skills. St. Pierre is also very good at not getting hit and that will be what helps him win this fight. Look for him to score multiple takedowns and ware Hardy down as he scores a fourth round TKO and then makes the jump to the middleweight division for his next big career move.

UFC Interim Heavyweight Championship: Frank Mir (13-4) vs. Shane Carwin (11-0)
Carwin was set to face Brock Lesnar for the UFC Heavyweight title in November, but Lesnar’s illness has set up this fight with the winner getting a belt and then the shot at Lesnar in the summer. Mir wants this fight on the ground while Carwin wants it on his feet. Carwin has not had a UFC fight go past 91 seconds, but it should take longer to dispose of Mir on Saturday. Mir can test Carwin on the ground and in submission fighting, but he will have to eat a punch to do it. Mir has left himself open before and Carwin will be quick to strike when he does it on Saturday to score a TKO late in the first round.

UFC Welterweight Bout: Jon Fitch (24-3) vs. Ben Saunders (8-1-2)
Fitch was set to face Thiago Alves but a failed CAT scan for Alves moved Saunders into the spot. Saunders was prepping for another fight on the card, so he is in shape for this fight. Saunders was already knocked out by Fitch’s teammate, Mike Swick, but this fight is dangerous for Fitch, as he relies on wrestling and ground skills to control the fight. Saunders has a big reach advantage on Fitch and his leg kicks and knees can knock anyone out. Just ask Marcus Davis. Fitch is a big favorite, but he will be pushed in this fight. Look for him to win by decision but face some adversity to get the win.

UFC Lightweight Bout: Jim Miller (16-2) vs. Mark Bocek (8-2)
Miller is a promising lightweight while Bocek is a scrapper that is looking for a marquee win. This fight should end up everywhere as Miller will likely push the pace and land some takedowns while Bocek will look for submissions. Miller will be the one that dictates the fight and sets the tone as he works his way to a decision win and a few more rungs up the lightweight ladder.

UFC Lightweight Bout: Kurt Pellegrino (20-4) vs. Fabricio Camoes (10-4-1)
This fight was set for the undercard but the injury to Alves forced this fight to the main card. Pellegrino is an entertaining fighter that pushes the pace and likes to get the fight to the ground. Camoes has a draw in the octagon against Caol Uno but he will likely be outmatched against Pellegrino in this fight. Pellegrino will be the bigger fighter and be able to score takedowns on his way to a decision win.


Photo from fOTOGLIF

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