Tag: fantasy football strategy (Page 39 of 80)

      Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW): Week 7

      October 21, 2009 /

      The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week, you pick up a defense, preferably one playing at home against a bad offense. And each week, you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position. To see how this approach performed last season, click here.

      Last week, I recommended three DTBWW picks. Let’s see how they fared…

      #1 Bengals: 2 SK + 1 INT + 1 FR = 4 fantasy points
      #2 Redskins: 14 PA (4) + 5 SK = 9 fp
      #3 Jaguars: 1 SK + 1 INT = 2 fp

      The Texans have a pretty potent offense, so in hindsight it probably wasn’t too smart to take the Bengals, even if they’ve been playing good defense this year. The Jaguars were a disaster, which is a shame, because I was thisclose to recommending the Bucs, who had 16 points against the Panthers. (I did mention Tampa Bay as a bonus pick.) The deciding factor? Anthony Stalter thought the Jags’ DT was a bit better. Thanks for nothing, Stalter.

      For the season, my #1 pick is averaging 10.5 ppg, #2 is averaging 9.2 and #3 is averaging 8.3. Combining all the picks, DTBWW is averaging 9.3 points per game. Those are DT7 numbers.

      Let’s take a look at this week’s picks. Keep in mind that to be eligible for DTBWW, a defense must be available in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues.

      Pick #1: Indianapolis Colts (@ STL)
      The Colts are reasonably healthy, well-rested and pretty solid all-around. The Rams’ offense has looked a little better the last couple of weeks, but Donnie Avery is hobbled and Indy should be able to pressure the statuesque Marc Bulger.

      Pick #2: Buffalo Bills (@ CAR)
      Despite their offensive woes, the Bills have been pretty solid defenisvely. They are fantasy’s 8th-ranked defense and have averaged 8.1 fppg. They face the Panthers, who have been awful offensively. Fantasy defenses are averaging 14.4 against Carolina.

      Pick #3: Oakland Raiders (vs. NYJ)
      The sheen is off of Mark Sanchez and the verdict is in: He really is a rookie quarterback. Fantasy defenses have scored 9.3 ppg against the Jets through six weeks, and the Saints and Bills have gone for 26 and 12, respectively, in the last three weeks. Meanwhile, the Raiders are showing some life, as evidenced by their performance against a pretty potent Eagles’ offense in Week 6. Nnamdi Asomugha should be back in the lineup and the Jets won’t be helped by a cross country flight.

      Bonus Pick: If you run out of options, the Panthers play at home against a Bills offense that will probably run Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB.

      Fantasy Football, NFL

      Waiver Wire Watch: Week 7

      October 20, 2009 /

      Every week, I highlight a few players that you should target in waivers. I use the ESPN league data when filtering players, so the only players eligible for discussion here are those that are available on the waiver wire in at least 50% of ESPN’s leagues. I’ll list each player’s percentage-owned after their name so you have an idea of how available they are in leagues around the country. I’ll always try to mention a few players that are available in 90% of leagues for those of you in 12-team leagues or leagues with big rosters. I’ll rank them in the order I’d pick them up in a league with a high-performance, PPR scoring system.

      Please note that these rankings are for total value through the end of the year. Players with particularly good matchups this week are in bold.

      If Hasselbeck, Garrard or Cassel are available, I’d grab them first before moving onto the list below. These are pretty slim pickings.

      Shaun Hill (16.0)
      Jake Delhomme (14.0)
      Derek Anderson (4.6)
      Chad Henne (3.2)
      Josh Johnson (1.6)
      Marc Bulger (1.4)
      JaMarcus Russell (4.1)
      Ryan Fitzpatrick (0.0)

      Continue reading »

      Fantasy Football, NFL

      Fantasy Q&A Question of the Week: Week 6

      October 18, 2009 /

      We’re starting a new feature this week, picking the best/funniest/dumbest question of the week from our Q&A thread and posting it on Sunday morning. This week’s question comes from RJR, who wants to use his RB depth to trade for a WR but is having trouble finding someone willing to trade with him:

      “Also, a little worried about WR situation but nobody seems to want to make a legitimate trade – starting Burleson but need 2 more: Nicks, Holmes, or TO. I have too many good RBs, and although many teams in my league need RBs they are not willing to give up anything for them. Which 2 should I start: Turner, Moreno, Bradshaw, Rice.”

      My answer: In terms of trade, maybe you should try to use one of your RBs to upgrade from TO or Holmes. So offer a RB + WR for a stud WR. That way, the other team will be more likely to bite. Moreno plus Holmes should nab you Fitzgerald, AJ or Wayne, especially if this is a non-PPR league.

      Whenever you’re in a situation like RJR is — great depth at one position (RB) while having serviceable starters at the position (WR) you want to shore up — it’s best to approach an owner that needs what you have (RB) and has a guy or two that you want at the other position (WR). Usually, offering two for one will give you an advantage. He may want to get a starter at RB, but he’s not willing to give up his WR stud straight up to get one. So you offer him a decent starter with upside — in this case, Santonio Holmes or Terrell Owens — along with a starting RB. He may be willing to downgrade from a guy like Wayne, AJ, Fitzgerald, Roddy White, Steve Smith, etc. to Holmes or T.O. to get a guy like Rice or Moreno. (By the way, I’d be much more willing to part with T.O. than Holmes, but don’t let the other owner know that!)

      Since RJR has Rice and Moreno, two productive, but not “big name” backs, he may instead want to dangle Michael Turner out there. Turner is coming off a great game against San Francisco but has otherwise been pretty disappointing this season. Turner, by name alone, might garner a stud WR (especially in a non-PPR league, where WRs simply aren’t as valuable as RBs). In order to pull this kind of a trade, fantasy owners need to look for a trade partner that has a big need at RB but can also absorb a loss of a stud WR. In this case, I’d try to package Turner and T.O. for a stud WR.

      If you’re still debating your lineup this week, be sure to check out our Love ‘Em & Leave ‘Em post. If you’re looking for a defensive team to start, our weekly DTBWW post should be able to help. Good luck!

      Fantasy Football, NFL

      Love ‘Em & Leave ‘Em: Week 6

      October 15, 2009 /

      Every week, I will highlight a few players to start and a few players to sit at each position. I’m a firm believer in starting your studs, so I won’t tell you about how Drew Brees or Adrian Peterson has a tough matchup – just go ahead and keep them in your lineup. Instead, I’ll focus on the borderline guys – players you’ll only start under the right circumstances. It’s important to note that depending on your roster and situation, you may not be able to follow these recommendations. For example, if I suggest you bench a solid starter like Tony Romo, only do so if you have a clearly better option on your bench.

      The “love ‘em” players are listed in the order that I’d start them this week.

      love-em

      Definitely get Aaron Rodgers in your lineup this week. After all, he is facing the Lions…Matt Hasselbeck came back in a big way last week, and he has another good matchup this week with a Cardinals defense that has allowed more than 300 yards passing per game. In fact, Hasselbeck has the best remaining schedule of any QB in the league, so if he can stay healthy, he should have a nice run…David Garrard and the Jags were miserable last week, but with the Rams coming to town (and Mike Sims-Walker coming off his “lady friend rendezvous” suspension), things are looking way up…The Chiefs have given up 270 yards and 2.0 pass TD per game to start the season, so Jason Campbell is a solid play for fantasy owners looking for a fill in or running a QBBC…For the desperate, Jake Delhomme is looking like a good start against a Tampa Bay defense that has allowed 227 yards and 2.4 pass TD per game…For the really desperate, Marc Bulger has a terrific matchup with a porous Jags defense. Whether or not he can do anything with a great matchup remains to be seen.

      Continue reading »

      Fantasy Football, NFL

      Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW): Week 6

      October 14, 2009 /

      The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week, you pick up a defense, preferably one playing at home against a bad offense. And each week, you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position. To see how this approach performed last season, click here.

      Last week, I recommended three DTBWW picks. Let’s see how they fared…

      #1 49ers: 1 SK + 1 INT = 2 fantasy points
      #2 Bills: 6 PA (8) + 1 SK + 1 INT = 10 fp
      #3 Cowboys: 4 SK = 4 fp

      Unless you had the Bills, this was not a very good week for DTBWW. The Falcons made the 49ers look like a bunch of high schoolers, and while the Cowboys sacked Matt Cassel four times, they didn’t create any turnovers or keep points off the board.

      Through Week 5, the top DTBWW pick is averaging 11.8 fantasy points, the #2 pick is averaging 9.2 fp and the #3 pick is averaging 9.6. Combining the three groups, DTBWW is averaging 10.2 fp on the season. Those are DT7 numbers.

      Let’s take a look at this week’s picks. Keep in mind that to be eligible for DTBWW, a defense must be available in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues. (I’ve seen the Packers available on a few waiver wires, and if they’re available, I’d pick them first; they play the Lions at home.)

      Pick #1: Cincinnati Bengals (vs. HOU)
      The Texans are just a mediocre matchup, but the Bengals defense is playing very well of late, posting at least seven fantasy points in each of its five outings. The game is at home, so that should help.

      Pick #2: Washington Redskins (vs. KC)
      Again, the Chiefs aren’t a great matchup, but the Redskins defense has been pretty solid of late and if the offense can put a few drives together, Washington should have a nice day.

      Pick #3: Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. STL)
      The Jags have one of the worst fantasy defenses in the league, but these are the Rams we’re talking about. Teams have averaged 16.4 fantasy points against St. Louis, so even the Jags should have a pretty nice day.

      Bonus Pick: If you run out of options, the Bucs have a nice matchup at home against Jake Delhomme and the Panthers. Opposing defenses have scored 14.0 fp against Carolina this season.

      Fantasy Football

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