Tag: fantasy football strategy (Page 37 of 80)

      Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW): Week 9

      November 3, 2009 /

      The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week, you pick up a defense, preferably one playing at home against a bad offense. And each week, you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position. To see how this approach performed last season, click here.

      Last week, I recommended three DTBWW picks. Let’s see how they fared…

      #1 Cardinals: 34 PA (0) + 1 SK = 1 fp
      #2 Chargers: 16 PA (2) + 5 SK + INT = 8 fp
      #3 Texans: 10 PA (6) + 2 SK + 2 INT = 10 fp

      Wow, did the Arizona defense lay an egg last week. The Cardinals had the top-ranked rush defense coming in, and had played well the previous two weeks against the Giants and the Seahawks. But DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart gashed them repeatedly on the ground to the tune of 245 yards and two TD, and they failed to get to Jake Delhomme in the passing game. The Chargers and Texans performed as expected. (Special thanks to our NFL guru, Anthony Stalter, for redeeming himself with the Houston pick.)

      For the season, the #1 DTBWW pick has averaged 10.4 fantasy points per game, the #2 pick has averaged 9.4 and the #3 pick is posting 7.6. On the whole, DTBWW is producing 9.1 points per game, which are DT5 numbers.

      Let’s take a look at this week’s picks. Keep in mind that to be eligible for DTBWW, a defense must be available in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues.

      Pick #1: Seattle Seahawks (vs. DET)
      Seattle is averaging 11.3 fantasy points at home (versus 2.3 on the road), so a matchup with the visiting Lions is tasty indeed. The Seahawks have destroyed the Rams and Jags at home this season and should be able to post nice fantasy numbers against the struggling Lions.

      Pick #2: Atlanta Falcons (vs. WAS)
      The Falcons have some problems, but played well in the second half against a great Saints’ offense. The Redskins’ offensive woes have been well documented, and like most defenses, the Falcons play better at home. Another nice thing about ATL is that they have a good matchup in Week 10 as well (@ CAR), so they could be a solid multi-week play.

      Pick #3: San Francisco 49ers (vs. TEN)
      Vince Young looked pretty good last week, but the 49ers aren’t the Jags. Mike Singletary’s defensive unit did a pretty nice job in a tough situation last week in Indy, and it has played well in favorable situations this season. Containing Chris Johnson is the key.

      Fantasy Football, NFL

      Waiver Wire Watch: Week 9

      November 3, 2009 /

      Every week, I highlight a few players that you should target in waivers. I use the ESPN league data when filtering players, so the only players eligible for discussion here are those that are available on the waiver wire in at least 50% of ESPN’s leagues. I’ll list each player’s percentage-owned after their name so you have an idea of how available they are in leagues around the country. I’ll always try to mention a few players that are available in 90% of leagues for those of you in 12-team leagues or leagues with big rosters. I’ll rank them in the order I’d pick them up in a league with a high-performance, PPR scoring system.

      Please note that these rankings are for total value through the end of the year. Players with particularly good matchups this week are in bold.

      This week, I am going to spend extra time on the TE position to try to help those Owen Daniels owners pick up the pieces.

      Alex Smith (9.7)
      After a better-than-expected showing against a good Colts pass defense, Smith has TEN, CHI, GB, JAX, SEA and DET over the next seven weeks. If you have two good QBs and can trade one of them away, Smith should be a solid backup.
      Mark Sanchez (45.6)
      He’s on bye this week, but has a tasty matchup against the Jags in Week 10.
      Jason Campbell (22.0)
      Despite his team’s struggles, Campbell has been pretty solid, posting 12+ fp in all but one game.
      Matthew Stafford (6.0)
      Vince Young (3.9)
      Trent Edwards (31.1)
      Chad Henne (4.9)

      Continue reading »

      Fantasy Football, NFL

      Fantasy Football Q&A Question of the Week: Week 8

      November 1, 2009 /

      Every week, I’m picking one question from our Fantasy Football Q&A and posting it on Sunday morning. This week’s question comes from RJR, who is wondering if it’s time to cut bait on Terrell Owens.

      “Do you think it’s worth dropping TO for any of these WR’s: (Non-PPR) (1 pt/20 return yds) Malcom Floyd, Bobby Wade, Danny Amendola, Chris Henry, Domenik Hixon. Who has more long-term value?”

      My answer: No, hold onto TO and hopes he turns it around. HOU doesn’t have a very good pass defense, so there’s a chance he could have a nice week.

      It has come to this. Fantasy owners are so frustrated with Owens that they’re actually considering cutting him for the likes of Bobby Wade and Danny Amendola. If you still have Owens on your roster, you might as well hold onto him and see if the Bills can turn their passing game around. Owens is listed as the #40 WR in Footballguys.com’s list of the top WRs going forward, behind guys like Michael Crabtree, Bernard Berrian, Antonio Bryant and Eddie Royal, and ahead of Torry Holt, Lee Evans and Roy Williams. So it all depends on who is available on your waiver wire. Don’t be afraid to cut him for Hakeem Nicks or Donnie Avery, but don’t cut him for Danny Amendola.

      Fantasy Football, NFL

      Love ‘Em & Leave ‘Em: Week 8

      October 29, 2009 /

      Every week, I will highlight a few players to start and a few players to sit at each position. I’m a firm believer in starting your studs, so I won’t tell you about how Drew Brees or Adrian Peterson has a tough matchup – just go ahead and keep them in your lineup. Instead, I’ll focus on the borderline guys – players you’ll only start under the right circumstances. It’s important to note that depending on your roster and situation, you may not be able to follow these recommendations. For example, if I suggest you bench a solid starter like Tony Romo, only do so if you have a clearly better option on your bench.

      The “love ‘em” players are listed in the order that I’d start them this week.

      love-em

      This week, Jay Cutler faces the Browns, who are 24th against the pass and were torched last week by Aaron Rodgers and the Packers…David Garrard has a great matchup this week against the Titans, who have given up an average of 311 yards and 3.2 pass TD per game…Matt Hasselbeck faces the Cowboys, who have yielded 239 yards and 1.7 pass TD per game. Dallas will probably put up some points, so Hasselbeck may post nice numbers in garbage time…For the desperate, Marc Bulger (@ DET), Vince Young (vs. JAX) and Derek Anderson (@ CHI) actually have good matchups this week. Proceed with extreme caution.

      Continue reading »

      Fantasy Football, NFL

      Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW): Week 8

      October 28, 2009 /

      The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week, you pick up a defense, preferably one playing at home against a bad offense. And each week, you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position. To see how this approach performed last season, click here.

      Last week, I recommended three DTBWW picks. Let’s see how they fared…

      #1 Colts: 6 PA (8) + 3 SK + 2 INT + INT RET TD = 19 fantasy points
      #2 Bills: 9 PA (6) + 2 SK + 3 INT + 1 FR = 12 fp
      #3 Raiders: 38 PA (0) + 1 SK = 1 fp

      The Colts and Bills performed as expected, maybe even beyond expectations. The Raiders? Well, they stunk up the joint. I realized watching the OAK/NYJ game that the Raiders performed well the previous week against the Eagles because Philly doesn’t run the ball. OAK is terrible against the rush and the Jets have a good rushing game.

      On the season, my pick #1 has averaged 11.7 fantasy points, my pick #2 has averaged 9.6 and my pick #3 has averaged 7.3. On the whole, DTBWW is averaging 9.5 fantasy points per week, which is DT5-type performance. Not bad.

      Let’s take a look at this week’s picks. Keep in mind that to be eligible for DTBWW, a defense must be available in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues.

      Continue reading »

      Fantasy Football, NFL

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