Tag: 2011 NBA Playoffs (Page 4 of 16)

Full disclosure: After Dwyane Wade hit a corner three to give the Heat a 15-point lead with 7:13 to play, I sat down at my computer to write the recap. I had a nice little angle about how Game 2 felt like a trip to the dentist. You’re dreading the entire experience knowing that it’s probably going to end with the dentist drilling into your teeth (a Heat win), because you like candy way too much (turnovers). But there’s a moment or two during the examination where you think you’re going to get a clean bill of health (Mavs go on a run). In the end, you have a couple of cavities and the dentist is pulling out the needle (a 2-0 series deficit) getting ready to do some serious drilling.

Well, the X-rays are in, and the resilient Mavs have just tied the series. After turning the ball over five times in the first minutes of the final period, leading to nine Miami fastbreak points, Dallas outscored the Heat 22-5 over the final seven minutes. Miami stopped running offense and the Mavs locked down defensively, forcing the ball into Udonis Haslem’s hands or forcing LeBron James and Wade into tough threes when they were up against the shot clock.

On the other end, Jason Terry, Jason Kidd and Shawn Marion combined to score the first 13 points of the run before Dirk Nowitzki took over by scoring the final nine points for the Mavs. He hit a huge three to give the Mavs a 93-90 lead with 0:26 to play, but a miscommunication on the other end of the court enabled Mario Chalmers to tie the game up with a wide-open three. With time running down, Dirk then took the ball to the hole with a nifty move on Chris Bosh and scored the game-winning bucket with a left-handed kiss off the glass.

As Mike Breen said, it was one of the greatest comebacks in Finals history, and I almost compared it to a trip to the dentist.

The Dallas Mavericks had a real chance to win Game 1, but in the end, LeBron James and Co. were just too much. Dallas held Miami to 36% shooting from two-point range, but the Heat hit 11-of-24 from distance. If the Heat are going to shoot 40%+ from three-point range, it’s going to be very tough to beat them.

The Mavs’ bench was also a disappointment. Jason Terry (3-10), Peja Stojakovic (0-3) and J.J. Barea (1-8) combined to go 4-of-21 and Dallas lost by eight. And it’s not like the Heat forced them into a bunch of tough shots that they weren’t used to taking. These were all shots that Terry, Stojakovic and Barea had hit against the Blazers, Lakers and Thunder. The bottom line is that if Mario Chalmers (12 points) is matching Terry’s output, the Mavs are in big trouble.

Give credit to Miami’s Big 3, especially LeBron (24 points, nine rebounds, five assists) and Dwyane Wade (22 points, 10 rebounds and six assists), who combined to shoot 18-of-37 from the field. The rest of the Heat shot 13-of-43 (30%) from the field, so the duo stepped up when it had to.

With the news that Dirk Nowitzki (27 points, eight rebounds) has a torn tendon in his left hand, things are looking awfully grim for the Mavs. The good news is that it’s not in his shooting hand, but he’s probably going to be wearing a splint for the rest of the series, and that’s not going to help his game.

Game 2 is crucial for the Mavs if they hope to make this a series.

The Finals start tonight (9 PM ET, ABC) and there seems to be a feeling of dread emanating throughout NBA fans around the country, as the Miami Heat get ready for the final hurdle in their quest for a title that started in earnest last summer with LeBron’s Decision.

One Celtic fan I know is angry because his team is about to fall off a cliff, and Miami’s Big 3 are poised to control the East for the foreseeable future. One Laker fan I know doesn’t want to see LeBron win a title because it somehow tarnishes Kobe’s legacy (i.e. it happened on his watch). When he isn’t worrying about LeBron, he’s scratching his head thinking about the Mike Brown hire. One Bulls fan I know is wishing that his team had done a little more to shore up the two guard position after watching Kyle Korver shoot 29% from long range against the Heat. He thinks that perhaps the Bulls should have blown Ray Allen away with an offer when he was briefly available as a free agent last summer.

One thing all three have in common is that they’re rooting for the Mavs, even if it means pulling for a team owned by Mark Cuban.

But Dallas is the underdog for two reasons: 1) The Heat have three of the four best players in the series, and 2) Miami has home court advantage.

It’s going to be tough to overcome both, but the Mavs are playing great basketball right now and definitely have a shot to win the series. But they’re going to have to find success in two areas if they’re going to pull the upset:

1. Dirk Nowitzki must find a way to score efficiently.
Against Miami during the regular season, Dirk shot 17-for-44 from the field (39%) and averaged 24.0 points per game in two Dallas wins. If he continues to shoot less than 40% from the field, it’s going to be tough for the Mavs to win. It will be interesting to see who the Heat decide to use to defend Nowtzki. LeBron is an obvious choice and with his athleticism and quickness, he is likely to give Dirk some problems. The Heat could also use Chris Bosh and Udonis Haslem, but Dirk would have the advantage on both.

2. The Mavs’ bench has to make an impact.
The Heat’s stars are a lot better, but Dallas is deeper. They bring Jason Terry, Peja Stojakovic, Brandon Haywood and J.J. Barea off the bench, and those guys really deliver offensively, but can they keep up with the Heat defensively? I asked ESPN’s John Hollinger about this in today’s chat, and this is what he said:

“It’s going to be difficult. The strength of Dallas’ bench is against other benches, but Miami’s bench hardly plays because LeBron, Wade and Bosh are all going 40-plus a night. And Dallas’ bench guys are weak defenders who will have a very hard time matching up defensively. I think that’s the key to the series, how those guys can line up.”

The Heat are playing their best basketball of the season and Hollinger argues that has nothing to do with being able to close games at a higher level. He feels that the Heat are able to go from good in the regular season to great in the playoffs because they have the luxury of playing three superstars in their prime 40+ minutes every night.

This makes sense. To stop the Miami juggernaut, Dirk is going to have to continue to superstar-level basketball and Dallas is going to have win the X-factor battle at least four times in the next seven games.

My pick: Heat in 7.