Tag: 2011 NBA Playoffs (Page 14 of 16)

NBA Playoffs off to a great start

Chicago Bulls’ Joakim Noah (L) and teammate Kyle Korver celebrate during the second half of Game 1 of their NBA Eastern Conference first round playoff basketball game in Chicago April 16, 2011. REUTERS/John Gress (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL)

Chicago 104, Indiana 99
The Bulls didn’t lead until Kyle Korver’s three-pointer with 0:48 to play that put Chicago up by three. It capped off a 14-1 run that erased the Pacers’ 10-point lead. Derrick Rose had 39 points, six rebounds and six assists in the win. Tyler Hansbrough (22 points) was excellent for the Pacers down the stretch.

Heat 97, Sixers 89
Philly went on a 12-0 run in the fourth quarter to cut the Heat’s lead to one, but Miami responded with a 9-2 run of their own to put the game away. Chris Bosh posted 25 points and 12 rebounds.

Atlanta 103, Orlando 93
Dwight Howard (46 points, 19 rebounds) and Jameer Nelson (27 points, six rebounds) were big for Orlando, but it wasn’t enough to overcome Atlanta’s balanced attack. Five Hawks scored in double figures, while no other Orlando player scored more than six points.

Predicting the rest of the NBA Playoffs, advanced metrics style…

Yesterday, I ran through the first round using Dean Olivers Four Factors of winning. For an overview, click here.

SECOND ROUND

#1 Chicago vs. #4 Orlando

TEAMPACEeFG%TORORRFT/FGAeFG%aTORaDRRFT/FGAaOEFFDEFF
CHI92.9.501.135.294.227.463.136.762.222105.597.4
ORL93.4.521.145.261.227.475.134.769.219105.598.9
  -.020.010.033.000.012.002-.007-.0030.01.5

These two teams are pretty evenly matched, with the Bulls leading in four categories to the Magic’s three. Chicago is a little better defensively and has home court advantage. I think point guard play will be the difference in this series and while I do like Jameer Nelson, he’s no Derrick Rose.

Continue reading »

2011 NBA Playoffs, by the numbers…

Miami Heat’s Chris Bosh (L), LeBron James (C) and Dwyane Wade sit on the bench while their team plays the Toronto Raptors during the first half of their NBA basketball game in Toronto, April 13, 2011. REUTERS/Mark Blinch (CANADA – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL)

Here’s a look at each first round matchup, taking into account Dean Oliver’s Four Factors of winning:

1. offensive and defensive effective FG% (which weight three-point shots with an extra point)

2. turnover rate (percentage of possessions ending in a turnover, both on offense and defense)

3. offensive and defensive rebound rate (percentage of available rebounds on each end of the floor)

4. FTM/FGA (which shows how well a team gets points from the free throw line)

Since we’re using both offensive and defensive numbers, I’ll call them the Eight Factors.

I have also included pace (possessions per game) and offensive and defensive efficiency (points scored per 100 possessions) for reference. Below the two rows for the two teams is a third row that shows the difference in each category. A positive number is good for the first team listed (which will always be the higher seed). A negative number means the higher seed is worse in that category.

I’ll put the season series results in parenthesis next to each matchup.

Continue reading »

The NBA Playoffs are set

New Orleans Hornets forward David West passes the ball past Los Angeles Lakers guard Kobe Bryant (L) and forward Lamar Odom (R) during the first half of their NBA basketball game in New Orleans, Louisiana February 5, 2011. REUTERS/Misty McElroy (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL)

The Eastern Conference matchups were finalized a few days ago, but five spots in the West were undecided coming down to the final day of the season. Here’s a look at the playoff matchups in both conferences.

WEST

#1 Spurs vs. #8 Grizzlies
#4 Thunder vs. #5 Nuggets
#2 Lakers vs. #7 Hornets
#3 Mavericks vs. #6 Blazers

The Lakers and Mavericks won, which means they get the #2 and #3 seeds respectively. Both the Hornets and Grizzlies lost, so New Orleans gets the #7 seed (and the right to play the Lakers — yay!) while the Grizzlies get the #8 seed.

EAST

#1 Bulls vs. #8 Pacers
#4 Magic vs. #5 Hawks
#2 Heat vs. #7 Sixers
#3 Celtics vs. #6 Knicks

I’ll be back later with a preview of each series.

Western Conference playoff seeding cheatsheet

There’s a nice post over on TrueHoop about the five seeds in the West that are still up for grabs heading into tonight’s action.

Here’s a quick overview: Spurs are locked in as the #1 seed. Lakers/Mavs are battling for the #2 seed, but if L.A. wins, they lock it up. Mavs could slip to #4 if they lose and the Thunder win. Blazers are locked in at #6. Hornets and Grizzlies are battling for the #7 seed, but New Orleans can clinch it with a win.

« Older posts Newer posts »