Tag: 2010-11 college basketball (Page 12 of 14)

Which teams are the best bet to make the Final Four?

Let’s take an early look at Jeff Sagarin’s college basketball ratings. I’ve found that his Predictor is a solid way to pick winners when it’s time to fill out my March Madness bracket. Over the past four years, when a team has at least a two-point advantage in Predictor, they are 156-42 (78.8%). When the difference between two teams is less than two points, the favorite is 27-24 (52.9%) over the same span.

Here’s a look at Sagarin’s top 10 teams in terms of overall rating, which is “a synthesis of the two diametrical opposites, ELO CHESS and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR).”

As it stands, Ohio State, Kansas and Duke are favorites to make the Final Four because they are at least two-point Predictor favorites over everyone else in the field. This assumes that these three teams are in different regions, of course. The next highest team, Texas, would be a virtual toss-up with four teams: Pitt, Purdue, BYU and Washington.

You can see Sagarin’s full ratings here.

Currently, Joe Lunardi of ESPN has Duke, Ohio State, Texas and Pitt as the four #1 seeds, with Kansas as a #2 seed in Duke’s region. As it stands, Duke and Kansas would be a toss-up in the Southwest Regional Final.

E’Twaun Moore’s 38 points leads #11 Purdue over #3 Ohio State

E’Twaun Moore hit 13-of-18 shots (including 7-of-10 from long range) to lead the Purdue Boilermakers in a 76-63 win over the Ohio State Buckeyes.

Purdue pulled away at the end, so the game was closer than the final score would indicate. JaJuan Johnson (13 points) was the only other Boilermaker in double digits. Ohio State got 25 points and six boards from freshman phenom Jared Sullinger, but the Buckeyes shot just 38% from the field and turned the ball over 18 times. That’s not going to get it done when playing on the road against Purdue.

Moore is currently considered a second round prospect by Draft Express, while NBADraft.net doesn’t even have him going in the first two rounds. He’s averaging more than 18 points and is shooting better than 40% from 3PT range, so offensively he can score in a variety of ways. He’s a good defender, and although he lacks the physical tools that will wow NBA scouts, he’s a smart player and knows where he’s supposed to be on the court. That’s half the battle defensively.

#14 Wisconsin knocks off #1 Ohio State

Wisconsin Badgers’ Mike Bruesewitz (C) celebrates as students rushed the court after they beat undefeated Ohio State Buckeyes in their NCAA basketball game in Madison, Wisconsin, February 12, 2011. REUTERS/Darren Hauck (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL)

Things were looking awfully grim for the Badgers when they were trailing by 15 points with 13:16 to play in the second half. But over the next three-and-a-half minutes, Wisconsin went on a 15-0 run to tie the game at 47-47 with 9:49 to play. The run featured three three-pointers, two by Jordan Taylor and one by Josh Gasser (which was assisted by Taylor).

Mike Bruesewitz (a.k.a. “Carrot Top,” per Dick Vitale) was big off the bench, scoring 10 points (two threes, a putback and two free throws) over the final 11 minutes of the game. His biggest shot came with 0:31 remaining and the Badgers nursing a two-point lead. He caught the ball at the top of the key, shot faked, then drained the open three to give Wisconsin a five-point lead.

Wisconsin’s shooting down the stretch was incredible. They went 7-for-11 from three-point range and 8-of-11 from the free throw line in the final 12 minutes.

Taylor posted 27 points and seven assists, and went 5-of-8 from long range. Jon Leuer and Bruesewitz each added 12 points for Wisconsin. William Buford led the Buckeyes with 21 points, while Jared Sullinger added 19 points and 12 rebounds.

OSU head coach Thad Motta is now 0-6 at the Kohl Center in his career. With the win, the Badgers stay undefeated at home. Coincidentally, it was also Wisconsin that knocked off the top-ranked Ohio State football team late last year.

Do I smell a rivalry brewing? Wisconsin is certainly in a better position than Michigan in both basketball and football to battle Ohio State for supremacy in the Big Ten/Eleven/Twelve.

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