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      2010 Fantasy Football: Week 11 Rankings

      November 17, 2010 /

      I’m in a pretty good mood this evening after finding out that I was able to hold onto the top spot in FantasyPros accuracy contest.

      Make it 6 weeks in a row for John Paulsen (The Scores Report) as the #1 overall expert. We’re running out of superlatives to describe his performance so we’ll just say that it’s been quite an impressive run. While Paulsen continues to be locked in a tight race for the top spot with Andy Behrens (Yahoo! Sports), this marks the 2nd consecutive week that he has extended his lead. The current lead also represents Paulsen’s largest advantage since week 5 so he has more than held his ground while facing some tough competition.

      Below are my early rankings for Week 11. Be sure to check back throughout the week because they will change as the news begins to trickle in. For the first time, I’m also taking a stab at kicker rankings. I generally don’t like to rank kickers because they are so erratic, but I have a numbers-driven analytical process that I’m testing, and I’m interested to see how it fares. As always with kickers, keep an eye on the weather — you don’t want your game to be decided as your kicker has to try to hit a 42-yarder in a driving rainstorm. Generally-speaking, it’s better to start the guy that is kicking in a dome or in warm weather.

      Updated Saturday, November 18.


      External Sports, Fantasy Football, NFL

      Is Michael Vick the NFL’s MVP to this point?

      November 17, 2010 /
      LANDOVER, MD - NOVEMBER 15: Michael Vick of the Philadelphia Eagles looks on while waiting for a review to be completed against the Washington Redskins on November 15, 2010 at FedExField in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)

      Michael Vick is the NFL MVP to this point – period. But that comes with a caveat.

      In five and a fraction of a game this season, Vick has thrown 11 touchdowns to no interceptions, has compiled a 115.1 QB Rating and is completing 62.7 percent of his passes. The clinic he put on in Washington on Monday night (six total touchdowns, including four through the air) was freaking unbelievable. (I should know, I was up 50 points in my fantasy league and my opponent beat me by one because Vick racked up 51 points. I’ve never seen 51 points scored in a fantasy game before.)

      Argue with those numbers and I’ll trump you with one: 0. That’s how many losses the Eagles have when Vick starts and finishes games this season. They’ve yet to lose when Kevin Kolb doesn’t set one foot on the field.

      That said, allow me to play devil’s advocate for a second. These are the teams that Vick has beaten this year: Detroit, Jacksonville, Indianapolis and Washington. Not one of those teams has a defense ranked in the top 15 and Washington now has the worst defensive unit in the league thanks to that pitiful display it put on Monday night.

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      External Sports, NFL

      2010 NFL Week 11 Odds

      November 17, 2010 /
      Minnesota Vikings quarterback Brett Favre stands on the field during warm-ups before the game against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field in Chicago on November 14, 2010. UPI/Brian Kersey Photo via Newscom

      Giants (6-3) @ Eagles (6-3), 8:20PM ET
      As if this matchup wasn’t juicy enough on its own, the Giants had to go out and get steamrolled by the Cowboys last Sunday while the Michael Vick’s absolutely crushed the Redskins on Monday night. Now everyone is left wondering if the G-Men are caught in one of their Tom Coughlin-led funks and whether or not the Eagles are the team to beat. We’ll find out a lot about these two teams as well as the state of the NFC East on Sunday night.
      CURRENT ODDS: EAGLES –3

      Colts (6-3) @ Patriots (7-2), 4:15PM ET
      Two weeks ago, everyone couldn’t stop talking about how vulnerable the Patriots were after they lost to the Browns. Then they went into Pittsburgh last Sunday night and burned Heinz Field to the ground while once again reminding us never to doubt a Bill Belichick-led team – especially following a loss. Even though the Colts have held their ground, Peyton Manning’s receiving corps has been decimated by injury and you wonder if that will eventually take a toll. A win would be insurmountable for both teams this weekend.
      CURRENT ODDS: PATRIOTS –3.5

      Packers (6-3) @ Vikings (3-6), 1:00PM ET
      Even with all of their injuries, the Packers have looked great over the past couple of weeks. But they need to be careful here. The Vikings needed a miracle comeback to beat the Cardinals two weeks ago and then played poorly against the Bears last Sunday. The Packers aren’t going to overlook a division rival on the road, but it’s human nature to think that the circus that has come to Minnesota this season isn’t leaving any time soon (i.e. the Vikings are primed for another beating). Plus, every couple of weeks Brett Favre has one of those games were he comes out and wills his team to victory. You know he wants to stick it to Green Bay one last time.
      CURRENT ODDS: PACKERS -3

      Raiders (5-4) @ Steelers (6-3), 1:00PM ET
      Boy this game looks a heck of a lot more interesting now than it did three weeks ago, huh? The Raiders are now tied for first in the AFC West, while the Steelers were just embarrassed at home by the Patriots last Sunday night. Oakland went into Pittsburgh last year and beat the Steelers on their home turf, so clearly the Raiders aren’t going to be intimidated on Sunday. That said, they’re also 1-3 on the road this year and have only beaten one team with a winning record (vs. Kansas City two weeks ago). This Sunday would be a great time to check both off the “To Do” list.
      CURRENT ODDS: STEELERS –7

      2010 NFL Week 11 Odds

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      External Sports, NFL

      2010 College Football Week 12 Odds

      November 17, 2010 /
      November 8, 2008: Texas A&M wide receiver Ryan Tannehill #17 is tackled by Oklahoma defensive back Lendy Holmes #11 after a 55 yard reception in the second quarter of the NCAA Football game between the Oklahoma Sooners and the Texas A&M Aggies at Kyle Field in College Station, TX. The Sooners defeated the Aggies 66-28. Tom Mayes/CSM Photo via Newscom

      No. 8 Nebraska @ No. 19 Texas A&M, 8:00PM ET
      The Aggies certainly look like a different team since the benching of preseason SEC Offensive Player of the Year Jerrod Johnson was benched for Ryan Tannehill. After three straight losses in the middle of the season, Texas A&M has won four in a row thanks to Tannehill. The Aggies will have their work cut out for them this week against Nebraska, which is 10th in the nation in scoring defense.
      CURRENT ODDS: NEBRASKA –2.5

      No. 9 Ohio State @ No. 20 Iowa, 3:30PM ET
      The Hawkeyes are likely out of contention in the Big Ten after losing to Northwestern last Saturday. But that doesn’t mean they won’t take solace in ruining the Buckeyes’ title hopes. Ohio State needs two more wins to claim at least a share of the Big Ten title and there’s only two teams left on its schedule: Iowa and Michigan next Saturday at the Horseshoe. The Buckeyes have won six of their past seven games against the Hawkeyes at Kinnick Stadium, so they’re traveling to a place where they’ve had success in the past.
      CURRENT ODDS: OHIO STATE –3

      No. 16 Virginia Tech @ No. 24 Miami, 3:30PM ET
      After losing to Boise State and James Madison to start the year, the Hokies have rattled off eight in a row. Now they can clinch the ACC Coastal Division on Saturday if they can beat conference rival Miami. Jacory Harris still isn’t healthy enough to suit up, so that means Stephen Morris will make his third straight start for the Hurricanes, who have won two in a row. The last time these two teams played in Miami, the Canes beat the Hokies 16-14 in 2008.
      CURRENT ODDS: VIRGINIA TECH –2.5

      No. 13 Arkansas @ Mississippi State, 7:00PM ET
      For the second week in a row, the Bulldogs will have their hands full with a tough SEC foe. A week after losing to Alabama, Mississippi State will host an Arkansas team that ranks third in the nation in passing offense and 13th in points scored. Considering what Alabama’s Greg McElroy (227 yards, 2 TDs) did against the Bulldogs’ last week, it’s scary to think what Ryan Mallett can accomplish this week. Still, if Mississippi State can get its rushing attack back on track after being held below their average last week, the Bulldogs will make a game of it in Starkville.
      CURRENT ODDS: ARKANSAS -3

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      College Football, External Sports

      Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW): Week 11

      November 17, 2010 /
      OAKLAND, CA - NOVEMBER 07: Johnnie Lee Higgins of the Oakland Raiders is tackled after a catch by Brandon Flowers and Eric Berry of the Kansas City Chiefs during an NFL game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on November 7, 2010 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)

      The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week you pick up a defense that is playing against a bad offense (preferably at home). And each week you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position.

      Last season, my top pick averaged 9.8 fantasy points per game. My second pick averaged 9.1 and my third pick averaged 7.3. On the whole, DTBWW averaged 9.3 fantasy points per game, which equate to DT5 numbers — all for the price of a few waiver wire pickups. In 2008, my top two picks averaged DT6-type numbers. (Note: To calculate fantasy points, I use this scoring system.)

      Unlike Defensive Team By Committee (DTBC), which is for those owners who prefer low maintenance teams, DTBWW strategy allows fantasy owners to virtually ignore DTs on draft day and focus on picking up an extra RB/WR flier instead.

      To be eligible, defenses have to be available on the waiver wire in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues.

      Let’s see how my Week 10 picks fared:

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      External Sports, Fantasy Football, NFL

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