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What will the NFL Lockout do to Las Vegas?

Many fans are sweating the ridiculous fight between the owners and the NFL players as they try to divide billions of dollars in one of the few business areas thriving in this down economy, but the pain will be felt by many others as well if a settlement is reached.

One casualty would certainly be Las Vegas, as betting on NFL games drives a huge amount of business for the Vegas casinos. The Vegas casinos have been having a very difficult time throughout since the financial crisis of 2008, and the last thing they need is losing waves of bettors who are addicted to the NFL spreads. Of course college football will still be a draw, but the NFL turns boring Sundays into big events in Vegas. It’s not just Vegas, as fantasy football sites and online gambling in general will also suffer as well. On the other hand, it could be a big opportunity for others, as players addicted to football will be looking for other ways to generate excitement and spend their gambling dollars.

Let’s see if it comes to that.

Which DTs were most productive in 2010?

Other positions: QB | RB | WR | TE | DT

When doing a postmortem on any fantasy football season, I like to look at how a particular player performed on a per game basis adjusted for his strength of schedule (SOS). DTs are no different, except that they all played the same number of games. SOS will have an impact, but the per game aspect of it won’t make much of a difference.

Keep in mind that I used the following scoring system:

DT/ST TD = 6 points
Safety = 2 points
INT = 1 point
Fumble = 1 point
Sack = 1 point

Defensive Points Allowed
Shutout = 10
2 – 6 = 8
7 – 10 = 6
11 – 14 = 4
15 – 19 = 2
20+ = 0

Here’s a look at how the 32 DTs stack up against each other when SOS bias is removed:

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Has Julio Jones moved past A.J. Green on team’s draft broads?

Alabama Crimson Tide wide receiver Julio Jones (8) sprints past Duke Blue Devils cornerback Ross Cockrell (6) during the first half of their NCAA football game in Durham, North Carolina September 18, 2010. REUTERS/Jim R. Bounds (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL)

For months, draft pundits have said that Georgia receiver A.J. Green was the most NFL-ready prospect in this year’s class. Now it appears that he may not even be the first receiver to come off the board next month.

SI.com’s Peter King writes that Alabama wideout Julio Jones has closed the gap between he and Green, who showed up at February’s scouting combine in less than impressive shape. Jones, on the other hand, wowed scouts by running two 40-yard dashes between 4.34 and 4.40 seconds with a slight fracture in his foot. (An injury that shouldn’t slow down his pro career.)

The former Alabama star was easily the most impressive receiver at the combine and may now be viewed as a top-5 pick. In fact, King says that the Bengals (who have the fourth overall selection) have Jones ahead of Green on their preliminary draft board. Teams still consider Green to be the more naturally gifted athlete, but Jones might be the safer prospect because of his work ethic and practice habits. Even Green is on record saying that preparation is one of his weaknesses.

Another attribute that has caught teams’ attention is Jones’ ability to block. The Bengals are re-implementing a run-first offense under new coordinator Jay Gruden (who will be implementing his version of the West Coast Offense) and a receiver like Jones is obviously attractive because he’s not afraid to mix it up a little with DBs.

In my latest mock, I had the Bengals selecting Green at No. 4 and the Browns (another team that will be running a version of the WCO) taking Jones at No. 8. If I were to compile another mock today, I might have the receivers flipped based on King’s report.

Charles Barkley debates Rick Pitino about the Big East [video]

Rick Pitino joined the March Madness coverage and got into a little debate with Charles Barkely, who obviously isn’t a big fan of the Big East.

I love Pitino’s statement at 0:50 that “Notre Dame will not lose tonight” (to Florida St., whom they did lose to…badly).

The Big East is currently 9-9 in the tourney with two teams still alive (UConn and Marquette). Based purely on seeding, we would expect the conference to be 14-6 with five teams (Pitt, Notre Dame, Louisville, Syracuse and UConn) still alive. Barkley is right that the Big East didn’t have a powerhouse team like the Big Ten (Ohio St.) or the Big 12 (Kansas) does, but it is a good conference top to bottom. Marquette is a good example. They beat a solid Xavier team and then upset Syracuse. Sure, it would be more impressive had they beaten a non-Big East team to make it to the Sweet 16, but it’s still an impressive run for an 11-seed.

If UConn and Marquette go quietly into the dark night against SDSU and North Carolina, respectively, then we can really wonder about the conference’s strength, but if UConn wins and Marquette gives the Tar Heels a good game, isn’t that enough?

It’s interesting — when Barkley made that comment about the Big East having solid but unspectacular players, I looked at a first round mock over at NBADraft.net, and the only Big East player projected to go in the first round is Kemba Walker. (There are six Big East players projected to go in the second round.) DraftExpress also shows one first rounder (Walker) and six second rounders.

Jay Bilas probably summed it up best on Twitter:

NFL moves kickoffs up to 35-yard line, replay will now be automatic on scoring plays

New York Giants kicker Lawrence Tynes (C) kicks the opening kick-off to start the first regular season game in the Giants new stadium against the Carolina Panthers in their NFL football game in East Rutherford, New Jersey, September 12, 2010. REUTERS/Gary Hershorn (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL)

At the NFL owners meetings on Tuesday, the league decided to make several rule changes for next season…uh, if there is a season.

For your reading pleasure, here’s the cliff note version of the changes:

– Kickoffs will now start from the 35 and not the 30. (Touchbacks will still come out to the 20-yard line.)

– After gathering input of coaches throughout the league, the committee decided to allow return teams to have a two-man wedge. The committee had suggested the elimination of the two-man wedge, but coaches argued that would make it harder to have quality returns.

– Players on kickoff coverage units must line up within five yards of the 35. They can no longer get a 15-yard running start.

– Replay will now become automatic for all scoring plays, regardless of whether or not coaches have challenges remaining. What constitutes a “scoring play?” A play that was ruled on the field to have scored points.

There was also a vote involving the “defenseless player rule,” but that has been tabled until the May meetings because the Competition Committee wanted to expand on some of the language in the rule.

I like that replays will now be automatic for all scoring plays and thus, coaches don’t have to decide whether or not to burn a challenge on a play that could cost them points. Was it a touchdown or not? Let’s get those calls right. Don’t penalize a coach or his team for using challenges on questionable calls (which essentially are what challenges are) earlier in the game when it could cost him a touchdown later on.

As far as the kickoffs rule change, I could go either way. It zaps some of the excitement out of the game by moving the ball up to the 35, but I understand that the committee is trying to prevent injuries. We’ll have way more touchbacks but if it means we’ll see less players leaving the field on stretchers, then I’m all for it.

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