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The shine is quickly wearing off Dan Mullen

Dan Mullen and Mississippi State escaped tonight.

The Bulldogs defeated Louisiana Tech 26-20 in overtime, avoiding a 1-3 start in a season that started with incredibly high hopes. You can almost forgive it, as they were coming off games against Auburn and LSU, which certainly required more emotional energy than this one would have.

And with the win, Mississippi State still has the chance for a pretty special season, perhaps even 10 wins.

Dan Mullen, who was nearing “hottest coach in America” status, is going to need that. Not to keep his job — he’s remarkably safe — but in order to stay in the Rolodex (ignore the fact those are no longer used … by anyone) of athletic directors at the top schools in the country.

Maybe he wants to stay at Mississippi State. Maybe he really thinks he can win a national title there (he can’t), but there’s no question that for the past two years, he’s had all the leverage in any negotiations he would have entered. He’s in danger of losing that, now.

Losing to LSU is acceptable. There might not be a better team in the country this year. Losing to Auburn on the road isn’t horrible, but it isn’t good. The Tigers are a shell of last year’s national title team, a team that the Bulldogs very nearly beat. Going to overtime against Louisiana Tech? Now you’re screwing up.

Mullen is 16-13 at Mississippi State, a school that struggled mightily before he got there. Maybe it’s not fair to expect a team in the best conference in the country to excel despite it having next to no history of doing so. But the problem with creating expectations is, you have to meet them, especially if your name is going to come up every time a top program has a job opening.

Alabama dominates Arkansas, makes case for No. 1 (Updated with link to video)

Go ahead, tell me a team that wants to play Alabama right now.

The Crimson Tide destroyed Arkansas 38-14 at Bryant-Denny Stadium, announcing to the nation — if it didn’t know already — that they were once again a serious national title contender.

But it wasn’t just the score, it was the way the Tide dominated every facet of the game to pick up the blowout victory. Trent Richardson ran wild, accumulating 126 yards on 17 carries, and 85 yards and a touchdown on three receptions. A.J. McCarron was pretty near perfect, going 15-of-20 for 200 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

And the defense. Oh, the defense.

Arkansas finished with 226 total yards, almost all of which came through the air. The Razorbacks run game managed just 17 (!) yards on 19 carries. Yes, math majors, that’s less than one yard per carry. The ‘Bama defense/special teams also chipped in offensively with an interception return for a touchdown and a beautiful punt return for a score by Marquis Maze. On the return, Maze cut back across about half of the Arkansas coverage team (that might be a slight exaggeration), and then cut back on the final guy just for the heck of it. It was as if he wanted the Arkansas trainers to have one more set of ankles to tape this week.

Alabama has another test next week against Florida. The Gators have the type of speed on offense that can score on anyone if given room, but something tells me Nick Saban will outwit Charlie Weis and figure out how to not give those guys room. The big matchup, of course, is Nov. 5 at home against LSU. That will very likely be for the SEC West title, which essentially means a trip to the national title game. Both defenses are outstanding, but at this point you’d have to give a major edge to the Tide offensively.

Some other thoughts from today’s daytime games:

– Ohio State has found its quarterback, and I think a lot of people knew it was going to happen. Braxton Miller didn’t have eye-popping passing numbers by any stretch (5-of-13, 83 yards and a pair of touchdowns), but he used his feet to gain 83 more yards. With either quarterback, Ohio State is going to have to go through some growing pains in the passing game, so it makes the most sense to stick with the youngster who adds an extra dimension to the game.

– Oklahoma State did its part to make sure Texas A&M doesn’t leave the Big 12 with a conference title. The Cowboys rallied to beat A&M 30-29 at Kyle Field, in what is likely the last conference meeting between the two schools. The Aggies, who look to be headed to the SEC next season, jumped out to a 20-3 lead before surrendering 27 straight points to the Cowboys. A&M can still win the Big 12, but it will need some help, and a win against No. 1 Oklahoma. Good luck with that.

– Tommy Rees was horrible for most of Notre Dame’s game against Pitt, but the sophomore found a way to come up bit when it mattered, going 8-of-8 on the Irish’s final touchdown drive to give his team a 15-12 win. On the touchdown, Rees fit a pass through a tiny hole to tight end Tyler Eifert. It was the kind of crisp, decisive pass he hadn’t made all game. His ability to bounce back must be what keeps him in games, because Brian Kelly has certainly had a lot longer leash with Rees than he did with Dayne Crist.

Michigan should realize it’s a single-wing team, which is a good thing

Michigan quarterback Denard Robinson (16) runs the ball by Ohio State defender Johnathan Hankins (52) during the second quarter of their NCAA college football game in Columbus, Ohio, November 27, 2010. REUTERS/Jeff Haynes (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL)

Through the first three games of this season, Michigan offensive coordinator Al Borges has tried at times to implement the more pro-style offense that he eventually wants to run in Ann Arbor. When that hasn’t worked — and that’s often — he’s trashed that and gone to a simplified version of Rich Rodriguez’s offense, aka the “Give the Ball to Denard” offense.

Denard Robinson as a runner might be the most dangerous weapon in college football. As a drop-back passer in a pro-style set, he’s not even in the top half of quarterbacks in the Big Ten.

Borges is realizing this, and in recent weeks has gone to the GTBTD offense quicker than he did in, say, the Notre Dame game. Against the Irish, Borges waited until the second half, and had it not been for horrendous fundamental coverage skills by the Notre Dame defensive backs, it would have been too late. Unleashing Denard in the shotgun not only allows him to throw, but also forces single coverage on the outside, which is Michigan’s only chance to get any kind of passing game, because Robinson isn’t going to read a defense effectively.

The challenge going forward, however, is finding a way to make this work during the Big Ten season. A year ago, the better Big Ten defenses figured out how to shut down Robinson, or at least slow him down enough to force Michigan into uncomfortable situations. If Borges tries to go pro-set, Michigan might not win a Big Ten game, and I’m not exaggerating. If he goes simply GTBTD, the Wolverines are probably going to run into the same problems eventually, but it’s easily their best chance at winning games.

Some Michigan fans have brought up using Robinson as a running back and trying out Devin Gardner, a sophomore who was a highly-regarded recruit, at quarterback. That won’t work either, because part of what makes Robinson so dangerous is the fact that you still have to cover receivers down the field when the ball’s in his hands. That goes out the window if you’re just handing off to him. He’s also not big enough to handle the between the tackles pounding that a running back.

So how about the single wing? It’s a pretty simple offense, and it’s really not that far from what Michigan does now. The misdirection keeps defenses from keying on Robinson, and he still has the threat of throwing downfield. Also, nobody plays against the single wing, because nobody runs it. That gives Michigan, and maybe the most dangerous player in the country, the same advantage the service academies and other option teams have: forcing teams to prepare in one week for an offense they’ve never seen before.

I understand that Michigan is eventually going to be closer to the kind of smash-mouth type football team that we saw under Lloyd Carr and Bo Schembechler, but if it wants to win games and take advantage of its best asset this year and next, it’s going to have forget about that.

Fade Material: College Football Week 4 Predictions

I finished with my first .500 week in college football last Saturday, as I went 2-2 with my predictions. Stanford and Army (who won outright over Northwestern as a 6-point dog) were winners, while Auburn and Ohio State failed to show up. I’m still 8-3-1 on the year, which I’ll certainly take.

Florida State @ Clemson, 3:30PM ET
The home team is 11-2 against the spread in the last 13 meetings between these two teams, while the Seminoles are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the Tigers and 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games versus Clemson. Florida State is also just 1-5 against the number in their last six conference games and with the line set at 2.5, I like Clemson to win by at least a field goal.
THE PICK: CLEMSON -2.5

Arkansas @ Alabama, 3:30PM ET
The Razorbacks are 10-1 against the spread in their last 11 conference games and 4-1 in their last five games versus a team with a winning record. They’re also 4-1 ATS in their last five games in September and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. I like Arkansas to give ‘Bama a game today and keep the score within 10 points.
THE PICK: ARKANSAS +11

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Favre’s back! (Not really.)

Green Bay Packers quarterback Brett Favre (4) hoists receiver Greg Jennings after Favre threw a 16-yard touchdown pass to set an NFL record for career touchdown passes at 421 during the first quarter of their National Football League game at the Metrodome in Minneapolis, in this file photo taken September 30, 2007. For the first time in 19 seasons Favre failed to report for work on December 13, 2010, ending one of the most remarkable ironman streaks in all of sport. Picture taken September 30, 2007. REUTERS/Bob Cerny/Files (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL)

Brett Favre is returning to football. Sort of. He has agreed to provide color commentary for the Southern Miss/Rice game on October 1st.

“I’m excited to be back at Southern Miss with the Golden Eagles,” Favre said in a press release. “I’m not committing to a new career in broadcasting, but just wanted to support Southern Miss and check out the view from the press box. It should be fun and I hope the fans enjoy it.”

Favre, who started at quarterback for Southern Miss from 1987-1990, set several passing records at the school despite being recruited as a defensive back out of high school.

Everyone can breathe a sigh of relief. If anything, this would indicate that Favre isn’t planning a comeback for at least a few weeks.

I think we can all rest easy and assume that Favre is done playing football. It would be interesting to hear him call a game, however. I wonder if they’ll get Jenn Sterger as the sideline reporter…

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