Category: NFL (Page 289 of 1282)

NFL Week 7 MVP, COY and ROY power rankings

Raise your hand if you can figure out this NFL season. Yeah, that’s what I thought. A few hands went up in Pittsburgh, a couple in New England, and a few more in New York/New Jersey. Choosing players and coaches who might be in line for postseason awards is even more difficult to grasp, but we’ll give it another shot here….


MVP Power Rankings

1. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts—His team is 4-2 and a contender in the tough AFC. But more than that, Manning leads the NFL with a 103.4 QB rating—319.3 yards per game passing, 13 touchdown passes and just 2 picks. The guy is once again dominant, and he’ll continue to make life miserable for opposing coordinators.

2. Roddy White, Atlanta Falcons—The Falcons are 5-2 and one of the top teams in a wide-open NFC, and this guy is probably the biggest reason why. He busted on to this list by catching 11 passes for 201 yards and 2 scores against Cincinnati last Sunday—a whopping 18.3 yards per catch. I’m really not sure how you defend this dude, who keeps making us open our mouths wide with some acrobatic grabs and pure athleticism.

3. Ahmad Bradshaw, New York Giants—Don’t look now, but the NFL has a new leading rusher (708 yards). He’s short (listed as 5’9” but probably more like 5’8” with a heel lift), and extremely hard to bring down. Now that he’s healthy and listed as the starter for the 5-2 Giants, Bradshaw is taking over, running behind a good O-line, but also making plays happen in the open field himself, and making guys twice his size miss. If he could only just stop fumbling (four times in seven games)….

Honorable mention: Clay Matthews, Green Bay Packers; Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers; Michael Vick, Philadelphia Eagles; LaDainian Tomlinson, New York Jets; Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers; Osi Umenyiora, New York Giants; Arian Foster, Houston Texans; James Harrison, Pittsburgh Steelers; Jerod May, New England Patriots

Coach of the Year Power Rankings

1. Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh Steelers—Sure, the Steelers got lucky with that fumble-non-recovery thing against Miami last week. But Mike Tomlin has his team ranked at or near the top in everyones’ power rankings. The man knows how to win, no matter who is under center—but with Big Ben there, and with a healthy Polamalu and another defender (James Harrison) who almost retired because the league told him to stop hitting guys so hard, there isn’t a doubt anywhere that the Steelers will go deep into the postseason.

2. Tom Coughlin, New York Giants—I’m gonna be a homer here, but you can’t not give credit to a coach who brings his team off of life support after three games, and then has them on top of the NFC by winning four straight. This, despite a team that ranks near the bottom of the NFL with a minus-five turnover differential—thanks to 10 fumbles lost and 11 picks. And also despite all those Bill Cowher rumors a month ago. The bottom line? The players have his back, and the defense is now playing lights-out under first-year coordinator Perry Fewell.

3. Jeff Fisher, Tennessee Titans—At some point you just have to bring Fisher, the longest tenured NFL coach, into the conversation, because he brings his team to play every week. Last season, the Titans started 0-6 and ended up 8-8 and almost in the playoffs. This year, his feisty bunch is 5-2 and in first place in the AFC South. They’re never out of any game no matter who is at QB, and Chris Johnson hasn’t even begun to catch fire yet.

Honorable mention: Pete Carroll, Seattle Seahawks; Raheem Morris, Tampa Bay Bucs; Todd Haley, Kansas City Chiefs; Rex Ryan, New York Jets; Andy Reid, Philadelphia Eagles, Steve Spagnuolo, St. Louis Rams; Bill Belichick, New England Patriots; Mike Smith, Atlanta Falcons.

Rookie of the Year Power Rankings

1. Dez Bryant, Dallas Cowboys—I’m just glad my Giants won that game on Monday night, because this dude almost stole the show all by himself with three touchdowns—2 receiving and 1 on a punt return. He’s ridiculously explosive and has all-around scary talent. I mean, is it too early to call Dez a future Hall of Famer? Probably, but in 15 years, don’t forget that I just said that.

2. Ndamukong Suh, Detroit Lions—Opposing offenses were able to breathe easy last week with this beast on bye. Today, Donovan McNabb will get to know him a bit better.

3. Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams—Even last week in a losing effort, two of Sam’s 13 completions were for touchdowns, and he’s on pace for 20 TD tosses. Not bad for a rookie.

Honorable mention: Jahvid Best, Detroit Lions; Max Hall, Arizona Cardinals; Rolando McClain, Oakland Raiders; Jermaine Gresham, Cincinnati Bengals

Fox pregame show leads the league in laughing

Think that Howie, Terry and Jimmy spend an inordinate amount of time laughing at and with each other? They do, if you think 11% is too much.

Per the Wall Street Journal

…an analysis of the CBS and Fox pregame shows before Week 5 shows that the hosts do spend a lengthy amount of time laughing—sometimes at nothing, sometimes at their own jokes and, occasionally, at things that are funny.

The amount of time they laugh, though, is what sets them apart. The five hosts on Fox’s show—Curt Menefee, Terry Bradshaw, Howie Long, Michael Strahan and Jimmy Johnson—had a combined laughing time of two minutes, 22 seconds. That’s about 11.6% of the 20 minutes, 27 seconds they were shown on set together. Mr. Bradshaw was easily the laughing leader, going for about 92.4 seconds—including 2.5 seconds at the start of the show before anyone said anything.

I don’t watch the Fox pregame show that much anymore. I’m usually watching the ESPN fantasy football pregame, listening for any late-breaking fantasy news while trying to avoid making any last-minute decisions based on Matthew Berry’s advice. Part of what turns me off about the Fox pregame show is its size (there are too many commentators) and how they’re always fake-laughing at each other. Now we have numbers to prove it.

Childress leaning towards sitting Brett?

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 11: Brett Favre  of the Minnesota Vikings walks off the field after the New York Jets won 29-20 at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 11, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Andrew Burton/Getty Images)

Here’s a shock: there are conflicting reports coming out of Minnesota about Brett Favre.

Judd Zulgad of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune says that head coach Brad Childress is leaning towards starting Tarvaris Jackson against the Patriots on Sunday. But ESPN’s Ed Werder reports that Childress wants to start Favre (who is dealing with a bum ankle).

While I would normally side with the beat writer who covers the team on a weekly basis (that being Zulgad), I find it hard to believe that a man who has allowed Favre to get away with murder since arriving in Minnesota last year would sit Brett against his will. When push comes to shove, Childress will always submit to Favre so if Brett wants to play, he’s going to play.

That said, if Favre is too injured to play, I wouldn’t be surprised if he handed the ball off to Adrian Peterson on the first play of the game and then pulled himself out to protect his consecutive starts streak. Your majesty will probably hobble off the field and tell the media later that he intended on playing the full game, but re-injured the ankle on the first play.

Either way, the Vikings’ quarterback situation looks bleak for Sunday. If Favre plays, that ankle can’t be in too good of shape to make it through an entire game and there’s a reason Childress sold his soul to bring Brett to Minnesota two years ago. If Favre is too injured to play, will the Vikings keep him active as Jackson’s backup or will he be inactive? If he’s inactive, who would be Jackson’s backup – Bernard Berrian? (Remember that Sage Rosenfels was traded to the Giants earlier in the year.)

It should be an interesting scene in Foxboro come Sunday afternoon.

2010 NFL Week 8 Picks

DETROIT - AUGUST 28: Matthew Stafford  of the Detroit Lions warms up prior to the start of the preseason game against the Cleveland Browns at Ford Field on August 28, 2010 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Leon Halip/Getty Images)

We’re not there yet, but I’m driving straight into patheticville with my NFL picks this year. After a 1-3 Sunday in Week 7 (thank you Chargers, Saints and Cowboys for showing up in your respective games), I’m now 10-13-1 on the year. It’s getting to the point where I can’t even look at myself in the mirror anymore.

Fade me at will…

Redskins @ Lions, 1:00PM ET
I love the Lions this Sunday. Matthew Stafford (shoulder) is back to full health and is reportedly “unleashing 70-yard bombs” in practice. The Redskins’ secondary can be hit or miss, even though DeAngelo Hall is coming off a four-interception game against the Bears and Jay Cutler last week. This will also be Washington’s second-straight road game and the Skins have their bye coming up, so there’s a chance they could get caught flatfooted. This Lions team has a different feel to it this year and is definitely playing with more confidence offensively. Assuming Stafford doesn’t suffer another setback with his shoulder, I like Detroit by a touchdown.
THE PICK: LIONS –2.5

Titans @ Chargers, 4:05PM ET
The Chargers burned me last week against the Patriots but I’m going right back to the well this Sunday because I’m not that smart. Despite what the final score read, their defense played extremely well against New England last week and if it weren’t for a slew of mistakes by the offense, they probably beat the Pats soundly. No matter – I see them scooping up a win this Sunday against Tennessee. Vince Young hasn’t played a full game in three weeks and he may need a quarter or two to shake off the rust. I see San Diego controlling Chris Johnson and forcing the Titans into a shootout, which is something they don’t want with Young back under center. As long as the Bolts figure out a way to slow Kenny Britt, they should rebound from last week’s debacle.
THE PICK: CHARGERS –3.5

Seahawks @ Raiders, 4:15PM ET
Their 59-point effort last week was a mirage, but the Raiders are better than people think. When healthy, Darren McFadden can be an elite back as he showed last week in Denver. I don’t have a ton of confidence in Jason Campbell or Oakland’s shoddy defense, but their lambasting of the Broncos last week should give them confidence moving forward. On the other side, the Seahawks have won two in a row but I’m still not convinced that this team can win on the road consistently. Despite their win in Chicago two weeks ago, I think the Hawks revert back to their losing ways away from Seattle.
THE PICK: RAIDERS –2.5

Steelers @ Saints, 8:20PM ET
This may fall into the category of a trap, but I actually think the Saints are this bad without Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush. Their offense lacks that punch that won them a Super Bowl a year ago and they’re in trouble with Pittsburgh coming to town. It’s true that the Steelers can be had through the air, but they don’t give up points inside the red zone. They lead the league in points allowed and Drew Brees had all kinds of trouble in the red zone last week against the Browns. He’s pressing, which is unlike him, but I don’t see any signs of him shaking out of it either. I think New Orleans is in legitimate trouble this year and another loss would put them two back of the Falcons in the NFC South. Not good.
THE PICK: STEELERS +1

Tony Romo owners (or those unhappy with their QB play), here’s what you do…

Referee John Parry checks on injured quarterback Tony Romo during the first half in Cowboys Stadium October 25, 2010 in Arlington, Texas.  Romo suffered a broken collar bone.  UPI/Ian Halperin Photo via Newscom

I feel your pain, Romo owners. I had him in two of my six leagues, and was ill-prepared for an injury to my star QB. In one league, I managed to pick up Josh Freeman and Jon Kitna, and in the other, I was only able to get Jason Campbell and David Garrard.

It seems like a good time to recalculate our Quarterback By Committee (QBBC) to see what QB pairs have a combined schedule that will get us through the rest of the season. It’s fine to trade away depth at RB or WR in order to land a solid QB, but in many cases it’s unnecessary. A problem at QB is one of the easiest to mask since there is so much depth at the position. In most leagues, you can get capable QB play by picking up a couple of guys on the waiver wire and using them in tandem.

To that end, I looked at the 18 (at least somewhat decent) QBs most likely to be available on your waiver wire. In order of decreasing availability (in ESPN leagues), the list includes:

Donovan McNabb (94.2)
Jay Cutler (86.4)
Brett Favre (86.2)
Carson Palmer (83.4)
Mark Sanchez (68.6)
Vince Young (62.3)
Chad Henne (60.9)
Matt Cassel (42.1)
Sam Bradford (28.6)
Matthew Stafford (27.1)
David Garrard (26.5)
Ryan Fitzpatrick (25.8)
Josh Freeman (23.1)
Matt Hasselbeck (20.8)
Alex Smith/Troy Smith (12.7)
Jon Kitna (10.9)
Bruce Gradkowski/Jason Campbell (5.1)
Matt Moore (1.8)

I tweaked Footballguys’ rest-of-year (through Week 16) projections to reflect my own ranking for each player. I then applied FBG’s strength of schedule to calculate a projected points for all the remaining games, and then used a giant Excel spreadsheet to determine the best QB pairs for the remainder of the season.

The two best QBBCs are Stafford/Cutler and Stafford/McNabb, but since Cutler and McNabb aren’t readily available in most leagues, we have to dig a little deeper. The third-highest QBBC is Stafford/Fitzpatrick, which has an average percent-owned of 26.5%, so the duo might be available in your league. Stafford/Freeman and Fitzpatrick/Freeman come in at #5 and #6, respectively.

Below is a table of all 153 possible combinations. Duos that are listed in green have an average percent-owned of less than 20% (meaning there’s a decent chance that they’re available), while duos listed in red have an average percent-owned between 20% and 40%. I included expected points (in a high performance scoring system) for Weeks 8-16 and for Weeks 9-16 in case you find this article after the Week 8 games.

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