Category: Fantasy Football (Page 83 of 324)

      Love ‘Em & Leave ‘Em: Week 12

      November 25, 2009 /

      Every week, I will highlight a few players to start and a few players to sit at each position. I’m a firm believer in starting your studs, so I won’t tell you about how Drew Brees or Adrian Peterson has a tough matchup – just go ahead and keep them in your lineup. Instead, I’ll focus on the borderline guys – players you’ll only start under the right circumstances. It’s important to note that depending on your roster and situation, you may not be able to follow these recommendations. For example, if I suggest you bench a solid starter like Tony Romo, only do so if you have a clearly better option on your bench.

      The “love ‘em” players are listed in the order that I’d start them this week.

      love-em

      Brett Favre should have a big game against a Bears secondary that has been really spotty, especially lately…Despite leaving the game early last week, Kurt Warner still looks like a nice start against a Titans defense that is ranked 31st against the pass…Carson Palmer faces a Cleveland defense that is yielding 247 yards and 1.5 pass TD per game…Matt Hasselbeck has a nice matchup with the Rams’ 24th-ranked pass defense….In five starts, Alex Smith is averaging 207 yards and 1.8 pass TD, and with the Jags’ 25th-ranked pass defense coming to down, he should have a nice day…Matt Ryan has been struggling of late, and the Bucs pass defense is somewhat improved, but he is still a pretty good start…Desperate? Josh Freeman (@ ATL) and Ryan Fitzpatrick (vs. MIA) both have nice matchups this week.

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      Fantasy Football, NFL

      Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW): Week 12

      November 24, 2009 /

      The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week, you pick up a defense, preferably one playing at home against a bad offense. And each week, you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position. To see how this approach performed last season, click here.

      Last week, I recommended three DTBWW picks. Let’s see how they fared…

      #1 Bengals: 20 PA (0) + 1 INT + 2 FR = 3 fantasy points
      #2 Cowboys: 6 PA (8) + 1 SK + 1 INT = 10 fp
      #3 Lions: 37 PA (0) + 1 SK = 1 fp

      Ouch. Needless to say, it wasn’t a strong week for DTBWW. The Bengals laid an egg against Oakland and the Lions’ defense turned out to be more inept than the Browns’ offense, and that’s saying something. I *almost* picked the Cardinals versus the Rams (8 fp), but once again I let my esteemed colleague, Anthony Stalter, talk me out of a better pick. At least the Cowboys showed up — they put forth a nice defensive effort against the Redskins.

      For the season, my #1 pick is averaging 9.5 fantasy points, my #2 pick is averaging 10.6 and my #3 pick is averaging 6.3. On the whole, DTBWW is averaging 8.8 fppg, which are DT2-type numbers. My #2 pick has been particularly hot of late, averaging 11.4 fp over the last eight weeks. Go figure.

      Let’s take a look at this week’s picks. Keep in mind that to be eligible for DTBWW, a defense must be available in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues.

      I’d love to recommend the Bengals (vs. CLE) or the Packers (@ DET) this week, but they aren’t eligible because they are owned in 72% and 80% of ESPN leagues, respectively. If they are available, pick them up before moving on to this list. (I’d also take the Jets — owned in 66% of leagues — over the Dolphins.)

      Pick #1: Dallas Cowboys (vs. OAK)
      A stingy Cowboy defense hosts a fairly inept Raiders offense on a short week. Bruce Gradkowski seems better than JaMarcus Russell, but now Dallas has some recent tape to game plan against him.

      Pick #2: Seattle Seahawks (@ STL)
      The Seahawks were embarrassed last week against the Vikings and are a better team than they showed in Minnesota. The defense isn’t great, but it’s opportunistic and with Marc Bulger out, St. Louis has a problem at QB.

      Pick #3: Miami Dolphins (@ BUF)
      The Dolphins really need this game and the Bills have been a quality matchup for fantasy defenses all year long. Terrell Owens’ big Week 11 will ensure that the Dolphins don’t forget about him in Week 12.


      Photo from fOTOGLIF

      Fantasy Football, NFL

      NFL Week 12 Injury Updates: Turner, Bulger, Cooley & Megatron

      November 24, 2009 /

      Turner likely to sit vs. Bucs
      Falcons running back Michael Turner is still nursing an ankle injury and is unlikely to practice or face the Buccaneers on Sunday. Jason Snelling will continue to get the bulk of the rushing load, although Jerious Norwood might be active after practicing some last week.

      Cooley probably heading for the IR
      Redskins tight end Chris Cooley said on Tuesday that he’ll probably wind up on injured reserve at some point this season. He had hoped to come back at some point this year, but his ankle injury is too severe. With Washington out of playoff contention, it makes sense that Cooley would call it a season.

      Johnson could miss Thanksgiving Day game
      The Lions could be without their two star players when they host the Packers on Thanksgiving Day. Calvin Johnson is dealing with hand and knee injuries and is doubtful to play. Matthew Stafford is also unlikely to play after suffering a shoulder injury in a win over the Browns last Sunday.

      Bulger out 3-6 weeks
      Rams quarterback Marc Bulger is out 3-6 weeks with a broken tibia. He suffered the injury in a loss to the Cardinals last Sunday and might miss the remainder of the season. Kyle Boller will probably start in his place, although rookie Keith Null might get a shot as well.

      Photo from fOTOGLIF

      Fantasy Football, NFL

      Waiver Wire Watch: Week 12

      November 24, 2009 /

      Every week, I highlight a few players that you should target in waivers. I use the ESPN league data when filtering players, so the only players eligible for discussion here are those that are available on the waiver wire in at least 50% of ESPN’s leagues. I’ll list each player’s percentage-owned after their name so you have an idea of how available they are in leagues around the country. I’ll always try to mention a few players that are available in 90% of leagues for those of you in 12-team leagues or leagues with big rosters. I’ll rank them in the order I’d pick them up in a league with a high-performance, PPR scoring system.

      Please note that these rankings are for total value through the end of the year. Players with particularly good matchups this week are in bold.

      Alex Smith (12.8)
      Why Smith is still available in 87% of leagues is beyond me. Since taking over as the starter, he is averaging 207 pass yards and 1.8 pass TD. Moreover, he has three good matchups coming up — JAX, SEA, ARI — and another good matchup in Week 16 (DET).
      Mark Sanchez (43.5)
      He had a rough go of it against New England, but with a pair of nice matchups in Week 14 (TB) and Week 15 (ATL), he wouldn’t be a bad backup for the home stretch.
      Vince Young (9.4)
      Jason Campbell (19.5)
      Jake Delhomme (11.8)
      Matthew Stafford (6.8)
      He’d be higher on this list if not for the injury to his left shoulder that he suffered at the end of Sunday’s game.
      Josh Freeman (3.1)
      Ryan Fitzpatrick (0.6)

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      Fantasy Football, NFL

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