Author: John Paulsen (Page 619 of 937)

Slicing and dicing John Walters’ pro-BCS argument

NBCSports.com John Walters chimes in with a lame argument in favor of the BCS. Walters is a little different from the other BCS-apologists out there in that he framed his pitch as an open letter to President-elect Barack Obama, who recently reiterated his support for a college football playoff. Whenever I read these pro-BCS arguments, I feel compelled to pick them apart point by point (like I did with Tim Cowlishaw two weeks ago).

I will begin with my most ardent point (we’ll call it Item 1): The beauty of the alchemy of the unknown. College football offers unforeseen plot twists and turns each Saturday. It is a fragile yet fertile ecosystem, something that man could not knowingly create yet, now that it exists in its present form, he can appreciate. To attempt to “fix it” would no less befoul the college gridiron landscape than would unregulated drilling in Alaska.

So instituting a playoff would automatically ruin the “alchemy of the unknown”? What does that mean? Even with a playoff, college football will still offer unforeseen plot twists and turns each Saturday, just like the NFL does each Sunday.

It’s always funny when commentators wax poetic about the uniqueness of the college football championship format. They mention qualities (that would not suddenly go away with a playoff) as reasons to keep a bad system.

In your proposed universe, Mr. President-Elect, you only say you want an eight-team playoff. I humbly submit that conference champions must be a part of that, or you will never get buy-in. You’re not THAT powerful.

I don’t really care if the conference champions get an automatic bid, but let’s say they do. That eats up six of the eight playoff spots. There are still two spots for at-large bids, like undefeated teams from non-power conferences or the next best team in a power conference. How does this lower the impact of the regular season? If anything the competitiveness will be increased because all of those teams in the #6-#15 range will know that they have a legitimate shot to make the playoffs.

Even better, there could be a rule that conference champions will get an automatic berth, but only if they have fewer than four losses. This protects the conference champs, but if they have proven they aren’t elite, then they don’t get a berth. The power conferences might agree to this rule because they could just as easily benefit from it (by getting a second or third team in during a particularly strong season) as they could be hurt by it.

The intrigue of a team remaining perfect…of games that one month earlier no one could have foreseen as having an impact (I refer you to the landmark case of Pittsburgh v. West Virginia, 2007), would be forfeited under your plan.

Why would it be any less intriguing for a team to remain perfect? Does Walters only find it interesting because an undefeated team might get the shot to play in the BCS Championship Game? Isn’t there something intrinsically wrong with a system where a power conference team must go undefeated to have a shot to play for the title?

Simply put, the games between Labor Day and Thanksgiving would lose nearly all their juice — or have you noticed that college basketball is a back-burner sport from November through February?

Okay, now Walters is following the mindless drones that trip over themselves trying to put down college basketball’s regular season. Why aren’t they using a much better comparison – like the NFL? Isn’t that a closer estimation to what a college football playoff would mean for its regular season? After all, NFL teams play 16 games, while college basketball teams sometimes play 30 games. Which is the better comparison? They use college basketball as an example because using the NFL – the country’s most popular sport – would be counterproductive to their argument.

Item 2: Just because something is different does not mean that it is flawed (a truism to which you of all Americans must subscribe). Thanksgiving is the only federal holiday that falls on a Thursday, but would anyone want to tweak Thanksgiving? Pass an executive order mandating that Virginia stop referring to itself as a commonwealth? Edit Pulp Fiction so that it runs chronologically?

Pulp Fiction, by the way, is the very analogue of college football’s playoff as presently constituted: non-chronological, maddening, filled with heroes, villains and inexplicable moments (Why is Mr. Wolf wearing a tuxedo and attending a cocktail party at 8:30 a.m.?), and yet ultimately brilliant. Satisfying. A masterpiece.

While it’s true that “just because something is different does not mean that it is flawed,” it also doesn’t mean that it’s not flawed. Walters throws out a few examples to try to prove his point, but all he does is prove the exception to the rule. Sure, “Pulp Fiction” was a good movie, but how often does a movie like that work? And is he really comparing the BCS system to a Quentin Tarantino movie?!?

March Madness is at best half the tournament the BCS is. To win the NCAA basketball championship, a team must win six consecutive games, a run that almost every Division I team (with the possible exceptions of Oregon State and Northwestern) is capable of. To even advance to the BCS championship game a team must win twelve straight or twelve of thirteen. Which is more difficult?

Walters is missing something here – during March Madness team must win six consecutive games against the best competition in the country. That’s a little different than just having to win six consecutive games, which is a feat unto itself. He then states that college football teams must win twelve straight or twelve of thirteen to appear in the BCS Championship Game. Of course, winning this many games is an impressive feat as well, but the problem is that there are sometimes six or seven teams that have accomplished the exact same thing. What about them?

I will close with this, Mr. President-Elect. Just as “Drill, baby, drill” advocates fail to appreciate the grandeur of the millions of years of natural beauty they would be destroying in exchange for a few decades’ worth of oil, playoff advocates fail to appreciate that a postseason playoff would undermine the magic of the regular season.

A postseason playoff would undermine the magic of the regular season. BCS apologists keep repeating this position, so it must be true, right? Wrong. A playoff would be more inclusive which would only serve to increase the net competitiveness and excitement in college football. The rivalry games aren’t suddenly going to lose their meaning. Sure, there might be a game here or there that will become a little less important because both teams have a little breathing room to make the playoffs, but in that case we’re talking about two of the best teams in the land – does anyone think that a game between two top teams will suddenly lose its importance? And what about the multitude of games that suddenly become more important because they involve teams ranked in the aforementioned #6-#15 range that will be fighting tooth and nail for a playoff berth? Are BCS apologists simply ignoring the increased importance and competitiveness of those games?

Waiver Wire Watch: Week 12

Every week, I highlight a few players that you should target in waivers. I use the ESPN league data when filtering players, so the only players eligible for discussion here are those that are available on the waiver wire of at least 50% of ESPN’s leagues. I’ll list each player’s percentage-owned after their name so you have an idea of how available they are in leagues around the country. I’ll always try to mention a few players that are available in 90% of leagues for those of you in 12-team leagues or leagues with big rosters. I’ll rank them in the order I’d pick them up in a league with a high-performance, PPR scoring system.

Please note that these rankings are for total value through the end of the year. Players with particularly good matchups this week are in bold.

QUARTERBACKS

I’d pick up Matt Cassel and Tyler Thigpen before moving onto the list below. Jeff Garcia and Brady Quinn also have nice matchups this week. I’d probably pick them up after Frerotte.

Gus Frerotte (32.3)
He has a great schedule down the stretch that includes JAX, DET and ARI.
Matt Hasselbeck (47.8)
He was rough in his first week back, but he has as much upside as anyone on this list.
Kerry Collins (22.1)
519 yards and five TD over the last two weeks is nothing to sneeze at. Plus, he has four pretty good matchups in the next four weeks – NYJ, DET, CLE and HOU. You wouldn’t want to start him Week 16 however (PIT).
Shaun Hill (21.8)
He’s averaging 215 yards and 2.0 pass TD over the last two games, plus he had a rush TD to boot. He has a nice stretch run in Weeks 14-16 against the Jets, Dolphins and Rams.
Joe Flacco (42.8)
Sage Rosenfels (30.6)
JaMarcus Russell (25.8)
Ryan Fitzpatrick (6.8)
Daunte Culpepper (12.4)
I have no idea why Detroit isn’t looking at Drew Stanton right now, but Culpepper is a starting QB, so he does have some value.

RUNNING BACKS

If Warrick Dunn, Sammy Morris, Justin Fargas or Derrick Ward are out there on your waiver wire, they’d be worth a pickup. Dunn will benefit from Earnest Graham’s absence, Morris is working his way back into the starting lineup and Fargas is already there. Brandon Jacobs had a precautionary MRI on his sore knee, so Ward has an outside chance to see his stock rise significantly over the next week or two.

Peyton Hillis (13.3)
He’s the closest thing that the Broncos have to a RB1 right now.
Cedric Benson (47.3)
Antonio Pittman (14.0)
Steven Jackson will be out for at least another week, maybe longer.
Pierre Thomas (19.4)
He was very productive on 20 touches this week, but if Reggie Bush comes back, Thomas’ value will take a hit.
Selvin Young (40.2)
If he can just get healthy, he would see some serious work in the Denver backfield.
Carnell Williams (24.9)
There’s no telling when (or if) Caddy will be able to help, but he’s practicing some now, so there’s a chance that he could split time in the Tampa Bay backfield.
Ahmad Bradshaw (23.8)
He’d see his value rise if Jacobs were to miss any time.
Tatum Bell (23.0)
Clifton Smith (1.0)
He’s a darkhorse to get some carries with Earnest Graham out and Cadillac Williams working his way back.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Ted Ginn is owned in just over 52% of ESPN leagues and he’s starting to put up some consistent fantasy numbers, especially in PPR leagues.

Justin Gage (12.5)
He finally put two good games together (8-194-3 over the last two weeks). Has Kerry Collins finally found a “go to” WR?
Michael Jenkins (26.5)
He is quietly developing into a bona fide WR2 in Atlanta. He has a rough matchup this week, but things look solid down the stretch.
Mark Bradley (20.1)
After three straight 15+ fantasy point games (in PPR leagues), I would have liked to have seen more out of him against the Saints, but he posted just 3-54. He has 21 catches in his last four games.
Deion Branch (9.2)
4-54 in his first game back with Hasselbeck leads me to believe that he might be a worthwhile add in bigger leagues.
Jason Hill (2.2)
In the last three games, Hill has caught 12 passes for 153 yards and a TD.
Devin Hester (45.0)
He had a rough game against the Packers, but most wideouts don’t fair very well against Charles Woodson and Al Harris. His schedule over the next four weeks is much better.
Rashied Davis (30.7)
See “Devin Hester” above.
Antwaan Randle El (42.0)
Washington has nice matchups over the next two weeks.
Bobby Wade (6.3)
He has caught at least three passes in eight of 10 games this season, and last week he went for 2-12-1.
Bryant Johnson (13.6)
If you’re digging deep at WR, Johnson has caught 10 passes in the last three games.
Bobby Engram (33.5)
Will he and Hasselbeck get back into the swing of things?
Shaun McDonald (4.2)
He has caught 18 passes over the last four weeks.

TIGHT ENDS

Dustin Keller (27.1)
14 catches for 194 yards and a TD over the last two games is no fluke. He’s becoming Favre’s safety-valve over the middle.
Zach Miller (48.6)
Miller has gained at least 42 yards in six of the last seven games.
Donald Lee (40.6)
Lee has three TD in the last six games and has caught at least two passes in eight of the Packers’ 10 games.
Todd Heap (48.6)
After a horrible start, Heap has eight catches over the last two weeks. If Derrick Mason misses anytime with his shoulder injury, Heap could – repeat, could – become a bigger part of the Baltimore game plan.
Matt Spaeth (0.8)
Spaeth has 12 catches in the last two weeks filling in for Heath Miller. He’s a viable start in PPR leagues.
L.J. Smith (22.9)
Smith has six catches for 51 yards and a TD in the last two games.
John Carlson (44.4)
Carlson is averaging 3.0-28-0.3 over the last six games.
Marcedes Lewis (27.8)
Vernon Davis (34.3)
Don’t look now, but Davis has a consecutive-games-with-a-TD streak going.
Ben Watson (19.4)
His 8-88-1 outing against the Jets was probably a fluke.

Chauncey Billups is changing the Nuggets…for the better

Dave Krieger of the Rocky Mountain News says that Chauncey Billups is changing the Nuggets, especially on the defensive end. It’s hard to argue, as the Nuggets are 5-1 since he joined the team.

Remarkably, the Nuggets have scored more than 100 points in just one of those five wins – the first one. Billups is rapidly changing their very identity.

“We won a game playing defense,” Billups said after the 90-84 decision over Minnesota. “We’ve done that a couple times since I’ve been here. And I think for me personally, I get a lot more confidence winning games playing defense than winning the run-and-gun game. Now, when we can start making shots and we can get where we need to be offensively and continue to play defense, then we can be dangerous.”

Although Billups hit only seven of his 23 shots, the Nuggets outscored the Timberwolves by 17 points when he was on the floor, the best plus-minus rating of any player on either team.

“The scoring thing is just an extra bonus,” said Billups, who finished with a game-high 26 points. “So if I’m struggling from the field, I’m not going to let everything else in my game just lay down. I won’t allow that to happen. And I’ll try to teach a lot of the other guys on this team the same thing: ‘So what if you don’t make shots? Give me something else.’ And I try to lead and do that by example.”

Carmelo Anthony, among others, seems to be getting the message. Despite hitting only four of his 17 shots, Anthony grabbed a team-high 12 rebounds, his second double-figure night on the boards in as many games.

For the last few years, the closest thing the Nuggets had to a defensive identity was Marcus Camby, and they gave him away to the Clippers last summer. Billups brings hard work and determination, and that can be infectious, especially for a young team. George Karl’s teams have a notoriously short attention span when it comes to defense, so it will be interesting to see how long this renewed focus lasts.

And I wonder just how much better they would be with Camby manning the middle.

Rams already rule Steven Jackson out for Week 12

Here’s more bad news for Rams fans and Steven Jackson owners.

Coach Jim Haslett on Monday declared running back Steven Jackson as out for the Rams’ game against the Chicago Bears this Sunday.

Haslett said the Rams’ medical staff recommend that Jackson, who has already missesd three of the Rams’ last four games, sit out this week.

“They feel he should be out this week, and rest him, and see what happens next week,’’ Haslett said.

Jackson, who has a strained quadriceps muscle in his right leg, got a second opinoin on his injury from a St. Louis physician over the weekend.

“He had a second opinion in town, and the doctor kind of told him the same thing we were telling him,’’ Haslett said. “He has a strain with a little bit of blood in it, and it’s going to take some time to heal. He thought he should take some time off also, let it rest.’’

It looks like we’ll be seeing the Antonio Pittman show for the foreseeable future. Other than a couple of tough matchups in Week 12 (CHI) and Week 14 (ARI), Pittman has a pretty decent schedule down the stretch (assuming Jackson continues to miss time).

« Older posts Newer posts »