Author: John Paulsen (Page 59 of 937)

Sunday’s March Madness schedule for all time zones

If you’re looking for Saturday’s schedule, click here.

ETCTMTPTMATCHUPCHANNEL
12:1511:1510:159:15(7) Washington vs. (2) UNCCBS
2:451:4512:4511:45(8) Michigan vs. (1) DukeCBS
5:154:153:152:15(8) George Mason vs. (1) Ohio StateCBS
6:105:104:103:10(5) Arizona vs. (4) TexasTNT
7:106:105:104:10(11) VCU vs. (3) PurdueTBS
7:456:455:454:45(11) Marquette vs. (3) SyracusetruTV
8:407:406:405:40(9) Illinois vs. (1) KansasTNT
9:408:407:406:40(10) Florida State vs. (2) Notre DameTBS

Butler upends #1-seed Pitt in a bizarre ending

University of Pittsburgh’s Gary McGhee (L) goes to the basket against Butler University’s Matt Howard during the first half of their third round NCAA basketball game in Washington, March 19, 2011. REUTERS/Jim Young (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL IMAGES OF THE DAY)

Since 2003, only one #8-seed (Alabama, 2004) has advanced to the Sweet Sixteen. It’s a tough thing to do because of that second round matchup against a #1 seed.

Last year’s Cinderella, the Butler Bulldogs, just joined Alabama by beating top-seed Pitt, 71-70.

Butler took the lead with under three seconds to play on an Andrew Smith layup, and as Pitt’s Gilbert Brown caught the long inbounds pass along the sideline, Butler’s Shelvin Mack ran into him and was called for a foul. Brown made the first to tie the game, but missed the second, and on the rebound Butler’s Matt Howard was fouled by Nasir Robinson. He made the first free throw and intentionally missed the second to give the Bulldogs the victory.

Both fouls were monumentally ill-advised and I’m being kind to phrase it that way because these are college kids and not professionals. In those situations, you don’t want to put the ref into a position to make a call like that. Mack’s poor decision came on the fly, but Robinson should have known that the game was at worst heading to overtime and kept his hands off of Howard.

Mack scored 30 points to lead the way for the Bulldogs. Meanwhile, the Panthers shot 55% from the field and outrebounded Butler, 31-21, and still found a way to lose this game.

All along, I thought the Southeast region was the toughest to predict. I didn’t really like Pitt as a Final Four team, but Florida, BYU, Wisconsin and Kansas State all have their flaws as well. I wouldn’t be shocked if Butler made a repeat appearance in the Final Four. They execute really well and obviously have last year’s experience to draw upon.

Sagarin & Pomeroy data for the second round

If you’ve read my annual March Madness bracket column or if you are a stathead in general, you’ll know what the title of this post means. If you don’t, check out my column and come back.

Here are the next 16 matchups representing the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Sagarin advantage represents the spread in Jeff Sagarin’s predictor ratings. If the number is positive, it means that Team A is the Sagarin favorite. If the number is negative, then it means Team B (and the lower seed) is actually the favorite.

The Pomeroy % represents the chances that Team A will win the game according to Ken Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation.

Over the last four years, teams with a 2+ point advantage in Sagarin’s “predictor” rating have won 156 of 198 games (78.7%). Over the last two years, if a team had at least a 65% expected win rate according to Pomeroy’s Pythagorean calculation, they won 61 of 76 games (80.2%).

I’ve also included the spread for the game at the World Sports Exchange. Oftentimes the spread is very close to the Sagarin spread.

Team ATeam BSag AdvPom %Spread
KentuckyWest Virginia2.663.0%-3.5
FloridaUCLA5.371.9%-6
RichmondMorehead State6.272.0%-4.5
San Diego StateTemple5.775.0%-5.5
PittsburghButler8.882.4%-7.5
BYUGonzaga3.560.6%+1.5
WisconsinKansas State5.573.7%-3.5
ConnecticutCincinnati1.156.6%-4
North CarolinaWashington0.256.3%-4
DukeMichigan9.883.5%-11.5
Ohio StateGeorge Mason10.786.1%-11
TexasArizona5.475.9%-5.5
PurdueVCU11.387.7%-9
SyracuseMarquette3.667.7%-4.5
KansasIllinois5.469.9%-8.5
Notre DameFlorida State4.471.5%-5

Saturday’s March Madness TV schedule for all time zones

If you’re like me and don’t like having to do math to figure out when a particular game is on in your time zone, you’re going to like the schedule below.

ETCTMTPTMATCHUPCHANNEL
12:1511:1510:159:15(5) West Virginia vs. (4) KentuckyCBS
2:451:4512:4511:45(7) UCLA vs. (2) FloridaCBS
5:154:153:152:15(13) Morehead St. vs. (12) RichmondCBS
6:105:104:103:10(7) Temple vs. (2) San Diego StateTNT
7:106:105:104:10(8) Butler vs. (1) PittsburghTBS
7:456:455:454:45(11) Gonzaga vs. (3) Brigham YoungCBS
8:407:406:405:40(5) Kansas State vs. (4) WisconsinTNT
9:408:407:406:40(6) Cincinnati vs. (3) ConnecticutTBS
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