Month: September 2006 (Page 9 of 30)

NFL Game of the Week: Jacksonville at Indianapolis

Great games flood the NFL schedule in week three, but what game is worthy of Game of the Week on Bullz-Eye.com?

Chicago travels to Minnesota for a early battle for NFC North supremecy, while the Steelers look to bounce back from their Monday night loss to the Jaguars as they welcome the Bengals. Seahawks at Giants maybe?

All great games, but nothing compares to two undefeated teams that are specialized on one side of the ball.

One contest will be plucked off the schedule every week and broken down by each teams strengths and weaknesses vs. its opponent. Plus, no preview would be complete without a forecasted score – you’ll find a prediction on the game at Bullz-Eye.com as well.

On tap for Week 3: Jaguars (2-0) at Colts (2-0).

Catching up with Caliendo

Okay, so last week I laid a verbal assault on FOX’s Frank Caliendo for going 1-3 on his NFL predictions.

But I’m a fair guy and since I barraged him last week, it’s only right to give him credit for a job well done last Sunday.

Here are Caliendo’s picks from Week 2:

– Ravens over Raiders
– Broncos over Chiefs
– Vikings over Panthers
– Buccaneers over Falcons in his upset special

So, Calinedo turns things around by going 3-1 this week, but lets be honest – his only decent pick was Minnesota over Carolina.

He went against a team that didn’t score a point in week one (Oakland) to another who was playing Damon Huard at quarterback (Kansas City). His upset special fell flat and now that’s back-to-back weeks he’s picked against Atlanta.

I’ve got a feeling that I’m going to ride this disaster all year long…

Caliendo’s record after two weeks: 4-4, 1-1 on his “upset special”

Culpepper’s new world

In the last half of August, Daunte Culpepper’s Average Draft Position (ADP) at Antsports.com was 7.02, making him the eighth QB off the board, ahead of Jake Delhomme, Kurt Warner, Drew Bledsoe, Trent Green and Mike Vick.

Owners that drafted Culpepper were probably did so because of his 2004 season, one of the greatest statistical performances ever turned in by a QB. He threw for 4717 yards and 39 touchdowns against only 11 picks, yielding a stellar QB rating of 110.9. He also rushed for 406 yards and two scores. In 2003, he threw for 3479 yards and 25 scores against 11 picks, yielding a very good QB rating of 96.4. That season, he also rushed for 422 yards and four touchdowns.

From a performance fantasy perspective, Culpepper averaged a phenomenal 32.6 ppg in 2004 and a very good 24.4 ppg the year before. So it seemed reasonable to some that those numbers were within reach after he joined an up-and-coming Miami team with several good weapons – Ronnie Brown, Chris Chambers and Randy McMichael – to work with.

But, coming into the season, Culpepper’s value was held down by glaring problem – the 2005 season. Before suffering a brutal knee injury in Week 8, Culpepper (and his team) were off to one of the worst starts of his career. Not counting the game in which he got injured, he threw for a respectable 1536 yards, but only threw six touchdowns against 12 interceptions. This projects out to 4096 yards, 16 touchdowns and 32 interceptions. His QB rating for 2005 was 72.0, the worst of his career.

So what happened to Culpepper in 2005? Well, he lost his best WR, Randy Moss. Despite his good career completion percentage (64.2%), Culpepper isn’t all that accurate of a thrower. Many of the passes he completed to Moss were bombs, where he simply threw the ball up and Moss went and got it. Culpepper is a talented deep thrower, and he was at his best when he had Moss to throw to. Chris Carter’s phenomenal hands also had a positive effect on Culpepper’s career accuracy.

Thus far, in two games with the Dolphins, he’s thrown for 512 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions, which projects to 4096 yards, eight scores and 24 picks over the course of a full season. Only he might not make it through 16 games. He’s been sacked nine times in two games, and is holding the ball way to long in the pocket. With the knee injury limiting his mobility, he’s a statue back there. He’s never been a guy that was effective at buying himself time within the pocket – when the pressure came, he would either tuck the ball and run or he would quickly roll out of the pocket to make the throw. His mobility always had to be accounted for, so linebackers would cheat up in coverage to keep an eye on him. This opened up throwing lanes behind the LBs – lanes that are no longer there. He needs to adjust to his new reality and make decisions more quickly in the pocket. The days of him buying time with his feet are long gone.

In fairness, Culpepper has faced two tough defenses in Pittsburgh and Buffalo. I expect his numbers to improve over the next two weeks as he faces a porous Tennessee and Houston defenses. The Dolphins have designs on the playoffs and desperately need two wins against two subpar opponents to get back to .500. The remaining schedule isn’t exactly easy, and Culpepper will have to step up his play dramatically if the Dolphins hope to reach the postseason. Fantasy owners with Culpepper on their roster need to keep their fingers crossed.

Stoops remains a professional

The Oklahoma Sooner football team got robbed on at least one, possibly two officiating calls over the weekend. The game officials have been suspended and just about everyone, including Oregon Head Coach Mike Bellotti, have called the University of Oklahoma and Head Coach Bob Stoops to apologize.

Coach Stoops has always found a way to remain professional during stressful or controversial times. Stoops believes in winning and making his players better people. Instead of following the majority, and blaming the officials for losing, Stoops points out that his team could have done numerous things better to put this game out of reach on their own. This type attitude is why Coach Stoops will always be a successful football coach.

NFL Columnists have their take

So what are local beat writers talking about in the wake of their team’s losses?

Winslow should shut his mouth…but he’s right
Cleveland Browns tight end Kellen Winslow Jr. aired out some frustrations to the Plain Dealer on Tuesday:

“Some of the coaches might just be holding us back a little bit,” Winslow said. “I don’t mean to try to go behind their backs or whatever, but let’s go, let’s air it out, let’s run the ball, let’s make plays, let’s be exciting.”

“The Giants run the same system as we do, the Cowboys run the same system as we do and [Jeremy] Shockey and [Jason] Witten are on the field on third down,” he said. “I just don’t understand why I’m not on the field sometimes.”

I can’t argue with what Winslow is saying because he’s right – the Browns offense is inept right now. They need Winslow’s playmaking abilities on the field on third downs, especially with Braylon Edwards dropping opportunity after opportunity. Simply put, Cleveland is in no position to leave any of its weapons off the field in critical situations.

This type of stuff can’t be coming out of Winslow’s mouth, however. The Browns don’t owe him anything after his motorcycle stunt put him on IR for the entire ’05 season and so far has cost Cleveland a lofty draft pick with nothing in return but one touchdown. I thought he said in the offseason that he was a changed person? I thought he was going to stop shooting from the hip with his comments and just play?

Be more of a team guy – a leader – before calling out the coaching staff kid.

If you are not big on Chris Simms, you have to read this column
Possibly one of the funniest columns I have read in a long time was by Buccaneers blog writer Scott Kramer from Tampa Bay Online.com. Kramer completely dismantled quarterback Chris Simms in his latest entry after the Bucs lost to the Falcons 14-3 on Sunday:

…The Falcons also rejected more bad passes than a prom queen at Dragoncon…the Atlanta front four didn’t bother rushing too much. They just watched Simms’s eyes, waited for him to start his throwing motion, went to the sideline for some water and a quick rubdown, then got back to the field in time for him to release the ball and deflect the pass. Did I mention that Chris Simms has the slowest release in all of recorded history?

…But when he needed only four of those yards to get a touchdown at the end of the first half, Simms missed an unbelievably uncovered Ike Hilliard who looked absolutely amazed that he didn’t have a ball in his hands.

…But I’m feeling sorry for Simms, much in the same way I feel sorry for a turtle who has been flipped onto his back. He kicks and struggles and wobbles (all very slowly and without coordination,) but can’t ever seem to get back on his feet. So, I’ll stop piling on Chris. For now.

I wrote a response to Simms in my NFL Power Rankings blog about how bad his mechanics are right now. Jon Gruden blasted Simms on the sidelines virtually every series and now I think his confidence is shaken just as much as his physical skills are right now.

Blaming Reid for Eagles collapse
Sam Donnellon of the Philadelphia Daily News knows who to point the finger towards after the Eagles 30-24 overtime loss to the Giants on Sunday: Andy Reid.

…Because this was his fault. Without exception. Over and over again in the second half, Reid tried to run the ball against an eight-man front, tried safe, short passes, tried to dissolve almost a half’s worth of clock rather than press the clear advantage he owned over New York in his own stadium.

Three and out, three and out – over and over again, especially in the fourth quarter. The Eagles’ defense, already undermanned in the secondary, barely had enough time for a cup of water before it was out on the field again.

It’s interesting that Reid once was the hero coach of the NFL – the guy who could do no wrong and who was a genius in getting his players ready to play every week. Now the title of ‘super coach’ has shifted to Carolina Panthers headman John Fox (the 0-2 start doesn’t help him, but he’s beloved by the media) and national and local media now continuously blast Reid.

Interesting how much the media can turn on a guy.

Time for Daunte to get tough
Ethan J. Skolnick from the Florida Sun-Sentinel is calling out QB Daunte Culpepper’s mental toughness:

…He has already responded in a miraculous manner physically, rehabilitating a traumatic knee injury in record time. Now he must show the same resilience in a psychological sense, or he shouldn’t be out there — personal courage, trade compensation, contract status and medical clearance aside.

…He has appeared antsy and clumsy, immobile and indecisive. He has missed big gains and made major mistakes. He has pressed and, in the eyes of some experts, regressed.

Here’s what I think: the Dolphins face Tennessee and Houston the next two weeks. I bet Miami wins both to get back to .500 and all of a sudden the ‘Culpepper of ‘04’ columns start popping up like advertisements on the internet.

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