2010 FSWA Industry Insiders Fantasy Football Draft, Part 2

MIAMI GARDENS, FL - FEBRUARY 07: Reggie Wayne #87 reaches for the ball against the Indianapolis Colts of the New Orleans Saints during Super Bowl XLIV on February 7, 2010 at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

Earlier this week, I summarized my draft in the FSWA Industry Insiders League. My colleague (and Bullz-Eye Editor-In-Chief), Jamey Codding, is also in the league this year and the draft for his division was held last night.

The results for each round are below. For the first 10 rounds, I’ll analyze each pick while comparing his strategy to mine, and Jamey will provide an outline of his thinking for each selection.

Round 1
#1 Team Bob Harris – Chris Johnson, RB, TEN
#2 KFFL- R. Bonini – Adrian Peterson, RB, MIN
#3 Rotowire Houston-Smith – Ray Rice, RB, BAL
#4 Sporting News – Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, JAC
#5 Fantasy Insights – Smitty – Andre Johnson, WR, HOU
#6 Team Shaw – Michael Turner, RB, ATL
#7 Draft Sharks – Smola – Frank Gore, RB, SFO
#8 Team J. Levit – Randy Moss, WR, NWE
#9 ProSportsBlogging Brian Moore – Steven Jackson, RB, STL
#10 The Scores Report – Reggie Wayne, WR, IND
#11 CBSSports – Eisenberg – Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
#12 KFFL – McRae – Ryan Mathews, RB, SDG

JP’s Analysis: There were no huge surprises in the 1st, and Jamey did well to grab arguably the most consistent WR of the last five years in Reggie Wayne. It’s a PPR league where owners can start up to four wideouts, so it makes a lot of sense to draft a WR late in the first when all of the top RBs are already gone.

Jamey’s Thoughts: I can probably count on one hand the number of times I’ve taken a receiver in the first round, but after doing a couple of mock drafts and getting a feel for the kind of RB and WR that would be available at the 3/4 turn, I did the unthinkable (for me) and committed to going WR/WR with my first two picks. I was hoping to get Moss here but, despite some concerns about the crowded receiving corps in Indy, I was happy to land Peyton Manning’s #1 in Wayne, a PPR rock.

NEW ORLEANS - DECEMBER 19:  Miles Austin #19 of the Dallas Cowboys runs after making a catch as Darren Sharper #42 of the New Orleans Saints runs after him for the tackle in the first quarter at Louisiana Superdome on December 19, 2009 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

Round 2
#1 KFFL – McRae – DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR
#2 CBSSports – Eisenberg – Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI
#3 The Scores Report – Miles Austin, WR, DAL
#4 ProSportsBlogging Brian Moore – Drew Brees, QB, NOR
#5 Team J. Levit – Brandon Marshall, WR, MIA
#6 Draft Sharks – Smola – Roddy White, WR, ATL
#7 Team Shaw – Ryan Grant, RB, GNB
#8 Fantasy Insights – Smitty – Aaron Rodgers, QB, GNB
#9 Sporting News – Steve Smith, WR, NYG
#10 Rotowire Houston-Smith – Greg Jennings, WR, GNB
#11 KFFL- R. Bonini – Anquan Boldin, WR, BAL
#12 Team Bob Harris – Marques Colston, WR, NOR

JP’s Analysis: Going WR-WR in the first two rounds is a bold yet intriguing strategy for those saddled with a late first round pick. There is good depth at RB this season, so he’s figuring that he’ll be able to get two solid starters at the 3/4 turn. And just look — only one RB (Ryan Grant) was taken in the remainder of the 2nd round. I love Miles Austin in the 2nd this season, or even at 1.11 or 1.12 in the first.

Jamey’s Thoughts: I actually like Austin more than Wayne but figured I had a better chance of landing Austin at 2.3 than Reggie. With the #1 receivers in two of the game’s most potent passing offenses locked in, I felt pretty good about the WR/WR strategy. Now…the long wait to see which running backs lasted to 3.10.

Round 3
#1 Team Bob Harris – Cedric Benson, RB, CIN
#2 KFFL- R. Bonini – Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
#3 Rotowire Houston-Smith – Chad Ochocinco, WR, CIN
#4 Sporting News – DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
#5 Fantasy Insights – Smitty – Shonn Greene, RB, NYJ
#6 Team Shaw – Dallas Clark, TE, IND
#7 Draft Sharks – Smola – Jamaal Charles, RB, KAN
#8 Team J. Levit – Peyton Manning, QB, IND
#9 ProSportsBlogging Brian Moore – Matt Forte, RB, CHI
#10 The Scores Report – Pierre Thomas, RB, NOR
#11 CBSSports – Eisenberg – Joseph Addai, RB, IND
#12 KFFL – McRae – Wes Welker, WR, NWE

JP’s Analysis: I also went WR-WR in my draft, and Thomas ended up going 3.09. Jamey is benefiting here from a few owners going off the reservation a bit. Dallas Clark is an okay pick in the third, but Chad Ochocinco and Cedric Benson could have been had in the 4th round. This essentially pushed Thomas down to 3.10, and Jamey was happy to pounce. Wayne-Austin-Thomas = great start.

Jamey’s Thoughts: I had visions of Mendenhall falling into my lap when he made it through the second round (he was squarely on my radar with my first or second pick, until I changed my strategy) but those hopes were quickly dashed. After that, I had my eye on three guys — Jamaal Charles, Pierre Thomas and LeSean McCoy — for my RB1, hoping the WR/WR strategy would pay off. When Charles went off the board at #7, I wondered if my heart was about to be broken with all three of my guys going in the three picks proceeding mine. Instead, I nabbed the #1 back in an explosive offense. To echo JP’s analysis, Wayne+Austin+Thomas = great start. Now I just have to hope McCoy slips back to me in the fourth….

DENVER - JANUARY 03: Running back Knowshon Moreno #27 of the Denver Broncos rushes for yardage as Travis Daniels #34 of the Kansas City Chiefs makes the tackle during NFL action at Invesco Field at Mile High on January 3, 2010 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)

Round 4
#1 KFFL – McRae – Jahvid Best, RB, DET
#2 CBSSports – Eisenberg – Ronnie Brown, RB, MIA
#3 The Scores Report – Knowshon Moreno, RB, DEN
#4 ProSportsBlogging Brian Moore – Antonio Gates, TE, SDG
#5 Team J. Levit – Chris Wells, RB, ARI
#6 Draft Sharks – Smola – Michael Crabtree, WR, SFO
#7 Team Shaw – LeSean McCoy, RB, PHI
#8 Fantasy Insights – Smitty – Steve Smith, WR, CAR
#9 Sporting News – Jason Witten, TE, DAL
#10 Rotowire Houston-Smith – Hines Ward, WR, PIT
#11 KFFL- R. Bonini – Mike Sims-Walker, WR, JAC
#12 Team Bob Harris – Jonathan Stewart, RB, CAR

JP’s Analysis: Whereas I had a pretty easy decision in the 4th (Chris Wells or Ochocinco), Jamey had to choose amongst Moreno, Wells and LeSean McCoy. McCoy has looked good in the preseason and his stock seems to be on the rise, but Jamey elected to go with Moreno, who has had a hamstring issue in camp. This is really six one way and half a dozen the other.

Jamey’s Thoughts: Wait…what? McCoy was there for the taking but I talked myself into Moreno. I typically avoid injury concerns like this, especially this early with a RB who has a bum hamstring, but assuming he recovers in time for Week 1, there’s no doubt in my mind that Moreno will get more carries and score more TDs than McCoy, although McCoy should have more catches. Still, take the hamstring out of the equation (which, I admit, isn’t easy to do), and Moreno just feels like the safer pick.

Round 5
#1 Team Bob Harris – Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG
#2 KFFL- R. Bonini – Tony Romo, QB, DAL
#3 Rotowire Houston-Smith – Tom Brady, QB, NWE
#4 Sporting News – Felix Jones, RB, DAL
#5 Fantasy Insights – Smitty – Arian Foster, RB, HOU
#6 Team Shaw – Matt Schaub, QB, HOU
#7 Draft Sharks – Smola – Jermichael Finley, TE, GNB
#8 Team J. Levit – Vernon Davis, TE, SFO
#9 ProSportsBlogging Brian Moore – Dwayne Bowe, WR, KAN
#10 The Scores Report – Percy Harvin, WR, MIN
#11 CBSSports – Eisenberg – Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, NYG
#12 KFFL – McRae – Terrell Owens, WR, CIN

JP’s Analysis: I landed Witten at 5.10, but both he and Vernon Davis were already gone in Jamey’s draft. Percy Harvin is a high risk/high reward pick, especially with Sidney Rice missing half the season. If he can get those migraines under control, he’s in for a big season. I don’t think I would have done anything differently here, given the options.

Jamey’s Thoughts: With two RB and two WR in place, it was time to build some depth. I would have loved to get Steve Smith 1.0 or Hines Ward here as a WR3 but that wasn’t in the cards, and I also was considering Dwayne Bowe but was ultimately relieved when he was taken one pick before me. Something about that situation just doesn’t sit well with me. In the end, I love the Harvin pick, even more so with Sidney Rice hitting the shelf. I could see him racking up a ton of catches as the Vikes’ new #1 receiver. Admittedly, the migraine concerns are, well, concerning, and I’d probably feel more comfortable with Harvin as my WR4, but I’m nonetheless excited to see what he can do.

Round 6
#1 KFFL – McRae – T.J. Houshmandzadeh, WR, SEA
#2 CBSSports – Eisenberg – Malcom Floyd, WR, SDG
#3 The Scores Report – Mike Wallace, WR, PIT
#4 ProSportsBlogging Brian Moore – Marion Barber, RB, DAL
#5 Team J. Levit – Jay Cutler, QB, CHI
#6 Draft Sharks – Smola – Pierre Garcon, WR, IND
#7 Team Shaw – Santana Moss, WR, WAS
#8 Fantasy Insights – Smitty – Tony Gonzalez, TE, ATL
#9 Sporting News – Philip Rivers, QB, SDG
#10 Rotowire Houston-Smith – Brent Celek, TE, PHI
#11 KFFL- R. Bonini – Reggie Bush, RB, NOR
#12 Team Bob Harris – Joe Flacco, QB, BAL

JP’s Analysis: After taking Harvin at 5.10, I probably would have recommended a RB here, and there were a few good RB3 candidates available, including Reggie Bush (still solid in PPR leagues) and C.J. Spiller. But I can’t fault Jamey for going after the up-and-coming Mike Wallace, who should have a fine year as Pittsburgh’s deep threat.

Jamey’s Thoughts: None of the backs who were still on the board got my motor running (I’ve never been much of a Bush fan, for several reasons), so I went with the upside play here. Having Wayne and Austin gives me all sorts of stability at WR but I still felt the need to back up my Harvin pick with another WR I felt comfortable starting. And, as JP stated earlier, I may very well end up starting all four WR.

PHILADELPHIA - AUGUST 13: Kevin Kolb  of the Philadelphia Eagles drops back to pass against the Jacksonville Jaguars during their preseason game at Lincoln Financial Field on August 13, 2010 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)

Round 7
#1 Team Bob Harris – Jeremy Maclin, WR, PHI
#2 KFFL- R. Bonini – Kellen Winslow, TE, TAM
#3 Rotowire Houston-Smith – C.J. Spiller, RB, BUF
#4 Sporting News – Donald Driver, WR, GNB
#5 Fantasy Insights – Smitty – Michael Bush, RB, OAK
#6 Team Shaw – Bernard Berrian, WR, MIN
#7 Draft Sharks – Smola – Johnny Knox, WR, CHI
#8 Team J. Levit – Carnell Williams, RB, TAM
#9 ProSportsBlogging Brian Moore – Robert Meachem, WR, NOR
#10 The Scores Report – Kevin Kolb, QB, PHI
#11 CBSSports – Eisenberg – Matt Ryan, QB, ATL
#12 KFFL – McRae – Brett Favre, QB, MIN

JP’s Analysis: I ended up with Kolb in the 8th, and I think we’ll both be happy with his production this season. He is not a sure thing, however, so fantasy owners who don’t want to deal with the risk should try QBBC. Eli Manning went 9.07 and Ben Roethlisberger went 11.11, so Jamey would have had to take Eli at 8.03, which probably seemed early considering Kolb’s availability at 7.10. In the end, I don’t think Kolb owners have much to worry about, but the guy is a bit unproven.

Jamey’s Thoughts: The 18 picks between my 6th and 7th round selections were torturous because I knew I needed a QB desperately and there were only four that I felt comfortable with as my QB1: Rivers, Flacco, Cutler and Kolb. Of course, the first three went before we even got out of the sixth. I thought I was doomed. Thankfully, Kolb made it back to me and, honestly, I like him about as much as I like the other three. Kolb looked very good against the Bengals last week and, although he has yet to throw a preseason TD, he’s 17-for-28 overall with a 7.9 YPA average. In this offense and with these weapons, I think the bust factor is very low here and the Eagles, judging by the McNabb trade, seem to agree. Are you going to argue with Andy Reid?

Round 8
#1 KFFL – McRae – Lee Evans, WR, BUF
#2 CBSSports – Eisenberg – Chris Cooley, TE, WAS
#3 The Scores Report – Jerome Harrison, RB, CLE
#4 ProSportsBlogging Brian Moore – Steve Breaston, WR, ARI
#5 Team J. Levit – Clinton Portis, RB, WAS
#6 Draft Sharks – Smola – Justin Forsett, RB, SEA
#7 Team Shaw – Devin Hester, WR, CHI
#8 Fantasy Insights – Smitty – Tim Hightower, RB, ARI
#9 Sporting News – Brandon Jacobs, RB, NYG
#10 Rotowire Houston-Smith – Ricky Williams, RB, MIA
#11 KFFL- R. Bonini – Dez Bryant, WR, DAL
#12 Team Bob Harris – Laurence Maroney, RB, NWE

JP’s Analysis: Jamey had his pick of Harrison, Portis, Forsett and Jacobs in the 8th. (They were all gone by the 7th in my draft. Grrr.) Harrison has a lot of upside, but it’s not clear what rookie Montario Hardesty’s role is going to be once he starts practicing again. Anyone who drafts Harrison should target Hardesty as a handcuff. I’m sure that’s what Jamey intended to do, but as you’ll see next round, it didn’t work out. Regardless, the Browns biggest strength is their offensive line, so whomever gets the lion’s share of carries in Cleveland is bound to have a RB3-type year.

Jamey’s Thoughts: I waited a lot longer than I would have liked to get my third RB, but was pleased to snag Harrison here. I’m not touching Portis this season, I’m not at all confident in Jacobs and there’s a whole bunch of uncertainty in that Seattle backfield. Things aren’t all that much clearer in Cleveland with the rookie Hardesty on board, but as a Browns fan, I’ve watched Harrison throughout his career and I’ve long been convinced that he could be a dangerous back if given the opportunity. He got that opportunity last year and exploded. Will he get a chance to shine again this year? My guess is Hardesty and Harrison will both get plenty of work in a traditional (these days, anyway) thunder-and-lightning scenario. I like Hardesty but his minor preseason knee injury does nothing to alleviate durability concerns, and even when he’s healthy, Harrison has the higher PPR ceiling. I’m telling you, the dude is electric on screens.

Round 9
#1 Team Bob Harris – Carson Palmer, QB, CIN
#2 KFFL- R. Bonini – Steve Slaton, RB, HOU
#3 Rotowire Houston-Smith – Darren Sproles, RB, SDG
#4 Sporting News – Owen Daniels, TE, HOU
#5 Fantasy Insights – Smitty – Mike Williams, WR, TAM
#6 Team Shaw – New York Jets, D/ST, NYJ
#7 Draft Sharks – Smola – Eli Manning, QB, NYG
#8 Team J. Levit – Jabar Gaffney, WR, DEN
#9 ProSportsBlogging Brian Moore – Kenny Britt, WR, TEN
#10 The Scores Report – Fred Jackson, RB, BUF
#11 CBSSports – Eisenberg – LaDainian Tomlinson, RB, NYJ
#12 KFFL – McRae – Montario Hardesty, RB, CLE

JP’s Analysis: Hardesty has been going in the late 10th in recent drafts, so I’m guessing Jamey was irritated when he went at 9.12. Considering who he was targeting next round, I don’t think he was planning to take Hardesty at 10.03, which might come back to haunt him. Jackson isn’t a bad pick here, but Spiller has looked pretty good in the preseason as he’s been forced into the starting role. I think I would have preferred to lock up the Cleveland running game here.

Jamey’s Thoughts: I had been eying Jackson for a few rounds but assumed I could keep waiting. I was right. Spiller is obviously a concern but, again, I think both backs will get enough work to be useful fantasy plays. I would have taken Hardesty if he lasted another round or two but, all things being equal, I like Jackson’s skill set better and feel pretty good with him as my RB4.

Dec 21, 2008; Oakland, CA, USA; Oakland Raiders tight end Zach Miller (80) tries to elude Houston Texans safeties Nick Ferguson (25) at the Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum. The Raiders defeated the Texans 27-16. Photo via Newscom Photo via Newscom

Round 10
#1 KFFL – McRae – Dexter McCluster, WR, KAN
#2 CBSSports – Eisenberg – Vincent Jackson, WR, SDG
#3 The Scores Report – Zach Miller, TE, OAK
#4 ProSportsBlogging Brian Moore – Derrick Mason, WR, BAL
#5 Team J. Levit – Nate Burleson, WR, DET
#6 Draft Sharks – Smola – Darren McFadden, RB, OAK
#7 Team Shaw – Thomas Jones, RB, KAN
#8 Fantasy Insights – Smitty – Santonio Holmes, WR, NYJ
#9 Sporting News – Devin Aromashodu, WR, CHI
#10 Rotowire Houston-Smith – Braylon Edwards, WR, NYJ
#11 KFFL- R. Bonini – Sidney Rice, WR, MIN
#12 Team Bob Harris – Greg Olsen, TE, CHI

JP’s Analysis: Zach Miller in the 10th is a beautiful pick. I probably would have taken him 9.10 because “KFFL-McRae” hadn’t yet drafted a TE (and I’d be worried that he’d snag him on the turn), so I still would have missed out on Hardesty. I think Miller is going to have a great season and would only draft a TE earlier in the draft if there was great value or there wasn’t anyone else there that I liked.

Jamey’s Thoughts: There were a whole bunch of mid-tier TE that I liked but I never seemed to be in the right situation to take them. Here, with four RB and four WR plus my starting QB in place, I grabbed Miller after reading this update for him on Rotoworld: “Raiders TE Zach Miller was a ‘one-man wrecking crew’ in Wednesday’s passing drills. It’s been a common sight at Raiders camp.” This guy can play, and Jason Campbell could help him become an elite fantasy TE.

Here’s how his entire roster came together:

QB: Kolb, Cassel, Orton
RB: Thomas, Moreno, Harrison, F. Jackson, Washington
WR: Wayne, Austin, Harvin, Wallace, Collie, Hartline, Nelson
TE: Z. Miller, Watson
K: Longwell

JP’s Analysis: I’m sure Jamey was hoping to do better than Cassel and Orton as Kolb’s backups and I believe he would have been better served going after Alex Smith and/or David Garrard who were both available in the 13th and 14th. Of that group, I’m most optimistic about Smith, who averaged 16.7 fantasy points per game in his 11 starts last year.

Assuming Kolb produces, this is a very balanced squad. The strength is obviously the receiver position, but the RBs are better than average and Zach Miller provides a lot of upside at TE.

Jamey’s Thoughts: Um…yeah, I had my sights set a little higher than Cassel and Orton coming into the draft, to be sure. If I had it to do over again, I probably would have taken Vince Young or Chad Henne in the 12th instead of Leon Washington, but he was the last RB that I liked to round out my backfield and, at the time, he seemed like the right choice. However, I’m confident enough in Kolb that I’m not overly concerned with my two backups, although I chose these two (back-to-back in the 13th and 14th) for some upside (Cassel) and stability (Orton). Can Charlie Weis get the most out of Cassel in his second year as the KC starter? And nobody in Denver is taking Orton’s job away this season. Quinn? Tebow? Please. He’s not a superstar, but would you believe that Orton finished 14th overall in ESPN’s standard scoring format last season? In fact, he was directly behind Kurt Warner and several spots ahead of Carson Palmer, Joe Flacco, Matt Ryan and David Garrard. There’s value here.

As for the rest of my team, I’d say the WR/WR strategy certainly paid off. If I had gone with Mendenhall with either of my first two picks, I would have been left with the likes of Wes Welker, Michael Crabtree, Steve Smith 1.0 and Hines Ward as my WR2. All fine players, sure, but I’m feeling pretty damn good about my top two guys, especially considering I was able to grab a pair of clear-cut starting RB in Pierre Thomas and Knowshon Moreno and still back them up with some solid depth. Overall, I was happy with my first FSWA draft. Now, it’s time to see if I can join JP in the playoffs this year.

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