Tag: Phil Jackson (Page 5 of 5)

Four emerging NBA storylines

It’s early in the NBA season, but these four things have jumped out at me during the first week of action.

1. The Lakers are dominating, but Lamar Odom isn’t thriving off the bench.
The Los Angeles Lakers are 4-0 and have won those four games by an average of 20.8 points. Granted, they’ve already played the Clippers twice, but the Nuggets gave them a test in Denver. The Lakers are doing it with defense, holding opponents to just 39.3% shooting and 85.0 points per game. (The Lakers are second in the league in both categories.) The team is off to a quick start despite so-so play from Andrew Bynum (8.3 points and 9.3 rebounds) and Lamar Odom (10.0 points and 6.5 rebounds), who isn’t exactly tearing it up off the bench. His numbers are boosted by a pretty nice 15-point, nine-rebound effort against the Clippers last night. Those are kind of numbers that Odom should be posting on a regular basis. The Lakers are getting nice play from Trevor Ariza, who has produced 9.8 points and 4.3 rebounds in just 20.5 minutes of play. If he continues his deft shooting from long range (71%), it won’t be long before he cracks the starting lineup. One of the underlying strategies heading into the season was to cut back on Kobe’s minutes, and thus far the plan has worked. He averaged 38.9 last season and is only playing 33.3 this season. His minutes are likely to rise as the Lakers play in more close games, but right now Phil Jackson has to be feeling pretty good about how his team has started.

2. The Bucks are finally playing some defense.
Last season, Milwaukee was last in the league in defensive field goal percentage (48.0%), but through five games, they’re holding opponents to 44.2% shooting, which is #14 in the league. New head coach Scott Skiles demands a lot from his players on that end of the court and so far the Bucks are responding with increased effort. The addition of Richard Jefferson certainly helps defensively, but he’s also getting it done on the other end of the court. RJ is averaging 18.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game, even though he’s only shooting 41% from the field. Without Michael Redd in the lineup, Jefferson had a great 32-point, nine-assist effort in a 112-104 overtime win against the Wizards Wednesday night. The Bucks are also getting great play from a couple of unexpected sources. Second-year point guard Ramon Sessions turned a few heads last year when he averaged 12.9 points and 12.4 assists (including a franchise record 24 dimes against the Bulls) over the last eight games of the season. The Mo Williams trade that brought Luke Ridnour to team looked more like a salary dump than a personnel move, but maybe the Bucks decided they had their point guard of the future in Sessions, who is averaging 17.3 points and 8.3 assists on the year. Second round pick Luc Mbah a Moute has outplayed first round pick Joe Alexander thus far. Skiles likes Mbah a Moute’s great defense and toughness, which he learned playing in Ben Howland’s system at UCLA for three years. He’s playing 25.2 minutes and is averaging 8.6 points and 5.0 rebounds per game. The Bucks are 3-2, but have a rough eight-game stretch ahead of them that features the Celtics (twice), Suns, Cavs, Spurs, Nuggets and Jazz. If they can come through that gauntlet close to .500, we’ll know that the Bucks’ improvement is for real.

3. The Spurs were thisclose to starting 0-4.
If not for last night’s 55-point, 10-assist, seven-rebound effort by Tony Parker that helped the Spurs survive a double-overtime scare against the Timberwolves, San Antonio would be looking at an 0-4 start. They lost to the Suns at home by five and to the Blazers by one in Portland, but it was the 98-81 loss to the Mavs at home that was really surprising. The Spurs’ problem is two-fold. Collectively, they’re getting older and they miss Manu Ginobili. Parker (33.3 points, 7.3 assists) and Tim Duncan (27.0 points, 11.8 rebounds) are doing all they can to keep the Spurs in games, but they aren’t getting much help from their supporting cast, specifically Michael Finley (33% FG%) and Kurt Thomas (14% FG%). The Spurs are getting good play from fifth-year guard Roger Mason, who is averaging 15.8 points per game on 60.5% shooting. He’s been extremely hot from downtown, knocking down 64% of this three-point shots. Right now, it’s a three-man show and that’s it; no other Spur is averaging more than 7.5 points per game. The schedule gets a little easier over the next two weeks, with winnable games against the Heat, Knicks, Bucks, Kings and Clippers. San Antonio should be back above .500 before too long.

In my 2008 NBA Preview, I had the Hawks ranked #20 to start the season. After a 3-0 start, they should definitely be in the top half, maybe even in the top ten. I thought the loss of Josh Childress and the steady decline of Mike Bibby would outweigh whatever improvements this young team could make, but they have proven me wrong. The Hawks’ three wins are impressive. They beat Orlando by 14 points on the road, beat Philly at home by seven and then beat the Hornets in New Orleans by eight. Joe Johnson has led the team in scoring in all three games, and is averaging 28.0 points, 5.7 rebounds and 3.7 assists on the year. Even more impressive, the Hawks have won despite poor shooting from Josh Smith (42%), Mike Bibby (34%) and Marvin Williams (39%). If Johnson is able to keep up this level of play, the Hawks shouldn’t have a problem making the playoffs for the second consecutive year. Long-term, I like the direction this franchise is headed, but they still need to find their point guard of the future. Mike Bibby is on the decline and Acie Law hasn’t done much in his young career to indicate that he’s the guy they should lean on. The Hawks will have plenty of cap space over the next couple of seasons, so they should be planning to find a point guard that can complement Johnson and forward/center Al Horford.

2008 NBA Preview: #1 Los Angeles Lakers

Offseason Movement: The Lakers re-signed Sasha Vujacic and signed Chinese guard Sun Yue. They probably overspent on Vujacic (three years, $15 million) but had to compete with European teams for his services. Vujacic had a great year shooting the ball, but didn’t play particularly well in the Finals, especially on defense.
Keep Your Eye On: Lamar Odom
It’s not clear how Odom is going to fit in with Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum on the Laker front line. It’s going to be tough for Kobe Bryant to find any room to drive when the three big men are on the court at the same time, so the most likely scenario has Odom or Bynum coming off the bench. It’s going to take some time Bynum and Gasol to get used to playing with each other, and if Odom is the one coming off the bench, he’ll have to adjust to a sixth man role. The good news is that if things aren’t working by the trade deadline, they can probably unload Odom for a good player that is a better fit.
The Big Question: Is Bynum’s return enough to get the Lakers over the hump?
Conventional wisdom states that if you take a team that lost in the Finals the previous season and add an up-and-coming seven-foot center to the rotation, then the team will inevitably be better. While that’s certainly a distinct possibility, there’s no guarantee that Bynum will jive with the rest of the rotation. Just because the Lakers are better on paper, it doesn’t mean that they’ll be able to once again run the gauntlet that is the Western Conference playoffs. A lot of things had to go right for the Lakers to make the Finals last year, and a lot of things have to go right for them to make a second straight trip.
Outlook: Despite some training camp kinks that need to be worked out, there is no team in the league with more talent top to bottom. They also have one of the best coaches in the league, so the Lakers are the odds-on favorite to with the title, and rightfully so. Still, there are a number of roadblocks they’ll have to overcome. First, Phil Jackson must find a way to use Gasol, Bynum and Odom to the best of their abilities without limiting what Kobe can do on the drive. Second, Kobe must stay healthy, which means the problem he has with his shooting hand can’t bother him too much and those knees have to stay relatively pain-free. And lastly, they must show better toughness if they meet the Celtics again in the Finals. Bynum brings a lot to the table, but he’s not going to make this team tough by himself. The Celtics were hungrier than the Lakers last season, but now the roles are reversed. If Jackson can get Odom, Bynum and Gasol to play together well, or if the Lakers can trade Odom for a better fit, they should make it to the Finals again. There is just too much talent here; they should be able to figure it out.

Are the Lakers already in trouble?

Despite being outmuscled and outhustled by the Boston Celtics in the Finals, the Los Angeles Lakers enter the season as the odds-on favorite to win the title. With the up-and-coming Andrew Bynum returning from injury, their status as favorites does some sense. But there is already trouble in Lala Land, as the coaching staff can’t figure out how to best utilize the talent on the roster. There are two issues at hand: 1) Lamar Odom is in the final year of his contract and has always been a bad fit for the triangle offense and 2) it’s no sure thing that Andrew Bynum and Pau Gasol can play well together.

Heading into the season, the team seemed intent on moving Gasol to power forward and starting Bynum at center, so much so that Phil Jackson suggested that Lamar Odom might come off the bench. While the trio would make a long and formidable frontline, none of them can hit a jumper outside of 15 feet, and even that’s a stretch. Defenses would simply pack the lane, which would make it next to impossible for Kobe Bryant to get to the rim.

For his part, Odom bristled at the idea of coming off the bench.

“He must have woke up and bumped his head. He probably hit his head on something — boom,” Odom said about Jackson. “To start off like that, you’ve got to be out of your . . . mind.”

“I’ll make you a deal. If my armpits smell like roses, I’ll come off the bench.”

I could write a thousand words about why Odom’s umbrage at the prospect of moving to a sixth man role proves that he’s selfish and thinking only (or mainly) of himself, but suffices to say, he’s in the final year of his contract and he doesn’t want his stats to take a hit. The better his numbers, the better the contract he’s going to get next summer.

(Of course, there’s the argument that a selfless move to the bench that resulted into a NBA title would only serve to enhance his value. If a sixth man role is good enough for Manu Ginobili, then it’s good enough for Lamar Odom. Period.)

Okay, so Odom isn’t willing to be a sixth man. Now Jackson is experimenting with the idea of playing him at point guard.

Odom, who has already clashed with Jackson in training camp, has brought the ball up court for the Lakers in their first two days of practice.

Derek Fisher has shifted to a shooting-guard role on offense and Kobe Bryant has moved to small forward.

The concept, if it sticks, has its pros and cons.

Odom, 6 feet 10, could post up smaller point guards, though the team would lose some of his offensive rebounding if he stayed out on the perimeter.

When I heard this, I really did think that Jackson had bumped his head. I don’t know if the idea of Odom running the point has any pros, but it certainly has some cons. The notion that he’d be able to “post up smaller point guards” is ridiculous as no opposing coach in his right mind is going to ask his point guard to defend Odom. Moreover, it still doesn’t address the issue of the Lakers having three guys on the court that can’t hit a consistent jump shot. Whether Odom is on the wing or at the top of the key is irrelevant; defenses can still pack the lane and take Kobe’s penetration away. Besides, the triangle offense doesn’t really have or need a traditional point guard, so Odom would essentially just bring the ball up and get the team into its offense. I don’t see the point. (No pun intended.)

Now there’s talk of Bynum coming off the bench, mainly because he and Gasol aren’t playing very well together.

“Right now, they’re very clumsy; they’re not working well together,” Jackson said Monday. “We’ve got a group that played very well together last year. There are some things that we have to discuss and see how long we drag this out — or how quickly we facilitate it, because I think we have got the ability to play exceptionally well if we use all our skill players.”

Said [Assistant Coach Tex] Winter: “The complexion of our team changes considerably when you’re playing Gasol and Bynum together. That’s going to be a real project to work that out so both those guys can play up to their potential and really show what they can do.”

I think that Bynum and Gasol will eventually find a way to fit with each other. Gasol is decent facing the hoop and is able to work the elbow and the wing, but for either guy to have enough space to operate, they need to be surrounded by three guys capable of hitting jump shots with consistency. That brings us back to Odom.

I just don’t see how the three of them on the court at the same time is going to work. And we’re talking about three of the team’s top four players. This is a major issue.

If I’m Odom, I would embrace the role of sixth man. I’d rather anchor the bench unit at 30 minutes than start and play fourth- or fifth-fiddle for 35 minutes. But clearly, Odom is not of the same mindset. This leads me to believe that after some experimentation in the first month or two of the season, the Lakers will trade Odom for a more complementary player. They already have $10.4 million per season invested in two other small forwards – Luke Walton and Vladimir Radmanovic – but neither guy is starter quality on a championship team. Walton can play defense but lacks any semblance of a consistent jump shot, while Radmanovic can shoot but can’t play a lick of D. So, if they trade Odom, they’ll need to land a player who can space the court with his outside jumper while also holding his own defensively. (If Trevor Ariza improves his jump shot, and that’s a BIG “if,” he could ultimately fill this role.)

So who should the Lakers trade for?

The Ron Artest ship has sailed, but they might want to swing a deal for Shane Battier, if the Rockets would be willing to give him up. It’s doubtful that either team would want to risk helping the other, but it probably makes sense for both sides. Odom is probably best as a power forward, while Battier is better at small forward. With Artest and Tracy McGrady (who can also play off guard), the Rockets have a glut at the position. Mike Miller is an obvious candidate, but after the uproar over the Grizzlies’ decision to “trade” Gasol to the Lakers, they were unlikely to work out a deal for Miller. Now that he’s in Minnesota, that becomes a possibility again, though it’s doubtful that the Timberwolves would want to take on Odom (or his salary) when they have their power forward of the future (Kevin Love). Orlando’s Hedo Turkoglu is another possibility, as both he and Odom are in the final years of their contracts and the Magic could slide Rashard Lewis to small forward. However, the Magic will probably elect to keep Turkoglu because they need shooters to space the floor for Dwight Howard. Richard Jefferson would have been a great fit, but that’s no longer an option now that he’s in Milwaukee, and the Nets would rather have a young prospect (Yi Jianlian) than an aging vet like Odom. Andres Nocioni would be an interesting acquisition. He’s a hard-nosed player who has a nice jump shot and can defend. He should be starting this league, but is playing behind Luol Deng in Chicago. Maybe the Bulls would be interested in Odom? Or how about a swap with Miami for Shawn Marion? He’d be the most expensive option on this list, but he also has the most talent.

Whomever they find, Odom is still the odd man out. He’s unwilling to even consider the idea of coming off the bench yet his lack of perimeter skills makes it impossible to play him alongside Gasol and Bynum. The three could make for a great rotation at power forward and center, but that means someone has to swallow his pride and come off the bench.

Thus far, it looks like Odom is unwilling to be that guy.

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