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2010 NFL Week 14 Odds & Point Spreads

December 8, 2010 / Anthony Stalter

Chicago Bears quarterback Jay Cutler drops back to pass during the first quarter against the Minnesota Vikings at Soldier Field in Chicago on November 14, 2010. UPI/Brian Kersey Photo via Newscom

It’s only Wednesday, but it’s never too early to take a look at Sunday’s games in the NFL. Below are five games on the Week 14 schedule where the side or total jump out to me.

Patriots (10-2) @ Bears (9-3), 4:15PM ET
Looking at this game from a public standpoint, it’s hard not to love the Patriots. The point spread is low (-3), the Pats are coming off a 45-3 beat down of the Jets on Monday night and while the Bears are 9-3, a large portion of the public seems to be waiting for them to collapse. That said, there’s always value in taking the home underdog – especially when that home dog has a winning overall record and is 4-2 at home this year. The Pats are also coming off a short week of preparation and even though Chicago is a playoff contender this year, this game could still be viewed as a possible letdown for New England (due to the fact that they’re coming off an emotional MNF win over a division rival and now have to go on the road to play a non-conference foe). If Jay Cutler and the Bears’ O-line was still a mess, I would be hesitant to add this game to my card. But seeing as how Cutler is playing very well and the offensive line has improved greatly over the past month, the Bears look like a sound play to me.
CURRENT ODDS: PATRIOTS –3
THE LEAN: BEARS +3

Giants (8-4) @ Vikings (5-7), 1:00PM ET
Before the last two weeks, it was a dangerous proposition to take the Vikings. Brett Favre has played like crap all year, Brad Childress was pissing players off on a routine basis and their pass rush had been non-existent. But the Vikes are 2-0 under interim head coach Leslie Frazier, who seems more committed to to getting Adrian Peterson involved than Childress was. Favre is still a mess and there’s some question whether or not he will/should start the remaining four games, but he’s still tough to beat at home. The Giants, on the other hand, have a date coming up with the Eagles next week and are highly turnover-prone. I’m thinking they might be caught looking ahead. I don’t like the number where it’s at now (-2.5), but if I can get a field goal or more with the Vikings I would hesitate playing it.
CURRENT ODDS: GIANTS –2.5
THE LEAN: VIKINGS +2.5

Packers (8-4) @ Lions (2-10), 1:00PM ET
I like the Lions for the same reason I like the Vikings: they’re a home dog playing a team with a huge game coming up next week. The Packers can’t afford to overlook any team, but with a trip to New England coming up next Sunday, it would be human nature to look past the lowly Lions. But Detroit has been competitive for most of the season and Drew Stanton gave them a spark last week in a loss to the Bears. If the spread was sitting at anything lower than a touchdown I’d probably pass, but at +7 there’s a lot of value in the Lions.
CURRENT ODDS: PACKERS –7
THE LEAN: LIONS +7

Falcons (10-2) @ Panthers (1-11), 1:00PM ET
I thought for sure we’d see the Falcons fall last week against the Bucs and we almost did. But I don’t have the same feelings about this week. The Panthers have been putrid all season and they’ve struggled at home against divisional foes all year. The Bucs defeated them 20-7 in Week 2 and the Saints crushed them 34-3 in Week 9. The Falcons’ defense gives up a ton of yardage but usually not a lot of points. Either way, Matt Ryan and Co. should roll this week and with another road game coming up next Sunday at Seattle, they won’t overlook Carolina. (Not to mention they’re fighting to retain the top seed in the NFC and first place in the NFC South).
CURRENT ODDS: FALCONS –7
THE LEAN: FALCONS –7

Rams (6-6) @ Saints (9-3), 4:05PM ET
This one has me going back-and-forth but I like the under. The Saints can obviously score and the Rams’ defense just gave up 33 points to the Broncos two weeks ago on the road. Plus, with the way the Bengals drove up and down the field against the Saints last weekend, it would be easy to throw up your hands and take the over. But New Orleans should play better defensively this weekend and the Rams’ defense has been underrated for most of the year. The Saints have also scored 30-plus points in each of their last four games, which is a trend that is hard to keep up. This may be one that I eventually drop from my card, but as of right now the under holds so value.
CURRENT ODDS: SAINTS –9.5 (47)
THE LEAN: UNDER 47

Below is a complete list of odds for Week 14 in the NFL, including Thursday night’s game between the Colts and Titans.

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2010 NFL Week 13 Odds

December 2, 2010 / Anthony Stalter

New York Jets Jayson Taylor forces a fumble and sacks New England Patriots Tom Brady in week 2 of the NFL season at New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey on September 19, 2010. The Jets defeated the Patriots 28-14. UPI /John Angelillo Photo via Newscom

Jets (9-2) @ Patriots (9-2), 8:30PM ET, Monday
After that 49ers-Cardinals debacle last Monday night, ESPN owes fans one. Fortunately for them, we get to cash that favor this week with a battle of two 9-2 AFC East teams fighting for the top seed in the playoffs. Round 1 went to the Jets back in Week 2 and if they can beat the Bill Belichick’s again this Monday, they’ll essentially be up two full games over their division rivals. Tom Brady completed 20-of-36 passes for 248 yards and two touchdowns against Rex Ryan’s defense earlier this season, but he also threw two costly interceptions. Can he get the best of gang green this time around?
CURRENT ODDS: PATRIOTS –3.5

Steelers (8-3) @ Ravens (8-3), 8:20PM ET
The Sunday Night Football game hits another home run this week. The Ravens own a tiebreaker over the Steelers by virtue of their win earlier this season in Pittsburgh, but that victory came during Ben Roethlisberger’s suspension. Big Ben was in a walking boot after the Steelers’ win in Buffalo on Sunday and could be limited in practice throughout the week. He says he’ll play, but if he’s immobile then the Ravens’ aggressive front seven could have a field day. Pittsburgh better hope its banged up offensive line is up for the challenge this week. This should be a knock-‘em-down, drag-‘em-out kind of a fight between two heavy-hitters in the AFC North.
CURRENT ODDS: RAVENS –3

Falcons (9-2) @ Bucs (7-4), 4:15PM ET
Do the Falcons ever catch a break? After facing the Bucs, Ravens, Rams (on the road) and Packers in consecutive weeks, Atlanta will once again face a playoff contender when it travels to Tampa this Sunday. The good news is that the Falcons face the Panthers twice in their last five games. The bad news is that the Saints and Bucs are breathing down their necks in the NFC South, so they can’t afford to take a week off. Both of their losses came on the road this year and the Bucs played them tough in the Georgia Dome a month ago. Bettors, be weary of a trap.
CURRENT ODDS: FALCONS –2

Cowboys (3-8) @ Cowboys (6-5), 4:15PM ET
Given what has transpired over the past couple of weeks, this game is incredibly intriguing. Thanks to interim coach Jason Garrett, the Cowboys are playing with a renewed sense of confidence and could have beaten the Saints last week had Roy Williams not fumbled in the closing minutes, which set New Orleans up for its game-winning touchdown drive. On the other side, the Colts have looked overmatched the last two weeks and are now on the verge of dropping to .500 on the year. Peyton Manning looked horrid last Sunday night against the Chargers and while Dallas’ defense can be had, the ‘Boys are playing much better on that side of the ball these days. If Peyton Manning puts together his third straight poor performance, there will be no doubt that someone in the media will start to question if age is starting to catch up to him.
CURRENT ODDS: COLTS -5

2010 NFL Week 13 Odds & Over/Under Totals

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2010 NFL Week 12 Odds

November 24, 2010 / Anthony Stalter

Packers (7-3) @ Falcons (8-2), 1:00PM ET, Sunday
If there’s one game you don’t want to miss this week in the NFL, it has to be Packers-Falcons. Both teams are fighting for the top spot in the NFC and both are white-hot. Aaron Rodgers (214 of 334, 2,601 yards, 19 TDs) and Matt Ryan (238-377, 2,518 yards, 18 TDs) have similar numbers to date and it wouldn’t be surprising to see this game come down to the play of these two quarterbacks. The Packers have the edge defensively but the Falcons’ ground attack can wear down opponents in the second half. This one should come down to the wire.
CURRENT ODDS: FALCONS –1

Chargers (5-5) @ Colts (6-4), 8:20PM ET, Sunday
Most matchups that feature a 5-5 team against a 6-4 squad don’t make the top games list. But this one could potentially turn the AFC playoff picture on its head if San Diego can muster a huge road win. The Chargers have won three in a row and the Colts are undefeated at home this year. Injuries have left the Colts vulnerable, but they’ve played incredibly well defensively at home while getting the best of quarterbacks such as Matt Schaub and Carson Palmer. Can Philip Rivers continue his MVP-like play and lead the Bolts to victory or will Indy start to turn things around with another home win?
CURRENT ODDS: COLTS –3

Eagles (7-3) @ Bears (7-3), 4:15PM ET, Sunday
Put up or shut up time for the Bears. They don’t appreciate the media constantly calling them “lucky” and a win this Sunday would certainly silence their critics. But if they allow Michael Vick and company to roll into Solider Field and dominant, then they’ll have to put up with everyone calling them pretenders. With the Packers facing a tough road test in Atlanta this week, a win coupled with a Green Bay loss would go a long way for Chicago, which has already beaten its NFC North foes once this year. For the Eagles, many people believe that they’re the team to beat in the NFC but a loss coupled with a Giants’ win over the Jaguars and the East will be in a deadlock once again (at least record wise; the Eagles would still hold the tie breaker after beating New York last Sunday).
CURRENT ODDS: EAGLES -3.5

Saints (7-3) @ Cowboys (3-7), 4:15PM ET, Thursday
We can’t go through the top games this week without mentioning at least one of the three Thanksgiving games, although there’s an argument to be made that Bucs-Ravens is a better matchup. Even though Dallas is sitting at 3-7, this game is definitely the best of the Turkey Day trio. The ‘Boys have won two straight under interim coach Jason Garrett and are starting to play up to their potential (albeit a couple months late). But the Saints will be seeking revenge after Dallas crushed them at home last year and New Orleans is starting to heat up again. Can Jon Kitna continue to play well or will Jerry Jones have to endure another beating at Cowboys Stadium?
CURRENT ODDS: SAINTS –3.5

2010 NFL Week 12 Point Spread Odds & Over/Under Totals

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2010 NFL Week 9 Odds

November 3, 2010 / Anthony Stalter

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Josh Freeman (L) hands off to LeGarrette Blount (R) in the second quarter of the game against the Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ October 31,2010. UPI/Art Foxall Photo via Newscom

Bucs (5-2) @ Falcons (5-2), 1:00PM ET
Who would have thought in preseason that the winner of this game would be in first place in the NFC South heading into the second half of the season? Raheem Morris rolled some eyes when he said that the Bucs were the best team in the NFC two weeks ago, but nobody will be laughing if they can beat the Falcons this Sunday. For his career, Matt Ryan has only lost once at the Georgia Dome (his rookie year against the Broncos) and Atlanta had the luxury of having last week off. Look for both of these teams to try and shove the ball down each others’ throats and allow their defense to win the game. Expect a steady dose of LeGarrette Blount and Michael Turner this week.
CURRENT ODDS: FALCONS –9

Dolphins (4-3) @ Ravens (5-2), 1:00PM ET
The Ravens are coming off a bye and the Dolphins are coming off yet another road win. Miami is now 4-0 on the road this season, which is amazing considering its 0-3 at home. The Joe Flacco-Anquan Boldin connection has been outstanding this year, but Baltimore would love to get Ray Rice more touches if he’s healthy (he’s battled nagging injuries for most of the year). The Dolphins are still searching for more consistency from quarterback Chad Henne, especially in the red zone. Brandon Marshall has 47 catches for 588 yards, but has only reached paydirt once. Henne may be able to take advantage of a Baltimore defense that has allowed 57 points in their last two games.
CURRENT ODDS: RAVENS –5

Colts (5-2) @ Eagles (4-3), 4:15PM ET
We’re going to find out just how good this Eagles team is when Peyton Manning comes to town this Sunday. Michael Vick should be back after suffering a rib injury several weeks ago, but the onus this weekend will be on Philly’s defense. Indy is depleted offensively, but Manning is a master at taking what the defense gives him and moving the ball methodically up the field. If the Eagles can’t figure out a way to control the clock and keep Manning on the sidelines, then they’re going to be in for a long afternoon. Philly needs a win to avoid dropping to .500 and perhaps multiple games behind the Giants in the NFC East.
CURRENT ODDS: EAGLES –2.5

Chiefs (5-2) @ Raiders (4-4), 4:15PM ET
Who would have thought that this game would be so important early in the year? The Raiders have won two straight by a combined score of 92-17, while the Chiefs struggled against the Bills but managed to come out victorious in order to improve to 5-2. Kansas City is just 1-2 on the road this year, while Oakland is 3-1 at home. If the Chiefs are for real, they have to be able to beat a divisional opponent on the road. The Raiders are hot, but they’re still the Raiders. Consistency is not one of their strong suits.
CURRENT ODDS: RAIDERS -3

2010 NFL Week 9 Opening Odds:

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2010 NFL Week 8 Odds

October 28, 2010 / Anthony Stalter

New York Jets quarterback Mark Sanchez throws during warm ups at Invesco Field at Mile High on October 17, 2010 in Denver. UPI/Gary C. Caskey Photo via Newscom

Packers (4-3) @ Jets (5-1), 1:00PM ET
Beating the Vikings last week was huge, but the Packers have a long ways to go if they want to separate themselves from Minnesota and Chicago in the NFC North. A win over a well-rested Jets team coming off its bye would be a start, but that won’t be an easy feat. After losing to the Ravens in Week 1, the Jets have rattled off five in a row and now have a healthy Darrelle Revis (hamstring) back in the fold. It could be a long day for the Packers on Sunday if their O-line can’t protect Aaron Rodgers. It’ll also be interesting to see if Mark Sanchez can continue to develop or if he’ll eventually revert back to the limited, ineffective quarterback he was last year and against Baltimore in the opener.
CURRENT ODDS: JETS –6

Titans (5-2) @ Chargers (2-5), 4:05PM ET
You get the sense that people are still waiting for the Chargers to turn things around. That they’re not as bad as their 2-5 record and their last place (yes, last place) standing in the AFC West. But there’s a very good possibility that San Diego is as bad as it’s played and if the Titans beat the Bolts on their home field, it might be all she wrote for the Chargers. On the other side, if Tennessee can get a big road win this week, then the skies the limit for this team. Vince Young is fully practicing after missing the past two games with a knee injury, so the Chargers will have to do deal with both of the Titans’ key offensive playmakers on Sunday. Oh, joy.
CURRENT ODDS: CHARGERS -3

Vikings (2-4) @ Patriots (5-1), 4:15PM ET
Brett Favre’s consecutive starts streak isn’t the only thing on the line this Sunday for the Vikings. Another loss would drop them to 2-5 and even though the Packers and Bears have their fair share of problems, Minnesota would be putting itself in quite a whole. Whether it’s Favre or Tarvaris Jackson that lines up under center, the Vikes will need a huge effort out of Adrian Peterson this week. The Patriots’ defense can be had, but not if AP doesn’t find room to run. New England needs a victory to keep pace with the red-hot Jets, who have already beaten the Pats once this year.
CURRENT ODDS: PATRIOTS –5.5

Steelers (5-1) @ Saints (4-3), 8:20PM ET
It’s amazing to think that the defending Super Bowl champs may be .500 at the end of eight weeks. But without Reggie Bush (who is expected to miss another week due to injury), the Saints might be headed for their fourth loss this season. After losing to the Browns last week, things don’t get any easier for New Orleans this Sunday, as the Steelers’ vaunted defense comes to town. The good news for Sean Payton and company is that Pittsburgh might be a little road weary after playing at Miami last week. The bad news is that outside of the Jets and Patriots, no team is hotter right now than the Steelers.
CURRENT ODDS: SAINTS -1

2010 NFL Week 8 Opening Odds:

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