Tag: fantasy football strategy (Page 76 of 80)

You could have had this fantasy team…

We’re only two weeks into the NFL season and some fantasy owners are already lamenting their teams. Nobody – not a NFL team and certainly not a fantasy team – likes to start 0-2, and while some owners are furiously trying to improve their teams, others are no doubt wondering, what if?

As always, I’m here to help. Below you’ll find the team you could have had. The rules? Pretty simple. To ensure the player is available, we have to draft him a round early. That is, if the player has an Average Draft Position (ADP) of 3.02, we have to take him in the second round. The plan is to start one QB, two RB, two WR and a TE, and I’ll leave the K and DT to your imagination. I’ll mow through the first twelve rounds so that we have a starter and a sub at each position.

Keep in mind, this draft is for a 12-team, Points Per Reception (PPR) league, with the Antsports’ High Performance Scoring System.

Off we go…

Round 1 – Reggie Bush (2.07)
Drafted: RB12
Actual: RB3

Someone actually gave me grief about considering Bush in the second round of my Industry Insiders league, and while there are a lot of (Reggie) Bush haters out there, the fact of the matter is that in a PPR league, the guy produces. Through two games, he’s averaging 127 total yards, 7.5 receptions, and 0.5 TD per game. He’s on pace for a 120-catch, 2000-yard season.
Alternate: Tony Romo (2.09)

Round 2 – Jason Witten (3.11)
Drafted: TE1
Actual: TE1

I know, it seems way too early for a TE, but Witten is as solid as they come and gives this team an advantage just about every week he plays. He has 13 catches for 206 yards, so he’s on pace for 104-catch, 1648-yard season. He hasn’t even caught a TD yet, but with numbers like that, who cares?

Round 3 – Willie Parker (4.08)
Drafted: RB20
Actual: RB5

A lot of people (myself included) were down on “Fast” Willie this offseason after the Steelers used a first round pick on Rashard Mendenhall. It’s not often that a team burns a first round pick on a RB and doesn’t at least utilize him in a RBBC approach, but the Steelers have given Parker the vast majority of the workload, and he’s responded with 122 rushing yards and 1.5 TD per game.

Round 4 – Dwayne Bowe (5.06)
Drafted: WR 23
Actual: WR15

No sophomore slump thus far for the talented Kansas City wideout. Even with the likes of Brodie Croyle, Damon Huard and now Tyler Thigpen throwing to him, Bowe has still racked up an average of 5.5 catches, 70 yards and 0.5 TD per game. The Chiefs look like they’ll be trailing for the rest of the season, so Bowe should get plenty of work against loose secondaries in garbage time.

Round 5 – Santana Moss (7.03)
Drafted: WR29
Actual: WR4

There isn’t a player with an ADP in the sixth round that is playing better than Santana is and, besides, we need to keep our Round 6 pick open for a certain QB. Moss hasn’t been hurt by the Redskins’ move to the West Coast Offense. He has posted an average of 6.0 catches for 100 yards and 1.0 TD per game. He looks like the Santana of old.

Round 6 – Jay Cutler (7.04)
Drafted: QB9
Actual: QB1

I advocated drafting Cutler in the sixth or seventh for those owners that missed out on one of the top six QBs – Brady, Peyton, Romo, Brees, Big Ben and Palmer. Brady is out for the count, Palmer is struggling big time and Roethlisberger looks a little iffy (though I think he’ll finish with great numbers). Back to Cutler, who is not only the top fantasy QB, he’s also the top fantasy player. In short, Cutler is off to an awesome start and I’d be happy as hell to have him on my roster right now.
Alternate: Matt Forte (7.08)

Round 7 – Chris Johnson (8.11)
Drafted: RB36
Actual: RB9

The Chris Johnson hype started sometime in the middle of the preseason. The table was set for the young speedster. He was joining an offense that featured a great running game and a veteran back (LenDale White) who had taken up residence in the head coach’s doghouse. Throw in a lack of talent at receiver and you have the makings of a very nice fantasy season. Thus far, Johnson has racked up an average of 124 total yards, 2.5 catches and 0.5 TD. He makes a heckuva RB3.

Round 8 – Tony Scheffler (9.11)
Drafted: TE11
Actual: TE2

Since we have the Denver QB, we might as well draft the Denver TE. The sure-handed Scheffler is averaging 3.5 catches for 68 yards and a TD through two games. And with the receiving corps surrounding him, there’s no worry that he’ll be double-teamed.

Round 9 – Aaron Rodgers (10.05)
Drafted: QB19
Actual: QB3

Thus far, this kid has succeeded under enormous pressure. How would you like to spend your first offseason as the presumed starter answering countless questions about Brett Favre and his on-again/off-again retirement? You take the field on Monday night, knowing full well that half your fan base is wishing #4 was still under center. Then, over two games, you average 253 yards and 2.0 TD, while rushing for another 30 yards and 0.5 TD. I drafted Brady in one league and was fortunate enough to have Rodgers on my bench to step in. Whew!

Round 10 – Chris Perry (11.09)
Drafted: RB44
Actual: RB33

Granted, the Bengals offense is really struggling, but Perry averaged 50 yards and 0.5 TD per game versus the Ravens and the Titans, two very tough defenses. Those are adequate numbers for our RB4. Plus, he has some upside.

Round 11 – DeSean Jackson (13.04)
Drafted: WR51
Actual: WR12

It’s tough to count on rookie WRs, but the writing was on the wall in the preseason. Always keep your eye on a talented rookie wideout headed to a team with a good QB that is desperate for playmakers in the passing game. Jackson surely benefited from injuries to Kevin Curtis and Reggie Brown, and now that he’s started his career with consecutive 100+ yard games, it doesn’t look like he’s giving up his starting spot anytime soon. (By the way, had he not made the bonehead fumble play against the Cowboys, he’d be WR9 right now.)

Round 12 – Eddie Royal (15.01)
Drafted: WR58
Actual: WR3

Not to toot my own horn (which inevitably leads to someone tooting their own horn), but I had Royal ranked as my #1 Impact Rookie WR back in late August. (I had DeSean Jackson ranked #3. Who was #2, you might ask? Josh Morgan. Hey, they can’t all be winners.) Royal had a great preseason and he carried it over to the regular season, posting nine catches for 146 yards and a TD, making DeAngelo Hall look foolish in the process. In his encore, even though running mate Brandon Marshall almost set a record for catches in a game, Royal still caught the go-ahead TD and 2-point conversion against the Chargers.

So after 12 rounds, here’s our squad:

QB: Cutler (QB1), Rodgers (QB3)
RB: Bush (RB3), Parker (RB5), C. Johnson (RB9), C. Perry (RB33)
WR: Bowe (WR15), S. Moss (WR4), De. Jackson (WR12), Royal (WR3)
TE: Witten (TE1), Scheffler (TE2)

Alternatively, if we had taken Romo instead of Bush in the first and Forte instead of Cutler in the sixth, this would have been our squad:

QB: Romo (QB5), Rodgers
RB: Parker, Forte (RB8), C. Johnson, C. Perry
WR: Bowe, S. Moss, De. Jackson, Royal
TE: Witten, Scheffler

Obviously, either squad would be the favorite to win a title at this point in the season, but I prefer the first team.

Feel bad? Don’t fret, you could have this team:

QB: Brady, Bulger
RB: Maroney, R. Brown, R. Johnson, McAllister
WR: Colston, Ocho Cinco, Walker, Ginn
TE: Da. Clark, Crumpler

Is there a more motley crew of fantasy football n’er-do-wells?

Fantasy Football Podcast #3 (9/17/08)

Listen in as Anthony Stalter and I go over all the happenings from Week 2 and what to look forward to in Week 3. We discuss the frenetic Broncos/Chargers game, Matt Forte, Cincy’s woes, rookie wideouts Eddie Royal and DeSean Jackson, Matt Cassel’s effect on the New England offense and we also preview the Packers/Cowboys game.

Click here to listen to the podcast.

(The opening and closing music is Ace Frehley’s “New York Groove.” Great stuff.)

Seahawks sign Koren Robinson

Decimated by injuries to their receiving corps, the Seattle Seahawks have signed Koren Robinson to a one-year contract.

They also traded what is believed to be a fifth-rounder to the Denver Broncos for wide receiver Keary Colbert. The pick could be upgraded to a fourth, depending on Colbert’s performance, according to a source.

The Seahawks cut Robinson after the 2004 season because of numerous off-the-field problems. Though he was popular with his teammates and had the support of coach Mike Holmgren, Robinson was let go. He bounced back with the Vikings in 2005, but a DUI led to an arrest and his eventual release. He was with the Packers in 2006 and 2007 and caught 37 passes in those two seasons.

If you’re in a big league and desperate for WR help, Robinson will probably have a significant role right away. The same goes for Colbert. Deion Branch and Bobby Engram are expected to return in Week 5, so both Robinson and Colbert will likely be relegated to backup duty, though it’s not unheard of for an injured player to miss his expected return date.

Waiver Wire Watch: Week 3

Every week, I highlight a few players that you should target in waivers. I’ll use the ESPN league data when filtering players, so the only players eligible for discussion here are those that are available on the waiver wire of at least 50% of ESPN’s leagues. I’ll list each player’s percentage-owned after their name so you have an idea of how available they are in leagues around the country. I’ll always try to mention a few players that are available in 90% of leagues for those of you in 12-team leagues or leagues with big rosters. I’ll rank them in the order I’d pick them up in a league with a high-performance, PPR scoring system.

QUARTERBACKS

1. Trent Edwards (34.9)
He’s averaging 227 yards and a TD through two games.
2. J.T. O’Sullivan (18.8)
He’s going to have his ups and downs, but O’Sully took a big step forward against the Seahawks.
3. Kerry Collins (10.4)
Collins represents an upgrade for the Titans’ passing game and it looks like he’ll continue to start as long as Tennessee is winning.
4. Chad Pennington (44.8)
5. Tarvaris Jackson (29.4)
6. Matt Ryan (43.5)
7. Brian Griese (2.7)
Looked solid in his ’08 debut, and nobody knows what’s going on between Gruden and Garcia.
8. Joe Flacco (14.8)
9. JaMarcus Russell (46.7)
10. Tyler Thigpen (0.2)
11. Kyle Orton (11.3)

RUNNING BACKS

1. Steve Slaton (50.4)
Will start if Ahman Green continues to miss time.
2. Darren Sproles (12.7)
Electrifying against the Broncos. A must-handcuff for LT2 owners.
3. Tim Hightower (26.5)
Two TDs in two games looks like a pattern.
4. Michael Pittman (19.4)
Pittman is the Broncos goal-line back. Worth rostering, especially in non-PPR leagues.
5. Warrick Dunn (17.4)
He’s splitting touches with Earnest Graham.
6. Andre Hall (29.4)
7. Derrick Ward (25.2)
Main ballcarrier behind Brandon Jacobs despite Ahmad Bradshaw’s big day.
8. Maurice Morris (36.7)
9. LaMont Jordan (16.9)
10. Michael Bush (6.1)
With both Justin Fargas and Darren McFadden nicked up, he’s the next option the Raiders have at RB.
11. Brandon Jackson (17.9)
12. Fred Jackson (6.5)

WIDE RECEIVERS

1. Justin Gage (26.0)
I mentioned Gage as a sleeper on Friday, and he didn’t disappoint. He gets a big boost with Kerry Collins under center.
2. Muhsin Muhammad (43.1)
How will he fare when Steve Smith returns this week?
3. Bryant Johnson (42.6)
Seems to be taking over role of WR1 in San Francisco.
4. Chansi Stuckey (0.7)
The rookie’s line – six catches for 80 yards and two TD over the past two weeks – speaks for itself.
5. Antwaan Randle El (45.7)
6. Amani Toomer (39.6)
Just keeps on truckin’.
7. David Patten (38.5)
Decent start in PPR leagues while Marques Colston is out.
8. Ike Hilliard (6.5)
Steady and consistent part in Bucs’ offense. With Galloway hobbled by a sprained foot, Hilliard’s value is enhanced.
9. Matt Jones (16.2)
Two straight weeks of decent numbers in the PPR format. Is he coming into his own or will he disappear once Jerry Porter returns?
10. Ronald Curry (47.7)
JaMarcus Russell’s inability to throw the ball is really dragging down Curry’s value.
11. James Jones (9.8)
Value will skyrocket if Greg Jennings or Donald Driver were to go down.
12. Bobby Engram (41.6)
13. Deion Branch (17.1)
Branch and Engram are due back Week 5.
14. Kevin Walter (38.1)
15. James Hardy (21.7)
16. Hank Baskett (29.6)
17. Billy McMullen (0.1)
McMullen has some value in deep PPR leagues because he’s one of the few receivers the Seahawks have that is still standing.

TIGHT ENDS

1. John Carlson (8.0)
Six catches for 78 yards as Seattle’s most sure-handed receiver.
2. David Martin (1.6)
Eleven targets through two games is good for 7th best amongst tight ends.
3. Dante Rosario (32.3)
After eight targets in Week 1, Jake Delhomme targeted him just one time against the Bears in Week 2.
4. Anthony Fasano (49.8)
Nine targets in Week 1, zero in Week 2.
5. Randy McMichael (34.0)
6. Zach Miller (27.7)
JaMarcus Russell has been dreadful and it’s weighing on Miller’s stock.
7. Desmond Clark (10.2)

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