Tag: 2010-11 NBA season (Page 4 of 52)

Who will win the NBA’s Sixth Man of the Year award?

Dallas Mavericks guard Jason Terry reacts after hitting a three point shot against the Philadelphia 76ers during second half NBA basketball action in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, March 1, 2011. REUTERS/Tim Shaffer (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL)

It’s award season in the NBA and today I’ll take a look at the top Sixth Man of the Year candidates. Not only will I try to predict who will win the award, I’ll also discuss who should win win the award. Those are two separate questions and they may have two separate answers.

First, to narrow down the candidates, I took a look at the winners from the past 10 seasons:

YrPlayerTMGGSGS%MPGPPGRPGAPGTOTWINS
2001Aaron McKiePHI763343%31.511.64.15.020.756
2002Corliss WilliamsonDET7879%21.813.64.11.218.950
2003Bobby JacksonSAC592644%28.415.23.73.122.059
2004Antawn JamisonDAL8222%29.014.86.30.922.052
2005Ben GordonCHI8234%24.415.12.62.019.747
2006Mike MillerMEM74912%30.613.75.42.721.849
2007Leandro BarbosaPHO801823%32.718.12.74.024.861
2008Manu GinobiliSAS742331%31.119.54.84.528.856
2009Jason TerryDAL741115%33.719.62.43.425.450
2010Jamal CrawfordATL7900%31.118.02.53.023.553

Notice that all 10 winners had the following in common:

— They started fewer than 45% of their teams games.
— They averaged at least 11.6 points per game.
— They averaged at least 18.9 total points, rebounds and assists.
— They were all on teams that won at least 47 games. Eight of 10 winners were on teams that won 50+ games.

Using this criteria to narrow down the legitimate candidates for the 2011 Sixth Man award, we’re left with this list of 11 candidates. To give us a little leeway, they all started less than half of their teams games, they averaged at least 17.3 total points, rebounds and assists, and they play on teams that have at least 38 wins on the season.

I also included Efficiency Per Minute to see how productive each player is in the minutes he gets. Bigs tend to do better in this statistic because it’s easier to post rebounds than it is to register assists and big men tend to shoot at a higher percentage because they play close to the basket (so they have fewer misses, which weight efficiency down).

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Who is the best overall big man in the NBA?

Orlando Magic’s Dwight Howard (R) drives on Los Angeles Lakers’ Andrew Bynum during the first half of their NBA basketball game in Los Angeles, California March 14, 2011. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL)

For an explanation of my methodology, check out my point guard post from a few days ago. Marcin Gortat was the only big man in the study that was traded and since he was traded early and played much bigger minutes in Phoenix, I just ignored his Orlando numbers.

Below is a chart of 51 big men. Why 51? Because it’s my study, that’s why. Round numbers are overrated anyway.

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Who is the best overall wing in the NBA?

Miami Heat’s Dwyane Wade (R) steals a rebound from Los Angeles Lakers Kobe Bryant during third quarter NBA basketball action in Miami, Florida March 10, 2011. REUTERS/Hans Deryk (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT BASKETBALL)

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For an explanation of my methodology, check out my point guard post from yesterday. The only difference with the wings is that I found a way to account for a full season of Opponent PER and Net Defense stats for those players that were traded, so we won’t see the outliers that we saw in the point guard study.

Below is a chart of the Top 52 wings in the NBA. I took the Top 48 in terms of Efficiency Per Game and then added four players (Marcus Thornton, Tony Allen, Ron Artest and Ben Gordon) that I was interested in studying. As always, click on the chart to see a bigger version.

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