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Sleeper of the Week: Week 11

Last week’s sleeper, Justin Fargas, didn’t score, but he gained 104 total yards and caught five passes against the Bears, so he was a solid start in PPR leagues and a decent start in standard performance leagues.

This week’s sleeper is…

Kyle Boller (vs. CLE)
Owners in need of a sneaky good play at QB should look at Boller, who faces a Browns defense that is 31st against the pass. Cleveland has allowed 273 yards and 2.4 TD through the air in the first nine games, so Boller should be good for at least 200 yards and a TD, maybe more.

Week 11 Preview

Every week, I highlight a few players to start and a few players to sit at each position. I’m a firm believer in starting your studs, so I won’t tell you about how Carson Palmer or LaDainian Tomlinson has a tough matchup – just go ahead and start them. I’ll focus on the borderline guys – players you’ll only start under the right circumstances. It’s important to note that depending on your roster and situation, you may not be able to follow these recommendations. For example, if I suggest you bench a solid starter like Ben Roethlisberger, only do so if you have a clearly better option on your bench.

START ‘EM

QB: Eli Manning has a nice matchup against the Lions, who have allowed 257 yards and 2.0 TD through the air this season. Detroit is playing a little better of late, but they are still susceptible to the pass…Matt Schaub is healthy again and he faces the Saints, who are 29th in the league against the pass…Kurt Warner’s non-throwing hand is a little dinged up, but there’s no denying that he has a great matchup against the Bengals, who have been pretty brutal against the pass…Daunte Culpepper (@ MIN), Vince Young (@ DEN) and Phillip Rivers (@ JAX) also have good matchups for those fantasy owners looking for good plays at QB.

RB: Chester Taylor will take over while Adrian Peterson is out with a knee injury. He faces an Oakland defense that is great against the pass, but can’t stop the run. They’ve allowed an average of 144 yards and 1.4 TD on the ground, so Taylor could be in for a big day…Maurice Morris had a nice game Monday night and this week he faces a Bears defense that has been surprisingly porous against the run this season…Ryan Grant is a good start against the Panthers, who have allowed 113 yards and 1.1 TD on the ground this season. The Packers’ running game is looking better.

WR: Andre Johnson is finally back on the field and he has a great matchup against the Saints, who have allowed a ton of points to opposing WRs this season…It should go without saying, but Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin should start due to their terrific matchup against the Bengals…Mark Clayton is a sneaky good play against the Browns, who are 31st in the league against the pass…Ronald Curry faces the Vikings, who can’t stop the pass. He’s a little bit of a risk with Culpepper starting at QB, but he should post nice stats against Minnesota.

SIT ‘EM

QB: Don’t get too excited about Rex Grossman starting for the Bears again. He faces a Seattle defense that has allowed just 0.6 pass TD to opposing QBs this season…Jay Cutler may find the going tough against the Titans, who are 7th in the league against the pass and have allowed just nine pass TD all year…Kellen Clemens had a good first start against Washington, but this week he faces the Steelers, who have the top pass defense in the league.

RB: Don’t expect Thomas Jones to break out of his slump against the Steelers, who have the league’s best rush defense. They’ve allowed an average of 72 rushing yards and 0.2 rush TD this season…Jamal Lewis figures to be in for a tough day against the Ravens who are great against the run, but can’t stop the pass…Kevin Jones is probably a must-start in most PPR leagues, but in non-PPR leagues, expect him to have a quiet day against a streaking Giants defense.

WR: I don’t like to recommend to bench studs like Steve Smith, but he’s nicked up and the Packers have been great against the pass lately…Dwayne Bowe is one of the league’s best rookies, but this week he faces the Colts, who have the league’s 2nd best pass defense…Roddy White has a tough matchup with the Bucs, who have allowed just 173 yards and 0.7 TD through the air this season.

Celtics are still perfect

With Wednesday’s 91-69 win over the Nets, a decent but not great team, the Boston Celtics advanced to 7-0. Based on our poll, most of our readers think that the C’s won’t lose until 11/23 or after. Here’s their upcoming schedule:

11/16: vs. MIA
11/18: @ ORL
11/21: vs. GS
11/23: vs. LAL
11/24: @ CHA
11/27: @ CLE

That 11/18 game at Orlando is shaping up to be a good test for the new-look Celtics. If they get by the Magic, the Warriors, Lakers and Cavs should all provide interesting matchups.

It’s no surprise that the Celtics are playing well offensively. With Paul Pierce, Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett, they have three guys that can create their own shot whenever they want. What is surprising, however, is how much defense the C’s are playing. They are first in the league in points allowed (87.1) and in opponent’s FG % (38.9%). If they can keep that up, they’ll be the class of the East.

ANOTHER TOURNAMENT

Yesterday the Gazelle Group announced that they would be staging a tournament for the teams not selected into the NCAA tournament. At first glance one would say there are enought teams participating in March Madness. The NCAA tournament has expanded to 65 and the NIT is at 32. It was at 40, but when the NCAA took over they decided to save money and only have 32 teams participate. That’s what I love about Myles Brand and the NCAA. They always try to make a student-athlete experience more enjoyable. Eight teams stay home so they can have nicer offices and hire more staff….Sorry got off on a tangent….Back to the story at hand.

The Gazelle Group will begin inviting teams the moment after the NCAA brackets are filled. It could become a bidding war for the NIT. I like it. Let’s take a closer look at post season play. In college football 64 teams play in 32 different bowls. That means over 50% of the schools are rewarded. By adding the third tournament, 113 teams are rewarded. However, there are 345 men’s basketball teams in Division I. So, you are talking about less than 30% of the schools play in post season. Last season for example, there were a half dozen teams with 20 wins who did not get selected for post season play.

I say bring it on and give the players one more day in the sun…

Recruiting Overkill

The late Jim Valvano (NC State national champion coach) once said that the three most important things about coaching was recruiting, scheduling and recruiting. Wednesday marked the first day of the signing period for high school, prep school and junior college players. The usual schools hauled in most of the top ranked players. NO surprise that Kansas, North Carolina, UCLA and the like signed McDonalds All-americans…….But there is something you should know about the rankings of players. With a “so-called” recruiting guru popping up on every corner and rating the ability of players as young as fifth grade it is easy to see why fans get so wrapped up what player is rated the highest….One word of caution, check out who the expert really is. Most times it is someone who has never played nor coached a second of basketball in their life. So next time you get excited about a player you have never seen, but the recruiting expert says he is the next Michael Jordan, check and see who the expert is and if he has even seen the player.

Two recruiting experts I would always listen to are Jerry Mullens of Roundball Report and Tom Konchalski of HSBI. Mr. Mulles covers the Midwest and mostly junior college, while Mr. Knochalski covers the East coast like a warm balnket on cold day.

The next time you get excited about the ranking of your school’s recruiting class remember the following story. A couple of years ago I had lunch with Coach Jim Larranage from George Mason. As we talked about recruiting rankings, he mentioned that the same year that UConn signed Ben Gordon and Emeka Okafor their recruiting class was ranked higher (not one NBA player in the Patriots class). He smiled and said, “do you think Jim Calhoun would trade recruits?”

A couple of years later Jim Larranage proved that you don’t have to have any top rated players to go to the Final Four. Oh, and by the way for those who don’t remember, he beat UConn to get there….

When the early signing period ends next week I will give you a coach’s take on who won and lost the first round of the recruiting wars.

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