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Waiver Wire Watch: Week 14

Every week, I highlight a few players that you should target in waivers. I’ll use the ESPN league data when filtering players, so the only players eligible for discussion here are those that are available on the waiver wire of at least 40% of ESPN’s leagues. I’ll list each player’s percentage-owned after their name so you have an idea of how available they are in leagues around the country. I’ll always try to talk about a player or two that are available in 90% of leagues for those of you in 12-team leagues or leagues with big rosters.

QUARTERBACKS

With Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin hobbled, Kurt Warner (52.4) isn’t looking like as good of an option as he did a couple of weeks ago. He can be used in week 15 (against the Saints), but you’ll probably be able to find better options elsewhere for weeks 14 and 16…David Garrard (39.7) played well against a pretty good Colts pass defense. His schedule is tough down the stretch, but he’s serviceable QB for a team in a pinch…Kellen Clemens (9.8) has a very nice matchup this week against the Browns, but has the Pats and Titans in weeks 15 & 16, which doesn’t bode well for his prospects…Jason Campbell (48.7) has mediocre matchups down the stretch, which makes him a mediocre option. He seems to be a boom or bust pick week-to-week, so there’s no telling how he’s going to play…Trent Dilfer (2.1) tossed four INT this week, but he has four TD over the last two games and matchups against Minnesota and Cincinnati in the next two weeks, so he’s an OK option in deep leagues…Rex Grossman (13.9) has been decent since retaking the starting job in Chicago. He has nice matchups in weeks 15 & 16 (@ MIN, vs. GB), making him a decent option for a team in need of help at QB…Gus Frerotte (1.4) threw three TD against a pretty good Falcons defense, so if Marc Bulger is still out, he’s a sneaky good start against Cincy and Green Bay the next two weeks…Damon Huard (12.4) is back in the saddle now that Brodie Croyle is out with a back injury. With good matchups in weeks 14 (@ DEN) and 16 (@ DET), he’s not a bad option in deeper leagues…Sage Rosenfels (1.9) will continue to start as long as Matt Schaub is out. He has a nice matchup in week 15, but has poor matchups in weeks 14 and 16…Vinny Testaverde (2.9) tossed two TD against the 49ers and has a good matchup this week against the Jags, who have been a little spotty against the pass…Tarvaris Jackson (4.6) has played pretty well the last two weeks and the good times should continue against the 49ers this week. He has mediocre matchups in weeks 15 & 16, however…Trent Edwards (3.5) threw for 257 yards against the Redskins and faces Miami and Cleveland the next two weeks. He’s an OK option in deep leagues.

RUNNING BACKS

With the injury to Cedric Benson, Adrian Peterson (47.8) was a big pickup last week, and he proved his worth against the Giants, gaining 149 total yards on 29 touches. He looks to be especially valuable in PPR leagues…Kolby Smith (48.6) is still out there in more than half of ESPN’s leagues, but he should be owned in all but the shallowest of leagues…With Ahman Green still out, perennial waiver wire pickup Ron Dayne (42.3) posted 111 total yards and a score against the Titans and has three nice matchups coming up…I recommended picking up Fred Jackson (2.5) last week and he didn’t disappoint as he gained 151 yards against the Redskins. With the Dolphins and Browns coming up, he could be in for a nice stretch run if Marshawn Lynch and Anthony Thomas remain sidelined.

WIDE RECEIVERS

I keep pimpin’ Roddy White (55.9) but 44% of ESPN fantasy owners refuse to listen. He caught 10 passes for 146 yards and a score against the Rams, which is his second good game in a row. He has a great matchup this week against the Saints… Bryant Johnson (3.5) should be this week’s big pickup. With both Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin hobbled with injuries, Johnson is thrust into a much bigger role and on Sunday he turned that into a six-catch, 56-yard (and a score) performance…Look for Shaun McDonald’s (52.3) role to increase if Roy Williams is indeed out for the year. He’s a good WR3 in PPR leagues and he just got better…After a hot start, Chris Henry’s (37.0) production has been on the decline, but matchups with Tennessee and Pittsburgh might have had something to do with it. He has the Rams, 49ers and the Browns over the last three games, so expect better numbers…Justin Gage (5.0) has averaged 5.5 catches for 80 yards and 0.5 TD over the last four weeks and is benefiting from Vince Young’s improved play at QB…Arnaz Battle (9.5) has caught a TD in each of the last two weeks and has caught at least four passes in four of the last five games. He’s a decent option, especially in PPR leagues…Brandon Stokley (32.2) continues to post decent numbers with Javon Walker still hobbled by a knee injury. Walker is not yet all the way back, so Stokley still has some value, especially in PPR leagues…Nate Burleson (22.6) is benefiting from the absence of D.J. Hackett and the Seahawks’ decision to throw the ball a bit more. He has been inconsistent this season, but may be worth a spot start…Amani Toomer (32.0) may benefit from Plaxico Burress’ injury woes. Toomer has caught at least four passes in each of the last three games…Jerry Porter (48.9) is starting to put up consistent numbers. Sunday’s game against Denver marked his third consecutive solid game, so he’s not a bad option in deeper leagues…Mark Furrey (47.0) promises to be a hot pickup this week with Roy Williams’ uncertain status. He was money last year, but this season has been regulated to WR4 duties…Sidney Rice (4.0) has caught eight passes for 135 yards and two scores over the last two weeks. He may put up a goose egg, but the rookie has been playing pretty good ball of late…Joe Jurevicius (41.7) is a good pickup in PPR leagues. He has caught at least four passes in each of the last six games and is benefiting from Derek Anderson’s good QB play…James Jones (25.6) isn’t going to set the world on fire, but he has caught at least three passes in all but one game this season, so if he’s in your lineup, you’ll probably get something out of him…Reggie Williams (32.1) has gone over 59 yards in four of the last five games and finally seems to be finding some consistency.

TIGHT ENDS

Owen Daniels (57.7) is a great option for those in need for a starter at TE…L.J. Smith (52.4) has caught at least three passes in each of the last four games, making him a decent pickup in PPR leagues…Desmond Clark (43.1) seems to be enjoying a resurgence with Rex Grossman back under center. He has caught seven passes for 137 yards and a TD over the last two weeks…Tony Scheffler’s (23.6) bad game on Sunday probably had more to do with Oakland’s stout pass defense than anything else…Marcedes Lewis (4.7) may be breaking out. He has caught 10 passes for 99 yards and a TD over the last two games…Leonard Pope (9.0) should see an increase in targets if Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin continue to miss time…Bo Scaife (6.9) has caught 22 passes over the last five weeks, but he hasn’t scored. He’s an option in deep PPR leagues.

Check back later for my Sleeper of the Week along with a few defenses that have nice matchups this week.

Monday Morgue

Here’s what the local columnist are saying the wake of their team losing on Sunday:

– Jim Mashek of the Sun Herald recounts Sean Payton’s inexplicable decision to call a double reverse with three minutes left in the Saints’ 27-23 loss to the Bucs, instead of playing it safe and just running out the clock. The play led to a fumble, which Tampa recovered and eventually turned into the winning touchdown.

– Jay Mariotti of the Chicago Sun-Times rips everyone in the Bears’ organization from Lovie Smith on down to the players.

– Bud Shaw of the Cleveland Plain Dealer writes that the Browns need to be smarter on Sundays if they want to make the postseason.

– Woody Paige of the Denver Post notes that the Broncos’ 34-20 loss to the Raiders was an obscene mess.

– Michael Rosenberg of the Detroit Free Press tries to figure out what happed to the Lions, who were once 6-2 this season.

– Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald says that at this point, this is the lowest point in Miami Dolphin history.

– Mike Wise of the Washington Post says that with a blown timeout call at the end of the Redskins’ 17-16 loss to the Bills, Joe Gibbs added to a long, tragic week.

Bowl Matchups

The matchups for the college football bowls have been determined and as usual, there are some intriguing games.

Capital One Bowl: Florida vs. Michigan
What’s the over/under on Tim Tebow’s total touchdowns in this game? I’ll set it at four and I’m taking the over.

Rose Bowl: USC vs. Illinois
Who would have thought at the start of the season that the Illini would be heading to the Rose Bowl to play USC? Based on talent alone, the Trojans should probably roll, but U of I might have another upset up its sleeve.

Sugar Bowl: Georgia vs. Hawaii
This might be the most intriguing matchup of all the bowl games. UGA is angry that LSU leapfrogged them for the national title game and Hawaii gets a chance to prove that they’re for real.

Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. West Virginia
Hopefully Pat White’s dislocated finger will be healed by this game, because it’ll be interesting to see how he and the rest of the Mountaineer offense matches up against a real defense (i.e. one that doesn’t play in the Big East).

Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. Kansas
Kasnas’s high-powered offense vs. VA Tech’s stingy defense? Sign me up.

National Championship: LSU vs. Ohio State
The Buckeyes get a shot at redemption after last year’s national championship debacle and the Tigers get a shot at a title despite losing to Arkansas late in the year. One matchup to keep an eye on: OSU’s offensive line vs. LSU monster DT Glenn Dorsey.

How do you spell dysfunctional?

B.E.N.G.A.L.S. That’s how you spell dysfunctional.

A week ago the Bengals crushed a pretty good Titans team and everything seemed to be looking up again in Cincy. Yet Sunday night, they turned in an absolute crap show against the Steelers and I’m not only referring to their performance on the field.

Pittsburgh is good, but they should have lost last night by two touchdowns with how many times they coughed up the ball in their own territory. Yet they easily won 24-10.

After producing an impressive touchdown on the opening possession of the game, the Bengals’ offense was atrocious. Carson Palmer overthrew receivers multiple times, T.J. Houshmanzdeh dropped a touchdown pass that would have made it a one-possession game in the fourth quarter and overall, the Bengals capitalized on none of the opportunities the Steelers gave them. Yet, nobody appeared to want to take responsibility. Palmer bitched at his receivers, Housh bitched at the refs and Chad Johnson completely forgot what down it was at the end of the game when he caught a ball on fourth down and headed out of bounds instead of at the first down marker. Maybe he was worried about what celebration he was going to do if he eventually got into the end zone.

I don’t blame the Bengals’ woes all on Marvin Lewis, but something has to be done because that team is in utter disarray. People still like to talk about how good that offense is, but wake up – it’s a mess too.

UNDEFEATEDS FALL AND WINLESS REMAIN

Moving into the second month of the college basketball season sees only 15 teams left unbeaten and 9 remaining winless. The ACC leads with four unbeaten squads (Duke, UNC, Clemson and Miami). Miami is a big surpirse, but only time will tell if they end to be this years version of Clemson who started off 17-0 last year and then folded down the stretch. The Big East has three (Pitt, Georgetown and St. Johns). Not surprising with the first two. Jamie Dixon never loses a game in November. The surprise is St. Johns. Albeit some favorable scheduling maybe the reason. The Big 12, Pac 10, and SEC had two teams each. Cal is off to a good start and if they stay helathy could make a run at UCLA in the Pac 10. The surpirse in the SEC is that it is Vandy and Ole Miss who are undefeated while Florida and Kentucky had absorbed multiple losses.

Butler continues their magical run from last year as they have rolled to 7-0 after knocking off Ohio State. The biggest shock is that no team in ther Big Ten is undefeated. It could have been the fact that they went 3-8 against the ACC for the second straight year.

On the winless side four teams with tradition have yet to find the left side of the ledger. Ball State, Delaware, Canisius and Furman have combined for 22 losses without a win.

The biggest question is what will happen first. The last undefeated team loses or the last winless team gets a victory. My money is on the undefeateds. I will keep you posted….

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