Category: NBA (Page 523 of 595)

Impact Rookies

With the right combination of talent and opportunity, a rookie can be quite productive in his first season in the league. Generally, the top players go to teams with the greatest need for their services, so it’s safe to assume that the Rookie of the Year will be a top 10 draft pick. But each year, a few non-top 10 picks win rotation spots and manage to contribute. From a fantasy standpoint, it’s unwise to spend picks in the first few rounds on a rookie, but those owners that grabbed Chris Paul in the middle rounds last season laughed all the way to the playoffs. Here is a list of rookies that will make an impact this season, in order of talent and opportunity. The 2006-07 ROY is probably on this list.

Brandon Roy, POR (selected #6 in the NBA draft)
Roy was labeled one of the most NBA-ready players in the 2006 draft, and he’ll get plenty of minutes playing for a very bad Blazers team. In the preseason, he has averaged 15.5 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game.

Rudy Gay, MEM (#8)
Gay has been playing well in the preseason, averaging 14.6 points, 4.2 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 1.2 steals and 0.8 3PT in five preseason games. Gay is sure to get minutes considering the Grizzlies’ limited options.

Andrea Bargnani, TOR (#1)
The first pick in the draft has looked pretty good in the preseason, averaging 11.2 points, 4.4 rebounds and 1.0 3PT per game. The Raptors want to implement the Suns’ frenetic offensive pace, so Bargnani will see minutes backing up Morris Peterson and playing power forward alongside Chris Bosh.

Shelden Williams, ATL (#5)
Williams has backed up the PF and C spots in Atlanta, and in the preseason, he’s averaged 8.3 points, 6.8 rebounds and 0.8 blocks per game.

Rajon Rondo, BOS (#21)
Rondo has been terrific in the preseason, averaging 12.7 points, 5.2 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 2.5 steals in six games. But it isn’t clear what kind of minutes he’s going to get behind Sebastian Telfair. The C’s paid a high price for Telfair, so don’t be surprised if the two split minutes. Delonte West also factors in, but he’ll be playing a lot of off guard this season.

Adam Morrison, CHA (#3)
Morrison will struggle at times, but he should get plenty of minutes in Charlotte. In the preseason, he has averaged 9.8 points, 2.2 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 0.8 3PT, while shooting just 31.8% from the field.

Tyrus Thomas, CHI (#4)
Thomas is more NBA-ready than anticipated, but he’s going to find it tough to get minutes in Chicago’s crowded rotation. Still, in the preseason, he has averaged 10.4 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.0 steals and 1.8 blocks per game.

Randy Foye, MIN (#7)
After tearing up the summer league, Foye hasn’t been very impressive in the preseason, averaging 6.5 points (on 40% shooting), 1.2 rebounds, 0.8 steals and 0.3 assists per game. The team is stressing defense, so Trenton Hassell has been getting the starts. It looks like Foye will share time with Hassell, Mike James, Marko Jaric and Ricky Davis at the guard spots.

Fantasy Basketball: Updated Tiers

A majority of fantasy basketball leagues will draft in the next week, so I thought it would be a good time to update the tiers for each position. The movement of players was a result of their stellar/crappy play in the preseason or of a clearer picture of how their respective teams plan to use them. The number in the far right column is the lower of that player’s Average Draft Position in either Yahoo or ESPN live drafts. Players listed in green are a particularly good value for their ADP. You can see the original tiers here.

PG Tiers

SG Tiers

SF Tiers

PF Tiers

C Tiers

Couch Potato Alert (10/23)

Pine tar or not, the World Series continues this week as the Tigers head to St. Louis for three games. Tonight, Eli Manning and the Giants visit Terrell Owens and the Cowboys in the final game of Week 7.

(All times ET.)

World Series
Tues, 8 PM: Detroit @ St. Louis – FOX
Wed, 8 PM: Detroit @ St. Louis – FOX
Thurs, 8 PM: Detroit @ St. Louis – FOX

NFL
Sun, 8:30 PM: NY Giants @ Dallas – ESPN

College Football
Thurs, 7:30 PM: (10) Clemson @ Virginia Tech – ESPN

NBA (preseason)
Thurs, 10 PM: Denver @ LA Lakers – TNT

Howard, Diaw agree to contract extensions

Josh Howard and the Mavs have agreed on a four-year contract worth more than $40 M.

Howard was eligible for a five-year extension but happily settled for a four-year deal after a strained month of negotiations he recently termed “disappointing.”

Howard has been Dallas’ best player in training camp, showing little outward sign of being distracted by his contractual situation, but the absence of an extension before the regular season could easily have been perceived as another slight for a player who slipped to No. 29 in the 2003 draft.

It’s believed that the Mavericks, sensing that the issue might linger with Howard all season, increased their offer in recent days to avoid alienating the swingman and make sure he felt like a valued member of the Mavs’ core.

The Suns locked up one of their stars, Boris Diaw, agreeing to a five-year contract believed to be worth around $45 M.

The 24-year-old Frenchman came to the Suns as part of the trade that sent Joe Johnson to Atlanta a year ago and responded with a standout season that earned him the NBA’s Most Improved Player award. He moved into the starting lineup in place of injured Amare Stoudemire in the preseason and averaged 13.3 points, 6.9 rebounds and 6.2 assists in the regular season.

Diaw’s season included four triple-doubles. In 20 playoff games, Diaw’s scoring average climbed to 18.7 with 6.7 rebounds and 5.2 assists.

The Diaw deal looks like a better bargain for the Suns than the Howard deal is for the Mavs. Diaw plays a lot of power forward and center for Phoenix and getting a guy that talented to play those positions for $9 M a year is a pretty good deal. Of course, it helps that the Suns play at a frenetic place that allows Diaw to play those positions. Traditionally, he would probably play small forward for most teams, but a lot of franchises are turning to a small-ball approach.

Howard will have to continue to improve to grow into his contract, but his stellar defense is unquantifiable. Mark Cuban been known to overpay at times, and this appears one of those cases. But if Howard had hit the free agent market after another year of improvement, he could have easily coaxed this kind of contract (or a better one) out of another team.

Fantasy Basketball: C Tiers

Below are the center tiers. When determining statistical outlooks, I used the (twelve team) nine-category rotisserie system that Yahoo uses, which includes both field goal and free throw percentage, three-point shots made, total points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and turnovers. Turnovers didn’t play a big role in my calculations because well-managed teams usually lose this category every week just because their total number of games played is greater than their opponent’s. Besides, if turnovers were of equal weight, they wouldn’t impact the rankings very much.

Players are listed in order within the tier, but there isn’t a whole lot of difference between the players within each tier. Players listed in parenthesis have dual position eligibility in the Yahoo game. For instance, Chris Bosh is considered a power forward in many fantasy games, but in the Yahoo game (and many others), he’s also eligible to play center. Be sure to check out the PG tiers , the SG tiers, the SF tiers and the PF tiers as well.

TIER ONE: Yao Ming, (Chris Bosh), (Tim Duncan)
Yao Ming is strong in every category except for steals. The return of Tracy McGrady might cause a bit of an adjustment period, but Yao proved last season that he can carry a team on his back…Chris Bosh might be ready to explode. He averaged 22.5 points and 9.2 rebounds per game last season, and that might be a baseline if the Raptors successfully implement the Suns’ wide-open offensive scheme. He’s solid in every category except for steals and threes, making him a great second-round pick…Tim Duncan battled injuries last season and still averaged 18.6 points and 11.0 rebounds per game. He’s no longer a no-brainer first round pick, but he’s a very solid, versatile option in the second round.

TIER TWO: Brad Miller, (Jermaine O’Neal), (Boris Diaw), Ben Wallace, Zydrunas Ilgauskas
Brad Miller offers great a great FT% and a ton of assists, and doesn’t hurt you in any category, except for blocks. Expect more of the same this season, making him a very safe pick in the third round…Jermaine O’Neal is excited about how the Pacers are going to speed things up this season, which should result in better play. Except for steals, his numbers are quite solid and I expect him to average 10+ boards with a move back to the center position…If Boris Diaw is eligible to play PF or C in your league, his value soars. After the All-Star break, Boris Diaw averaged 15.6 points, 7.4 rebounds and 6.9 assists while shooting 57% from the field. The big question – how will the return of Amare Stoudemire and Kurt Thomas affect his playing time? He may not play 35 minutes a game again this season, but the Suns will find a way to get him 30…The Bulls acquired Ben Wallace to do what he’s always done: play defense, block shots and rebound. His FT% is awful, but he doesn’t shoot enough free throws to completely kill fantasy teams in that category. His rebounds, steals and blocks are amongst the best at his position…Zydrunas Ilgauskas offers great FT%, points and blocks, but his role seems to be diminishing as LeBron James continues to improve. Still, in the 5th round, he offers great value.

TIER THREE: Chris Kaman, (Mehmet Okur), Shaquille O’Neal, Marcus Camby, (Amare Stoudemire), (Carlos Boozer), (Pau Gasol)
Chris Kaman has improved his scoring, rebounding, blocks, steals, FG% and FT% in each of his three years in the league, making him a very solid pick in the 5th…His FG% and steals are pretty poor, but Mehmet Okur is strong in just about every other category, making him a very solid pick in the 4th round and a steal in the 5th…Shaquille O’Neal has a tendency to miss games (15.4 per season, over the last five) and his FT% (46.9%) is a killer, especially when he’s shooting eight or more a game. If you select Shaq, you’re pretty much forfeiting the category. If that’s your plan, and you’ve already grabbed a guy like Dwight Howard, then Shaq wouldn’t be a bad center…Fantasy-wise, with his blocks and rebounds, Marcus Camby would be right up there with Yao Ming if not for his injury history. He has never played more than 72 games in a season, and has averaged only 50.4 games played in the last five seasons…Obviously, the big question about Amare Stoudemire is the health of his knees. He’s struggled some this preseason, but is playing. I just think there is way too much risk there for a guy going in the second round. Let someone else take him while you grab Jermaine O’Neal or Lamar Odom at a fraction of the risk…Carlos Boozer doesn’t block many shots, but the rest of his numbers are pretty solid, including some great FG%, points, rebounds and assists (for a PF). His hamstrings appear to be good to go and he seems happy as camp progresses, so he provides adequate value in the 4th…When do you draft Pau Gasol? The guy is a Top 20 talent when healthy, but he’s going to miss four months, which means he should be back in mid-January, returning for just three months of the season. Currently, he’s going in the middle of the 5th, which isn’t a bad value there if you feel good about your first four picks. He’s a guy that can really help in a playoff run.

TIER FOUR: (Emeka Okafor), (Nenad Krstic), (Channing Frye), Samuel Dalembert, Tyson Chandler, (Chris Wilcox), (Andrew Bogut), Eddy Curry
Emeka Okafor is a double-double guy when healthy, but he still hasn’t said his ankle is 100%, so in the 5th round, I’d probably let someone else take the risk…Nenad Krstic broke out last season, averaging 14.8 points and 7.7 rebounds per game after the All-Star break. His blocks and steals are below average, but the rest of his numbers are good…Channing Frye averaged 15.6 points and 7.9 rebounds in 14 games as a starter last season. He’s expected to start at PF for the Knicks and should benefit from Isiah Thomas’ arrival as head coach…Hampered by injures for most of last season, Samuel Dalembert was a disappointment, but he’s been working with Moses Malone in camp. He offers a ton of blocks, decent rebounding and a nice FG%…Tyson Chandler has landed in New Orleans and will get a fresh start after a less than stellar stint with the Bulls. He’s targeting a double-double season, but his numbers suggest that offensively, that will be a problem. He’s reportedly developing a face up game, and if he can start knocking that shot down, watch out. Right now, fantasy-wise, his points and FT% are holding him back…After he was traded to the Sonics, Chris Wilcox averaged 14.1 points and 8.2 rebounds per game, while shooting 59.2% from the floor and 78.7% from the free throw line. Don’t expect those percentages to continue, but Wilcox should provide stability inside for Seattle…Andrew Bogut is going to be out until late November/early December with a lower leg sprain he suffered in training camp. He could still average a double-double this season, but this will definitely hamper his progress…In 68 games as the Knicks’ starting center, Eddy Curry averaged 13.6 points and 6.1 rebounds per game, while shooting 56.6% from the field. He’s weak in blocks and steals, and is a black hole (0.3 assists per game), but Isiah Thomas is excited about using him this season.

TIER FIVE: (Zaza Pachulia), Nazr Mohammed, Primoz Brezec, (Kendrick Perkins), (Kwame Brown), (Darko Milicic), Erick Dampier, Joel Przybilla, Jamaal Magloire, Alonzo Mourning, (Kurt Thomas), (Nene), (Ike Diogu), (P.J Brown)
Zaza Pachulia had a pretty good season last year, but the Hawks brought in Lorenzen Wright and drafted Shelden Williams, so he may not be the starter for long…Nazr Mohammed was signed to fill the large shoes of Ben Wallace, and played well in the Pistons’ preseason debut, scoring 16 points and grabbing eight boards. He’ll get plenty of minutes if he continues to play like that. Keep an eye on his numbers in the preseason…Primoz Brezec doesn’t offer much in the way of blocks, steals or assists, but his points and rebounds are all right, while his FG% and FT% are pretty good for a center. It looks like the Bobcats might play Okafor at power forward, which would open up a ton of minutes at center…Kendrick Perkins showed some flashes in his third season, averaging 7.1 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.8 blocks in 37 games as the Celtics’ starting center. The team acquired Theo Ratliff, so the two will battle it out this preseason…Kwame Brown has all the physical tools to be a great center in the league, except good hands. In 32 games as the team’s starting center, he averaged 10.7 points and 7.8 rebounds, but his FT% and blocks aren’t up to snuff…I really thought Darko Milicic would be a strong sleeper heading into the season, but Magic head coach Brian Hill plans on starting Tony Battie alongside Dwight Howard. Of course, this could just be a motivational tactic…According to Avery Johnson, Erick Dampier has been a “monster” in camp…Joel Przybilla and Jamaal Magloire are battling for the starting center spot in Portland’s lineup, but will probably split time, limiting either guy’s value…Mourning is a monster shot blocker and provides a great FG% but the rest of his numbers aren’t too hot. If Shaq can’t play for any reason, Mourning’s value takes a big jump…Kurt Thomas missed much of last season with a foot injury, but only averaged 8.6 points and 7.8 rebounds in 53 with the Suns last season. If Amare Stoudemire makes a strong return, Thomas won’t see a ton of minutes…Nene is coming of a knee injury but has shown flashes of talent in the past. It looks like he’ll start the season backing up Marcus Camby and Kenyon Martin…Don Nelson seems to really like the idea of playing Mike Dunleavy at power forward, so Ike Diogu might find that minutes are hard to come by. He has shown flashes of ability, but hasn’t been consistent enough to earn big minutes…P.J. Brown is solid, yet unspectacular. He’s a good player to plug in when injuries hit.

TIER SIX: Francisco Elson, Fabricio Oberto, Brendan Haywood, (Mark Blount), (Chris Mihm), Adonal Foyle, (Jeff Foster), (Melvin Ely), (Nick Collison), (Raef LaFrentz), (Theo Ratliff), (Tony Battie)
It looks like Francisco Elson is next in the long line of centers that the Spurs have brought in to start alongside Tim Duncan. Fabricio Oberto is also in the picture, but it looks as if Elson will win the starting job…Brendan Haywood showed some flashes in the playoffs, but thus far in his career, he’s been nothing but a spot starter fantasy-wise…Chris Mihm is still having trouble with the ankle injury that cost him 24 games last season. He’s a decent fantasy center when healthy…Magic head coach Brian Hill plans to start Tony Battie at center this season, limiting Dark Milicic’s value in the process. Battie becomes a spot starter if he gets 20+ minutes a game.

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