I found out late last night that I once again remained on top of the FantasyPros Accuracy Rankings. I finished a strong #7 in Week 11 and extended my lead over the second- and third-place experts.
Five more weeks…can I hold on?
Below you’ll find my rankings for Week 12. Be sure to check back as the week wears on because I’ll be updating them as news trickles in.
Updated Sunday, Nov. 28.
If the FantasyPros rankings widget isn’t come through, click below to see the rankings in text format.
The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week you pick up a defense that is playing against a bad offense (preferably at home). And each week you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position.
Last season, my top pick averaged 9.8 fantasy points per game. My second pick averaged 9.1 and my third pick averaged 7.3. On the whole, DTBWW averaged 9.3 fantasy points per game, which equate to DT5 numbers — all for the price of a few waiver wire pickups. In 2008, my top two picks averaged DT6-type numbers. (Note: To calculate fantasy points, I use this scoring system.)
Unlike Defensive Team By Committee (DTBC), which is for those owners who prefer low maintenance teams, DTBWW strategy allows fantasy owners to virtually ignore DTs on draft day and focus on picking up an extra RB/WR flier instead.
To be eligible, defenses have to be available on the waiver wire in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues.
Let’s see how my Week 11 picks fared:
What am I looking at?
Below you’ll see a table for each position with a list of team names on the left. If a square is pink, it means that the matchup is tough. If it’s green, it means it’s a favorable matchup. On the far right, the column “R16” shows the average SOS for the remaining weeks.
It’s important to note that this is NOT straight fantasy points allowed. I removed the bias of schedule by looking at the opponents of each defense and how they fared in their other games. For example, if a particular defense faced a series of great QBs, then that is taken into account in these tables.
How do I use these tables?
Generally speaking, I use strength of schedule as a tiebraker between two similarly ranked players. Let’s say I’m trying to decide between starting Fred Jackson and Ronnie Brown. All else being equal, these two players are very close in my mind. But if Jackson has a great matchup and Brown has a bad matchup, the choice is clear. In fact, if Jackson just has a mediocre matchup while Brown has a bad matchup, I’d probably go with Jackson.
Be careful not to read too much into these tables. You aren’t going to bench Chris Johnson in a bad matchup unless you somehow have Arian Foster waiting in the wings.
Note: I apologize for the size of the text, but there really is no other way for me to present this data, at least not at this point.
Wondering who to add/drop or whether or not a trade is fair?
I’m here to help.
After checking out our Waiver Wire Watch, you can post your questions here, and unless you say differently, I’m assuming your league has a standard (non-PPR) scoring system.
If you are wondering who to start in a standard scoring league, please wait until later this week (Wednesday) when I’ll release my official Week 12 rankings.
And if you’re a regular visitor, please take a moment to rate my advice at Fantasy Pros (under Member Rating). I’d appreciate it.
Also, follow me on Twitter @fantasytips.
Nice find by Raw Sports, who found a quote from Dwayne Bowe and ran with it…
Bowe is quoted as saying this in regard to the SuperBowl, “Definitely we’re going to win it all. I can’t guarantee it, but I can tell you we’re going to win it all.”
Wait… what!?
I can’t guarantee it but we’re definitely winning it all… If you’re gonna make a dumbass guarantee at least go all the way! Don’t hedge on your comments and speak out of both sides of your mouth. That’s probably the WORST guarantee I’ve ever heard in my life! I’d rather he guarantee that they’re going to win every game from here on out or win each game by 40 or something completely ridiculous than this half-assed BS.
This used washing machine will work for a year. I can’t guarantee it, but I’m telling you it will work for at least a year. It will! No guarantees, though.
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