Thanks to Wisconsin’s domination of Ohio State last Saturday night, I missed out on my first 4-0 week in college football. No matter, I’ll gladly take 3-1 to give me a winning record on the year. (Crap, I said that too loud, didn’t I? I did, I did say that too loud. The college football gods are going to be annnngry…)
Utah (love them Utes), Boise State and Hawaii were all winners in Week 7, while those douche Buckeyes were my only loser. Week 8 picks are below.
Colorado State @ Utah, 6:00PM ET
I may take the Utes every week from here on out. They’ve covered in five of their first six games (their only blemish was a push) and you never have to worry about a letdown because, well, it’s Utah. If the Utes don’t blow everyone out by 60, then they look weak in the eyes of BCS voters because of the conference they play in (although that won’t be a problem next year when they join the Pac-12). The Rams are 0-3 on the road, where they’ve allowed an average of 43.7 points per game and have scored just 14.3 PPG. Utah, on the other hand, is averaging 40.3 PPG at home this season and has allowed just 12.3 PPG. Thirty and a half points is a steep number to lay, but the Utes have been covering big point spreads all season (albeit, this will be the biggest since they were a 29-point favorite over San Jose State on September 25, a game in which they won, 56-3).
THE PICK: UTAH –30.5
UAB @ Mississippi State, 7:00PM ET
After beating Florida last Saturday to improve to 5-2 on the year, Mississippi State earned its way into the top-25 this week. That said, this has letdown written all over it. The Bulldogs are in the midst of their SEC schedule and now have to play a 2-4 UAB team at home. With games against Kentucky, Alabama, Arkansas and Ole Miss coming up over the next month, it’ll be easy to overlook a Blazers squad that hasn’t won on the road yet. It would make one team’s entire season to beat a ranked foe on their home field. The other team has its sites on tougher challenges down the road. I’m taking the former, which is also getting 19.5 points.
THE PICK: UAB +19.5
North Carolina @ Miami, 7:30PM ET
I could be falling into a trap here, but isn’t North Carolina being undervalued a bit in this game? Both teams are 4-2 with identical 2-1 records in the ACC and the Tar Heels have won four straight despite having two NCAA investigations hanging over their heads. The Hurricanes, on the other hand, are only two weeks removed from laying an egg against Florida State at home and managed to beat Duke by just two touchdowns (well, two touchdowns and one two-point conversion, as the score was 28-13) despite the Blue Devils’ seven turnovers. Again, I may be falling into a trap here and it wouldn’t surprise me if it was 58-0 Miami at halftime because of this, but I’ll gladly take the 6.5 points with the hotter team right now.
THE PICK: NORTH CAROLINA +6.5
Oklahoma @ Missouri, 8:00PM ET
I know I’m going to piss off the MIZZOU faithful here, but I don’t think the Tigers are good enough to be ranked No. 11 in the BCS Standings. The AP has it right with ranking them at No.18, which is more than fair considering this team was fortunate that San Diego State didn’t beat them in their home stadium a month ago. The Sooners have won seven straight against the Tigers and 19 of 20 in the series, with MIZZOU’s lone victory coming in 1998. Oklahoma has had a tendency this year of letting opponents hang around, but if Missouri can’t establish its running game, the Sooners will start to pull away in the second half. This one will be tight, but I think OU will use the diss from the AP (which has the Sooners ranked third) as motivation to come out on top.
THE PICK: OKLAHOMA –3
Season Record: 11-9