Other positions: QB | RB | WR | TE | DT
Here’s a look at the Top 50 TEs of 2010 in terms of adjusted fantasy points per game, which is calculated by dividing the player’s total points by the number of games he played and then adjusting the result by the average schedule bias for his team. Keep in mind these are points scored in a standard (non-PPR) scoring system. (The PPR table is further down.)
| # | Name | PPG | SOS Adj | Adj PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonio Gates | 13.8 | 0.05 | 13.8 |
| 2 | Jason Witten | 9.6 | -0.01 | 9.6 |
| 3 | Jermichael Finley | 9.0 | -0.28 | 9.3 |
| 4 | Dallas Clark | 8.8 | 0.25 | 8.5 |
| 5 | Vernon Davis | 8.3 | 0.30 | 8.0 |
| 6 | Marcedes Lewis | 8.1 | 0.17 | 8.0 |
| 7 | Rob Gronkowski | 7.2 | 0.06 | 7.1 |
| 8 | Aaron Hernandez | 6.9 | 0.06 | 6.9 |
| 9 | Todd Heap | 6.9 | 0.20 | 6.7 |
| 10 | Chris Cooley | 6.4 | -0.28 | 6.7 |
| 11 | Kellen Winslow Jr. | 6.4 | -0.08 | 6.5 |
| 12 | Zach Miller | 6.6 | 0.06 | 6.5 |
| 13 | Tony Gonzalez | 6.4 | 0.02 | 6.3 |
| 14 | Brandon Pettigrew | 6.0 | -0.12 | 6.1 |
| 15 | Ben Watson | 5.9 | -0.15 | 6.0 |
| 16 | Dustin Keller | 6.2 | 0.25 | 5.9 |
| 17 | Kevin Boss | 5.5 | 0.04 | 5.5 |
| 18 | Owen Daniels | 5.4 | 0.00 | 5.4 |
| 19 | Jacob Tamme | 5.4 | 0.25 | 5.2 |
| 20 | Brent Celek | 4.7 | -0.47 | 5.2 |
| 21 | Anthony Fasano | 5.1 | 0.08 | 5.0 |
| 22 | Joel Dreessen | 4.7 | 0.00 | 4.7 |
| 23 | Jeremy Shockey | 4.5 | -0.16 | 4.7 |
| 24 | Jermaine Gresham | 4.7 | 0.07 | 4.7 |
| 25 | Jimmy Graham | 4.4 | -0.16 | 4.5 |
| 26 | Tony Moeaki | 4.9 | 0.58 | 4.3 |
| 27 | Heath Miller | 4.5 | 0.20 | 4.3 |
| 28 | Greg Olsen | 4.4 | 0.08 | 4.3 |
| 29 | Visanthe Shiancoe | 4.1 | -0.09 | 4.2 |
| 30 | Michael Hoomanawanui | 4.1 | 0.05 | 4.0 |
| 31 | Bo Scaife | 4.0 | 0.10 | 3.9 |
| 32 | Fred Davis | 3.1 | -0.28 | 3.4 |
| 33 | Evan Moore | 3.2 | -0.15 | 3.3 |
| 34 | Daniel Fells | 3.2 | 0.05 | 3.1 |
| 35 | Tony Scheffler | 2.9 | -0.12 | 3.0 |
| 36 | David Thomas | 2.6 | -0.16 | 2.8 |
| 37 | John Carlson | 2.5 | -0.15 | 2.7 |
| 38 | Andrew Quarless | 2.3 | -0.28 | 2.6 |
| 39 | Jared Cook | 2.6 | 0.10 | 2.5 |
| 40 | Randy McMichael | 2.1 | 0.05 | 2.1 |
A few random thoughts:
— When healthy, Antonio Gates is clearly the best fantasy TE in football. But Jason Witten has been more durable, especially lately, while Jermichael Finley and Dallas Clark could give Gates and Witten a run for those top two spots.
– Marcedes Lewis finished TE6 and could see an uptick in targets with Mike Sims-Walker no longer around. He’s currently going in the 8th round and is the 10th TE off the board.
— Jimmy Graham’s numbers down the stretch (26-307-5 over the last eight games) project to TE7 numbers over the course of a 16-game season. He’s currently going TE6, so don’t expect him to be around in the 7th or 8th round of 12-team drafts.
— Zach Miller’s mid-season swoon was mainly due to a plantar fascia injury in his foot. He averaged 5.0-60-0.5 in Weeks 1-7 and 14-17. Those are TE4 numbers. Don’t sleep on Miller.
| # | Name | PPG | SOS Adj | Adj PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonio Gates | 18.8 | 0.03 | 18.8 |
| 2 | Jason Witten | 15.5 | -0.04 | 15.5 |
| 3 | Dallas Clark | 15.0 | 0.21 | 14.7 |
| 4 | Jermichael Finley | 14.3 | -0.27 | 14.5 |
| 5 | Chris Cooley | 11.2 | -0.45 | 11.7 |
| 6 | Vernon Davis | 11.8 | 0.24 | 11.6 |
| 7 | Marcedes Lewis | 11.8 | 0.16 | 11.6 |
| 8 | Tony Gonzalez | 10.7 | 0.02 | 10.7 |
| 9 | Brandon Pettigrew | 10.5 | -0.19 | 10.6 |
| 10 | Kellen Winslow Jr. | 10.6 | 0.07 | 10.5 |
| 11 | Zach Miller | 10.6 | 0.07 | 10.5 |
| 12 | Ben Watson | 10.1 | -0.14 | 10.3 |
| 13 | Aaron Hernandez | 10.1 | 0.19 | 9.9 |
| 14 | Todd Heap | 10.0 | 0.33 | 9.7 |
| 15 | Rob Gronkowski | 9.8 | 0.19 | 9.6 |
| 16 | Jacob Tamme | 9.6 | 0.21 | 9.4 |
| 17 | Dustin Keller | 9.6 | 0.46 | 9.1 |
| 18 | Owen Daniels | 8.8 | -0.11 | 8.9 |
| 19 | Jermaine Gresham | 8.2 | 0.21 | 8.0 |
| 20 | Brent Celek | 7.3 | -0.62 | 7.9 |
| 21 | Kevin Boss | 7.9 | 0.01 | 7.9 |
| 22 | Anthony Fasano | 7.7 | 0.20 | 7.5 |
| 23 | Tony Moeaki | 8.0 | 0.71 | 7.3 |
| 24 | Heath Miller | 7.5 | 0.34 | 7.2 |
| 25 | Visanthe Shiancoe | 7.0 | -0.16 | 7.2 |
| 26 | Joel Dreessen | 7.0 | -0.11 | 7.1 |
| 27 | Greg Olsen | 7.0 | -0.01 | 7.0 |
| 28 | Jimmy Graham | 6.5 | -0.22 | 6.7 |
| 29 | Bo Scaife | 6.6 | 0.02 | 6.5 |
| 30 | Tony Scheffler | 5.9 | -0.19 | 6.1 |
| 31 | Daniel Fells | 5.8 | -0.06 | 5.8 |
| 32 | Michael Hoomanawanui | 5.7 | -0.06 | 5.8 |
| 33 | David Thomas | 4.9 | -0.22 | 5.1 |
| 34 | Fred Davis | 4.4 | -0.45 | 4.9 |
| 35 | John Carlson | 4.6 | -0.24 | 4.8 |
| 36 | Evan Moore | 4.5 | -0.14 | 4.7 |
| 37 | Jared Cook | 4.4 | 0.02 | 4.4 |
| 38 | Andrew Quarless | 3.9 | -0.27 | 4.2 |
| 39 | Dante Rosario | 3.6 | -0.39 | 4.0 |
| 40 | Martellus Bennett | 3.7 | -0.04 | 3.7 |
— Tony Gonzalez moves up five spots in the PPR rankings. He should be a serviceable fantasy TE in both formats for one more year. One of the best to ever play the position.
— Brandon Pettigrew also five spots better in PPR formats. Not clear if he’s going to be a favorite target of Matthew Stafford though. Shaun Hill really looked his way.
— Conversely, Rob Gronkowski moves eight spots down in PPR leagues. He catches a lot of TDs and not as many passes, though he did have 14 grabs in his last three games (including the postseason). He emerged as the better TE in NE and should be the top guy heading into 2011.
— Owen Daniels was solid down the stretch (22-271-2) over the last four games) and the Texans locked him up to a new deal, so barring more health problems, he has a good chance to justify his current TE7 draft position.
