Who were the most productive WRs in 2010?

Other positions: QB | RB | WR | TE | DT

I’ve already covered quarterbacks and running backs, now it’s time to look at wide receivers on a per game basis. Below is a table of the Top 50 WRs of 2010 in terms of adjusted fantasy points per game, which is calculated by dividing the player’s total points by the number of games he played and then adjusting the result by the average schedule bias for his team. Keep in mind these are points scored in a standard (non-PPR) scoring system. (The PPR table is further down.)

#	Name	PPG	SOS Adj	Adj PPG
1	Andre Johnson	13.1	-0.26	13.4
2	Brandon Lloyd	13.1	-0.01	13.1
3	Dwayne Bowe	12.9	-0.15	13.1
4	Roddy White	12.5	-0.60	13.1
5	Calvin Johnson	12.5	-0.48	13.0
6	Hakeem Nicks	13.2	0.37	12.8
7	Greg Jennings	12.4	0.20	12.2
8	Mike Wallace	11.9	-0.33	12.2
9	Terrell Owens	10.9	-1.10	12.0
10	Austin Collie	12.5	0.79	11.8
11	Kenny Britt	11.0	0.08	10.9
12	Steve Johnson	10.5	-0.31	10.8
13	Miles Austin	10.1	-0.65	10.7
14	Percy Harvin	9.5	-0.86	10.4
15	Jerome Simpson	9.2	-1.10	10.3
16	DeSean Jackson	11.3	1.01	10.3
17	Reggie Wayne	10.7	0.79	9.9
18	Wes Welker	8.5	-1.48	9.9
19	Mike Williams (TB)	10.2	0.27	9.9
20	Santonio Holmes	9.4	-0.28	9.6
21	Deion Branch	7.9	-1.48	9.3
22	Brandon Marshall	8.6	-0.65	9.2
23	Jeremy Maclin	10.0	1.01	9.0
24	Mario Manningham	9.3	0.37	8.9
25	Santana Moss	9.2	0.30	8.9
26	Chad Ochocinco	7.7	-1.10	8.8
27	Malcom Floyd	9.8	1.13	8.7
28	Braylon Edwards	8.3	-0.28	8.6
29	Marques Colston	9.6	1.11	8.5
30	Dez Bryant	7.7	-0.65	8.3
31	Johnny Knox	7.9	-0.40	8.3
32	Larry Fitzgerald	9.4	1.07	8.3
33	Nate Burleson	7.6	-0.48	8.1
34	Mark Clayton	8.6	0.57	8.1
35	Anquan Boldin	7.9	-0.11	8.0
36	Derrick Mason	7.6	-0.11	7.7
37	Vincent Jackson	8.8	1.13	7.7
38	Davone Bess	7.0	-0.65	7.6
39	Sidney Rice	6.7	-0.86	7.5
40	Mike Thomas	7.3	-0.12	7.5
41	Pierre Garcon	8.2	0.79	7.4
42	Dezmon Briscoe	7.7	0.27	7.4
43	Mike Sims-Walker	7.0	-0.12	7.1
44	Roscoe Parrish	6.8	-0.31	7.1
45	Hines Ward	6.6	-0.33	6.9
46	Michael Crabtree	6.9	0.05	6.8
47	Adrian Arrington	7.9	1.11	6.8
48	Anthony Armstrong	7.0	0.30	6.7
49	Lance Moore	7.8	1.11	6.7
50	Lee Evans	6.3	-0.31	6.6
51	Brian Hartline	5.9	-0.65	6.5
52	Nate Washington	6.5	0.08	6.4
53	Jordan Shipley	5.2	-1.10	6.3
54	Michael Jenkins	5.7	-0.60	6.3
55	Jabar Gaffney	6.2	-0.01	6.2
56	Roy E. Williams	5.5	-0.65	6.2
57	Mike Williams	6.2	0.11	6.1
58	Kevin Walter	5.8	-0.26	6.0
59	James Jones	6.1	0.20	5.9
60	Earl Bennett	5.4	-0.40	5.8

A few thoughts:

— Brandon Lloyd had a great year, but I’m not sure I buy him as a Top 10 WR in 2011, especially if Tim Tebow takes over at QB. He has disappointed before.

— With the way Dwayne Bowe started the season, it’s pretty amazing that he finished WR3 in standard scoring formats. He should have a fine 2011 if he has a good offseason.

— I landed Mike Wallace in the middle of the third round of a PPR Draftmaster draft, and I think it was a steal. I see no reason why he wouldn’t finish in the Top 12 this season, especially with Big Ben playing a full season.

— Don’t sleep on T.O. if he lands in a decent spot. He proved last season he could quickly make an impact on a new team. He is currently going in the 11th round, but that will rise into the 6th or 7th if he finds a good situation.

— Kenny Britt finished #11 in adjusted PPG despite coming into camp overweight and missing a few games with a hamstring injury. Imagine what he could do if he acted like a professional in the offseason and had an average or better QB throwing to him.

— Jerome Simpson is a sleeper, but he needs a solid QB to throw to him. Don’t draft him too early until that’s settled.

— Mark Clayton and Deion Branch are going in the 10th round. Both players have a good shot at finishing in the Top 30 if they stay healthy.

Here’s a look at the top PPR performers:

#	Name	PPG	SOS Adj	Adj PPG
1	Roddy White	19.6	-0.77	20.4
2	Andre Johnson	19.7	-0.16	19.9
3	Hakeem Nicks	19.2	0.78	18.5
4	Calvin Johnson	17.6	-0.74	18.4
5	Brandon Lloyd	17.9	-0.42	18.3
6	Dwayne Bowe	17.4	-0.73	18.1
7	Austin Collie	19.0	1.15	17.8
8	Reggie Wayne	17.7	0.01	17.6
9	Terrell Owens	16.0	-1.07	17.1
10	Greg Jennings	17.2	0.32	16.8
11	Wes Welker	14.2	-2.09	16.3
12	Mike Wallace	15.6	-0.51	16.1
13	Steve Johnson	15.6	-0.29	15.9
14	Percy Harvin	14.6	-1.06	15.7
15	Brandon Marshall	14.7	-0.74	15.4
16	Miles Austin	14.4	-0.59	15.0
17	Santana Moss	15.0	0.45	14.5
18	Kenny Britt	14.5	0.01	14.4
19	Jerome Simpson	13.2	-1.07	14.3
20	Larry Fitzgerald	15.0	0.84	14.1
21	Deion Branch	11.9	-2.09	14.0
22	Santonio Holmes	13.7	-0.27	14.0
23	Marques Colston	15.2	1.66	13.6
24	Mike Williams (TB)	14.2	0.66	13.6
25	Chad Ochocinco	12.4	-1.07	13.5
26	Adrian Arrington	14.9	1.66	13.2
27	DeSean Jackson	14.6	1.67	13.0
28	Mark Clayton	13.2	0.49	12.8
29	Jeremy Maclin	14.4	1.67	12.7
30	Davone Bess	11.9	-0.74	12.7
31	Steve Smith (NYG)	13.2	0.78	12.4
32	Nate Burleson	11.5	-0.74	12.3
33	Mario Manningham	13.0	0.78	12.3
34	Dez Bryant	11.4	-0.59	12.0
35	Malcom Floyd	13.2	1.16	12.0
36	Braylon Edwards	11.6	-0.27	11.9
37	Anquan Boldin	11.9	-0.01	11.9
38	Pierre Garcon	13.0	1.15	11.8
39	Johnny Knox	11.1	-0.77	11.8
40	Mike Thomas	11.5	-0.15	11.6
41	Derrick Mason	11.5	-0.01	11.5
42	Roscoe Parrish	10.9	-0.29	11.2
43	Mike Williams	10.9	-0.08	10.9
44	Hines Ward	10.3	-0.51	10.8
45	Danny Amendola	11.3	0.49	10.8
46	Jabar Gaffney	10.3	-0.42	10.7
47	Michael Crabtree	10.3	-0.37	10.7
48	Sidney Rice	9.5	-1.06	10.6
49	Vincent Jackson	11.6	1.16	10.5
50	Mike Sims-Walker	10.1	-0.15	10.2
51	Lance Moore	11.9	1.66	10.2
52	Michael Jenkins	9.4	-0.77	10.2
53	Brian Hartline	9.4	-0.74	10.2
54	Dezmon Briscoe	10.7	0.66	10.0
55	Jordan Shipley	8.7	-1.07	9.7
56	Eddie Royal	9.1	-0.42	9.5
57	Anthony Armstrong	9.9	0.45	9.5
58	Lee Evans	9.1	-0.29	9.4
59	Earl Bennett	8.6	-0.77	9.4
60	Taylor Price	7.1	-2.09	9.2

— Hakeem Nicks is a Top 5 WR if he can stay healthy. His gain is Steve Smith 2.0’s loss.

— Austin Collie was highly productive when he was healthy, but he only managed to play nine games and seems to take a lot of hits with those crossing and seam routes. He’s currently going in the 5th round, but he’s obviously a high risk guy.

— I like Stevie Johnson, and his value will be high assuming Ryan Fitzpatrick is back. If they make a change, any change, at QB, it will probably hurt Johnson’s stock. Fitzy is pretty good, and they’re going to have a tough time upgrading given the current crop of FA and rookie QBs available.

— Brandon Marshall ranks seven spots higher in PPR formats than in standard formats.

— Jeremy Maclin is weighted down by his weird one-target Week 17 game against the Cowboys. Without that, he would have been WR23 on this list, given his favorable schedule.

— Mike Thomas is likely to see a boost in targets with Mike Sims-Walker’s departure. He seems to be a PPR guy, but he’s ranked #40 on both lists. He is currently WR40 in average drafts, which seems about 8-10 spots too low.

Once the NFL (hopefully) agrees to a new CBA and finalizes the schedule, I can release the projected strength of schedule (SOS) for 2011. That will allow us to further refine this list.

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