Month: September 2010 (Page 4 of 60)

Why won’t Josh McDaniels utilize Tim Tebow?

Denver Broncos quarterback Tim Tebow stands on the sideline during the first quarter of their NFL football game against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Jacksonville, Florida September 12, 2010. REUTERS/Daron Dean (UNITED STATES - Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL)

There are only 16 games on a NFL schedule. Most seasons, a team has to win at least nine of those 16 games to make the playoffs and sometimes that’s not even enough.

Forty-five players can be active on Sundays. Of those 45 players, usually two are quarterbacks and a third is named the emergency signal caller in case of injury.

With this in mind, I wonder why Josh McDaniels has decided not to use rookie Tim Tebow in special packages – especially with running back Knowshon Moreno out with a hamstring injury.

I’m not a big Tebow fan. I think he’s a massive project and I have serious doubts that he’ll be a productive starting quarterback one day in the NFL. But that’s just my opinion. Obviously McDaniels and the scouts in Denver see something in him, which is why they traded multiple picks to move up in April’s draft to select him in the first round. One day, Tebow will be the starter in Denver, although it won’t be this year and chances are it won’t be in 2011 either.

So why not get Tebow involved now? He can obviously run, as he proved that at Florida. His passing mechanics are still a work in progress, but that doesn’t mean he couldn’t line up in the Wildcat formation and throw the ball out of a run-pass option. McDaniels thinks it’s “ridiculous” to use Tebow in short yardage situations, but I would venture to say that it’s more ridiculous for a head coach not to use all of the weapons that are at his disposal.

What is McDaniels worried about? That his quarterback of the future could get hurt running the ball? Tebow is a runner at heart – he’s not going to stop running when he becomes a starter.

Is McDaniels worried that Tebow is going to make a mistake to cost the Broncos a game? All young players make mistakes – it’s inevitable.

I don’t get why a team like the Broncos that lacks offensive punch would leave a potential weapon like Tebow on the bench. I’m not suggesting he start over Kyle Orton – now that would be ridiculous. But seeing as how Laurence Maroney was stuffed at the goal line last week in a loss to the Colts, maybe it’s time for McDaniels to consider all of his options.

Good head coaches know how to utilize all of their talent. It’s one of the things that gives them an advantage on Sunday.

Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW): Week 4

ATLANTA - DECEMBER 14:  Linebacker Curtis Lofton #50 of the Atlanta Falcons lines up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers  at the Georgia Dome on December 14, 2008 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)

The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week you pick up a defense that is playing against a bad offense (preferably at home). And each week you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position.

Last season, my top pick averaged 9.8 fantasy points per game. My second pick averaged 9.1 and my third pick averaged 7.3. On the whole, DTBWW averaged 9.3 fantasy points per game, which equate to DT5 numbers — all for the price of a few waiver wire pickups. In 2008, my top two picks averaged DT6-type numbers. (Note: To calculate fantasy points, I use this scoring system.)

Unlike Defensive Team By Committee (DTBC), which is for those owners who prefer low maintenance teams, DTBWW strategy allows fantasy owners to virtually ignore DTs on draft day and focus on picking up an extra RB/WR flier instead.

To be eligible, defenses have to be available on the waiver wire in at least 50% of ESPN fantasy leagues.

Let’s see how my Week 3 picks fared:

#1 Dolphins: Zero fantasy points. (Ugh.)
#2 Redskins: 1 SK + 1 INT + 1 FR = 3 fp
#3 Chargers: 3 SK + 1 INT + 1 FR + 1 Safety = 7 fp

Clearly, it was an awful week for DTBWW. In fact, it was the lowest combined total since I started this feature at the beginning of the 2009 season. I apologize to anyone who took the Dolphins this week, especially if it cost them a win. (For what it’s worth, they cost me a win.) I overestimated Miami’s defense and underestimated Mark Sanchez and the Jets. New York did a nice job of calling short, quick-hitting pass plays for Sanchez which kept the Miami defense at bay and made it relatively easy to avoid turnovers.

Even with the crappy week, DTBWW is performing pretty well on the whole. My top pick is averaging 7.3 fantasy points per game, my #2 pick is averaging 7.7 and my #3 pick is averaging 8.3, for an overall average of 7.8 fppg. Those are DT8 numbers.

Let’s take a look at this week’s pick keeping in mind that to be eligible, the DT needs to be available in at least 50% of ESPN leagues.

Pick #1: Atlanta Falcons (vs. SF)
The Falcons are currently the #15 fantasy defense and they played pretty well (5 fantasy points) in a bad matchup with the Saints last week. This week, they go home to face one of the worst scoring offenses of the 2010 season. The 49ers just fired their offensive coordinator and are in transition.

Pick #2: San Diego Chargers (vs. ARI)
This is a tasty matchup for the Chargers due to Derek Anderson. Opposing teams have scored an average of 8.0 fantasy points on the Cards, so that’s a good baseline expectation for the Chargers, who have scored 19 points over the last two weeks.

Pick #3: Indianapolis Colts (@ JAX)
Offensively, the Jaguars are a mess. The Colts will probably get up by two or three scores, forcing the Jags to press, which will lead to sacks and turnovers.

Bonus Picks: SEA (@ STL), STL (vs. SEA)

Bengals not concerned about Carson Palmer, although they should be

CHARLOTTE, NC - SEPTEMBER 26: Carson Palmer  of the Cincinnati Bengals falls to the ground after a hard hit against the Carolina Panthers during their game at Bank of America Stadium on September 26, 2010 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)

It seems like yesterday that Bengal fans were excited that their team finally found a quarterback after they drafted Carson Palmer in 2004. They had lived through hell (also known as the Akili Smith era) and they finally had a quarterback to which they could call their own.

Too bad it didn’t last long.

Following the Bengals’ lackluster 20-7 win over the Panthers on Sunday, head coach Marvin Lewis said that he’s not concerned with the poor play of his quarterback. But that’s only because he has Jordan Palmer sitting on his bench.

The Bengals won’t say it, but Palmer (Carson, not Jordan) has been sub par at best this year. In completing 19-of-37 passes for 195 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions last weekend, he managed to make rookie Jimmy Clausen look somewhat productive. His decision-making hasn’t been stellar, his accuracy has been off, his arm strength is painstakingly average and he looks goofy in his helmet. (I know it’s supposed to be safer, but it looks like the Great Gazoo in that thing.)

In other words, he’s become a more expensive version of Shaun Hill without the okay-for-a-white-quarterback wheels.

It’s not a stretch to say that Palmer isn’t the same player he was earlier in his career and if the Bengals are expecting a turnaround, they may be waiting a while. The team tried to upgrade its passing attack in the offseason with the acquisitions of rookie draft picks Jermaine Gresham and Jordan Shipley, as well as free agent Terrell Owens. But if Palmer can’t get them the ball then those new additions will obviously go to waste.

Unless Palmer finds the fountain of youth, the Bengals will have to continue to rely on their running game and defense to win games. That’s fine in the regular season, but what if Cincinnati makes the playoffs again? They ran into a buzz saw last year in the Jets and if they wind up facing another opponent who can stop the run, then Palmer will likely be exposed.

That said, it’s a long season and maybe Palmer will develop a rhythm in the passing game. There’s still plenty of time to figure it out and the good thing for the Bengals is that they have a hard worker under center.

But man, he has not looked good in the first three games. And it’s not like he faced a hybrid collection of the best players from the ’85 Bears and ’00 Ravens last Sunday in Carolina either.

2010 likely a make or break year for Bears’ Tommie Harris in Chicago

CHICAGO - DECEMBER 28: Tommie Harris #91 of the Chicago Bears rests on the bench during a game against the Minnesota Vikings at Soldier Field on December 28, 2009 in Chicago, Illinois. The Bears defeated the Vikings 36-30 in overtime. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

If this is the healthiest Tommie Harris has been in years, it certainly doesn’t show on the field.

When the Bears brought in Julius Peppers this offseason, they believed that he could make their entire defense better. For the most part, they’ve been right, as Peppers has been a man-child and you can see the improved production in players such as Brian Urlacher (who thinks it’s 2002 again) and Lance Briggs (who has always been highly productive, but who has been freed to make even more plays from his outside ‘backer position).

But oddly enough, one area Peppers hasn’t helped is the defensive line. The Bears haven’t gotten much production (especially in the pass rush department) out of their two tackle positions or the end spot opposite Peppers. Despite being 3-0, they only have two sacks on the year and one of those came from Urlacher.

The guy that was supposed to benefit the most from Peppers’ arrival was Harris, but that hasn’t been the case. In fact, the coaching staff deactivated him for the Bears’ Monday night game against the Packers, even though he was healthy and wasn’t being punished. Officials claimed that the deactivation was in effort to get the team’s top 45 players on the game-day roster. (The Bears wanted to reward Matt Toeania while also getting a look at Henry Melton and Marcus Harrison.)

There have been rumors that Harris wants to be traded, but he won’t cause waves with the team winning. And why would he? He doesn’t want to be perceived as a selfish player in case the Bears find a trade partner and decide to part ways with the former first rounder.

The problem is that the team signed him to a four-year, $40 million contract extension in June of 2008 and has already paid him $21.5 million to date. The Bears know what kind of talent Harris is and if he ever returns to form (there’s a chance his knees still aren’t fully recovered and he just needs more time), they don’t want to be the team that paid most of his contract and then traded him for pennies on the dollar.

A trade is highly unlikely this year. However, Harris is due a $2.5 million roster bonus and a $500,000 workout bonus on June 1 of next year, so the Bears could decide to release him then. In 2011 and 2012, he’ll make a combined $4.8 million, so the Bears don’t want to pick up that tab if he isn’t going to be productive.

If a switch turns on and he starts playing like Tommie Harris version 2007, then everyone gets what they want. Harris, who is still only 27, gets more playing time, the Bears get the productive player they thought they were signing to an extension in ’08 and Peppers gets his complement on the defensive line.

But if he continues to struggle, then this will likely be his last season in Chicago. After all, there’s no sense in paying an interior defensive lineman upwards of $4 million a year if he isn’t one of the top 45 players on the roster.

Sweet mother of pearl, the Reds are actually going to the playoffs

Cincinnati Reds right fielder Jay Bruce celebrates hitting a home run against the Houston Astros in the ninth inning of their MLB National League baseball game in Cincinnati, Ohio September 28, 2010.  REUTERS/Matt Sullivan  (UNITED STATES - Tags: SPORT BASEBALL)

For years, MLB writers have had it easy when it came to making season predictions for the Reds.

4. Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have loads of young talent and one day, it’ll all come together. But this is still the Reds – they’ll find a way to finish in the middle of the pack. It’s been 10 years since the last time they made the playoffs, so bank on them missing out again.

Rinse and repeat.

But that, “one day, it’ll all come together” part is happening right now.

Jay Bruce hit a walk-off home run in the 9th inning off Astros’ reliever Tim Byrdak on Tuesday as the Reds beat Houston 3-2 to win the NL Central for the first time in over a decade. The win also guarantees that they’ll be heading to the postseason for the first time in 15 years.

There’s no rest for the weary, however, as the Reds are in a battle with the Giants (and maybe the Padres if they can get their act together) for home field advantage in the NLDS. The Phillies have run away with the top seed in the NL, but home field advantage would obviously be huge for Cincinnati, as it would be for all clubs.

If the playoffs were to start today, the Phillies would have the top seed, followed by the Giants, then the Reds, then the Wildcard-winning Braves. Since the Braves and Phillies can’t play each other in the first round, Cincinnati would play Philadelphia and San Francisco would host Atlanta.

Teams aren’t going to back down from any opponent at this point in the year, but avoiding the Phillies would still be beneficial. Thus, the Reds need to finish strong and secure that second spot.

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